This book is dedicated to the examination of the practical application of Pareto's theoretical law of second recursion, more commonly referred to as the ‘1/50 rule’.

How is this rule implemented in totalitarian pseudo-socialist regimes?

How does it lead to the degradation of an outwardly socialist totalitarian society into negative political corruption, leading to the inevitable destruction of the state?

How did Goebbels, Gоering and Hitler steal?

What were the real economic relationships between the Nazi and Anglo-Saxon elites?

Why did positive political corruption degenerate into negative political corruption in Nazi Germany?

The book addresses a multitude of questions, which are explored in detail. The distinctive approach of the book is to examine these questions through the lenses of sociology and political economy. It illustrates how the evolution of any state is influenced by a multifaceted interaction of social and economic factors.

ISBN 978-5-386-15491-2

© Gribov A. Yu., text, 2024

© Publication, design, LLC RIPOL Classic Group of Companies, 2025

Political Corruption in the Third Reich

Introduction

This book makes the case for political corruption in any state. Nazi Germany, otherwise known as the Third Reich, is cited as the most obvious example.

The Pareto Principle

In order to understand the causes of corruption and, more importantly, political corruption, it is necessary to scientifically analyze the influence of the Pareto principle on it.

Everyone knows the Pareto principle, which sounds like ‘20% of effort produces 80% of results’.

20% of effort produces 80% of results

The great scientist Vilfredo Pareto discovered this principle in 1887, when he carried out a huge statistical study on the creation and distribution of property in Italy, using land as an example. He created this principle and forgot about it. But his students and followers found out that this principle is very universal and works not only with regard to property, but also with regard to practically all sociological and statistical processes.

For example, it has been demonstrated that 20% of the nomenclature of a retail outlet is responsible for 80% of sales, and any manager of any sales network is likely to confirm this. It has been demonstrated that 20% of writers are responsible for 80% of novel production. Furthermore, 20% of writers receive 80% of the revenue generated from book sales. It has been established that 20% of scientists are responsible for 80% of inventions and 80% of discoveries.

It has been demonstrated that this principle is applicable in a multitude of settings and contexts. The question thus arises as to why. The subject has been discussed at length for some time, with numerous hypotheses put forth. However, this work will not delve into these conjectures, but rather define the principle in question. Furthermore, this principle is not subject to cancellation. Despite attempts to achieve equality, the 20/80 principle persists. In any given classroom, approximately 20% of students will receive 80% of the highest grades. In any university, approximately 20% of students are responsible for producing 80% of the honours-level theses. In any research institution, 20% of scientists are responsible for producing 80% of the research results.

And in every country, 20% of the population receives 80% of the income and owns 80% of the wealth.

This rule is universal and cannot be overturned.

First Pareto recursion

It is crucial to highlight that the Pareto rule is recursive. This implies that if the Pareto rule is applied to the 20% subset once more, the result will be 4% (20% multiplied by 20%). Similarly, if the 80% subset is subjected to the Pareto rule again, the outcome will be 64% (80% multiplied by 80%).

A mere 4% of the population is responsible for a staggering 64% of the work. Rule 4/64

The initial recursion of the Pareto rule yields the ‘4/64 rule'.

This signifies that 4% of scientists are responsible for 64% of discoveries, while 4% of writers account for 64% of revenue generated from book sales. Similarly, 4% of product nomenclature contributes 64% of revenue, and 4% of employees yield 64% of results. Consequently, 4% of the population possess 64% of property.

Second Pareto recursion

The second recursion of the Pareto rule yields an even more intriguing result. Upon multiplying 4% by 20%, the result is 0.8%, which is approximately 1%. Furthermore, if 64% is multiplied by 80%, the result is approximately 51%.

A mere 1% of the population is in possession of 50% of the property. This can be expressed as the 1/50 rule.

The second recursion of the Pareto rule, therefore, gives us the '1/50 rule'.

This rule is well known among sociologists and has been the subject of much discussion over many years. The argument is that 50% of America belongs to only one % of Americans, and similarly that 50% of Germany belongs to one % of Germans, 50% of Britain to one % of the English, and so on.

The 1/50 rule

The second recursion of the Pareto rule yields the universal rule that 1% of the population of a country will, by one method or another, appropriate half of the national wealth and receive half of the gross product.

However, some sociologists with a socialist or communist orientation contend that all individuals can be equal, receive the same remuneration, possess approximately the same amount of property and, moreover, provide examples to substantiate this assertion. Stalin's and Hitler's regimes are often cited as examples, with the argument that during their time in power, grand theft was considered impossible due to the presence of reliable law enforcement agencies (police, Gestapo or NKVD) and the crooks were swiftly incarcerated.

1% of the population owns 50% of the wealth. But there is an opinion that there really was equality between people. Example: the regimes of Hitler and Stalin

This book will examine the historical example of Nazi Germany to determine whether the assertions of socialists and communists are substantiated or, as evidenced by scientific data and the second recursion of the Pareto rule (analogous to the ‘1/50 rule’), the opposite is true.

Look for a Woman

In ancient times, the Roman lawyer Cassius Longinus said: 'Look for the one who benefits'.

The French like to say, 'Look for the woman'.

Let's try to combine these two rules and begin our study of Nazi Germany with a very curious woman, born on 11 November 1901, whose birth name was Johanna Maria Magdalena Behrend.

Johanna Maria Magdalena Behrend, born on 11 November 1901

‘At the age of 5, Magda was sent to a religious school in the Belgian town of Vilvoorde. Her mother soon married the Jewish industrialist Richard Friedländer, and Magda began to use his surname. After the outbreak of World War I, the family was forced to leave Belgium and return to Berlin, where Magda attended a lyceum.’[1]

BMW

On 4 January 1921, she married Günther Quandt, a German industrialist twice her age

Magda was a very beautiful girl. In the winter of 1920, on her way back to boarding school from a holiday in Berlin, the 18-year-old Magda met a major German industrialist, Günther Quandt,[2] owner of BMW, who was 20 years her senior. She was a very pretty girl, Quandt was a respectable man, a major businessman, and on 28 July they became engaged.

At her husband's request, Magda, a Catholic, converted to the Lutheran Church. And on 4 January 1921 the wedding took place.

In November 1921 she gave birth to her first son, Harald, who later had a very interesting life.

But time passed, and the young girl became bored with what she considered to be the over-organized, highly successful businessman who, on the contrary, was not interested in social ‘get-togethers’, exhibitions and receptions.

Magda soon became disillusioned with her marriage.[3] Around 1927 she decided that her life had become impossible. Indeed: yesterday your husband owns a BMW, today your husband owns a BMW and tomorrow your husband will own a BMW. How can you live in such a difficult situation? In 1927, Magda proposed to her husband that they divorce, but he refused to leave her and suggested that she go to America with him.

America

To visit America in 1927 was like asking a girl to visit the Maldives today. Magda, ‘so be it’, graciously agreed and went with her husband Günther Quandt to New York, where he introduced her to the high society of the American establishment.

Magda literally charmed New York's high society, and it came to such a pass that the nephew of Herbert Hoover, the American president, asked Magda to marry him. But Magda thought about it and decided: what about any nephew of any American president, she turned him down and went back to Germany.

But the nephew of US President Hoover was so charmed by Magda that when the news of her divorce broke in 1930, he rushed to Berlin to propose to the newly divorced. Here's what they say about her: ‘Careerist she is, careerist…’ Magda firmly refused. But… No! I don't think so! I mean, she didn't go to bed with him, but carelessly hinted that, say, under different circumstances… maybe… why not… without a doubt… In short, the American, beside himself with happiness, completely lost his head and became the unwitting cause of a car accident that landed Magda in hospital for a long time.[4]

In 1927, the nephew of US President Herbert Hoover came to admire Magdalena Quandt

‘After their return from America, relations between the Quandt couple rapidly deteriorated. In 1928, Magda sought solace in an affair. Her lover was a peer whom she had known since her school days.’[5] Upon learning of this, the enraged Quandt wanted to throw his unfaithful wife out on the street, not even giving her time to pack her bags.[6] But Magda was not going to be dismissed so easily. She had Quandt's letters about the pastimes of his youth. Notwithstanding the lack of legal binding, Quandt was disinclined to instigate a scandal.[7] He agreed to provide Magda with a monthly allowance of 4,000 Reichsmarks, ‘cover his son Harald's health insurance and education until he was 14 years old,[8] and even purchase her a property in central Berlin for 50,000 marks. This provided Magda with a comfortable standard of living. In accordance with the terms of the divorce settlement, which was concluded in 1929, Harald was to remain with his mother until her remarriage, receiving a lump sum of 20,000 marks.

Magda divorced BMW owner Günter Quandt, received a substantial settlement, and relocated to live with a partner she had known since her school days.

Haim Arlosoroff

In consideration of Magda's subsequent marriage, her connection, which was the precipitating factor in her divorce from Quandt, appears to be so implausible and ambiguous that in the initial biography of her subsequent husband, the lover of his future wife was designated by the pseudonym ‘Student Hans,’ which gave rise to numerous speculations regarding Magda's connection with the student.

The individual in question was Viktor Saulovich (Haim) Arlosoroff, an emigrant from Russia, the grandson of a rabbi and later a prominent Zionist. Magda was acquainted with him through his younger sister Lisa, with whom she studied in the same gymnasium for 'noble maidens'.[9]

In 1928, Magda was in a relationship with Victor Saulovich (Haim) Arlosoroff, an immigrant from Russia who later became a prominent figure in Zionism.

For a young woman of considerable charm and beauty, inactivity was an unbearable prospect. Consequently, she elected to pursue gainful employment. What professions might a young, beautiful, and intelligent woman pursue? She opted to affiliate with the party. However, despite the physical attributes and nationality of her partner, she opted not to join the Zionist party.

A young, highly attractive, intelligent, and affluent woman who is not content with being the spouse of a BMW executive, the daughter-in-law of the US president's nephew, or the wife of the architect of the new Palestinian state, instead joins the Workers' (Arbeits) Party, a national socialist party with a pronounced… anti-Semitic bias.

Just think about it! The ex-wife of a very big capitalist joins the party… of the workers! The mistress of a prominent Zionist joins… an anti-Semitic party!

Despite her affiliation with the NSDAP, Magda maintained a civil marriage with a Russian Zionist, Haim Arlosoroff, until 1931.

Due to her intellectual capabilities and physical attributes, Magda rapidly advanced within the social hierarchy until she met the man of her dreams, with whom she wanted to commit forever.

This individual was Joseph Goebbels, a limp-footed man with below-average height and big ears.

Magda's men

On 19 December 1931, Magda registered her relationship with Josef (or Joseph?) and became known as Magda Goebbels, under which name she went down in history.

The groomsman at the wedding was Adolf Schicklgruber (son of Alois), alias Hitler.

On 19 December 1931, she became Magda Goebbels. The best man at the wedding was Adolf Hitler

A significant number of German researchers have postulated that Goebbels was merely a facade for the actual relationship between Magda and Adolf Hitler. This markedly unconventional marriage resulted in the birth of six children, all of whom commenced their names with the letter H: Helga, Hedwig, Helmut, Hildegard, Holdine, and Heidrun. Despite the absence of documented evidence, a considerable body of opinion holds that the children were named after Adolf Hitler.

Magda consistently asserted that the Führer was her ‘eternal love’. She stated, ‘I love my husband, but my love for Hitler is stronger. I am prepared to sacrifice my life for him. Only when I came to understand that he could not love any woman did I consent to marry Dr. Goebbels, as this would allow me to be closer to the Führer.’ Herbert Doering, the manager of Hitler's residence at the Berghof, frequently observed Magda Goebbels visiting Hitler. In his memoirs, he asserted that ‘Frau Goebbels would gladly have exchanged her husband for Hitler, and she never lost this hope.’[10]

‘After the outbreak of the Second World War, Magda was instrumental in her husband's department, travelling, supporting the troops and comforting the widows of fallen soldiers.’[11]

In January 1933, Hitler came to power. Goebbels became the information mouthpiece of the German state. What happened to Magda's former friends at this time?

Günther Quandt

Following Hitler's appointment as Chancellor, Günther Quandt joined the NSDAP (National Socialist German Workers' Party).

Just think about it! A prominent figure from the capitalist sector joining a party with roots in the labor movement!

In December 1938, he was appointed one of the Wehrwirtschaftsführer. These were businessmen commissioned by the state to facilitate the transition of the economy to a war footing, with a significant number of military orders.

At this time, Quandt's enterprises commenced production of armaments and military equipment (including artillery pieces, rifles, motorcycles, and batteries) for the German armed forces.

December 1938 — Quandt was appointed one of the military economic leaders. In 1942, Quandt sat on the boards of directors and supervisory boards of 29 banks and companies

In 1942, Quandt was a member of the boards of directors and supervisory boards of the following companies:

Banks

1. Deutsche Bank AG, Berlin[12] — Director.

2. Westfalenbank AG, Bochurn/Westfalen — Director.

Insurance companies

1. Rheinische Versicherungsgruppe AG, Cologne (Gerling-Konzern)  — Chairman.

2. Die Friedrich Wilhelm, Preussische Lebens- und Garantie-Versicherungs-Actien-Gesellschaft, Berlin (Gerling-Konzern) — Chairman.

3. Rückversicherungs-AG, Cologne (a subsidiary of Rheinische Versicherungsgruppe AG) — Vice-President.

4. Lebensversicherung AG, Cologne (a subsidiary of Rheinische Versicherungsgruppe AG) — Vice-President.

Industrial companies

1. Daimler-Benz AG, Stuttgart — Director.

2. Allgemeine Elektricitäts-Gesellschaft, Berlin — Director.

3. Accumulatoren-Fabrik Aktiengesellschaft, Berlin[13] (Quandt owned 75% of shares) — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

а. Concordia Elektrizitäts-AG, Dortmund — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

i. Hermann Herzog & Co., Neugersdorf, Saxony (a subsidiary of Concordia Spinnerei & Weberei) — Chairman;

b.  Dominitwerke GmbH, Berlin (a subsidiary of Accumulatoren-Fabrik Aktiengesellschaft) — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

c. Pertrix-Werke GmbH, Berlin (a subsidiary of Accumulatoren-Fabrik Aktiengesellschaft) — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

4.  Deutsche Waffen- und Munitionsfabriken AG, Berlin — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

a. Dürener Metallwerke AG, Düren, North Rhine-Westphalia (a subsidiary of Deutsche Waffen- und Munitionsfabriken AG) — member of the supervisory board;

b. Berlin-Erfurter Maschinenfabrik Henry Pels & Co., AG, Berlin (a subsidiary of Deutsche Waffen- und Munitionsfabriken AG) — Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

5. Wintershall GmbH, Kassel - Deputy Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

a.  Bergbau-AG Lothringen, Bochum (a subsidiary of Wintershall) — Deputy Chairman of the Supervisory Board;

b. Gewerkschaft Victor Stickstoffwerke, Castrop-Rauxel (a subsidiary of Wintershall GmbH) — Member of the Mining Committee;

c.  Gewerkschaft Wintershall, Heringen — Chairman of the Mining Committee.

6. Tuchfabrik Gebrüder Draeger Pritzwalk – co-owner.

7. Draeger-Werke GmbH, Lübeck — Manager.

8. Byk-Guldenwerke Chemische Fabrik AG, Berlin — Chairman.

9. Deutsche Wollwaren-Manufaktur AG, Grünberg/Schlesien — Chairman.

10. Deutsches Tuchsyndikat GmbH, Berlin — Chairman.

11. Busch-Jaeger Lüdenscheider Metallwerke AG, Lüdenscheid, Westphalia — Vice-Chairman.

12. Aktiengesellschaft für Verkehrswesen, Berlin — Director.

13. Deutsches Kalisyndikat GmbH, Berlin — Director.

14. Kammgarnspinnerei Stöhr & Co. Leipzig — Director.

15. Vereinigte Kugellagerfabriken AG, Schweinfurt (a subsidiary of the Swedish concern Svenska Kullagerfabriken, also known as AB SKF)  — Director.[14]

It would be interesting to know whether he occupied such a huge number of posts only thanks to his exceptional intelligence or also thanks to the protection of his ex-wife through her current husband, who had gigantic political weight. It seems that Günther Quandt was grateful to his ex-wife and her current husband, which is understandable.

There is arguably no stronger association with the soldiers of the German army than the BMW R75 motorcycle. In addition to the renowned tanks and iconic aircraft, it became one of the defining symbols of World War II.

The BMW R75 and Zündapp KS750 were the first motorcycles ordered and designed directly for the Wehrmacht. They were initially intended for use in off-road conditions, with the expectation that they would be isolated from maintenance and supply bases. Approximately 70% of the spare parts for the Zündapp KS750 and BMW R75 were interchangeable, greatly simplifying their operation and the supply of troops with spare parts and accessories for motorcycles.

The BMW R75 was the ideal choice for mobile operations. The BMW R75 was utilized by a number of Wehrmacht units, including infantry and tank corps, primarily for reconnaissance and motorcycle-rifle units, field gendarmerie, medical battalions, and police.

The BMW R75 with a sidecar and its half-track modification were the exclusive mode of transportation for the German airborne forces. They were delivered to the landing site on the external suspension of the Junkers. The army accepted the motorcycle with enthusiasm, and the soldiers did not care at all about the main drawback of the R75 — its high cost (for comparison: the BMW R75 cost the Führer and taxpayers three times more than the competing Kubelwagen).

BMW manufactured 16,510 R75 motorcycles, while Zündapp produced 18,635.

During the war, BMW's business volume grew exponentially, from 32 million Reichsmarks in 1933 to 750 million in 1944.[15] The figure is almost 50 times higher.

Haim Arlosoroff and the Haavara Agreement

If the fate of Günther Quandt, a true German, was relatively natural under the Nazis, then it is unclear how the Zionist Haim Arlosoroff could have been ‘attached’ to the current political corruption.

Nevertheless, upon closer examination and through the exercise of imaginative speculation, it becomes evident that there was potential for utilizing this resource. Indeed, such a use was subsequently identified.

At the outset of negotiations between the German Ministry of Economics and the Zionist Federation of Germany, it was clear that the involvement of local Zionists was not feasible.

The Haavara Agreement: The proceeds from the sale of property by Jewish individuals in Germany were deposited into the accounts of the Anglo-Palestine Bank and the Templar Bank. The 'Alliance of Stalin, Hitler, and Ben-Gurion'

For this purpose, Haim Arlosoroff was brought out of Israel, who, ‘through the mediation of Sam Cohen, a Jewish lawyer and businessman living in Germany, and with the full support of Weizmann and Ben-Gurion,’[16] ‘began to conclude the Haavara Agreement[17] between the Zionist Federation of Germany, the Anglo-Palestine Bank (operating under the direction of the Jewish Agency, currently Bank Leumi, Heb. , transcription: heském haavará, translation: The Ha'avara Transfer Agreement), and the German Ministry of Economics,’ ‘according to which money from property sold by Jews in Germany was transferred to the accounts of the Anglo-Palestine Bank and the Templar Bank. The Haavara Company used the funds to purchase German goods intended for import and sell them in Palestine and Europe. The proceeds from these sales were intended to help repatriates from Germany.’[18] The Zionist revisionists were highly critical of this agreement and referred to it as the ‘Stalin–Hitler–Ben-Gurion Alliance’.[19]

This agreement itself is very interesting, and, of course, it is impossible to analyze it completely in this work. Several books could be dedicated to this agreement, and many books have already been published on it, but people usually don't like to remember it because the role of Zionist organizations and the State of Israel towards Jews in it are very ambiguous.

In short, 60,000 wealthy German Jews had a choice: hand over their property to the German Ministry of Economics in exchange for the right to go to Palestine and receive some money, or face death in the concentration camps — Majdanek, Treblinka and Auschwitz. They were not told this directly, but they had a clear motivation, as their less wealthy neighbors were regularly rounded up by the Gestapo and sent to concentration camps.

What happened to the property that was transferred to the Ministry of Economy? Between 50% and 90% of the value of this property was taken by the Ministry of Economy, and the rest was given to Bank Leumi.

With this money, Bank Leumi could only buy German goods from German industrialists and sell them in the markets of Palestine, Israel and the Arab countries. Bank Leumi received the money for these goods and gave part of it to the 60 thousand rich German Jews.

In any case, following the conclusion of the Haavara Agreement, the Nazis and their close industrialists also had an economic motivation to persecute the Jews, while the Zionists had an economic motivation to support the export of German-Nazi goods.

‘The stipulation imposed on the Jewish population in Germany was the requirement to deposit a sum of £1,000 or, in select instances, £2,000 into a financial institution. With these funds, the Haavara Company purchased German goods for export from Germany to Palestine. Upon arrival in Palestine, the repatriates were to receive, in accordance with the terms of the agreement, an equivalent amount in Palestinian pounds, which was equivalent to sterling pounds.’[20] ‘However, the German government retained half of the proceeds from the sale of Jewish property. As Nazi demands increased, deductions in exchange became so significant that, by 1938, “equivalent” received by emigrants did not exceed 10% of original amount.’[21]

The objective of the German authorities was accomplished: the boycott was terminated. The Haavara Agreement resulted in a notable surge in German exports to Palestine. Germany advanced from fourth to second place among exporters to Palestine by July 1936, overtaking Great Britain. By June 1937, Germany had assumed the leading position with a share of 16.1% of Palestine's imports.’[22]

‘The implementation of the Haavara Agreement played a significant role in the formation of the State of Israel. This was made possible by the transfer of funds and importation of goods from Germany to Palestine. As Edwin Black notes, approximately 60,000 Jews departed from Germany for Palestine as part of the Haavara Agreement, with an estimated $100 million (equivalent to approximately $1.7 billion in 2009) in funds transferred.’[23]

‘Not only financial resources came to Palestine from Germany, but also businessmen, doctors, scientists and other qualified specialists, because according to the Haavara Agreement, the flow of Jewish emigrants was directed there — to the Levant. As a result, the number of Jewish minorities in Palestine increased significantly. By 1939, Jews constituted about 60% of the working population (aged 15 to 49) in Palestine, while the number of Arabs in this group was 40%.’[24]

‘Between 50,000 and 60,000 moved to Palestine under the Haavara Agreement. According to the 1931 census of Mandatory Palestine, the population was 1.035 million, including 174,600 Jews.’[25] ‘By 1936, the Jewish population of Palestine had reached 400,000, or 31% of the population.’[26] After World War II, the Jewish population of Palestine was 33%, compared to 17% in 1931.

Approximately 140,000 German Jews died in death camps. They were apparently not rich enough to survive.

Who ‘earned’ from the Haavara Agreement and how much?

The German Ministry of Economics received between 50% and 90% of this amount, which was approximately 140 million Reichsmarks.

The revenue of German industrialists was 105 million Reichsmarks, which is significantly less than the aforementioned amount. From this, they received an income of at least 30 million Reichmarks. The goods sold by these German industrialists went to markets in Palestine, Israel, and Arab countries, and then to the Anglo-Palestinian Bank (Bank Leumi), which eventually distributed among 60,000 rich German Jews £5.5 million. This equates to 68.5 million Reichsmarks at a rate of 12.5.

Who earned how much: the Nazis, the Zionists, the middlemen — this has been written about in great detail in other books. Did Arlosoroff get a share? Apparently he wanted to. Did he share it with anyone? Did the other ‘players’ in this deal share it? This was left behind the scenes, but the reader can make up his own mind.

Unfortunately for Haim Arlosoroff, he did not live to see the conclusion of this agreement, which was signed on 25 August 1933. On 16 June 1933, in Tel Aviv, he was shot in the stomach and died a very painful death.

Arlosoroff's murder remains unsolved to this day, but his sister, Lisa, believed that Joseph Goebbels was responsible. On the principle of ‘look for someone to profit from’, we understand that Goebbels certainly did not need any discussions about his wife's previous love affair with a Jewish Zionist, and even less about his commission from the Haavara Agreement.

‘When Himmler was already dead, his treasure was discovered near Berchtesgaden: 25,935 British pounds, 8 million French francs, 3 million Moroccan francs, 1 million Reichsmarks, 1 million Egyptian pounds, 2 million Argentinian pesos, half a million Japanese yen, and other currencies.’[27]

It is clear, however, that this was only a small fraction of the funds under Himmler's control.

Gоering

Having formed an idea of where and how Goebbels might have been politically corrupt, let us now explore the intriguing personality of another prominent member of the Nazi leadership, Hermann Goering.

Accession to the NSDAP

This was a very interesting character indeed, and Goering's entry into the NSDAP was also highly unusual. Just as the entry of the wealthy ‘divorcee’ Magda Quandt into the NSDAP was clearly not in keeping with either her wealth or her love affair with a Zionist, so too, Hermann Goering's entry into the NSDAP raises a great many questions.

The fact is that Goering was a wealthy aristocrat by birth, from the very top of the German military aristocracy. He was the son of a very senior official, Ernst Heinrich Goering, the Governor-General of German South West Africa (now Namibia), a member of the Prussian Supreme Court and a personal friend of Otto von Bismarck.

If we were to translate Hermann Goering's social status into pre-revolutionary Russian, he could be described not only as a prince, but perhaps even as something between a prince and a grand duke. At the same time, Goering's godfather was a wealthy Jew, Hermann Epenstein.

Hermann Goering received his education at the Prussian Military Academy. He was not just a mediocre student, he was the best in the course and such an outstanding student that for his services he was honored with a personal meeting with the Chancellor of Germany.

During World War I, Goering was the commander of the First Fighter Squadron Richthofen — the most famous elite air unit of the German Army.[28] ‘During the battles, he personally shot down twenty-two enemy planes and was awarded the Iron Cross First and Second Class,' [29] the Order of ‘Pour le Merit’, and many other honors. He was a very famous and popular officer in the army.

And imagine that in November 1922, a rich aristocrat and war hero joined the workers' party, the National Socialist Party. This was despite the fact that his godfather was Jewish.

Imagine: a very famous aristocrat joins a party of the working class!

A man with a Jewish godfather joins an anti-Semitic party!

A popular pilot with the rank of captain joins the party, which is led by a signal Corporal!

He joined the party shortly after Julius Streicher, known for his extreme anti-Semitic views, joined in October, bringing with him the German workers' union he led, which greatly increased the number of members.

So, once again, a wealthy aristocrat, a pilot captain, joins a workers' party led by a lance corporal. He immediately becomes Hitler's second-in-command and leads the party's shock fighting unit, the Storm Troopers (SA).

To what can we compare Goering's behavior in 1922 if we consider it in the context of modern times? Let's imagine a very popular general of the Airborne Forces, for example, Shamanov, who, God forbid, would decide to join the party of a songstress Olga Buzova. Сan you imagine that? It doesn't seem possible in our modern world. But this is what happened in 1922.

And pilot Captain Goering not only joined the Corporal's party, he swore to be ready to die for him! And not only did he swear this, but during the Beer Hall Putsch he actually stood next to Hitler and received a serious bullet wound.

Head of economics

As an expert on technical issues within the Nazi Party, Goering developed close relationships with many of the leaders of Germany's key industries, including those in the military sector.[30]

In April 1936, the Raw Materials and Exchange Headquarters economic research organization was established with Hermann Goering as its director. The Research and Development Department, headed by Karl Krauch, a member of the board of directors of IG Farben, produced several reports that served as the basis for Hitler's Memorandum on the Four-Year Plan, issued on August 26, 1936.[31]

‘On October 18, 1936, Hermann Goering was appointed Plenipotentiary for the Four-Year Plan. He concentrated in his hands all the direction and financing of economic measures to prepare Germany for war, to the detriment of the Reich ministries of economics and finance.’[32] 

‘On December 17, 1936, Hermann Goering delivered a speech on the Four-Year Plan to Germany's leading industrialists. In this speech, he outlined the goals of Nazi foreign policy as it related to preparations for war. He called on the industrialists to restructure their industries for war production and promised them large government contracts for military goods. Goering declared: “I am the master of German finances, and I demand unlimited efforts from all sectors of the economy… And what greater profit could the industrialists receive than orders for arms?’”[33]

In December 1938, Hermann Goering appointed 87 cartel representatives to run the German war economy. Günther Quandt was one of them

In December 1938, 87 representatives from the cartels, including heads of economic chambers, general directors of German potash syndicates, and owners of mines in the Saarland, were appointed as military-economic leaders (Germ. Wehrwirtschaftsführer).[34] These individuals were indebted to Goering for their appointment to these lucrative positions, which afforded them the opportunity to give themselves orders and set prices for themselves.

In 1938–39, the ‘Four-Year Plan’s’ control over the German economy expanded to include ‘imports, currency fluctuations, wages, profits, and agriculture (the distribution of tractors and fertilizers).’[35]

‘While Schacht was responsible for the economy, he defended the right of producers to make decisions in their own interests: “The state should not manage industry and take responsibility away from private enterprise.” Goering, on the other hand, insisted that the state should take over the role of private enterprise.’[36]

Reichswerke ‘Hermann Göring’

In July 1937, with the money of the Four-Year Plan, a huge state corporation, Reichswerke ‘Hermann Göring’, was created, which took over numerous metallurgical and steel plants, coal mines confiscated from Jews, and later factories in the occupied territories.[37]

The cluster of steel mills and related companies in Linz, Austria, was its most important asset. Between 50% and 60% of Czech industry was forcibly absorbed by the Reichswerke. A similar situation occurred in Poland, France, and the Soviet Union, where the Reichswerke also controlled assets in Liepaja and Donetsk.[38]

This huge state-owned enterprise also included the well-known companies Rheinmetall and Škoda.

And if you buy a Škoda car today, imagine if the label said Reichswerke ‘Hermann Göring’. That is exactly what it would have said if we had not defeated Germany.

During World War II, the Reichswerke supplied one eighth of Germany’s steel production. By the end of 1941, it had become the largest company in Europe, with a capital of 2.4 billion Reichsmarks.

The Reichswerke employed 500,000 people.

Every third tank in the Wehrmacht was manufactured at the Reichswerke ‘Hermann Göring’.[39]

Göring himself managed the Reichswerke, but he did not own it and received no direct personal income from it. However, he is said to have withdrawn cash only occasionally for personal expenses.

At the same time, we can see how openly and luxuriously the heads of large state corporations live, both in Russia and abroad. We can make comparisons and draw conclusions.

Ostentatious luxury

Goering lived an emphatically ‘expensive-rich’ life. His luxury was a proverb and a byword. ‘He rebuilt a luxurious palace Carinhall in the estate Schorfheide (10 thousand acres), collected as a result of robbery of museums in Germany and occupied countries a huge collection of works of art.[40] ‘He not only collected precious stones, gold, platinum jewelry in large quantities, but also wore them. He took every opportunity to show himself in a new uniform or suit.’[41]

The Reichsmarschall hosted lavish banquets and spent his time hunting, in stark contrast to Hitler’s austere ways. A number of Nazis complained to Hitler that Party comrade Goering had betrayed their ideals and indulged in luxury. Hitler, who still valued his comrade, advised the complainants to leave him alone.

Among the documentary testimonies that are usually quoted, we can cite Hermann Goering’s answers to interrogation at the Nuremberg Tribunal.

‘Question: Who paid for Carinhall Castle?

‘Answer: The Ministry of Aviation and the Ministry of State.

‘Question: How did you pay for the purchase of the paintings?

‘Answer: Always in cash.

‘Question: Where did you get the cash?

‘Answer: I was the second man in the country and always had plenty of cash.

‘Question: And in the same way you got foreign currency, did you not?

‘Answer: Yes. I myself was the ultimate authority.

‘Question: Where is your personal jewelry?

‘Answer: I have two special trains. The second is my headquarters. One of them was kept under strict guard in a tunnel near the station. When everything went wrong, the guard disappeared and a lot of things were stolen. Jewelry cases were broken open, diamonds and gems were taken, and the frames were scattered everywhere.

‘Question: Did you choose the paintings to buy yourself?

‘Answer: Usually, I was told which ones Hitler chose, and what was left, I bought if the price was right.

‘Question: Were there many cases when the price was too high for you?

‘Answer: Yes, Hitler also outbid me on many paintings when he saw them.

‘Question: And did the purchases of paintings not exceed your income?

‘Answer: I had other incomes too…’[42]

The Hamburg researcher Frank Bayor, in his work Parvenues and Profiteers, comes to the main conclusion that political corruption under the National Socialists not only reached appalling proportions, but became one of the defining features of their system.[43]

Erhard Milch

Erhard Milch was the right-hand man of Goering. He was a field marshal by rank and was Jewish by nationality.

As Goering was Reichsmarschall of the Luftwaffe, all aircraft production was naturally under his control. For the purposes of this article, we will only look at the production of bombers. Erhard Milch was Goering’s right-hand man. Erhard Milch was Goering’s deputy and right-hand man and the inspector-general of the Luftwaffe. He held the rank of General Field Marshal and was a Jew by nationality.

Erhard Milch was born in Wilhelmshaven on 30 March 1892 to a Jewish father, Anton Milch, a pharmacist who served in the Imperial Navy, and a German mother, Clara.

In 1910, Milch was denied a commission in the Imperial Navy because of his father’s Jewish background.

In 1921, Milch became the managing director of Junkers.

From 1928 onwards, Milch held the position of CEO at Lufthansa, playing a pivotal role in the company’s evolution into one of the most technologically advanced and promising aviation enterprises in the world. Milch considered Lufthansa to be his ‘brainchild.’

Sensing the situation, he became closely associated with the Nazi movement in the late 1920s, providing financial and transportation services[44] to prominent NSDAP figures: Milch gave Adolf Hitler an airplane and transferred 1,000 marks a month from the airline fund to Hermann Goering.

‘According to the Nazi Party’s racial policies, Milch was not only unqualified to be Goering’s secretary, but he should no longer be running the national airline. Things were not so clear-cut, however, as Goering himself declared that he would decide who was a Jew and who was not.’[45]

‘Through Goering’s efforts, Milch’s “racial inferiority” was somehow covered up. Milch’s mother was summoned to Berlin and persuaded to incriminate herself and discredit her husband for the sake of her son. A statement was filed with a notary stating that during their marriage she had had a secret affair with an Aryan, Baron Hermann von Bier. Goering jokingly said: “Since we are taking away his real father, let him at least have an aristocrat as a substitute.” The real birth certificate was confiscated and replaced with a new one showing von Bier as the father.’[46]

On October 17, 1933, Hugo Junkers, the owner of the Junkers factory, was arrested for treason.[47] After being held by the police for a day, he agreed to turn his company over to the government.

‘There were no alternative civilian jobs for anyone employed in the huge industrial plants created by the Air Ministry. Although all of these companies, with the exception of Junkers, were nominally privately owned, they were all created by the Reich Air Ministry and its head, State Secretary Erhard Milch. Thus, the largest new industry in Germany was not simply controlled by the state. It was the result of state initiative, state funding, and state direction, and it was founded on one of the most notorious cases of violence against non-Jewish businessmen in history during the Third Reich. Early on the morning of October 17, 1933, Hugo Junkers was arrested at his country home in Bayerischzell on charges of high treason. He was one of the founders of German aviation and a celebrated engineer who had designed the first all-metal aircraft at his factory in Dessau. Although modest in size, his factory was the largest aircraft manufacturing facility in Germany. His only problem was that he owned the largest aircraft factory in the country, which was coveted by Goering and Erhard Milch, the Secretary of State. After spending a day in police custody, Junkers agreed to turn his company over to the state. Heinrich Copperberg became the company’s managing director, and Helmut Rennert, the head of state-owned Rheinmetall, Emil Heinrich Meyer from the state-owned Dresdner Bank, and Wilhelm Keppler joined the supervisory board.’[48]

‘In 1936, separate aircraft and engine manufacturing companies were merged to form Junkers Flugzeug- und Motorenwerke AG, with a capital of 130 million marks. The former Junkers company became one of the largest aircraft manufacturers in the world.’[49]

By the end of World War II, the Junkers concern employed 140,000 workers, 49,000 of whom were engaged in aircraft assembly.

Production of the Ju-88 ended in early 1945, with a total of 14, 676 planes produced over the entire production period.

The exact income of the Junkers company from Nazi orders is uncertain. However, it is known that between 1941 and 1942 Junkers invested profits of more than 460 million Reichsmarks.[50]

The Junkers Ju 88 is a multi-role aircraft used by the Luftwaffe during World War II. It was one of the most versatile aircraft of the war and was used for various roles such as bomber, high-speed bomber, reconnaissance bomber, torpedo bomber and night fighter

Ernst Heinrich Heinkel

Who built the other half of the Luftwaffe’s bombers? All researchers of the Second World War remember the famous bomber, the Heinkel-111. These bombers were built by Ernst Heinrich Heinkel.

Heinkel’s appearance raised suspicions that his father was Jewish. He himself employed Jewish designers even after 1933.

Everything in this photo is beautiful: the nose and the NSDAP badge. In other words, the nose itself is just a nose, although you can think whatever you want about it. The Nazi badge is just a badge and nothing else. But together these two things suggest certain thoughts.

And Heinkel’s appearance obviously raised suspicions that his father was Jewish. And he himself hired Jewish designers, and even after 1933 ‘categorically refused to fire his Jewish designers,’ despite the Nazi state’s direct prohibition of Jewish work in factories supplying products to the German state.[51]

Jews worked in his factories even in 1942, although it was forced labor, but it saved them from extermination.

German biographers note that Heinkel was Jewish, and after the war he apparently no longer hid it.

The biography of Ernst Heinkel is as curious and unusual in terms of joining the NSDAP as that of Magda Goebbels and Hermann Goering. After Hitler came to power in 1933, he joined the Nazi Party: the workers’ anti-Semitic party, despite his ostensible ‘remarkable’ nose.

Heinkel’s factories, famous for producing the Heinkel-111 bomber, were very busy during World War II. More than 7,600 were built, making it the second most produced German bomber of World War II.

In the same year, 1933, the newly formed German Air Force, whose existence was initially kept secret, ordered aviation companies to start developing and producing combat aircraft. The Air Force leadership paid special attention to the twin-engine He-111, which was initially declared a transport aircraft with the potential to become a bomber. In 1936–1937, a huge aircraft factory was built in Oranienburg, near Berlin, to produce the He-111 bombers. During official visits by the head of state, the factory was to be the symbol of German industrial power. Although the Oranienburg plant was called Heinkel-Werke Oranienburg, it was wholly owned by the Luftwaffe and later bought out by Heinkel.[52]

The Heinkel He-111 was a German medium bomber and one of the main aircraft of the Luftwaffe. It also had torpedo bomber and ground attack versions.[53] More than 7,600 different versions were built. It was the second most produced bomber in Germany during World War II.

It was these bombers, designed and built by this man with such a ‘wonderful’ badge and a ‘wonderful’ nose, that carpet-bombed Soviet cities, including the infamous bombing of Stalingrad. Tens of thousands, perhaps hundreds of thousands of civilians died in that bombing.

In general, the lives of many millions of civilians who died during the bombings are on this man’s conscience.

A total of 53,000 fighters were produced in Nazi Germany at an average cost of about 100,000 Reichsmarks per unit, for a total of 5.3 billion Reichsmarks, and 18,000 bombers at an average cost of 27,000 million Reichsmarks per unit, for a total cost of 4.8 billion Reichsmarks.[54] The Luftwaffe invested over $10 billion in fighter and bomber aircraft, equivalent to approximately $4 billion at the prevailing exchange rate or 4,000 tons of gold. Based on a conservative estimate of 25% corruption in military procurement, it can be inferred that Goering and his associates misappropriated at least 1,000 tons of gold, not including ammunition.

Todt and His Organization

The next very interesting object of study will be the Todt Organization, which was founded by a man named Fritz Todt.

Todt

Fritz Todt joined the NSDAP in 1923. On July 5, 1933, he was appointed General Inspector of German Roads and given the task of organizing a new highway construction company.

It was under his leadership that the major highways of Germany were created. In connection with this, Fritz Todt himself became a very popular figure in Germany, and after the implementation of this project, the Nazi Party received great sympathy from the population.

Beginning in 1938, Todt headed the Todt Organization, which was given the right to build all major military installations, railroads, and highways. He was also appointed Reich Minister of Armaments and Munitions.

‘If we list all Todt’s powers, then in the rank of minister he was:

‘— head of all road construction,

‘— head of river waterways and drainage structures,

‘— head of power plants, and in addition —

‘— personal representative of Hitler, minister for production of armaments and ammunition.

‘He was in charge of military construction during Goering’s Four-Year Plan. This man, who founded the Todt Organization, built the West Wall, known as the Siegfried Line. He also built submarine bunker bases along the Atlantic coast and roads in occupied countries from northern Norway to southern France and Russia.’[55]

Todt Organization

The Todt Organization was an association of private, military-style construction companies that worked to fulfill government war contracts for the construction of bunkers, roads, housing for occupying troops, and rubble removal.

‘The Todt Organization was a completely new entity both for the construction administration and the entire construction industry, as well as for the army. It was not part of any mobilization plan, nor was it tied to any tradition. In fact, it was more of an “improvisation” than an organization. First of all, it wasn’t a “department” in the usual sense, although over time it acquired some semblance of administrative leadership. It was simply a form of cooperation between business and construction leaders to better execute major construction projects and fully consider military needs.

‘The strength of this organization lay precisely in the unity of economy and administration.

‘All activities of the Todt Organization were carried out on the basis of construction and supply contracts concluded between the General Inspector and companies or corporations. These contracts were based on the previously established regulations and standards of various instructions, such as “Instructions on Contracts” and others.

‘Some labor issues, such as wages and tariff rates, were also resolved administratively.’[56]

It was a highly efficient, and apparently more than simply corrupt, organization, since wherever economic opportunities for construction could be found, this organization had a monopoly on construction for military needs.

On May 28, 1938, Hitler personally ordered the construction of the West Wall (the Siegfried Line) along the western border of the Third Reich, from Luxembourg in the north to Switzerland in the south. It was a system of German long-term fortifications built between 1936 and 1940 in western Germany along the border strip from Kleve to Basel, the German line of defense on land.[57] Its length was about 630 km and its average depth was 35–100 meters. It consisted of supporting, main and rear lines and had about 16 thousand fortifications.[58]

During the construction of the Wall, 17 million tons of concrete, 1.2 million tons of steel, 3 million rolls of barbed wire and more than 8 million cubic meters of wood were used. Between 1937 and 1940, more than 30,000 farmers and their families were forced to abandon 5,600 farms, losing more than 120,000 hectares of farmland. The fortifications cost about 3.5 billion Reichsmarks, or more than $62 billion in today’s money.[59]

Approximately one thousand companies were involved in the construction, which were consolidated by Fritz Todt into 22 construction departments (German: Oberbauleitungen). On July 18, 1938, Hitler renamed these departments the Todt Organization (German: Organisation Todt). The organization rapidly established a robust operational framework, with 340 thousand individuals engaged in construction activities by the end of November 1938. Additionally, 90 thousand professionals from engineering and construction units, along with 300 companies from the Imperial Labor Service, were integrated into the Todt Organization.

By 1941, the Todt Organization had achieved complete penetration of the Wehrmacht. ‘A main construction department was established at the headquarters of each army, comprising a number of construction detachments.’[60] These detachments were responsible for the repair of highway and railway bridges, roads, and railways. ‘Construction detachments were established by companies and, in the majority of cases, bore their names. The detachments were led by engineers from the respective companies.’[61]

Now put yourself in Todt’s shoes. What would be more advantageous for you? To conquer the whole world with little bloodshed, to advance through Suez, Syria and Basra? What could be built there? What contracts could be obtained? And how could German industry be used at such a distance, with the very limited capabilities of the German navy?

Or is it better to attack the USSR with ‘big blood’, to receive huge orders for the construction of railroads and highways, huge bridges, defense lines, to rebuild the giants of the blown-up industry?

What is more profitable for such a minister of armaments and military construction, if he has no conscience, but a thirst for money?

Todt’s demise

On February 7, 1942, Todt was summoned to the Führer’s headquarters. The minister looked depressed. This was noticed by the Führer’s favorite, Albert Speer, who for some reason also stayed in the Wolf’s Lair, something he had never done before. The conversation with Hitler was apparently even more difficult for Todt this time than before. After the audience with the ‘Chief’ was over, Todt suggested that Speer fly with him to Berlin in the morning. For some reason, however, Speer refused.

Late in the evening, Hitler summoned Speer. Speer informed the Führer, among other things, of his visit to the occupied eastern territories. However, Hitler was clearly not interested in Speer’s impressions of Dnepropetrovsk that day. The conversation ended at three in the morning, and Speer, without returning to his room, informed his adjutant that he would not be flying with the Minister of Armaments the next morning. But Speer did not get much sleep, for he was awakened by a telephone call early in the morning. He was told that Todt’s plane had crashed and that the minister himself had died, so it is clear that no documents or statements will ever be found on this matter. One cannot help but recall Speer’s words that under certain circumstances he would sell his soul to the devil.

Hitler ordered the Reich Aviation Ministry to investigate the circumstances of the crash. However, the commission came to no conclusions, nor did the work of the SS forensic experts sent to Rastenburg by Himmler. The ministerial commission’s report stated that ‘no traces of sabotage were found’ and that ‘there is no need for further investigation’.

Some members of the Air Ministry said that it was most likely that either the pilot or Todt himself had accidentally pulled the self-destruct lever. It was impossible to deny that the plane had exploded in mid-air — there were too many witnesses. All planes used near the front were equipped with such devices. It also turned out that Todt had not flown to Rastenburg in his own plane, but in a Heinkel 111 provided by Luftwaffe Field Marshal Hugo Sperrle. Several months later, it was discovered that the Minister’s own plane was not equipped with a self-destruct device.

A few days later, Hitler personally attended Todt’s funeral in the Mosaic Hall of the New Reich Chancellery. According to eyewitnesses, the Führer could hardly hold back his tears. Perhaps he had convinced someone of his innocence, but doubts remained. Later that day, Hitler invited Speer and Himmler to dinner. Throughout the evening, the Führer never mentioned Todt’s name.

It is striking that Himmler, whose department could well have been charged with carrying out such an action against a minister dangerous to the regime, met with Hitler on February 1 and 4, and then on February 8, that is, immediately after Todt’s death. Such coincidences inevitably lead to reflection. A certain suspicion is also aroused by the fact that Himmler quickly agreed with the meaningless conclusions of the commission appointed to investigate the incident. Usually the reichsführer SS was much more meticulous in such cases.

Todt and Speer

Hitler was extremely calm when his aide informed him of Todt’s death. The Führer was silent for a long time, then quickly made the decision to appoint his favorite, ‘Professor Speer’, to the vacant position. Hitler immediately summoned the court architect to his office. ‘Herr Speer,’ the Führer solemnly declared, ‘I appoint you to succeed Dr. Todt in all his offices’. And to cut off any objections, Hitler immediately extended his hand in farewell. Hitler added that Speer could contact him at any time, which was an unimaginable privilege. The newly minted reichsminister asked the Führer to sign a decree to that effect, which he did. Speer himself later called this the best idea he had ever come up with.

Thus, at the head of the Third Reich’s powerful Ministry of Armaments and Munitions was a trained architect who was completely unfamiliar with the problems of military industry. It should also be noted that the former court architect had already ‘stepped over a corpse’ for the second time in his career when he became Minister of Armaments. At the time of his appointment, Speer was only 38 years old. The ‘court architect’ generally enjoyed the special favor of the Führer. ‘He is an artist,’ Hitler once said of Speer, ‘and his mind is like mine. He is a creative person, just like me, he is intelligent, modest and not stubborn like some military heads.’[62]

There are two versions of Todt’s death.

Political version

After the failure of the blitzkrieg against Soviet Russia, Todt personally went to the Eastern Front to inspect and collect material for analysis. The results of his observations were unambiguous: Germany would not be able to defeat the Soviet Union, either militarily or technically. This was a terrible conclusion for the entire German leadership, and especially for Hitler himself. And Todt’s authority was so great that many would have listened to his opinion regarding the military campaign in the East. At the same time, the conquest of territory in the East and its brutal Germanization was the main goal of Hitler’s life. This task was more important to him than the plans for the ‘final solution’ of the Jewish question.

Todt, and one must give him credit for the accuracy of his assessments, approached Hitler several times with a proposal to end the war against the Soviet Union by political means. The most heated debate on this matter took place in the new Reich Chancellery in Berlin on November 29, 1941. Field Marshal von Brauchitsch was also present. Todt insisted on the necessity of ending the war in the East by political means. Hitler disagreed in rather sharp terms, stating that he did not see ‘how this war can be ended by political means’. The Führer added that victory was not only the result of the use of arms, but also of will. But such arguments did not work on Todt. He came from a very wealthy family and could afford not to think about his career. But he did not understand that any political solution to the war against the Soviet Union would be a fatal blow to the Nazi regime and, above all, to the Führer himself.

Instead of seeking a political solution, the Führer ordered military action on the Eastern Front to be intensified and radicalized. Moreover, two weeks later, as has already been said, the Führer declares war on the United States. Decisions of this kind seem to have a more psychological explanation. Hitler could not help but understand that it was impossible not to trust Todt — he was the man who knew better than anyone else the true state of affairs on the Eastern Front.

And, let us note, Hitler did not dispute these conclusions. In his own way, he turned not to the realities of this world, but to an ideal world populated by fictional and mythological characters. But the main point is that Hitler himself already knew that the war against the Soviet Union could not be won. He knew it, but for a number of reasons he could not come to terms with it, and deep down he was counting on the fact that Providence would once again smile on him and that he would somehow be able to win the war against the Soviet Union.

Moreover, it was difficult for him to agree with Todt, and this threatened the very physical existence of the autobahn builder.

Economic version

It is also known that the economic confrontation between Todt and Goering and Ribbentrop escalated sharply at the end of 1941. First, Todt decided to take away Goering’s right to manage the finances of the Four-Year Plans. Second, he was opposed to the tanks that the Heinkel concern was beginning to develop.

It is worth noting that Todt’s personal plane, sent by Goering’s Luftwaffe for major repairs, was a Heinkel. And the plane provided by someone else was also a Heinkel.

And most importantly, after Hitler declared war on the United States, Todt decided to build the Atlantic Wall, which would protect Germany from an attack by Britain and the United States from the sea, just as the West Wall (Siegfried Line) protected Germany from France during the Phony War of 1939. The Atlantic Wall was a defensive line along the northern coast of all of Europe, including Norway, over 5,000 (five thousand!) kilometers long. With its numerous special structures, it was a firing point for naval and railway guns. Only in the French part, the cost of the Atlantic Wall was to be equal to that of the entire West Wall (Siegfried Line). The total budget for the Atlantic Wall could have exceeded 10 billion Reichsmarks. To what extent Todt took Hitler’s financial interests into account, as opposed to Goering’s, is unknown.

It should be remembered that until the beginning of 1942, Hitler could only participate in corruption indirectly. He was the leader of the nation who did not make serious economic decisions. The entire economy was in the hands of Goering, his official successor and the obvious representative of the German generals, who regularly prepared assassination attempts against Hitler. The party’s money was in the hands of Hess, whose protégé was Todt, who received the most corruptly profitable military construction contracts. After Hess fled to Britain, and especially after Hitler declared war on the US, Todt’s political support was reduced to zero. Hitler got rid of him by transferring all of Todt’s economic rights to his court architect, Speer. Now Hitler and Speer had a direct opportunity for serious corruption.

Now put yourself in the place of the Hitler-Speer group. What is more advantageous for you? To attack and receive ready-made enemy defenses (and give Goering money to produce tanks and armored personnel carriers), or to retreat and build many defenses at great expense?

If we accept this version, then many of the subsequent decisions of the Hitler-Speer tandem become clear:

Getting rid of generals who knew how to fight well on the offensive.

Going over to defense.

The main thing is to waste a huge amount of money building a completely unnecessary Atlantic Wall

And most importantly, a huge amount of money was wasted on the construction of the completely unnecessary Atlantic Wall, which became Speer’s first and immediately gigantic building project.

On March 23, 1942, Hitler issued Directive No. 40 for its construction.

Atlantic Wall

The Atlantic Wall was a gigantic defensive line along the northern coast of all of Europe, including Norway. More than five thousand (!) kilometers long. Remember, the entire Siegfried Line was 630 km, and here it is 5,000 km!

Five thousand kilometers of naval and railroad gun emplacements with numerous special structures.[63]

The Atlantic Wall alone, in its French part, was to cost the same as the entire West Wall (Siegfried Line). And the total budget for the Atlantic Wall could have been more than 10 billion Reichsmarks. At that time, the official exchange rate of the Reichsmark was two and a half Reichsmarks to one dollar. And one dollar was roughly equivalent to one gram of gold. Accordingly, the full budget could have been 4 billion of those dollars, or 4 thousand tons of gold.

The enormous structure was to comprise 5,262 concrete installations, 343 artillery batteries with nearly 1,500 large-caliber guns (ranging from 145 millimeters), and 8.5 million mines. Furthermore, the entirety of this infrastructure was to be erected along the coastlines of the Netherlands, Belgium, France, and Norway.[64]

The construction of the Atlantic Wall required the use of 1.2 million tons of steel, a quantity sufficient for the production of over 20,000 Tiger tanks.

The quantity of concrete utilized in the construction of this wall is estimated to be between 17 and 40 million cubic meters, according to various sources. It remains the largest fortification in the world. The financial outlay for the French component of the Atlantic Wall was 3.7 billion Reichsmarks, which equates to approximately 206 billion dollars in contemporary currency. This sum is commensurate with the cost of 300,000 PaK-40 anti-tank guns or 25,000 medium tanks.[65]

Six and a half billion Reichsmarks were largely wasted by the Nazis.[66] When Rommel was put in charge of the Atlantic Wall, he declared that it had been built by people who knew nothing about warfare and feared that the German defenses would be ‘wiped off the face of the earth’ by Allied aircraft before the landing. He ordered that instead of a sparse chain of large forts with powerful guns, many pillboxes with heavy machine guns should be built. It was these pillboxes that inflicted the only serious damage on the Allies during the Omaha Beach landings.

If it weren’t for the Atlantic Wall

Instead of building the Atlantic Wall, it would have been possible to produce at least 50,000 Messerschmitt-109 fighters (taking into account the construction of airfields, training of pilots, etc.), which would have exceeded their output by almost three (!) times and would have guaranteed Germany total superiority in the skies of Germany, France, Africa, Britain and everywhere else where the Messerschmitt-109 could fly.

It doesn’t take a military genius to compare 15,000 fixed guns that cannot be moved quickly to 50,000 flying “tanks” that can be concentrated on almost any point in Europe in a matter of hours, or a day at the most.

How much was stolen

And, of course, the most intriguing question: how much could have been stolen from such a project?

Historians write that most of the guns were not manufactured, but taken from the Siegfried Line and the Maginot Line. Free labor from concentration camp prisoners was often used. Reinforced concrete structures were made from prefabricated reinforced concrete blocks.

Are we very wrong in assuming that two-thirds of the 6.5 billion Reichsmarks were stolen, i.e. about 4.2 billion Reichsmarks? That was about 1.8 billion of those dollars, or 1800 tons of gold.

For that amount of money, Boeing gave the US Air Force some 13,000 Flying Fortresses during the war, which bombed Germany and Japan.

If Hitler and Speer had not stolen, but invested the money of the Third Reich in bombers and fighters, they would certainly have bombed both Britain and the USSR.[67]

But then they would have stolen nothing, only Goering would have stolen.

Now try to put yourself in Speer’s shoes again: what was more profitable for him? That not a single bomb fell on the territory of the Reich? To rejoice in vain at the successes of the Luftwaffe? Or to spend a fortune clearing up the rubble and building mega-bunkers with underground factories?

If you think about it, this is exactly what gives us the answer to the questions: Why did Hitler choose to finance the V-2 rocket program over the Wasserfall anti-aircraft missile systems, which were eight times cheaper than the V-2? Furthermore, the Schmetterling anti-aircraft missile systems, which were 20 times cheaper than the V-2, and the good old Messerschmitt-109 fighters, which were 4 times cheaper than both the V-2s and the Messerschmitt-262 jet fighters, could also be considered.

Build and explode

‘Of course, completely new problems[68] have arisen in the vast, sparsely populated (by Western standards) eastern regions.

‘1. The upgrading of thousands of kilometers of gravel and dirt roads into high-capacity motor roads with modern heavy stone or asphalt surfaces.

‘2. In the northern and central sections of the front, where motor roads could not be built due to the lack of solid ground, log causeways and shield roads had to be constructed. Millions of logs were used.

‘3. A large number of bridges were built, many with spans never before seen in timber construction.[69]

‘4. Construction of the Crimean Bridge had even begun! “In the spring of 1943, Hitler demanded that we start building a five-kilometer bridge across the Kerch Strait,”[70] recalled Third Reich Armaments Minister Albert Speer. “Here we built a suspension bridge, which was launched on June 14, 1943 and delivered every day a thousand tons of cargo.”[71] But neither tanks, nor armored cars, nor artillery can be transported on such a road. Therefore, Hitler needed a bridge for the transfer of heavy equipment. Speer began to fulfill the Führer’s order, but he only managed to bring construction materials, assemblies and structures of the future bridge.

‘5. And the restoration of the destroyed Dnieper Dam in Zaporozhye should be considered a special achievement, equal to the most complex engineering structures in the West.

‘6. In order to expand the network of Russian railroads, which did not provide regular supplies to the German troops, it was necessary not only to convert them from broad gauge to standard European gauge, but also to build new mainline and field railroads.

‘7. The heavy industry facilities on the Dnieper and in Donbass, which were destroyed as a result of the military actions, had been fully restored and put into operation.’[72]

‘In order to have a more or less accurate idea of the problems faced by the constructors — members of the Todt Organization — it is necessary to recall the undoubtedly colossal difficulties that we had to face, particularly in the eastern and southeastern sectors of the front. First of all, there were the climatic conditions, which were abnormal by our standards; then there were the difficulties associated with the delivery of materials, machinery and equipment from bases located in Germany, sometimes several thousand kilometers away, along unreliable and often interrupted supply routes; then there were the difficulties associated with the need to defend all the construction sites, the workers’ quarters, and the transport and storage depots for materials and equipment against partisan attacks with our own forces, without resorting to anyone’s help.’[73]

‘The operations of the troops and their supply in the mountains (in the Balkans and Norway) presented the Todt Organisation with a significant volume of construction work that, under normal conditions in Germany, would have required a timescale exceeding ten years to complete. It should be noted that the specific climatic conditions of the northern regions of Norway and Finland significantly complicated the planning and implementation of construction work.’[74]

In addition to the extensive and multifaceted frontline responsibilities of the Todt Organisation during the second phase of the war, Speer was also tasked with addressing the consequences of enemy air raids in the rear and implementing construction and technical measures related to the transfer of particularly important industrial enterprises to more secure premises. From 1942 until the conclusion of the Second World War, approximately 1.4 million workers were engaged by the Todt Organisation.

It was clearly unpatriotic for the Todt Organization to clear up the rubble, but it was very profitable.

The following scheme may be familiar to you:

1. Allocate funds for construction.

2. Apply all applicable allowances and coefficients (e.g., northern coefficient, coefficients for off-road work, long logistics, work in especially dangerous conditions, etc.).

3. Construct.

4. During wartime, destroy.

5. During retreat, blow up.

As a result, it is impossible to ascertain the extent of construction that was completed, as it was all destroyed.

It is recommended that the reader undertake the task of determining the number of defensive lines constructed by Speer in Russia, with particular attention paid to the stretch from the Polish-Russian border to the Seelow Heights. In addition, the reader should ascertain the number of fortress cities that Speer fortified, which were known as Festungen in German, including the cities of Kohlberg and Küstrin.

Once this information has been gathered, the reader will be in a position to comprehend and quantify it, thus answering the questions posed.

No sense of proportion

It would be erroneous to overestimate the extent of the reichsminister’s influence over the German war industry prior to 1944.[75] Upon assuming control from the departed Todt, Speer was responsible for all construction work for the Wehrmacht, including the management of material supplies for the army. However, his authority extended only to the realm of munitions, where he exercised control over the Wehrmacht, the Kriegsmarine, and the Luftwaffe.[76]

Until the spring of 1944, the Luftwaffe’s weapons department was led by Erhard Milch, a colleague of Goering’s from the military. Milch’s predecessor in this role, Ernst Udet, also met a similar fate, having committed suicide.[77] ‘This constituted a significant portion of the Third Reich’s weapons industry, reflecting the German government’s confidence in the effectiveness of their combat aviation capabilities. According to calculations, approximately half of the total growth in the military industry between February 1942 and the summer of 1943 can be attributed to the departments under Albert Speer’s control. The aviation industry accounted for approximately 40% of this growth, while the Kriegsmarine and chemistry sectors accounted for the remaining portion.’[78]

Following the German withdrawal from Rome, Speer addressed this discrepancy by removing production of weapons and ammunition for the Luftwaffe from Goering’s purview in July 1944. Subsequently, he also took away production for air defense.

It was only from this point onwards that the injection into the construction of the Me-109 and Me-262 began.

According to Speer himself, the level of corruption of the Reich state apparatus was such that even the threat of total defeat in the war was not sufficient to educate the Nazi elite, which had achieved power.[79]

After Germany’s defeat, Speer assured the Americans that he had even fought against Hitler’s policies and that he had begun to do so as soon as his eyes had been opened to the nature of fascism. He is throwing mud at all those with whom he had worked so recently. ‘Who is Goering? A robber, a dishonest man, a criminal. And Goebbels? He is a frivolous fool. Ribbentrop is a clown. Himmler is a monster. Zaukel is an animal. And all of them together are men without honor or conscience.’

They came to power ‘comparatively poor and, having been given great posts, began to rob left and right, making fortunes for themselves.’[80]

The Laws of Nature Cannot Be Changed

Consequently, we observe that in the Third Reich, the 1/50 rule was applied in a strikingly similar manner. One % of the population, comprising the Nazi elite and industrialists closely associated with them, received fifty % of the income of the entire population. It is important to note that this income was generated on gigantic lies and enormous bloodshed.

In the Third Reich, a mere 1% of the population

was responsible for receiving 50% of the total income

Once the falsehood that there was no corruption in the Third Reich has been identified, a number of secondary questions inevitably arise.

1) What were the actual mechanisms through which the economic relations between the Nazi elite and the Anglo-Saxon industrial elite were established?

2) What were the mechanisms through which the economic relations between the Nazi elite and the Jewish elite were established?

3) Which members of the Nazi elite were responsible for negotiating with the Anglo-Saxons in 1945?

4) Can the value of the assets misappropriated during the Third Reich’s tenure be quantified?

5) What was the ultimate destination of the stolen goods?

Economic Relations between the Nazi Elite and the Anglo-Saxon Industrial Elite

By the early 1930s, an elite of some twenty major American corporations had German connections, including Ford, General Motors, Standard Oil, Alcoa, Dow Chemical, Pratt & Whitney, Du Pont, Union Carbide, Westinghouse, General Electric, Gilette, Goodrich, Singer, Eastman Kodak, Coca-Cola, U.S. Steel, IBM,[81] and ITT.[82]

‘At the outbreak of World War II, the total deposits of US corporations in their German branches and representative offices amounted to about $800 million. Ford invested 17.5 million, Standard Oil of New Jersey (now Exxon) 120 million, General Motors 35 million, ITT 30 million.’[83]

For the Reich’s aviation, American companies supplied thousands of aircraft engines and, most importantly, licenses for their production. For example, the BMW Hornet engines that powered Germany’s most mass-produced military cargo plane, the Junkers 52, were produced under license from the American company Pratt & Whitney.’[84] The same Pratt & Whitney that still supplies engines for a large number of commercial aircraft.

‘And there was also synthetic rubber that came to the Germans from across the ocean, and of course a lot of spare parts for the aviation and automobile industries, and for tanks. Of particular value were 1100 tons of tungsten that Germany received from the United States during the war. As you know, tungsten was a key component in the production of anti-tank shells and in the electronics industry.’[85]

It was the sub-caliber shells, which the German army initially had in fairly decent quantities and the Red Army had practically none, that allowed the German guns to stop even such heavy tanks as the KV and penetrate their armor.

The Nazis never confiscated the subsidiaries of US companies, despite an officially declared state of war with the United States.[86]

Allied bombing of these plants was surprisingly rare. For example, the historic center of Cologne was destroyed by bombs, but the huge Ford plant, which produced trucks for the Wehrmacht and was located on the outskirts of the city and clearly visible from the air, was almost never bombed. Only once, on October 2, 1944, three B-17s dropped bombs on it, causing minor damage. The plant was never again the target of Allied bombing.[87]

The Rockefellers

I. G. Farbenindustrie, this major supplier to the German war machine, which financed Hitler’s election campaign in 1930 by 45%, was controlled by Rockefeller’s Standard Oil.[88]

The Standard Oil Corporation of New Jersey (Exxon) supplied the Nazis with $20 million worth of gasoline and lubricants. Until the landing of American troops in France, the tanker fleet of ‘neutral’ Spain worked almost exclusively for the needs of the Wehrmacht, supplying it with American ‘black gold’ officially destined for Madrid. Even in the first months of 1944, Germany was importing 48,000 tons of oil from Spain every month.[89]

‘The same thing happened with another strategic commodity — rubber. At a time when the United States was unable to supply its own army with raw materials, especially synthetic rubber, Standard Oil made a deal with Hitler’s Germany whereby the company agreed to make regular shipments of raw materials, fuel and rubber across the ocean — to Germany, Italy and Austria. As a result, the US Army was left with nothing: deliveries of necessary raw materials to Germany were scheduled by the Rockefeller clan eight years in advance. When the US entered World War II, the US government was forced to negotiate with a rogue office in Britain, which sold rubber and other necessary resources purchased from German concerns, which in turn bought from Rockefeller. Thus, when the Americans, through third parties, purchased their own raw materials, Standard Oil received super profits on both sides.’[90]

‘In 1942, a small scandal erupted in the United States: Standard Oil deliberately cut off methanol supplies to the US Army. Methanol was used to make natural gas-based lubricants (needed by the aviation industry to fly at high altitudes), acetic acid (a component of explosives), and synthetic rubber. Finally, in 1943, the Rockefellers sold 25,000 tons of ammonium sulfate (a component of explosives) and 10,000 tons of cotton to occupied France, despite acute shortages of these commodities in the United States.’[91]

‘In 1926, the second largest German industrial monopoly after IG Farbenindustrie, the Vereinigte Stahlwerke (Steel Trust) of Thyssen, Flick, Wolf, Fegler et al., was established with the participation of the Rockefeller bank Dillon, Read & Co.’[92]

In World War II, the Rockefellers, in a sense, controlled Hitler through the Basel Bank for International Settlements, which they had created in 1930 to finance the Nazi Party, and the largest oil refinery near Hamburg, built in 1934, which functioned properly throughout the war.[93]

The Morgan and Dillon families

The Morgans and the Dillons, acting through General Electric, exercised control over the German radio and electrical industry through their ownership of AEG and Siemens (by 1933, General Electric owned 30% of AEG), through the communications company ITT — 40% of the German telephone network, closely associated with Hermann Goering.[94] One of the main customers of AEG and Siemens was the German telephone network. And, of course, Goering’s Luftwaffe.

Moreover, General Electric held a 30% stake in the aircraft manufacturer Focke-Wulf.[95] It was therefore impossible for the company to produce aircraft for the Luftwaffe without the approval of Goering.

During the Second World War, General Electric’s revenue increased fourfold.

General Electric produced in excess of 50 distinct types of radars and over 1,500 power units for military and merchant vessels. In 1942, the inaugural test of a jet engine was conducted, and in the same year, the inaugural US jet airplane, the Bell XP-59, was produced on its basis. By the conclusion of the war, the company had developed a turbojet engine.

Note that all of these technologies were invented a little earlier in Germany. Could Goering have ‘leaked’ jet engine technology to General Electric, to which he had the most direct access? Could Goering have received compensation or even a stake in the company?

‘In September 1931, Hitler asked Carter, representative of the Morgan Group (S. L.), what subsidies the Nazis could expect from American industrialists in the future. In order to give a detailed answer, Carter arranged a new meeting which, in addition to the participants of the July 1929 meeting, included Montague Norman, director of the Bank of Britain, and Angell, representative of the Asian Petroleum Company. During the meeting, Aldrich, Carter, and Klin promoted Hitler’s party as the only “real power” in Germany and Hitler as a “strong man” capable of preventing chaos and revolution. The meeting authorized Warburg to meet with Hitler again and inform him of increased financial support for the Nazi Party.’[96]

‘At a subsequent meeting at Hitler’s private residence in Berlin, Hitler outlined to the American banker his plans for seizing power. Apparently these plans met with the full approval of the American monopolies, for in the course of subsequent negotiations conducted by Warburg with prominent representatives of the Nazi Party — Goering, Streicher, Heydt, Lütgebrun and Gregor Strasser — the transfer of a new subsidy of $15 million to Hitler’s party was agreed upon. In the fall of 1931, for reasons of secrecy, the transfer of this sum was carried out in three stages: through the Mendelssohn Bank in Amsterdam, the Bankvereinigung in Rotterdam and the Banca Italiana in Rome. By the end of 1931, the amount of financial aid provided to the Nazis by the Royal Dutch Shell concern increased 5–6 times. In total, for the period from 1923 to 1933, the amount was $50–60 million.’[97]

The Du Pont family

Opel was controlled by General Motors, owned by the Du Pont family.[98] The company’s factories manufactured the Reich’s armored vehicles, numerous trucks, and nearly 50% of the Junkers Ju 88 bomber engines. In 1943, the German branch of General Motors developed and began production of engines for the Messerschmitt 262 — the Luftwaffe’s first jet fighter.[99] Note when the Luftwaffe got its first jet fighters and when the United States got its first jet fighters.

During the Nuremberg Trials, the president of the Reichsbank and minister in Hitler’s government, Hjalmar Schacht, feeling the noose around his neck, once angrily told his American lawyer: ‘If you want to judge German industrialists, put American businessmen next to them, because the same factory Opel that produces military equipment is owned and financed by General Motors.

‘Schacht threatened that if the Americans did not take effective measures to save him, he would bring dozens of similar examples to the attention of the Nuremberg Tribunal… And then, God willing!

‘Hjalmar Schacht was acquitted by the Nuremberg Tribunal.’[100]

Henry Ford

Henry Ford controlled 100% of the shares of the Volkswagen group, which in 1944 produced the V-1 cruise missiles used to bomb London. The top priority for the production of these cruise missiles was given to Erhard Milch, Goering’s right-hand man.

‘In 1940, Ford declined to assemble engines for the Britain’s Royal Air Force, which was engaged in combat against Germany. Concurrently, the company’s new plant in the French town of Poissy commenced production of aircraft engines, trucks, and cars for Hitler’s military forces, which were integrated into the Wehrmacht. After 1941, a French branch of Ford continued to produce trucks for the Wehrmacht, while its Algerian branch supplied Hitler’s General Rommel with trucks and armored cars. Even as late as April 1943, when the Soviet Union was engaged in bloody battles with the Nazis, the French branches of Ford continued to work exclusively for Germany. Trucks with a gross vehicle weight of five tons and passenger Fords were the main vehicles used by the Wehrmacht.’[101]

From 1939 to 1945, the French Ford plant supplied the Wehrmacht with approximately 90,000 trucks and other vehicles.[102] Consequently, Ford trucks became the second most prevalent vehicle type in the German army, surpassed only by Opel cars.

‘The primary concern for the corporation was the pursuit of profit, which it sought to achieve through any means necessary. At the conclusion of the war, the Allied Air Force conducted an aerial bombardment of the Poissy plant, but refrained from targeting the Ford facility in Cologne, Germany, despite the extensive devastation to the city. Following the conclusion of hostilities, the Ford Motor Company, along with its formidable competitor General Motors, was able to secure compensation from the US government “for damages sustained to their property in enemy territory”, thanks to the efforts of prominent legal counsel.’[103]

Please refresh your memory as to who owned the Opel concern. It is noteworthy that the majority of German trucks utilized during World War II were manufactured with the assistance of US-based companies.

Together, Opel and Ford-Werke provided 90% of the light and 70% of the heavy trucks to the Wehrmacht.[104] In comparison to Opel and Ford-Werke, German manufacturers such as BMW and Daimler-Benz were marginal players in the market.[105]

In short, the American automobile industry’s presence in Germany was instrumental in enabling the blitzkrieg. Both in relation to France and in relation to Russia.

The Opel Blitz, produced at factories owned by General Motors, was the most commonly utilized truck by the German army during the war. In total, from 1938 to 1944, Opel factories manufactured almost 130,000 of these vehicles.

This activity proved highly profitable, with Opel alone showing capital reserves of a quarter of a billion Reichsmarks by 1942.[106]

Military analyst M. Dobbs of the Washington Post wrote: ‘When American soldiers invaded Europe in June 1944 in jeeps, trucks and tanks produced by the “Big Three” automakers — the result of one of the largest military programs ever undertaken — they were unpleasantly surprised to find that the enemy also drove Ford and Opel trucks made by wholly owned GM subsidiaries and flew Opel-built planes.’[107]

It is noteworthy that almost all of Germany’s air freight operations were conducted by companies with ties to the United States. Remember, what were the main vehicles used by the Red Army in World War II? Studebakers were supplied under Lend-Lease, and GAZ cars were produced in our country, again in a plant built by Ford.

Note that on both sides of the war, trucks were built under US influence in one way or another. If the US had not built them, the war simply would not have been so bloody.

Norman Montague

Norman Montague, Governor of the Bank of Britain, was a close friend of the President of the German Reichsbank, Hjalmar Schacht, and became godfather to one of his grandchildren. Both were members of the Anglo-German Fellowship, which existed between 1935 and 1939 and was accused of having Nazi connections. In 1932, Norman met with Adolf Hitler and von Papen at the Cologne villa of Kurt Baron von Schroeder: an agreement was reached on the financing of the NSDAP and the Bank of Britain’s lending to the German Reichsbank.[108] Bank of Britain archives show that in March 1939 Norman helped the Nazis sell gold looted from occupied Czechoslovakia.[109]

Norman naively believed that by maintaining a friendly relationship with Hjalmar Schacht and his political mastermind, he would ensure peaceful skies over Britain.[110]

Economic Relations of the Nazi Top Brass with the Jewish Elite

Goering also enjoyed working with the ‘unofficial’ Jew Heinkel, who received a number of components from American companies.

Hitler, through Goebbels, and the latter through his wife Magda, had an explicitly commercial relationship with her former lover Viktor Arlosoroff for the Haavara deal, which involved Bank Leumi — the National Bank of Israel — and prominent Zionists Weizmann and Ben-Gurion.

The conclusion is very simple: the leaders of the Third Reich were not anti-Semitic and/or anti-Anglo-Saxon. They only used the ideology of fighting ‘international Jewry’ and the Anglo-Saxons as a cover story.

The real goal of these individuals was gigantic political corruption, which manifested itself in the allocation of huge military contracts to companies controlled by them or to businessmen controlled by them, the so-called military-economic fuehrers.

IG Farben

This megacorporation deserves its own description as an example of cooperation between the Anglo-Saxon industrial and Jewish financial elite and the Nazis in the heart of the German economy.

‘A mega-conglomerate called Interessengemeinschaft Farbenindustrie AG was formed in 1925 as a result of the merger of six of Germany’s largest chemical companies — BASF, Bayer, Agfa, Hoechst, Weiler-ter Meer, and Griesheim-Elektron. The corporation was primarily involved in the production of various chemicals, fertilizers, pharmaceuticals, polymers, and explosives and poisonous gases. IG Farben was a cornerstone of the German economy, generating up to 90% of Germany’s foreign exchange earnings by the start of World War II.’[111]

In 1928, IG Farben partnered with Standard Oil to form a Swiss cartel in the United States to manage IG Farben’s US assets — the American IG Chemical Corporation, later known as General Anilin & Film. In the United States, IG Farben developed close ties with banks such as National City Bank and corporations such as Ford. Edsel Ford, son of Henry Ford, would become a board member of the US branch of IG Farben. The German cartel also entered into a stock swap agreement with the Du Pont Trust.[112]

Robert Ley — Reichsleiter, ObergruppenFührer SA, Head of the Organization Department of the NSDAP, since 1933 Head of the German Labor Front. Doctor of philosophy. Worked for IG Farben from 1921 to 1928.

‘As early as 1929, an agreement between Standard Oil, an American oil company, and IG Farbenindustrie, a German chemical concern, played a crucial role in preparing Hitler’s Germany for world war.’[113]

‘IG Farbenindustrie Concern has received over $60 million from Standard Oil. US and German monopoly ties became even closer after the Nazis came to power. The Rockefeller family owned the company.’[114]

‘Standard Oil’ undertook to finance the construction of new synthetic fuel plants in Germany. The magnitude of the financing can be judged from the statement of the American commercial attaché in Berlin, who in December 1935 in an official conversation noted that ‘after two years Germany will be producing oil and gas from coal in quantities sufficient for a long war.’[115]

Unable to get industrialists to agree to the costly hydrogenation of coal to produce oil, Hjalmar Schacht[116] instructed the Ministry to draft a decree on the creation of compulsory economic associations in the field of lignite mining. On October 25, 1934, ten leading coal mining companies were ordered to merge into Braunkohlenbenzin AG (Brabag). Each was to write a check for at least 1 million Reichsmarks, available for immediate use. After several other coal companies joined in November, Schacht threatened those who refused to cooperate with unlimited fines and imprisonment.[117] To ensure that the deadlines for the construction of the three new synthetic fuel plants by 1936 would be met, ‘Brabag was run not by its disgruntled owners but by a select team of managers.’[118]

‘In 1936, the Führer approved a special program for a sixfold increase in the production of synthetic fuels. In accordance with this program, IG Farben received substantial state support for the construction of large industrial plants.’[119]

‘Max Moritz Warburg (5 June 1867, Hamburg, Germany — 26 December 1946, New York, USA) was a German financier of Jewish descent. As a director of the Hamburg-based bank M.M. Warburg & Co. he served on the board of the industrial conglomerate IG Farben until he was removed from the board of directors. In 1938, due to stricter German laws against companies whose boards included Jews, Warburg left for the United States at the advice of Schacht.’[120]

‘In 1938, under the leadership of Reich Minister of Aviation Hermann Goering, a program for the development of fuel production was adopted, which provided for a substantial increase in the production of synthetic motor fuels and lubricating oils.’[121]

‘By the beginning of the war, seven synthetic fuel plants were operating in Germany (Leuna, Behlen, Magdeburg, Scholven, Weilheim, Zeitz and Gelsenberg) with a total capacity of 1.2 million tons of fuel per year. In 1943, 13 plants with a capacity of 3.1 million tons per year were already in operation. All fuel production together with domestic oil production amounted to 6.5 million tons in 1943, while consumption was 6.9 million tons, of which 4.4 million tons was accounted for by the Wehrmacht.’[122]

By the outbreak of World War II, it was the fourth-largest corporation in the world and the largest in Europe.

‘In 1926, IG Farben had a market capitalization of 1.4 billion Reichsmarks (equivalent to 5 billion euros in 2009) and employed 100,000 people, of whom 2.6% were university graduates, 18.2% had special training, and 79.2% were workers.

By 1943, IG Farben was producing goods worth 3 billion Reichsmarks in 334 factories in occupied Europe; nearly half of its workforce of 330,000 men and women were slave laborers or conscripts, including 30,000 Auschwitz prisoners. In total, its annual net profit was about 0.5 billion Reichsmarks (equivalent to 2 billion euros in 2017). In 1945, according to Raymond G. Stokes, IG Farben produced all of Germany’s synthetic rubber and methanol, 90% of its plastics and ‘organic intermediates’, 84% of its explosives, 75% of its nitrogen and solvents, about 50% of its pharmaceuticals, and about 33% of its synthetic fuels.’[123]

Sources: Mineralölerzeugung,
Wirtschaftsgruppe Kraftstoffindustrie, monthly, and Final Report, OFI Division, US Strategic Bombing Survey (Table 6).[124]

‘The figures for the first quarter of 1944 are actually the peak of German production, since during this period (the first quarter of 1944) oil refineries and synthetic fuel plants were hardly bombed at all.’[125]

‘It can be clearly seen that it is the coal hydrogenation process that plays the major role in the production of aviation gasoline (92%). The production of motor gasoline and synthetic diesel oil is about one third of what is produced. Synthetic fuel oil production — only 14% of the output.’[126]

It can also be seen that the victory of the Red Army at Stalingrad and the denial of the Nazis’ access to Baku’s oil was economically very profitable for the producers of synthetic fuel in Germany. Do we not see opportunities for corruption here?

‘Despite the millions of dollars involved, the synthetic fuel plants employed relatively few workers. In July 1943, for example, they numbered only 95,000.’[127]

‘The main staff of these factories were prisoners of war and other concentration camp inmates. Several factories were located near the Auschwitz concentration camp, the largest of the Nazi death factories. The people in the factories worked to exhaustion in the truest and most tragic sense of the word.’[128]

An eyewitness testified: ‘There was not a blade of grass in the company’s territory; the ground was saturated with poisonous residues of coal and gasoline. The only living things here were machines and slaves, the former looking more alive than the latter.’[129]

Another large IG Farben factory was established near the Monowitz concentration camp — accordingly, working conditions here were no less appalling.[130]

‘As early as the summer of 1943, there were discussions about moving the production of synthetic gasoline to underground or concrete shelters in case of bombing raids. SS-Reichsführer Heinrich Himmler, I. G. Farben’s CEO Dr. Carl Krauch and the CEO of Brabag AG (the association of all synthetic fuel plants). Himmler’s adjutant SS-Oberführer Fritz Kranefuss, arranged a meeting on the subject. The SS became seriously involved in the construction of industrial shelters, setting up a special cave research group and a powerful construction organization under SS-Brigadeführer Hans Kammler.’[131]

Speer disliked the SS and Himmler personally, so he torpedoed this decision by preparing an expert opinion that moving the synthetic fuel plants underground was dangerous because of the possibility of a hydrogen explosion. The Reich later paid a heavy price for this decision.[132]

In March 1945, fuel production had decreased by 200 times (!) compared to a year earlier, and at the beginning of April 1945, German fuel companies ceased production, while all stocks of fuel and lubricants had been destroyed.[133]

From January 1938 to March 1945, the whole of Germany produced a total of 21.5 million tons of synthetic fuels.[134] How much revenue did IG Farben receive if 1 liter of gasoline in 1939 cost about 39 pfennigs[135], where 15% of the price was excise tax?

There are about 1,300 liters in a ton of gasoline, 21.5 million tons is nearly 28 billion liters. At a price of 30 pfennigs per liter without excise taxes, the total revenue was about 9 billion Reichsmarks. Officially, the Brabag Group, which included all companies producing synthetic fuels, could not have a profit margin higher than 5%. However, it is not known how strictly the accounts were kept and how closely the prices of related subcontractors were controlled. Assuming that real profits were not below 20%, IG Farben’s profits from synthetic fuel production during the Reich amounted to about 1.8 billion Reichsmarks, or about $0.7 billion. This was equivalent to about $0.7 billion or 700 tons of gold.

Between 1938 and 1944, IG Farben spent some 2.5 billion Reichsmarks on ‘reinvesting profits’ alone.[136]

After the war, the Germans were forced to stop producing this type of fuel. It was not that Germany no longer needed it, it was just that the Germans were forbidden to do so after the Potsdam Conference in 1945.[137]

‘In accordance with the decision of the Potsdam Conference of the Big Three, the remaining intact equipment of the German fuel plants was transferred to the Soviet Union as reparations and brought to Angarsk, Salavat, and Novocherkassk, where it became the basis for the creation of large petrochemical complexes. Trophy equipment is still used to produce T-6 thermo-stable aviation kerosene and heptyl rocket fuel for R-36M liquid-fueled intercontinental ballistic missiles, known in the West as the SS-18 Satan.’[138]

Negotiations of the Nazis with the Anglo-Saxons

Accordingly, knowing and understanding this information, one can watch the famous movie Seventeen Moments of Spring in a completely different way. This film shows how the great intelligence officer Isayev exposed Himmler’s negotiations with Allen Dulles through General Wolff. But what do the facts really tell us?

First of all, from the biography of Magda Goebbels, we learn that since 1927 she was personally acquainted with the nephew of US President Herbert Hoover, who subsequently offered Magda his hand and heart more than once, and to whom she was introduced by her then-husband Günther Quandt, who later became one of the military-industrial leaders.

That is, the Hitler-Goebbels couple had an almost direct channel to the top of the American establishment through Magda Goebbels and her ex-husband Gunther Quandt, who was almost 100% economically controlled by Goebbels. They did not have to go through anyone else to get to the top of the American political establishment — they had their own independent direct outlet.

The first, practically official, negotiations on pacification with the Anglo-Saxons were initiated in 1941 by Hess, who suddenly and curiously flew to Britain. And it was not just any Nazi — it was the person closest to Hitler, responsible for party building.

This means that not only Hess, but also Hitler himself, had not only negotiations but also serious political guarantees for 1941, which could not happen without economic guarantees. It is quite possible that such contacts took place through the President of the German Reichsbank, Hjalmar Schacht, who had exceptionally close relations with the Governor of the Bank of Britain, Norman Montague.

On the level of Hitler’s extraordinarily strange military decisions in the war with Britain stand out:

1. The actual refusal to defeat the 300,000-strong British army at Dunkirk;

2. The actual refusal to conquer Gibraltar with the forces of only two (2) divisions, thus giving the Allies the opportunity to freely supply their troops;

3. The actual refusal to seize the Suez Canal with only two divisions, when 180 divisions were on the border with the USSR;

4. The actual refusal to seize the Basra oil fields by marching five (5) panzer divisions from Suez, which would have deprived the British of fuel but would have given the Third Reich tremendous opportunities;

5. Spending 6.5 billion Reichsmarks on the construction of the Atlantic Wall, an almost meaningless supposed barrier against the British, when this money could have been used to build 10,000 heavy four-engine bombers of the Flying Fortress type and bomb all of Britain, its entire navy and harbors, plus the American forces in Africa, and there would still be bombers for the Eastern Front. Add to that the savings on air defense forces in France and Germany, and the huge savings on the Navy…

Through the German headquarters of AEG, Siemens and Focke-Wulf, which guaranteed the inviolability of General Electric’s almost controlling investments in them, Goering could easily conduct not only economic but also military-political negotiations with the Morgans and Dilons, who always carried much more weight than any US president.

With Opel’s headquarters in Rosselheim, which guaranteed the inviolability of General Motors’ control there, Goering and Speer could easily conduct the same negotiations with the Du Ponts, whose economic and therefore political weight was no less than that of the Morgans and the Dillons.

From the Ford plant in Cologne, Goering and Speer could easily have conducted the same negotiations with Henry Ford, who had previously been awarded by Hitler the Order of Merit of the German Eagle (Iron Cross), the Third Reich’s highest award for foreigners.

But of course the main oligarchs who made the decisions in the USA were the Rockefellers. Who almost officially led the negotiations after 1945? On the American side they were led by one of the heads of the OSS, Allen Dulles. Who was this man? Where did he come from? The Dulles brothers were the personal lawyers of the Rockefellers for many decades and, as everyone knows, they handled their relations and disputes with the top US leaders. It is quite obvious that it was the Rockefellers who put Allen Dulles in charge of the secret service.

And what were the Rockefellers’ direct business contacts in Germany? They were the largest shareholders in the giant IG Farben cartel, which also supplied the Reich with synthetic fuels. The same IG Farben that financed 45% of Hitler’s election campaign in 1930. Another direct link to Hitler!

And which of the Reich’s bosses was in charge of procuring synthetic gasoline? Who was the main buyer? It was, of course, Minister of Economics and Chief of the Luftwaffe Goering, as well as Minister of Armaments Speer, the person closest to Hitler economically.

This trio for negotiations with the Rockefellers, and thus with Dulles, did not need to travel anywhere, not to any Switzerland — everything could be solved right in the main building of IG Farben in Frankfurt. Where, by the way, Eisenhower’s headquarters were located after the victory. It must have been a coincidence.

Table of Misappropriation of the Reich

The following table is compiled from surface data. Hopefully a more diligent researcher will be able to complete and revise it substantially.

The Extent of Corruption in the Reich

Another indirect confirmation of the existence of corruption and the German military-industrial lobby can be seen in the history of France. It is known that in 1940 it was conquered by Germany, but during the war its military-industrial potential was practically not used — only trucks were supplied to the German army. It seems that Germany captured not the world’s leading industrial power, but a banana republic that could produce nothing but trucks. But France had powerful tank factories, aircraft factories, and shipyards, all of which could, if not double, at least greatly increase the production of military equipment in Germany. And everyone knows that at the end of the war, Germany lost to the Soviet Union in terms of the number of planes and tanks.[139]

So it is assumed that Hitler (Speer, Todt and Porsche), Goebbels (Quandt), Gоеring (Milch), Ribbentrop (Heinkel) carried out military orders exclusively on their own.

How much did the Nazi bosses steal?

In his diaries for July 1944, Goebbels gives the figures that the Reich’s expenditures in 1944 amounted to 200 billion Reichsmarks. Other sources give similar figures.[140] At a hard exchange rate to the dollar of 2.5 Reichsmarks to the dollar, this amounted to $80 billion.

Is that a lot or a little? According to the Bretton Woods Agreement of 1944, the dollar was fixed to gold at $35 an ounce. Today,[141] gold is at 2000 dollars an ounce. This means that the dollar has depreciated 57 times during this period. If we multiply 80 billion by 57, we get a total of more than 4.5 trillion of today’s US dollars per year.

What remains to be understood is how much of this money ended up in the pockets of Nazi leaders and their cronies or subordinate industrialists. The following questions must be answered in order to derive a model.

— What is the ‘corruption component’ in the construction of roads and large structures?

— What is the current level of corruption in military contracts?

For example, the B-1 bomber alone costs US taxpayers $1 billion.

At the same time, we already know that Quandt supplied motorcycles to the Wehrmacht at three times the price of its nearest competitor.

All that remains is to add up the two corruption factors. One for ‘construction of roads and large buildings’, the other for military contracts.

And then add the coefficient for ‘working under war conditions’.

And then the coefficient ‘if we do it, it will be bombed or destroyed in battle’.

According to Speer, the degree of corruption of the state apparatus was such that even the threat of total defeat in the war was unable to change the minds of the Nazi elite that had come to power.[142]

I suppose putting the ‘corruption component’ at 30% of the Reich’s expenditures would be very, very forgiving. I wouldn’t be surprised if it was 50%. War: everything that was built was bombed, no one will check it, and any number can be written off.

So it is very reasonable to assume that the Nazi top brass stole about $30 billion in 1944 alone. So how much did they steal during the entire period of their leadership of Germany?

I suppose the $150 to $200 billion figure seems plausible.

How does that compare to ‘those’ prices?

That money could have bought 200 billion barrels of oil, which is $20 trillion at today’s prices.

Or it could buy 200 thousand tons of gold, even though not that much has been mined.

Or you could buy 7 million Chevrolet Corvettes, even though they never produced that many.

Or 3 million cottages in the United States of America.

In any case, this amount was comparable to the total gross national income of the United States.

Where Did the Loot Go?

Where did the bosses of the Third Reich put all their booty?

We can analyze some individual cases. Against this background, it is very interesting to look at the success stories of those entrepreneurs who suddenly became rich right after the Second World War.

Onassis and Schacht

For example, the story of the ultra-successful multi-billionaire Onassis, owner of a fleet of tankers, who became famous for marrying Jacqueline Kennedy. But he was also famous because his CFO was Hjalmar Schacht, the man who created the war economy of the Third Reich through MEFO financial instruments.

Putting a lot of money into something on the continent right after the war would be too conspicuous, it would be in plain sight. But huge tankers are in the ocean all the time. They come in, unload in a port out of sight, and go out again.

Onassis built his first tanker in 1938 and acquired two more large tankers by the start of World War II. His empire grew and his fleet expanded throughout the forties and fifties. And in the mid-fifties, he bought 17 new tankers in one year alone.

The question of where the money came from does not arise when we remember that his CFO was the man who created the economy of Nazi Germany.

Hjalmar Schacht

He was a graduate of the University of Munich (political economy), which gave Germany almost the entire top brass of the Nazi Reich.

As president of the Reichsbank, he restored Germany’s financial system.

On May 21, 1935, he was appointed General Commissar for the War Economy, charged with initiating ‘economic preparations for war.’[143] As head of both the Ministry of Economics and the Reichsbank, he used the ability to manipulate the exchange rates of the mark and MEFO notes to finance the war industry.[144]

In September 1936, after the appointment of Goering as head of the Office of the Four-Year Plan, Schacht was forced to relinquish a number of functions in charge of the military economy.[145]

He was a financial intermediary for Morgan’s financial group in Nazi Germany.

On January 22, 1942, a month and a half after Hitler declared war on the United States, he resigned as reichsminister.

Macroeconomic analysis

Onassis is, of course, a special case. But educated people know that in addition to microeconomics, one should deal with macroeconomic methods of analysis.

Accordingly, if there is a loss somewhere, we should look where there is a gain. And the economy that grew the most — by 80%! — was the United States of America. There was definitely a gain.

United States

Rockefeller, Morgan, Du Pont and the ‘Vatican-Catholic’ group had channels for importing money or other material values from Germany to the United States. And the curious fact of the actual monopolization of the gigantic construction of giant transports of the Liberty type in the United States by an American of German descent with the surname Kaiser also begins to appear in a different light.

The table of ‘misappropriation’ in the Reich also gives us an idea of who took these trillions out of the Reich. With Goering, the ‘Jewish channel’ through Milch and Heinkel is obvious, and a direct ‘American channel’ is also clear.

The Hitler-Speer group has an obvious ‘Vatican Channel’ and a direct ‘American Channel’.

The Himmler-Quandt group always had a direct connection to the American establishment. At the same time, BMW converted to civilian products after the war. Deutsche Bank and the Allianz insurance group also focused on controlling the inner-German economy.

In this context, the data reported by D. Miller and M. Novak are very interesting. They write that during the war Americans set aside an unimaginable amount — 150 billion dollars.[146] From the point of view of a closed war economy, this is in principle impossible.

Imagine this: a country is at war, and instead of building some automobile factories that produce something for the civilian population, it has to build military equipment that does not generate any income, but on the contrary, disappears during the war, is destroyed, deliberately destroyed. And when we see that money has been added, it points again to the influx of money into the American economy from outside.

A separate study can be written about the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, which is repeatedly mentioned by a number of researchers as a specialized institution for transferring funds from Nazi Germany to the United States.

Of course, it could have been ‘capital flight’ from warring Britain, France, Bulgaria, and Romania — rich people leaving warring countries. There could have been some capital from Arab countries. But this also makes the ‘German option’ much more viable. And given the presence of huge bank holdings of the Morgans and Rockefellers — even more viable. The giant bank holding company Chase was owned by the Rockefellers, and the giant bank holding company J.P. Morgan was, understandably, owned by the Morgans.

Other states

From a macroeconomic point of view, we can also look at other countries that have experienced dramatic economic growth. For example, it makes sense to think about the reasons for the strong growth of the Japanese economy, a former ally of the Nazis.

No matter how smart and disciplined the Japanese were, the money to rearm their economy had to come from somewhere.

One can look at South Africa (until 1961 — the Union of South Africa, UAS), which was, by the way, practically next to German possessions in Africa. In the post-war period, it made a sharp technological leap. At the same time, it clearly followed Nazi racist ideology.

A curious marker of the South African economy was and still is the method of producing synthetic fuel from coal, exactly the same as in Nazi Germany.

Final Conclusion

In the end, we can conclude that the main premise of the Second World War was the desire of the Nazi top brass to steal as much money as possible through negative political corruption.

Together with a number of figures from the American industrial and banking elite, and with the direct support of a number of Jewish elites, the Nazi bosses realized this desire by creating a gigantic veil of information through controlled propaganda media.

The ideology of the ‘crusade against Bolshevism and international Jewry’ was used only as a cover story to deceive the German people and the ideologically attached citizens of other countries.

The result of this colossal ‘bloody swindle’ was the death of tens of millions of people, the destruction of the economies of Germany, Eastern Europe and the Soviet Union. And the criminal income of the organizers amounted to about 200 billion dollars in 1940–1945 prices, which was taken out and hidden in a number of countries, most likely in the United States.

Given the scale of corruption, historian and social philosopher Andrey Fursov’s assumption that these trillionaires were incapable of committing suicide is a reasonable one. For a relatively small amount of money, they could have found people who resembled them, then killed them and hired numerous false witnesses to their own deaths. These witnesses could have been motivated by financial gain or an ideology shaped by propaganda.

How They Escaped from Berlin

How could these people have escaped from besieged Berlin? It is very interesting to see how historians seriously consider the ‘left by plane’ or ‘left by tank’ versions. One gets the impression that these versions were invented for children.

The fact is that in the last days of his existence, or at least of his official existence, Hitler removed Goering from power, dismissed him from all posts, placed him under arrest, and accordingly could not count on the support of the Luftwaffe. Obviously, Hitler could not trust any pilot in the Reich.

In addition, a year before Hitler’s official death, an assassination attempt was organized against him by the generals of the Ground Forces; accordingly, Hitler could not trust the Wehrmacht either, and thus could not ride fearlessly anywhere on any tank.

But he had a very loyal follower — Karl Doenitz — the head of the German navy. And the Spree, a navigable river that connects the Oder and the Elbe, flows through Berlin.

And in the German Navy there were wonderful armored boats of high survivability, very fast, called Schnellboote.

And on these fast boats it was quite safe to sail quickly from Berlin along the Spree to the Havel, and from there to the Elbe, and along the Elbe — to Hamburg, where Doenitz had a lot of submarines of the latest XXI series at his disposal, almost undetectable by any of the anti-submarine defenses that existed at that time.

Could Nazi Germany Not Have Attacked the USSR?

In fact, Nazi Germany had three main options in 1941:

1) Attack Britain with land forces (Operation Sea Lion);

2) Attack the USSR (Operation Barbarossa);

3) Make peace with everyone and develop the peaceful sector of the economy.

To answer this question, we must analyze the motivation of the leadership of the Third Reich.

Earlier, we found out that the main motive of the Nazi bosses was political corruption. The national interests of the German state and National Socialism were only an ideological screen to hide the main objective of the leaders of the Third Reich, such as personal enrichment.

According to the second recurrence of Pareto’s rule, ‘1% of the population creates 50% of the value added.’ Or, more familiarly, ‘1% of the population owns 50% of the wealth.’

This is the socio-economic law of the world.

A law of nature.

It is impossible to abolish it by any legal act. In spite of any declared ‘equalization’ laws, the 1/50 rule has been and will be observed in every country. In fact, it was observed in the Third Reich, although it was carefully concealed ideologically.

In order to solve the logical task at hand, it is first necessary to realize that there are positive and negative political corruptions.

They differ in terms of whether they bring integral benefit or integral harm to society.

An example of positive political corruption in Tsarist Russia was the construction of the Trans-Siberian Railway (Transsib).

Tsar Alexander II, who was quietly involved in the Nobel brothers’ oil production in Baku and kerosene production, commissioned Finance Minister Sergey Witte to build a railroad to China for the sole purpose of delivering Nobel’s kerosene to the huge Chinese market. The Tsar is long gone, there are no Nobels in Russia, and the Trans-Siberian Railroad is still a great benefit to the country. The whole society has gained integrally.

Some experts cite the implementation of the Moscow Ring Road (MKAD) as an example of positive political corruption in modern Russia.

Not only did all[147] the employees of the general contracting organization live to see the completion of the construction, but the MKAD stands and benefits tens of millions of people every day.

An example of positive political corruption in Nazi Germany was the construction of highways (autobahns).

Rudolf Hess, the second man in the Third Reich, provided the funding, and Fritz Todt built it. And Todt is long gone, and Hess is gone, and Nazism in Germany is almost eradicated, but the network of good roads continues to benefit Germany and its people.

The first major example of negative political corruption in Nazi Germany was the construction of the Siegfried Line along Germany’s border with France.

It was through this example that the leaders of the Third Reich realized:

• First, that military construction allowed them to steal a larger share of the work than peaceful construction;

• Second, if the object of construction did not belong to them, it would be many times more profitable to steal in military construction than in peaceful construction.

If the autobahns built had at least partially been owned by Hess and Todt, they would have had no need to develop the military industry and receive military contracts. Then positive political corruption would have developed into economic patriotism and would have provided a stable integral benefit to society.

Indeed, the owner of the property has an interest in its preservation, in the preservation of the material part of his estate, and consequently in the absence of hostilities.

But if the minister of construction does not get a share in the object built, as was the case with Todt and Speer, it is to his advantage that the object be bombed so that it can be rebuilt. And after a new bombing, it can be built again and again… And he is not interested in the lives of the people who died in the bombings, because he is sure of his personal safety. And in his opinion, the high rate of theft, and even repeated theft, outweighs his personal risks. So it seems to him…

Incidentally, the war in Ukraine initially developed according to exactly the same economic laws. Under the President Poroshenko, a military conflict could not start because Poroshenko owned a significant part of the economy and had a personal interest in:

1) preserving his property in Ukraine;

2) in increasing his property in Ukraine;

3) the physical security of his property in Ukraine.

The war was economically detrimental to him.

And when the ‘beggar’ clown Zelenskiy, who literally had nothing to lose economically, came to power, he began to make money on blood, having received guarantees of continued safe life in Foggy Albion. It is profitable for Zelenskiy to receive military aid from the West in the form of weapons and to resell some of them to third countries.

It is profitable for Zelenskiy to receive humanitarian aid from the West and to sell some of it to the population of Ukraine for money through trade networks.

The destruction of Ukraine’s population, industry, and infrastructure does not cause Zelenskiy any personal economic harm, and his personal safety is guaranteed by Britain. Therefore, it is negative political corruption that is profitable for him.

In the Third Reich, the official ideology was National Socialism. That is, it was assumed that there was no direct ownership of large parts of the economy by the leaders of the state.

Therefore, they:

1) secretly owned corporations, such as Goebbels, who was the real owner of the Quandt financial and industrial empire — Magda Goebbels’ ex-husband;

2) were officially only managers of the largest state-owned enterprises, such as Goering, who ran the Reichswerke ‘Hermann Goering’, and his deputy, the Jew Milch, who ran the Junkers concern.

At the same time, such state enterprises were formed at the expense of property confiscated from alleged ‘ideological opponents’ (Jews) and during wars, as in the case of Škoda or simply on the basis of a desire to take over a company, as was the case with the Junkers concern. And they also distributed military orders, like Hess and later Hitler, through the Todt Organization, the all-powerful state institution for military construction, consisting of 1,000 private companies.

According to the principles of Nazi Germany’s state system, large-scale property could not be registered in any way with the country’s leaders. It therefore made no sense for the Nazi bosses to develop a peaceful economy in the long term. It was much more profitable for them to steal now, and steal a lot. And since they were absolutely sure of their security, guaranteed by both an effective apparatus of repression and coercion (the SS security units, the SA storm troopers and the Gestapo) and an effective apparatus of propaganda (the Reich Ministry for Public Education and Propaganda), they were quite prepared to do integral damage to society.

They were condemned to negative political corruption by the very principle of the state system.

Negative political corruption always leads to war. Only official ownership of significant property gives rise to an interest in its preservation, in the preservation of the material part of one’s fortune, and consequently in the absence of hostilities.

Since, according to the principles of National Socialist Germany’s state structure, no significant property could be registered with the country’s leadership, the option of ‘making peace with everyone and developing the peaceful sector of the economy’ was disadvantageous to the Nazi bosses.

In addition, the leaders of the Third Reich had already established a system of material profit from the military-industrial sector, and they only needed to generate large military orders.

For example, it was corruptly very profitable for Goebbels to order many BMW R75 motorcycles at a huge price from the Quandt empire under his control. But how do you order a lot of BMW R75 motorcycles?

In peacetime, a BMW R75 motorcycle would last 30 years. This means that the real and formal owner of BMW (Quandt-Goebbels) was economically advantaged that the war started and BMW R75 motorcycles would be destroyed by the enemy as soon as possible and in as large numbers as possible. In this case, the Wehrmacht would order new BMW R75 motorcycles, and lots of them. And it would do so frequently. And the fact that the destruction of the previous BMW R75 motorcycle by the enemy would also kill a German soldier suited the manufacturer of the BMW R75 motorcycles (Quandt-Goebbels) quite well.

Yes, such a ‘blood business’ harms the people as a whole. But it benefits an arms manufacturer like Quandt and a corrupt politician like Goebbels. That is negative political corruption.

Now put yourself in the shoes of these arms manufacturers and corrupt politicians.

How many BMW R75 motorcycles would it have taken to start a land war with Britain and how many to start a war with the USSR?

This is easy to calculate: firstly, the width of the front where BMW R75 motorcycles would have been needed by advancing units, and secondly, the area expected to be conquered where BMW R75 motorcycles would have been needed by police units and garrisons.

The width of Britain from west to east is 200 to 300 kilometers in a straight line. No more. The width of the front in the USSR in a straight line was 1,500 km. And the terrain would have forced the front to be curved, mainly because of the riverbeds.

In other words, the USSR needed 5 times more BMW R75 motorcycles than Britain, and that was just for the assault units.

The total area of the British Isles is 230,000 square kilometers. The area of the USSR up to the Arkhangelsk-Astrakhan line on the Volga was 10 times larger. So the police would have needed 10 times more BMW R75 motorcycles.

This means that Nazi Germany’s war with the USSR would have brought 5–10 times more money to arms manufacturers and corrupt politicians than the war with Britain.

The choice is obvious. From the point of view of the Nazi top brass, steeped in negative political corruption, attacking the USSR was a decision leading to maximum personal economic gain.

How could the Nazi leaders carry out such a decision?

To divert the attention of the USSR, to simulate an active war with Great Britain, to start a war with Britain in the air, to lose the air battle and to move all the troops closer to the border with the USSR, precisely on the grounds of ‘saving troops from being bombed out of reach of the enemy’.

And then, at an opportune moment, to attack suddenly.

What Conclusions Can Be Drawn from All This for the Organization of Any State in the World?

When creating or reforming the structure of any state, it is necessary to take into account the laws of nature. No state can repeal the laws of nature. Just as no state can abolish the universal law of gravitation, Ohm’s law, or Mendeleev’s periodic table.

Likewise, it is impossible to abolish Pareto’s rule and its second recursion.

According to the second recursion of the Pareto rule, ‘1% of the population creates 50% of the value added’. Or, more familiarly, ‘1% of the population owns 50% of the wealth’.

This is a global socio-economic law.

A law of nature. It is impossible to abolish it by any legal act.

Despite any ‘equalization’ laws, the 1/50 rule has been and will be respected in every country.

In monarchical systems, this rule is legally observed. We see such examples today in Qatar and the United Arab Emirates. There, about half of the economy and half of GDP belongs to the monarch and his family. He also guarantees law and order in the distribution of the rest of GDP and, accordingly, the ownership of the rest of the economy.

In all legally egalitarian systems, no matter what they are called — socialist, communist or democratic — the 1/50 rule has been and will be implemented through political corruption.

In some social democratic countries, a system of positive political corruption has been de facto legalized.

In China, for example, an official who occupies an important place in the state hierarchy ‘helps’ his relatives develop business by lobbying for the distribution of contracts, state loans, and subsidies. At the same time, he is de facto responsible to the state for any misuse of funds.

In China, if an official simply takes bribes and does not develop the country’s economy, he is publicly shot.

In Turkey, one of our neighbors, there is a practice of appointing successful businessmen as ministers. For example, the owner of the Maxx Royal hotel chain, Mehmet Ersoy, is openly the minister of tourism. And a very effective minister. And the owner of a chain of private schools is officially the minister of education. And so no one is surprised that a country with no natural resources is developing economically at a rate of 7%. And the population has doubled in the last 30 years.

A system of negative political corruption modeled on the Third Reich has been de facto legalized in the United States.

A group of high-ranking government officials has been formed to create a colossal military budget and take huge bribes from the military-industrial complex to provide military contracts. As a result, the entire US state policy is de facto directed toward the perpetual waging of war.

In the last 70 years, America has carried out 120 military operations.[148] At the same time, American soldiers are killed, and in order to soften the public response, American propaganda calls them defenders of democracy. Public opinion agrees with this policy because the wars are being fought outside the territory of the United States.

How can this knowledge be applied to the organization of the Russian state?

It is necessary to practically recognize that political corruption is inevitable in non-monarchical regimes and try to think about how to put it at the service of society.

Negative political corruption is transformed into positive political corruption by allowing an official to openly own significant property and receive significant income.

The owner of the property is interested in its safety, in preserving the material part of his state and, accordingly, in the absence of military actions.

If the object of construction does not belong to the officials, it is much more profitable for them to steal on military orders than on peaceful construction.

Economic patriotism works the same way in law enforcement. If the police economically control the industrial enterprises and retail networks of a region, then crime in that region will be close to zero. If police officers are frequently rotated and replaced by new ones who are not economically connected to the regional economy, and who are also informed of their rotation in a few years, what kind of corruption can this law enforcement agency have? Only negative. To force someone to pay for services or to ‘pocket government money’. Or to quickly resell drugs and move to another region.

No policeman who was born and lives permanently in the region, who has a family, children and numerous relatives there, will create drug networks.[149] It is more profitable for him to help his relatives build a gas station, a café, a restaurant, or some kind of production. Yes, this is corruption, but it is positive. With integral benefits for society.

In the same way, this model of positive and negative political corruption works with regional governors.

And in the same way it works with the highest governing bodies.

But who among managers will engage in positive political corruption, build and develop production and distribution networks if their shares in these businesses can be taken away from them at any moment? It is easier and more reliable for them to ‘dip in the gravy’ and run away.

Therefore, for the rapid and qualitative development of the country, it is necessary to allow officials and law enforcers to openly own large, significant property: plants, factories, hotels, department store chains and gas stations. In any volume. And the greater the volume of their property, the more officials will be interested in the development of our country.

Of course, protectionism and unfair competition must be fought. But it is possible. There are examples.

Unfortunately, our system is set up differently now. Neither officials nor law enforcers are allowed to officially own significant property. What does this lead to? Money ‘earned’ by negative political corruption is exported from the country and deposited in the accounts of offshore companies in clearly unfriendly countries in the form of securities, real estate and crypto assets. As a result, the intelligence services of unfriendly countries get a lever to blackmail officials, law enforcement agencies and big businessmen: ‘Betray the country and we will return your money.’[150]

The system of government itself has created such potential traitors — by forbidding them to officially own a fortune and to serve the motherland at the same time. By prohibiting economic patriotism.

It is time to realize that economic patriotism is now a compulsory measure. Without it, the country will perish from budget theft, from the expansion of drug trafficking and from the betrayal of the elite.

Economic patriotism

In recent history, when propaganda has developed ideological patriotism in every possible way, characterized by such statements as ‘For the Tsar, Fatherland, Faith’, ‘For the Motherland, for Stalin’ in Russia or ‘For Democracy’ in the United States, the concept of economic patriotism remains in the shadows.

It should be noted, however, that in olden times Russian nobles risked their lives in war not so much ‘for the tsar, the fatherland, and the faith’ as for their property, for their estates (a village or a group of villages with fields), which the tsar gave them for life, along with serfs, from which they ‘fed’ themselves and their families.

And they understood very well that in case of defeat in a war, for example with Poland, the victorious Polish king would take the estate away from them and give it to one of his Polish nobles.

And they were not afraid to die heroically in battle, because they understood that if they won, the estate would be left to the hero’s family: wife and children, who would be able to live comfortably by managing it.

And they went to war at the first call, quite independently, because a nobleman who did not go to war almost certainly lost his estates, which were given to more heroic nobles.

And a nobleman did not go to war alone, but with a group of relatively well-trained and armed fighters, proportional to the population of his villages.

And they went with enthusiasm, because when they conquered new territories, they could count on new estates in addition to trophies. For example, a large part of the territories conquered by Count Potemkin in the Wild Fields, Tavria and Crimea for the Russian Empire at the time of Catherine II became his personal estates.

This system in Russia began to be destroyed under Peter the Great by the expansion of the tsar’s army directly from a group of Streltsy into a regular army, into which nobles were not obliged to enter but could come alone only for officer positions, and was finally destroyed by Alexander II by the serf reform, which ‘liberated’ the peasants from the nobility and the nobility from the available labor. Economic patriotism was economically dead. On naked patriotism, tsarist Russia lasted only a little more than 50 years.

In the United States, economic patriotism was largely created on a capitalist basis. The Vanderbilts have always defended not so much ‘democratic values’ as the railroads they owned, the Rockefellers — the oil wells and refineries they owned, the Du Ponts — their chemical plants, the owners of Boeing and McDonnell Douglas — their aircraft factories, the owners of General Dynamic, Northrop Grumman and Lockheed Martin — their military factories.

For example, part of the country’s security, such as military and political intelligence, has always been inextricably linked to the economic and technical intelligence of major US corporations.

‘It is officially believed that the United States did not have a unified intelligence service prior to 1941. Here are the words of US Secretary of State Dean Acheson: “Prior to World War II, the number of information-gathering employees in the State Department did not exceed ten people…” Nevertheless, it must be acknowledged that the US had almost all the information it needed. It was collected by embassies, military and naval attachés, but above all by powerful financial and industrial magnates, who had a network of intelligence services around the globe, collecting information not only for their masters, but also for the US government.’[151]

The current situation in the field of economic patriotism in the US and Russia is not in favor of Russia, which determines its place in the confrontation with the United States. At present, the entire foreign policy apparatus of the United States, including the US Army and Navy, serves the US economy and, therefore, the main shareholders of US companies. The most distinguished officials of the foreign policy bloc who have helped one or another American corporation may well expect a highly paid position in a corporation and a solid stock option when they retire. It is not often written about in the American press, but in the establishment the terms ‘Senator from Boeing’ or ‘Congressman from Exxon’ are not surprising.

In Russia, however, government officials, including those in the ‘power bloc’, are almost officially prohibited from owning property that ties them to the country. Even if the family of such an official owns enterprises, land masses, telecommunications companies, hotels, restaurants, or airlines, there is a high probability that such businesses will be taken away when the official retires under one pretext or another. Therefore, at present the personal economic activities of government officials are not aimed at the development of the country and its infrastructure, but at making a quick profit by the method of ‘earn and hide’, which is clearly contrary to the interests of the Russian people and Russia as a state.

Nobel laureates Olson and Maguire once argued that the ‘stationary bandit’ state has a significant advantage over the ‘roving bandit’ or ‘itinerant bandit’ state, whose goal is to maximize short-term profits.[152] A rational ‘stationary bandit’ who decides to settle in a given territory, to control it exclusively, and to receive income from the population in the form of regular taxes will, in the long run, establish such taxes that will stimulate the development of economic activity and will have a direct interest in the economic development of the territory.[153]

The Russian state will become competitive when the ‘stationarity’ of its officials becomes a political priority. When the development of the Russian economy, including that of officials and their families, is explicitly or implicitly encouraged. When there is a guarantee that the property rights of officials’ families will be respected in the long term. This can be formalized both as direct ownership and as investment funds owned by officials personally or by groups of employees of this or that agency.

It is in this case that officials, including those of the power bloc, will not cheat their country en masse. They will not contribute to the surrender of millions of soldiers at the beginning of the war. They will not give away territory — both land and shelf — by diplomatic methods. They will not allow the disintegration of the common economic space into a multitude of supposedly ‘independent’, but in fact economically incapable states.

And they will defend their country effectively, because they will fight not only for the abstract ‘motherland’, but also for their own property. That which ‘you can touch with your hands, but cannot take away.’

They will ‘fight for what is theirs’, automatically protecting the interests of both the Russian people and the Russian state.

Selected articles

Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?

Ten years ago, the ‘collective West’ began contemplating the confiscation of funds from Russian oligarchs, officials, and businessmen who had placed their assets in offshore accounts. At that time, this portfolio exceeded one trillion US dollars.[154]

Attempts to implement Know Your Customer (KYC) procedures and block funds with no legally formalized origin did not yield significant results.

Consequently, a geopolitical version of the Hurt the Little Guy model was developed.

Typically, when older teens want to find a reason to attack a teenager, they may organize a provocation. They might send a child who is smaller or younger to be rude to that teenager. The child will then provoke the teenager by being bold and insulting. When the teenager gives the child a thick ear, the ‘older brother’ will come out from behind some bushes and ask: ‘Why did you hurt my little brother?’

In this case, Russia (President Putin) acts instead of a teenager, the really ‘small’ and noisy clown Zelenskiy, representing the pseudo-state of Ukraine, acts instead of a ‘little brother’, and the Anglo-Saxon financial oligarchy, using the united press and united Europe as its main tools, acts instead of an ‘older brother’.

Since 2014, the ‘little brother’ of the Anglo-Saxons has been trying to provoke Russia (President Putin):

• ‘Russia is the aggressor’ — no reaction from Russia;

• ’We will join the EU’ — no answer;

• ‘We will not sell Ukrainian goods to Russia’ — no retaliation;

• ‘We will join NATO’ — no response, but a warning;

• ‘We are starting to build a NATO base in Ochakov’ — no reaction, but a warning;

• ‘We are building NATO military bio-labs’ — no reaction, but a warning.

But after Zelenskiy’s official statement ‘we will get nuclear status’, Russia (President Putin) could not but take retaliatory measures in the form of forced demilitarization. Denazification[155] and recognition of the status of Crimea/DNR/LNR are only additional goals to the main goal mentioned above.

And immediately after the beginning of demilitarization, the big brother — the Anglo-Saxon financial oligarchy — turned on the propaganda apparatus under its control in full swing, preparing public opinion for the ‘expropriation’ of the money of Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen deposited in the West in the accounts of offshore companies. This has already de facto happened in Britain, continental Europe is preparing for it, and the USA will be the last to do it — the last but not the least.[156]

The blocking of funds from the Central Bank of Russia and several Russian banks is just a cover for a major financial operation. This makes no financial sense because Russian companies owe more money to the West than the West owes to the Russian banking system and Central Bank.

If the West has blocked the accounts of Vneshtorgbank, Rosneft can repay its loans to Citibank through Vneshtorgbank.

And the latter will simply write off the West’s debt to VTB in the amount of the repaid loans.

Offsetting. The deal wouldn’t be in favor of the West.

The press will talk about it. Discuss and accept ‘collective opinions’. But this is not the main thing.

The main thing is that the West has already taken about $2 trillion from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen. The goal has been achieved. And the united press will not talk about it loudly. Only in passing.

The secondary goals of the Anglo-Saxon financial elite are civil and guerrilla wars in Malorossiya for the next 10–15 years, as well as the reduction of European trade with Russia in order to replace Russian goods with American ones. But these are secondary goals.

And they do not care at all about the lives of Ukrainians and Russians. They are just bargaining chips to get the main prize of $2 trillion.

01.03.2022

How Do I Feel about the War in Ukraine?

1. The Americans say: ‘My country, right or wrong’. Why should we think differently about our country?

2. According to the Constitution of the Russian Federation, the President of the Russian Federation is the Supreme Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. The orders of the Commander-in-Chief must be obeyed. And especially by a person who has taken the military oath.

3. It is difficult for me to be completely objective in this matter, because in 1941 in the Kharkov region a Bandera policeman shot my 19-year-old grandmother with a one-year-old child in her arms. The child survived — this is my mother.

4. I do not want to live near a country with Nazi ideology and nuclear weapons. I want the neighboring countries to have neither Nazi ideology nor nuclear weapons. Therefore, I consider it necessary to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine.

5. Whatever I think about the tactics and strategy of the special operation in Ukraine, I will not discuss it with foreigners or incompetent Russians. I will try to officially document my point of view to those who are preparing the decisions, but I will follow the given order.

02.03.2022

Drug Mafia as a Threat to National Security

In 1917, the power backbone of the coup were asocial individuals — deserters, armed and located in the capital of Russia — Petrograd.

In January 2022 in Almaty, part of the power support of the riots were asocial individuals — mambets, living in the steppe in yurts and practically not connected with the civilization of cities.

Now in Russia asocial personalities — drug addicts in a severe stage, who would sell their mother for a dose, and not only the motherland[157] — can become the backbone of terrorist attacks.

In late February 2022, against the backdrop of the special operation to denazify and demilitarize Ukraine, drug addicts began receiving proposals that they commit terrorist acts for monetary rewards and a dose of drugs.

‘The Russian Ministry of Internal Affairs has urged Russians to be vigilant and not to react to provocations in the shadow segment of the Internet, social networks and messengers with calls for terrorist activity. This was reported to TASS on Tuesday in the ministry’s press center.’[158]

‘During the monitoring of the Internet, employees of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of R.F. found a number of calls for terrorist activities on the platform Hydra, as well as in social networks and messengers. The press center of the Ministry urges citizens not to respond to such provocative offers distributed on the Internet. Participation in any kind of terrorist activity, as well as hooliganism or other illegal actions, is punishable by law.’[159]

‘The Ministry also added that agents have established that in the posted materials the attackers offered network users money to commit terrorist acts, including those directed against the state power of the Russian Federation, as well as other crimes. “According to available information, the advertisements calling for illegal actions were distributed by call centers located in Ukraine. Police believe that previously these centers may have been involved in telephone fraud against Russian citizens and other criminal acts,” the agency added.’[160]

All in all, there are about 20 million drug addicts in Russia, of whom 3–4 million are in a severe stage. Accordingly, in the Moscow region there are 300,000 to 500,000 of them.

The number of drug addicts who do not have money for doses and are in a state of withdrawal may reach 300 thousand in the country and up to 20 thousand in the Moscow region.

If our enemies are able to offer each of these potential traitors a dose for a terrorist attack, we could have thousands of terrorist attacks in the country.

The situation is exacerbated by the following factors.

1. There are already enough Ukrainian drop-off drug deliverers in the Moscow region. Other unwitting migrant workers may also be involved.

2. The drug supply channel from Ukraine through the port of Odessa has been operating for a long time.

Advance warning of a threat

Awareness of objective but seldom discussed facts.

1. Drug addicts are ready at any moment to betray and sell their homeland for a dose of ‘dope’.

2. A large number of drug addicts, controlled by networking through messengers operating from abroad, poses a threat to state security.

3. The drug trafficking network is an order of magnitude more effective means of mass commission of terrorist acts than social networks, because after reading information, one can go to illegal actions, and one cannot go, but an addict in withdrawal cannot help going! And drug trafficking networks are much better organized.

So there’s a potential enemy network in our country:

• well hidden;

• with a huge audience reach;

• with unquestioning discipline;

• ready to commit treason against the homeland;

• which can be used at any time by the enemy country to organize terrorist acts in the absence of effective countermeasures.

The very existence of such a network is a threat to national security.

So we should have questions to the creators of such a network.

Confrontation

1. Control or disconnection of messengers controlled from abroad.

2. Reducing the number of potential traitors — drug addicts, i.e. actually a real fight against the drug mafia.

3. Total registration of drug addicts.

4. Placement of highly addicted drug addicts either on community bail, under house arrest or in prison-type clinics.

There is no other option for countering this threat model than destroying the existing drug distribution network.

04.03.2022

Western Motives for Seizing Russian Financial Assets

The main and primary goal of the West is simply to take other people’s money (the money of Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen placed in the West in offshore accounts, real estate and securities) and appropriate it for themselves. This main goal, which is skillfully retouched, should not be confused with secondary goals, which are deliberately emphasized.

But there are secondary goals, and it is necessary to understand what method can be used to defend against them.

The main secondary goal is to create dissatisfaction among oligarchs, officials, and businessmen with the policies of the country’s leadership, and to actually blackmail those who are being robbed: ‘Overthrow the government and we’ll give you your money back.’ Of course, the money is not returned, but the leverage is there, and it is considerable.

Why and how was this blackmail lever created?

We created it ourselves. Through our own idiotic state policy of denying economic patriotism and, moreover, through legislation.

According to Russian law, no official or deputy has the right to own a large business. The presence of even significant sums of money in Russian banks by an official raises questions and significantly hinders both daily activities and promotion.

But an honest official is not a fool. In one way or another, more or less legally, he enriches himself. And he has a simple question: how can he keep what he has gotten?

If he were allowed to have a serious business in Russia, he would keep his assets in Russia and develop that business. But now he is simply forced to keep all his wealth outside Russia, either in bank accounts or in real estate or in securities. But just outside Russia! This is exactly how the lever of foreign blackmail against Russian officials was created.

But the amount of his property in Russia should not be limited. On the contrary, the more property he has here, the more he is interested in the development of our Motherland and not in other countries.

06.03.2022

Who Will Make Money from the Ukraine War, How Much and When?

From 03.04.22, 37 days after the start of the war in Ukraine, three major groups of beneficiaries interested in the war began to emerge:

1) the financiers of the ‘collective West’;

2) the producers of hydrocarbons, the price of which had risen sharply;

3) the global military-industrial complex.

Financiers of the ‘collective West’

I have already written in my work Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?[161] that the main goal of the ‘collective West’ is ‘expropriation’ — taking from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen the money invested in the West in offshore accounts, real estate and securities, in the total amount of about $2 trillion.

This goal has almost been achieved. With some differences from country to country.

In Cyprus and Switzerland, relaxations have been given: only officials and oligarchs and businessmen associated with the officials will have their money taken away. Businessmen not connected with the government will not be touched. This is strange and does not inspire confidence.

In France, all Russians are more often blocked indiscriminately.

The United States has prepared a bill proposing that the proceeds from the confiscated Russian assets be channeled into a fund to help Ukrainian refugees and rebuild Ukraine. The fund will be administered by the State Department and the US Agency for International Development, a well-known subsidiary of the CIA.[162]

In any case, the income from ‘expropriation’ has already been determined in the amount of about $2 trillion, and for this group of world crooks the continuation of the war is not critical. But another month of war to ‘formalize public opinion’ will not hurt.

Producers of hydrocarbons, the price of which had risen sharply

Since the beginning of the war, gas prices have risen sharply and, with some fluctuation, remain about 70% and oil prices about 35% above ‘normal’ levels.

The world gas prices as of 01.04.2022 amounted to $1,500 per thousand cubic meters.

If we take $600 per thousand cubic meters to calculate the price increase, we get that the largest gas exporters will receive the following additional revenues[163].

The total additional income per month for these exporters alone would be $33 billion. However, since no more than half of the gas is sold on the spot, the amount of additional income can be safely divided by two, resulting in an approximate total of $15 billion per month.

This figure represents only the largest exporters and does not account for the growth of domestic prices.

In connection with the Ukrainian war, the United States, Norway and Canada are on the side of the American puppet — Ukraine; Russia and Qatar are on the side of Russia. But the income of the ‘opposing’ groups has grown about the same. This suggests some thoughts…

As of April 1, 2022, the global price of oil was $104 per barrel.

If we assume a price increase of $25 per barrel, we can estimate the additional income that the largest oil exporters would receive on a monthly basis[164].

The total additional income per month for these exporters alone would be $21 billion per month. However, since oil prices are not fixed as often as gas prices, but do not include petroleum products, the amount of additional income can be safely multiplied by 1.5.

The total value of exports is approximately $30 billion per month, representing the largest exporters only. This figure does not account for the growth of domestic prices.

In connection with the Ukrainian war, occupied Iraq, Kuwait and Canada are on the side of the American puppet Ukraine; Russia, Iran and Venezuela are on the side of Russia. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates are ‘pseudo-neutral’. But the income of these two ‘opposing’ and one ‘neutral’ group has grown about the same. Which again suggests certain thoughts…

The income from the continuation of the war for the producers of hydrocarbons is at least 50 billion dollars. This is only at first sight. A detailed analysis of all the players, not just the big ones, and the addition of metal and food producers makes it clear for whom exactly the war is like a ‘gold mine’.

Prolonging the war is financially important to these producer groups. About $100 billion per month is at stake.

For a share of this money, it is possible to bribe generals and officials on both sides of the conflict. The methods have been developed since the beginning of the Arab-Israeli wars.

By the way, it is interesting to recall that the main military force of Israel in these wars consisted of Jews from Western Ukraine.

Global military-industrial complex

These players are known to everyone, and already at the beginning of the Ukrainian war the American political observer Tucker Carlson identified them.

All over the world, engineers of the military-industrial complex are studying how the previous-generation ‘drone-artillery radar-cannon’ bundle fights with the ‘previous-generation satellite-cruise missile’ bundle. The bundle of the ‘latest generation of Starlink satellites-cannon (or MANPADS or ATGMS)’ is being tested.

It is unlikely that the military-industrial complexes of certain countries will be able to supply Ukraine with serious heavy weapons in this war. It is difficult to risk a military conflict with Russia. There is no income from supplies for the Ukrainian war.

But it is very important for everyone to see how the battles will be fought. This is what will allow several trillion dollars to be distributed among the major players in the military-industrial complex over the next 10 years. A month or two of military-industrial intelligence is crucial. More is not necessary.

Let us now proceed to draw conclusions.

1. The financiers of the ‘collective West’ have already misappropriated approximately $2 trillion. It has taken them less than a month to formalize the seizure on the basis of the collective opinion of voters who have been duped by super-powerful propaganda.

2. The world’s military-industrial complex needs another month or two to draw conclusions about modern large-scale non-nuclear land warfare and to make concrete proposals to their governments for trillions of dollars in the medium term.

3. Producers of hydrocarbons and other commodities whose prices have risen sharply need a long war. The longer the better for them. $100 billion a month is at stake.

So we see that the end of the war in the next two months is not at all necessary for any of the very big players. Its end in 4–5 months is possible if nothing extraordinary happens.

And the lives of Ukrainians are not important at all for these ‘global players’. These lives are just a bargaining chip for big profits.

‘People are dying for gold!’ And that is normal for cynical politicians.

03.04.2022

It’s a ‘Hot’ Financial War

In my paper, published on 01.03.2022, entitled Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?,[165] I have already set forth the argument that the principal objective of the ‘collective West’ is ‘expropriation’ — the removal of funds held in the West by Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen that have been placed in offshore companies, real estate and securities and total approximately $2 trillion.

Such ‘expropriations’ have already been attempted by the ‘collective West’ against Libya, Afghanistan, Venezuela, Syria, Iran and Iraq. Iran was accused of terrorist attacks in Beirut in 1983, and some $50 billion was frozen in the United States and Europe. Later, the 2001 bombing of the International Trade Center in New York was added to the charges, and in 2016, a federal court in New York formalized the seizure of $10.3 billion in favor of victims and insurance companies. Lawsuits and court actions to formalize the seizure of blocked funds continue and multiply.[166]

Afghanistan was also blamed for the terrorist attacks in New York, $3.5 billion was taken for ‘compensation for the dead,’ and another $3.5 billion was transferred to the trust fund of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York to be spent for ‘humanitarian purposes for the Afghan people’.[167]

In 2011, Libya was accused of lacking democracy, some $200 billion[168] was frozen in the United States and Europe, and its leader, Gaddafi, was killed. The frozen money is slowly ‘disappearing’ in an unknown direction.[169]

They accused Iraq of having chemical weapons by publicly presenting a vial of white powder at the UN, invaded the country, took away all the money in the Central Bank of Iraq, and assassinated Saddam Hussein.

In my other paper Who will make money on the Ukrainian war, how much and when? dated 03.04.2022 I explained that the financiers of the ‘collective West’ have already stolen about $2 trillion from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen, and they need no more than 2–3 months to formalize the seizure based on the collective opinion of the voters duped by superpower propaganda.

I would like to try to clarify once again.

What we have now in Ukraine is not a land war.

And not a rocket and air war.

The ‘collective West’ is waging a ‘hot’ financial war against us. Its goal is not to seize territory, but to seize ‘Russian offshore assets’ worth $2 trillion.

Its means will be the adoption by the legislative system of the United States and the rest of the ‘collective West’ of regulations on the seizure and redistribution of these two trillion.

Its method for adopting such a means — the ‘normative base’ — is to conduct super-powerful propaganda among the Western population through controlled media.

And the basis for such propaganda should be near-war provocations, designed beautifully enough both in terms of emotional impact on the Western audience and in terms of sufficiency for any local and international legislation.

War is only a means to create the necessary provocations. The Bucha provocation is beautiful from the point of view of its emotional impact on the Western audience, but it does not fit into any framework in terms of evidence. There was no blood on the bodies, there was no rigor mortis, and the bandages on the sleeves indicated that the murdered had sympathies for the Russians. And one of the ‘dead’ even moves his hands! Four days after death!

The Kramatorsk provocation is no longer so emotional, and the evidence is far from satisfactory. The trajectory is from Ukrainian positions, the number of the missile is Ukrainian, and Russia has no such weapons.

But if there is no proper basis for propaganda, the method will not be used. And so the goal will not be fully achieved.

But we are talking about 2 trillion dollars!

This means that the ‘opponents’ will definitely make a provocation. And they will gather the best forces. The provocation must have a real international impact. So it has to be something very serious. A deliberate chemical attack or a deliberate radiation catastrophe.

And it is on this front that we must now fight. If the ‘collective West’ is not able to create a real provocation, it will not achieve its goal of ‘taking away two trillion’.

Then there will be no point in fighting with tanks on land.

09.04.2022

Aims and Objectives of the Current War

We now realize that it’s not just Russia’s military operation in Ukraine. A global economic war has begun between the Anglo-Saxons and their controlled NATO and the rest of the world.

The aims of this war are as follows.

The US wants to gain, without losing anything, a very solvent and militarily controllable energy market in Europe, where it will displace Russia and then the other non-Anglo-Saxon players. At current prices, this will amount to at least $300 billion per year.

The US also wants to rob Russia and Russian officials, oligarchs and businessmen of about $500–800 billion deposited in the United States, but may lose a similar amount of US corporate assets deposited in Russia.

Europe will lose access to cheap energy from Russia through oil and gas pipelines, but will get American approval to rob the Russians of $1.5 trillion to give to the United States for more expensive energy over 10–15 years. At the same time, Europe could lose $500–800 billion in European corporate assets in Russia.

Europe will also receive about 20 million Ukrainian half-slaves to do low-skilled and therefore low-paid work and, in the next few years, another 60 million African half-slaves who will come to Europe as a result of the famine that awaits Africa due to the sharp rise in food prices.

Russia would lose a reliable European energy market worth $300 billion a year, but it would receive consistently high world energy prices during the war, which would more than compensate for the financial losses in the European market.

Russia would also lose $300 billion to $500 billion in gold and currency reserves and state property located in the West, but would attempt to confiscate about $1 trillion worth of Western assets in Russia.

Russian officials, oligarchs and businessmen are simply losing $2 trillion in savings invested in the West.

It is at their expense that the war is taking place.

Besides, if Russians did not keep their money in the West, there would be no war!

Anticipated US and NATO actions in the near term

Russia’s strategic enterprises, possibly the Crimean Bridge, will be hit via Ukrainian proxies. A few days after that, the US will detonate a nuclear device in Kiev and blame it on Russia, which will be sufficient justification to rob Russia and Russians of a total of about $2.5 trillion deposited in the West.

Instead of the Crimean Bridge, a strike on a mass gathering of people, such as the May 9 parade, is possible.

A nuclear explosion would also become the basis for budget funding for the US and European military-industrial complex to the tune of at least $15 trillion over the next 10 years.

Anticipated US and NATO actions in the medium term

Given that the transition of Europe to American energy resources may take up to five years,[170] it seems plausible to suggest that the US will prolong the war in Ukraine for a similar period of time.

It is unlikely that Russia will be able to delay the victory over Ukraine alone for five (5!) years, therefore it seems likely that the US and NATO will provide not only equipment and mercenary instructors to Ukraine, but also involve Romania and Poland in the conflict.

Romania will invade Moldova and receive a missile strike on Ploesti’s oil fields, military infrastructure, and decision-making centers.

Poland will invade western Ukraine and suffer a massive, possibly nuclear, strike against Polish forces near Lviv.

If this does not prolong the war for the expected five years, it will be the turn of the Baltic states, which will repeat 100% the Ukrainian scenario: declaration of the existence of nuclear weapons — Russian land operation with missile and bomb strikes.

As a last resort, the US and NATO still have a new member — Finland — in reserve, which will also be persuaded to shoot itself in the foot for the third time.

Anti-American bloc actions anticipated in the short term

Then China will attack Taiwan. The missile weapons it uses will look suspiciously like Russian Onyx and Kinzhal.

Belarus will become a part of Russia. Novorossiya, Transnistria, Abkhazia and Ossetia will also join Russia.

Anti-American bloc actions anticipated in the medium term

India and Russia will attempt to route the pipeline through Pakistan and the Central Asian Republics. The expected volume of supplies at current prices is $50 billion to $100 billion per year.

To solve this super-profitable task, we should expect a coup in Pakistan or its military takeover by India with the support of China and arms supplies from Russia.

Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan and Kyrgyzstan, following the example of Belarus, will join Russia to realize the project of the gas pipeline to India.

Turkey and Iran, having received Russian arms, will try to occupy Iraq under the slogan of liberating it from American occupation. The volume of oil exports from Iraq at current prices exceeds 100 billion dollars per year.

In response, the US and NATO will attack Istanbul via Bulgaria, Turkey’s coastline and decision-making centers via the Mediterranean, Cyprus and Israel, and Iran’s decision-making centers and military infrastructure via the Persian Gulf and Israel.

Israel, misled by the Americans, would fatally lose the war to its opponents, supported by Russia, and would cease to exist. Cyprus will suffer severely.

The Saudis, Qatar and the UAE will not go to war until the very last moment. Unless, of course, Israel launches an agonizing missile or nuclear strike on Mecca/Medina. Then all Muslims, especially Arabs, will go to war.

China and pro-Russian Muslim Indonesia will begin preparations for war to occupy Australia as a source of energy and other resources.

The war will spread around the world and last at least five years.

04.05.2022

Ratio of Power between Opposing Groups

Given the realization that not only is Russia engaged in military operations in Ukraine, but that a global economic conflict has begun between the Anglo-Saxon powers and their allies within the NATO alliance they control on the one hand, and the rest of the world on the other, it is imperative to gain insight into the relative economic strength of these opposing blocs.

In order to accomplish this, it is necessary to utilize the list of the top 50 countries by purchasing power parity gross domestic product (PPP GDP) in current prices, as provided by Wikipedia,[171] and divide it into the two aforementioned blocs.

It is noteworthy that the economies of these blocs are of a similar magnitude.

We will now examine the production of gas, the most expensive commodity during this war, which falls on these two blocs. To gain insight into the global gas production landscape, we will analyze the top 10 countries in terms of gas production.[172]

Surprisingly, the gas production of these blocs is also the same!

What could this mean?

14.05.2022

What is the Profitability of Killing Ukrainian Soldiers and Who Benefits from Such Actions?

In an article entitled Who Will Make Money from the Ukraine War, How Much and When?[173] I identified three major beneficiary groups with an interest in the conflict:

1) financiers of the ‘collective West’;

2) producers of hydrocarbons, which have experienced a significant increase in price; and

3) the global military-industrial complex.

In the current article we will try to correlate only the additional revenues of the hydrocarbon producers with the losses of the Ukrainian armed forces.

World gas production is about 4 trillion cubic meters per year.[174] With an average gas price in 2021 of $500 per thousand cubic meters,[175] or half a dollar per cubic meter, the world gas market in 2021 was valued at $2 trillion.

After the outbreak of the war, the average gas price at least doubled, and the global gas market grew accordingly to at least $4 trillion. By the way, the largest gas producer in the world is the USA.[176]

Thus, the additional income of natural gas producers from the war in Ukraine amounted to at least $2 trillion per year.

World oil production is about 70 million barrels per day, or 25 billion barrels per year.[177] At an average oil price of $70 per barrel in 2021,[178] the global oil market was valued at $1.7 trillion.

After the outbreak of the war, the average oil price rose to $110 per barrel and the world oil market was valued at about $2.8 trillion. By the way, the largest oil producer in the world is also the USA.[179]

Thus, the additional revenues to oil producers from the war in Ukraine amount to about $1 trillion per year.

Therefore, the total additional revenue to oil and gas producers from the war in Ukraine is about $3 trillion per year.

How many Ukrainian soldiers are killed?

If one carefully reads the press releases of the Russian Defense Ministry and mentally calculates the losses of the Ukrainian army due to the destruction of barracks, forward defense points, areas of concentration of Ukrainian military personnel and equipment, ammunition depots, checkpoints, communication centers, etc., one can roughly estimate the losses of the Ukrainian army in the amount of 500 to 1,000 people per day. Moreover, if at the beginning of the Special Military Operation (SVO in Russian) attacks on barracks were less frequent, now they have become much more frequent, almost daily. In addition, Ukraine is now sending more and more poorly trained terrorists and completely untrained mobilized personnel to the front, which increases the losses. Therefore, it would be fair to estimate the average losses of the Ukrainian army at 800 men.

Thus, for 365 days a year, the losses of the Ukrainian side should amount to about 250,000 men.

We may now relate the total additional revenues of oil and gas producers from the war in Ukraine, which are estimated at approximately $3 trillion per year, to Ukraine’s losses of 250,000 people per year.

This yields a figure of $12 million. Thus, we may conclude that there is an additional revenue of $12 million for oil and gas producers for each Ukrainian soldier killed.

Is it profitable for oil and gas producers, the largest of which is the USA, to share revenues with Zelenskiy’s gang in order to continue the war?

Is it profitable for oil and gas producers, the largest of which is the USA, to conduct a global information war aimed at continuing and ‘prolonging’ the war in Ukraine?

Is it profitable for oil and gas producers, the largest of which is the USA, to supply Ukraine with weapons to continue and ‘prolong’ the war?

Is it profitable for oil and gas producers, among which the largest is the USA, to supply Ukraine with weapons, to increase the human losses of Ukraine and to wage war to the last Ukrainian?

These are rhetorical questions.

Insofar as the answer to them is well known and understood.

(The picture is taken from the site Funny Stories from Russia[180])

But this is not a rhetorical question: how should we treat those Ukrainians who are being driven to be slaughtered as cannon fodder? Should we pity them?

And there is an answer to this question.

Why should we Russians feel sorry for those who shouted, ‘Moscow must bite the dust’?

Why should we pity those who right now are killing Russian-speaking Ukrainians who can’t pronounce palyanytsya (Ukr. loaf of bread) correctly?

Why should we pity those who shoot Russian prisoners in the knees?

And why should we pity those who, in their right mind and sober memory, took up arms to kill our Russian soldiers?

29.05.2022

There Is a Way to End the War Sooner

As I have already pointed out in my previous works Who Will Make Money from the Ukraine War, How Much and When? and What Is the Profitability of Killing Ukrainian Soldiers and Who Benefits from Such Actions?, the main goals of the war are not the quick conquest (liberation) of Ukrainian territory with subsequent denazification and demilitarization, but the long maintenance of high gas prices, the use of obsolete weapons and the testing of the latest weapons and methods of warfare in combat conditions. However, these real tasks also lead to denazification and demilitarization of the pseudo-state of Ukraine. Truth be told, before and not after the victory and conquest (liberation).

It should be noted that the real tasks of the war are actually well fulfilled.

• The price of gas is constantly above $1,500 per thousand cubic meters, which is enough to finance the war.

• More than 60,000 repeatedly expired shells are disposed of every day, which in turn leads to the denazification and demilitarization of Ukrainian troops.

• The latest weapons such as Terminator, SU-57, S-400, Kalibr, Iskander, as well as secret types are tested in absolutely real conditions.

• The information bundles ‘satellite — artillery’, ‘drone — artillery’, ‘ELINT — artillery’ are practiced.

It is evident that the primary objective of the war is to facilitate the transfer of monetary liquidity from European industry to oil and gas producing companies in the United States and Russia. Consequently, the most crucial inquiry is the projected duration of this transfer, as it is directly correlated with the length of the war.

At first glance, there are only four factors that influence the answer.

1. How many Ukrainian soldiers must be killed per day to keep gas prices high?

2. How many Ukrainian soldiers are still willing to go to war and guaranteed to die there?

3. How much money does European industry have?

4. How long will it take to completely convert Europe’s industry to US liquefied natural gas?

The responses to these four inquiries are available.

1. Recent experience has demonstrated that the killing of 500 to 1,000 Ukrainian soldiers per day is an effective means of maintaining elevated gas prices. This equates to 180,000 to 360,000 soldiers per year. In general terms, 250,000 soldiers per year is sufficient. Moreover, in addition to purely military methods, technical and diplomatic methods, such as ‘gas pipeline repair’ or ‘imported turbine broke down’, are also employed to influence gas prices.

2. As of today, it has been announced that Zelenskiy, a clown with the ability to play the piano with different parts of his body, has the capacity to raise an army of 1,000,000 men, which would be sufficient for four years of war. The West still has the ‘militant sons’ of Poland, Romania, Canada, etc. at its disposal.

3. The European industry will have sufficient funds to procure expensive gas for two years, three years with difficulty, and four years with great difficulty.

4. The conversion of European industry to liquefied gas, including the construction of terminals and networks with gas distribution substations, can be accomplished in four years with reasonable certainty. A three-year timeframe is also feasible, although at a rapid pace. However, it is unlikely to be accomplished in two years.

In light of the consensus among military experts that the military cycle typically spans four years, the conclusion of ‘four to five years’ appears to be a reasonable estimation.

At the same time, although the US has the objective of ‘fighting to the last Ukrainian,’ it is not a realistic goal. This is because Ukrainians are avoiding military recruitment centers, and the European industry may be in jeopardy by that time.

The potential collapse of European industry provides an opportunity to conclude the war more expeditiously. Allow me to elaborate.

The elevated prices of raw materials (natural gas and oil) are placing increased financial pressure on European corporations, leading to a reduction in business margins. Should costs rise significantly, the profitability of European industry may become untenable. Or even negative. At a gas price of $3,000 per thousand cubic meters, the profitability of European industry could reach zero. It is not financially viable for European industry to operate at a loss. It is often more straightforward to cease operations.

At that juncture, the value of industrial stocks in Europe will reach an all-time low, creating a unique opportunity for strategic acquisitions at a fraction of their intrinsic value.

Who will seize this opportunity? Primarily, those who have divested liquidity from European industry. The US oil and gas sector will be the primary acquirer, while legislative measures will prevent Russia and China from participating in the buying spree.

And from the moment the US corporations take over the industry of Europe, America will not need the war. Because in pursuit of profits in Europe’s industry, now owned by them, the Americans will begin to lower gas prices. And how do you lower gas prices quickly? Give an order to Zelenskiy and Zaluzhnyy to sign a surrender or simply run away and abandon their troops. They will carry out this order quickly and precisely.

So there is one way to end the war in 2023: we have to raise gas prices and let the Americans buy up European industry.

If, of course, we are satisfied not only with the political but also with the economic absolute dominance of the United States in Europe.

25.07.2022

Balakliya. Correction of War Aims and Methods of Achieving Them, Advantages and Shortcomings

It would be prudent to first undertake a public analysis of the peculiarities of this war before attempting to make any definitive forecasts regarding its objectives. However, in order to circumvent the legal implications of the On Fakes legislation, which stipulates potential penalties for up to 90% of war correspondents and bloggers in the aftermath of the Balakliya battle, it would be sensible to refrain from making such assertions publicly.

In light of this, we will proceed with the assumption that the stated objectives of the war will undergo a process of correction.

1. The notion of swiftly and economically acquiring European industry within a one-year timeframe is deemed impractical. The price of energy will remain high for an extended period, but will not exceed a level that forces European industry to cease operations. Producers of hydrocarbons worldwide will extract all available liquidity and accumulated reserves from the industry and population of Europe until the complete ruin of both. The loss of the Europeans, equal to the income of their competitors, will amount to more than 10 trillion dollars.

2. NATO and Russia will be disposing of obsolete weapons and ammunition on the territory of Ukraine for a long time to come. According to the simplest estimates, Russia alone has enough expired ammunition to wage a war for many years. The proceeds from this disposal will amount to 2–3 trillion dollars.

3. The pro-American and anti-American blocs will test all the latest weapons on Ukrainian servicemen, refine them based on the results of their combat use, and test them again. The military order for the next 10 years will be redistributed in the amount of more than 10 trillion dollars.

Methods to Achieve These Aims

1. The war will definitely last 4 to 5 years.

2. The war will take place far from the main gas pipelines and the places of Ukrainian gas production, i.e. in the steppe part of Ukraine.

3. Russian troops will conduct a positional war, mowing down Ukrainian ‘cannon fodder’, making local advances. Accordingly, the number of mobile artillery (SPG) will be increased.

4. Ukrainian troops will win occasional high-profile and low-profile victories to motivate Ukrainian conscripts to participate in the war.

Advantages

1. Strengthening and ‘soldering’ the economies of the international anti-American coalition to the tune of $5 trillion.

2. Weakening of the dependent economies of the American (Anglo-Saxon) coalition in favor of the US economy to the tune of about $5 trillion.

3.  The additional hydrocarbon revenues for Russia over the next five years will be up to $2 trillion.

4. The transfer of part of Europe’s energy-intensive industry to Russia and the growth of Russia’s own energy-intensive industry will generate additional revenues of up to $1 trillion over the next 10 years.

5. Significant growth in import substitution in strategic industries will generate up to $1 trillion in additional revenue over the next 10 years.

6.  Postponing for 3–4 years the release of frozen assets of the Russian state, businessmen, officials and oligarchs amounting to more than $2 trillion in favor of pro-American structures under the pretext of ‘assistance to Ukraine’.

7. Reducing risk of invasion of Ukraine by Polish and Romanian forces.

8. Reducing risk of use of tactical nuclear weapons.

9. Reducing the risk of radioactive contamination of territory as a result of sabotage of a nuclear power plant;

10. Reducing the risk of sabotage of the Crimean Bridge;

11. Reduction of anti-state activities in Russia by US intelligence services;

12. Reducing the risk of the Yellowstone caldera exploding in the USA;

13. Reducing the risk to the population of Ukraine associated with the possible conduct of hostilities in the forested part of Ukraine.

Shortcomings

In the Balakliya region, the Russian state demonstrated not only an inability, but also an unwillingness to protect not only the employees of the civil-military administration,[181] but also the new citizens of the Russian Federation, which is completely unacceptable for any state. This means:

1) a significant decrease in the level of trust in the state both in the liberated territories and among the native citizens of the Russian Federation;

2) a decrease in patriotic feelings in Russia and an increase in the dissatisfaction of Russians with the military policy of the authorities;

3) an increase in the risk of a ‘palace coup’ in Russia by the forces of the internal warring parties.

The prospect of a significant decrease in Ukraine’s population over the next 4–5 years can be seen as both an advantage and a disadvantage by different groups of analysts.

Thus, the short- and medium-term goals of the war, formulated in the article Aims and Objectives of the Current War,[182] have changed, which is good from a macroeconomic and macro-political point of view.

11.09.2022

Who Won the Arab-Israeli Conflict?

A common perception is that the outcome favored Israel, a view held by the majority of the general public. From a geographical perspective, it is evident that Israel has grown slightly on the map, incorporating mountainous and desert regions. However, when examining the economic consequences of the conflict, the results are quite different.

The defeat of the Arab forces in the war, which some historians have suggested may have been a deliberate strategy, paved the way for the unification of Arab countries into the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). On October 17, 1973, OPEC declared an embargo on oil supplies to Britain, Canada, the Netherlands, the United States, and Japan. These countries had provided support to Israel during the Yom Kippur War, which was fought against Syria and Egypt.

The embargo resulted in a significant increase in the price of oil, from approximately $3 per barrel to $12 per barrel.

It is of interest to ascertain who benefited from this boycott and by how much.

Oil producers: USA

The United States produced about 9 million barrels of oil per day,[183] or about 3.3 billion barrels per year. At an oil price of $3 per barrel, annual revenues were about $10 billion. After the embargo, production remained relatively stable, but revenues quadrupled to about $40 billion. As a result, the Seven Sisters’ additional income grew at the remarkable rate of $30 billion per year. To put this cumulative income into perspective, it was expected to exceed $200 billion by 1980.

In this case, don’t equate the US oil producers with the entire country, since it was mostly the country’s industries and people who paid the money.

The Soviet Union

The Soviet Union said it would not join the embargo and began to increase oil shipments to Europe, making quite a bit of money.

In 1970, the USSR’s revenues from oil exports were $1.05 billion. By 1975, this figure had risen to $3.72 billion, and by 1980, it had reached $15.74 billion.[184]

By approximating the data, it is possible to calculate that the additional income of the Soviet Union up to 1980, taking into account the growth of supplies in quantitative terms from 111 million tons of oil and petroleum products in 1970 to 186 million tons of oil and petroleum products in 1980, amounted to approximately $70 billion. This figure represents not only the economic benefits of rapprochement with European industrialists, but also the political benefits.

OPEC countries (mostly Arab)

Together they accounted for nearly half of the world’s production, about 1,300 million tons per year.[185] In barrels, this amounted to about 9.5 billion, almost three times the production of US oil producers.

Accordingly, before the embargo, OPEC’s oil revenues amounted to about $30 billion per year.

Even assuming that they reduced production to 9 billion barrels after the embargo, which is highly doubtful, their oil revenues still increased to $110 billion. That was an increase of $80 billion a year.

To put that additional revenue into perspective, it was about $550 billion by 1980.

Israel

In addition to highly questionable territorial gains, Israel received ‘massive’ American support, mostly in arms.

It amounted to about $2.5 billion a year,[186] which in the period from 1973 to 1980 amounted to about $17 billion.

This is less than 10% of the amount earned by American oil producers! And this was not in money, but in arms, the sale of which greatly benefited other American industrialists!

Total

Revenue for US oil producers — about $200 billion.

Soviet Union revenues — about $70 billion.

OPEC oil industry income — about $550 billion.

Israel’s income (if weapons are considered income at all) — about $17 billion.

A pie chart is shown below for clarity:

Conclusions as to who actually won the war are for you to draw.

P. S. In time, the Ukrainian war can be calculated using the same methodology. Yes, probably, even now it is possible to calculate for the last six months. And to estimate the prospects.

02.10.2022

Who Benefits Most from the Nord Stream Sabotage?

If you were to list all those who benefit from the sabotage at all, you would run out of fingers and toes. It benefits:

1) LNG tanker manufacturers because there will be fewer underwater pipelines and the remaining ones will be vulnerable;

2) LNG equipment manufacturers for the same reason;

3) Erdogan (Turkey), because with the Nord Streams blown up, Turkish Stream and South Stream utilization will obviously increase;

4) all countries connected to the Turkish gas hub (Greece, Hungary, Macedonia, etc.), as the migration of gas-intensive industries such as petrochemical production will now begin;

5) France because its energy sector is based on nuclear power and it will be able to sell electricity to Germany and Italy at a high price and attract energy-intensive production from Germany and similar countries;

6) it is beneficial to Algeria and Qatar, as they generally benefit from higher gas prices;

7) it is relatively beneficial to Italy, which can quickly connect to the Turkish gas hub via the Balkans and lure German industry;

8) and there are many others who benefit.

But no one believes that the owners of South Korean shipyards or the owners of Japanese LNG plants ordered this economic sabotage. Nor will anyone believe the version that the owners of French nuclear power plants or a Qatari prince ordered it.

Why not?

Because the maximum benefit to these beneficiaries is tens of billions of dollars. None of them will get even 50 billion dollars from this diversion.

And it is not their hallmark ….

And who will make a huge profit? Whose hallmark is similar?

1. First of all, the manufacturers of underwater combat drones will make huge profits. The demand for both underwater mining drones and ‘watchdog’ drones to destroy mining drones has skyrocketed. There has also been a huge surge in demand for mine detection drones and demining drones. There are millions of miles of underground cables and pipelines around the world. Tens and eventually hundreds of thousands of underwater drones will be needed. A total of at least a trillion dollars over the next 10 years. With a profit of half a trillion. And who are the biggest manufacturers of underwater combat drones right now? Northrop Grumman, Boeing and General Dynamics?[187] These ‘gentlemen’ are closely connected to the CIA and the US Defense Intelligence Agency (DIA). And they have a similar hallmark ….

2. Huge profits can be made by those who want to write off frozen Russian money ‘to help Ukraine’. As I wrote in Aims and Objectives of the Current War from 04.05.2022,[188]

‘Anticipated US and NATO Actions in the Near Term. Russia’s strategic enterprises, possibly the Crimean Bridge, will be hit via Ukrainian proxies. A few days after that, the US will detonate a nuclear device in Kiev and blame it on Russia, which will be sufficient justification to rob Russia and Russians of a total of about $2.5 trillion deposited in the West. Instead of the Crimean Bridge, a strike on a mass gathering of people, such as the May 9 parade, is possible.’ Nord Streams is undoubtedly more than a strategic object for Russia. And Europe’s as well. The money written off by the Russian owners will not end up in Ukraine. Most likely, it will end up in the accounts of USAID, a subsidiary of the US State Department, which is closely linked to the CIA. And from there they will go to the Pentagon for the weapons to be shipped to Ukraine. This system can steal at least 25% of the amount. And 25% of two trillion is half a trillion again.

Here are the beneficiaries, who will receive at least half a trillion dollars for this economic diversion. In the long run, even a trillion dollars. This is incomparable to the income of the other, much smaller beneficiaries.

So first on the suspect list should be very senior DIA officials associated with military drone manufacturers, and very senior CIA officials associated with USAID. And judging by the haste with which they are going about it, they are likely to be those who are 2–3 years away from retirement by seniority. There are no more than 10 such people, and it is not difficult to single them out.

05.10.2022

List of Notable Anomalies in the Conflict with Ukraine

1. The absence of a formal declaration of war.

2. A slump in global media discourse on the topic of Russian natural gas exports through Ukraine.

3. The security of Ukraine’s gas infrastructure, which has been the subject of speculation on several Telegram channels, with some claiming that the possible owner is Joseph R. Biden Jr.:

a. Supply of gas to Europe through the Ukrainian Pomary-Uzhgorod gas pipeline for $100 million a day;

b. No strikes on:

(i) Gas pipelines;

(ii) Fields producing $30 million of gas per day;

(iii) Underground gas storage facilities, each holding up to $1 billion worth of gas, and up to $10 billion in the Bilche-Volytsko-Uherske UGS;

c. The withdrawal of Russian troops from Balakliya, which is situated in close proximity to the major Shebelinka gas field, which is a key gas hub, commenced from the outset of the conflict.

4. No strikes on:

a. Ukraine’s military and political leadership (Zelenskiy, Zaluzhnyy, etc.);

b. Decision-making centers (including Security Service directorates and military draft stations);

c. Communications centers;

d. Nodes of power transmission and voltage reduction from 220 kV to 110 kV;

e. Strategic bridges and tunnels (e.g., Beskid Tunnel);

f. Railway junctions.

5. Actual non-use en masse of weapons of recent generations.

6. No jamming of Starlink satellite communications, which are actively used by the enemy at both local[189] and national[190] levels.

7. The actual cessation of the destruction of Ukrainian air defense systems ‘in bulk’ occurred promptly following the withdrawal of troops from Kiev.

8. NATO’s supply of arms to Ukraine is proceeding with virtually no interference from Russia.

9. The rejection of the proposal for the purchase of significant quantities of Ukrainian military equipment from the Ukrainian military itself.

10. Withdrawal of troops from Kiev.

11. Refusal to mine abandoned ammunition and heavy equipment during the retreat.

12. Explosion on the cruiser Moscow.

13. Surrender of the island of Zmeiniy.

14. Refusal to use the Kinburn Spit as a primary missile and artillery base, situated 60 km from Odessa and 5 km from Ochakov.

15. Grain deal with the passage of ‘empty’ bulk carriers to Ukrainian ports.

16. Refusal to blow up the huge army arsenal in Balakliya during the retreat.

Journalist Roman Skomorokhov recently wrote: ‘Everything that is happening reminds me of a duel between two boxers. On the one hand — Ukrainian, one of the Klichko brothers (well, let it be Vitaly, he speaks beautifully), on the other — Russian, Nikolai Valuyev. With Klichko everything is fine, but Valuyev will appear with shackles on his left leg and weights tied to them, with his right hand tied to his torso and with a blindfolded left eye. And he will not be allowed to hit Klichko in the head.’[191]

It seems to me that a more appropriate comparison in connection with this ‘incomprehensible’ war would be to consider the scenario of a professional boxer competing against a five-year-old child, with the stipulation that the match must last for two hours. It is difficult to envisage how a professional boxer could prevail over a child for two hours. It is likely that the child would cry after the first slap and leave the ring. Therefore, the only option for the professional boxer would be to run away from the child shouting, ‘Oh, I’m afraid, I’m afraid!’ and ‘Oh, he’s beating me!’ in order to prevent him from being knocked out. It would also be necessary to run at a slow pace in order to remain in the race.

Nevertheless, it is clear that the following task has been set: ‘The price of energy resources will be kept at a high level for a long time, but will not exceed the level at which European industry will be forced to stop. The world producers of hydrocarbons will squeeze all the liquidity and accumulated reserves out of European industry and population. Until the total ruin of industry and population. The loss of the Europeans, equal to the income of their competitors, will amount to more than 10 trillion dollars.’[192]

To resolve this issue, it is necessary to prolong the conflict in Ukraine for at least five years. The most effective way to achieve this outcome is obvious.

• The war will take place at a distance from the main gas pipelines and places of Ukrainian gas production, that is, in the steppe part of Ukraine.

• Russian troops will fight a positional war, crushing Ukrainian volunteer mobilization and mercenary cannon fodder, making local advances.

• Ukrainian troops will occasionally win high-profile but insignificant victories to motivate Ukrainian conscripts and foreign mercenaries to participate in the war.[193]

And in order for the Ukrainian side not to run out of weapons, they should be freely imported from Europe and planted when the Russian troops withdraw.

From a moral and emotional point of view, it is very unpleasant to realize this. But from an analytical point of view, a devastated Germany will have to change its political development vector to an economic alliance with Russia. Are the games worth the candle? Analytically — undoubtedly. Conquering Germany (in this case with all of Eastern Europe) at the cost of losing 200–300 thousand soldiers is strategically correct. Provided that these ‘candle fighters’ do not revolt during this time. This aspect requires close monitoring and attention. We have already witnessed a similar scenario in 1917, and it is crucial to avoid a repetition of such a tragedy.

07.10.2022

Why Is Russia Prolonging the War?

On 10.10.22,[194] there was a ‘major missile attack’ on Ukraine’s power infrastructure. About 200 missiles were used.

About 20% of the power generation and about 20% of the transmission networks of Ukraine were temporarily put out of operation. Transmission networks can really be repaired within a few days, and accordingly, by refusing to export electricity, Ukraine will not even feel the ‘force’ of the blow in a few days. Generation capacity can be repaired in a few months without any hurry.[195]

The cost is huge, the effect is about zero. This is a PR exercise that will have little long-term effect. What was that for?

If the goal is to achieve a quick victory over Ukraine by disabling its infrastructure, then all that can be done is to cut off Ukraine’s gas supply.

1. To cut off gas supplies to Ukraine.

2. To stop the operation of a key gas field in Ukraine, Shebelinka, located 17 km from the former Russian positions in Balakliya, with a missile strike.

3. Destroy the contents of the Bilche-Volytsko-Uherske underground gas storage facility in the city of Stryj, in Lvov region, by missile attack.

Without gas, neither the industry nor the people of Ukraine will be able to survive. They will have to crawl on their hands and knees. There is no need to send troops to implement this plan. Why did we fight for 8 months? Why was there a mobilization? To answer these questions, it is necessary to weigh the negative and positive consequences of the ‘long war’ from a military, economic, domestic and geopolitical perspective.

Military aspect

Negative result

1. Dead, wounded, military equipment destroyed.[196] There are many different opinions about the number of dead. I personally believe in a figure of 30,000 for the first year of the war. Is that a lot or a little? Every year in Russia about 15,000 people die in traffic accidents and about 8,000 in fires. In 2020, according to the Federal State Statistics Service, 50,435 people died in Russia from alcohol-related causes.[197] We won’t even mention COVID; this is worse than any war. I would not be at all surprised if the mortality rate in the military year 2022 in Russia turns out to be lower than in the ‘peaceful’ 2021.

Positive result

1. Legal destruction of aggressive Russophobes-Banderites in Ukraine. The same ones who shouted ‘Hang a Muscovite’, ‘Who doesn’t jump is a Muscovite’, ‘Putin, get out of my way, la-la-lala-la-la’. Including foreign Russophobes from all over the world. There are also many different views on the number of killed Russophobes, personally I believe in the figure of 250,000 in the first year of the war.

2. The inexpensive utilization of obsolete weapons is a notable phenomenon. To illustrate, a T-62 tank, when purchased on the global market, costs no more than 50 thousand dollars with delivery. There is a considerable quantity of this type of weapon in storage, and it takes more than one year of conflict to fully utilize it. In this case, the disposal of armaments corresponds with the ‘disposal’ of egregious Russophobes.

3. The inexpensive disposal of ammunition that is long past its service life. The cost of disposal for a single 122 mm or 152 mm shell is 15,000 rubles, with up to 60,000 shells being disposed of daily. This equates to total savings of 1 billion rubles on the disposal of shells per day. The disposal of even one S-300 missile incurs a significant expense, and it is concerning to consider the number of shells and missiles stored in warehouses awaiting disposal. In this context, the disposal of past-service life ammunition is analogous to the ‘disposal’ of notorious and confirmed Russophobes.

4. Testing and modernization of the latest Russian (and not only) weapon systems: Kinzhal, Kalibr, Terminator, Krasnopol, SU-57, Geran and various electronic warfare systems. Almost the entire line of advanced airborne weapons designed and manufactured by the Tactical Missile Armament Corporation (JSC) was successfully tested during the special military operation in Ukraine.[198]

5. The real test of confronting NATO weapon systems such as HIMARS, Switchblade, Caesar, Javelin, etc.

6. In fact, there are ‘combat maneuvers’ of Russia on Ukrainian territory with NATO trying to increase the effectiveness of outdated Western weapons in conjunction with the latest satellite communications, intelligence and target designation.

7. The process of weeding out incompetent troop leaders who have gone to the front line with their personal mobile phones or satellite communication systems switched on.

8. The ‘battle test’ revealed the following:

a) The ignorance of most of the top military leadership;

b) The lack of coherence between the branches of the army;

c) The lack of reliable communications in ‘foreign’ territory;

d) Problems with snipers, drones, satellite targeting and tracking;

e) Fantastic theft by the top and senior leadership of the home front;

f) Theft and looting at the middle command level;

g) Fatal unpreparedness of the Russian Armed Forces to ‘jam’ the Starlink global reconnaissance system;

h) Actual betrayal of Russia’s interests by officials of the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media of the Russian Federation that blocked a similar Russian project 5 (five!) years ago.

Balance

Despite the significant component of the negative result, the positive result in the military aspect outweighs it.

Economic aspect

Negative result

1. The ‘freezing’ (and subsequent seizure) in the West of the Central Bank’s assets worth some $300 billion, as well as the assets of Russian officials, oligarchs and businessmen worth some $2 trillion.

2. Mobilization of 300,000 people with a corresponding reduction in the number of industrial and agricultural workers. Despite the huge number of idiotic decisions of a number of military commissars, according to the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media Order No. 712 of 26 September 2022, almost no highly qualified specialists will be conscripted. This applies to very broad groups, not only IT and bankers, but also developers of military equipment, geologists, cartographers and even sound engineers.

3. The recruitment of contract soldiers, estimated at 500,000 people.

In Russia, the ‘army’ of security guards is estimated at up to 2,000,000 people. If a quarter of this number were to guard the motherland with guns in their hands, nothing bad could happen.

4. The stupidity (or malice?) of the employees of the Ministry of Finance, who included Cyprus, Gibraltar and the British Virgin Islands in the list of unfriendly jurisdictions, hit the Russian economy harder than any sanctions, since up to 90% of the Russian economy is structured on these jurisdictions.

5. Sanctions strikes on the economy with the need to restructure logistics chains led to imbalance in the distribution of consumer goods in one to three months, industrial goods — from six months to two years.

6. Sanctions and panic strikes on the financial system led to a 90% drop in mortgages and a 90% drop in property sales. The risk of the mortgage bubble bursting and the risk of bankruptcy in the construction sector increased.

7. The loss of the three Nord Streams pipelines, taking into account Germany’s contractual obligations, would result in a loss of about $10 billion.

8. There will be costs for the reconstruction of Ukraine, including humanitarian aid and the ‘re-education’ of a section of Ukrainians zombified by active Russophobic propaganda.

Positive result

1. Huge revenues of the oil and gas producing sector of the Russian economy and budget from super-expensive gas and expensive oil will lead to an absolute record in 2022. The current forecast for export growth is 40–50% and total exports may well exceed $700 billion in 2022.

2. The number of refugees from Ukraine has already exceeded 2,500,000, replacing many times the number of Russians mobilized or fighting under contract in the economy.

3. Import substitution has intensified markedly, especially in such strategic sectors of the economy as energy, communications, arms production, information technology and banking.

4. Logistics chains are being built that are not tied to truly unfriendly jurisdictions.

5. Responding to sanctions by actually taking companies that are actually owned by unfriendly jurisdictions, such as Shell, McDonald’s, Volkswagen, Société Générale (Rosbank), etc., to the tune of $240 billion.[199]

Balance

Despite the significant component of the negative result, the formation of the balance is almost complete. And already the positive result in the economic aspect exceeds the negative one and will increase significantly as the war ‘drags on’.

Dimension of domestic policy

Negative result

1. Dissatisfaction of the majority of the population with the very fact of mobilization and strong dissatisfaction with the incongruous level of idiocy and dullness of many draft officers.

2. Strong dissatisfaction of the majority of the population with the withdrawal of the Russian troops from the Kharkov region.

3. Further sharp separation of kinship ties between residents of Russia and residents of Ukraine.

4. Consolidation of the population of western and central Ukraine under anti-Russian and Nazi slogans.

Positive result

1. Consolidation of the Russian population under pro-Russian and anti-Nazi slogans, a sharp decline in separatist ideas.

2. Growth of pro-Russian sentiment after the admission of the DPR, LNR, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions to the Russian Federation.

3. A sharp decline in the influence of the West.

a. Rejection of the Bologna education system.

b. The ‘demotards’ physically left the country: Chubais, Yavlinsky, the liberal propaganda intelligentsia, such as the leading staff of Ekho Moskvy, Meduza, etc.

c. Traitors to Russian ideology also left the country.

i. Actors Galkin, Pugacheva, Urgant, Khamatova, Yarmolnik, Slepakov, etc.

ii.  Oligarch businessmen: Prokhorov, Tinkov, Volozh, Milner, etc.

iii. A small section of the technical intelligentsia, including some of the youth in IT.

iv. Draft evaders. All of them can no longer count on the positive attitude of either the state or the majority of the population toward them. As the ‘great politician’ Klichko says: ‘They have painted themselves in the colors in which they have painted themselves.’

d. The West’s economic betrayal of the businessmen who trusted it was clear.

Fridman and Aven gave the most obvious example of the West’s betrayal.

e. Officials who have kept their assets in the West have become ‘semi-impoverished’ — their assets in Russia (houses, apartments, cars, some cash) remain, while 95% of their savings in the form of money ‘offshore’ in Western banks or in the form of real estate in the West have actually gone to zero. Therefore, those of them who want to stay in public service for a long time have become economically much more patriotic, and there is a serious hope for a transition from negative to positive political corruption.

Balance

So far, the positive result on the domestic front outweighs the negative. But the situation could change if further mobilizations are announced or if important territories are lost.

Geopolitical aspect

Negative result

Practically absent. Numerous economic sanctions have not had a negative geopolitical impact on Russia.

Positive result

1. Putin has managed to create a collective ‘anti-West’ consisting of China, India, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Venezuela, Iran in the energy sphere, and the vast majority of countries in Asia, Africa and Latin America in the other spheres. Even Mexico! Lasting political and economic ties are being forged for decades to come.

2. Against this background, a number of ‘fragile’ satellites in Africa have turned to Russia. The ‘African district of Russia’ is beginning to take shape.

3. The prolongation of the war benefits all hydrocarbon producers, including the members of the OPEC+ bloc: Russia, Qatar, Venezuela, Iran and Saudi Arabia, whose products have become more expensive.

4. Germany, ruined by high energy prices, together with its Eastern European satellites, will have to change its political development vector towards an economic union with Russia.

Balance

The positive result in the geopolitical aspect is enormous. There is nothing like it in the history of the world. For the first time, Russia has become a geopolitical actor at the highest level.

Final balance

By and large, Russia’s main ‘advantage’ lies in geopolitics. Despite the very significant negative indicators, the positive result outweighs as well in military, economic and domestic aspects.

12.10.2022

And Who Are We Really Fighting?

In my previous article, Why is Russia Prolonging the War?[200] I managed to establish that prolonging the conflict in Ukraine benefits Russia in every way, especially in geopolitical terms.

It is also clear that the war is extremely profitable for the US. It is currently shipping more than 200 million cubic meters of natural gas per day to Europe at spot prices, bringing them at least $300 million per day in additional revenue, or more than $100 billion per year. Its income also comes from the supply of obsolete military equipment to Ukraine, as well as the production of new weapons systems to replace those being retired. Of course, it also has an income from the ‘freezing’ of Russian assets.

And who is the loser of the war?

We do not take Ukraine into account; it has no legal personality and is de facto a means of warfare rather than a target. But who are we at war with?

Gas prices have gone up, so those countries that import gas have the most to lose from the war in Ukraine. And who are these countries?

After analyzing a number of sources, we have come up with the following picture of the largest gas importers in 2021, in billion cubic metres.

Note that China and Turkey have long-term fixed-price pipeline supplies from Russia, while Italy and Spain have long-term pipeline supplies from Algeria via Sicily and Gibraltar, respectively. The adjusted list of those affected by rising spot gas prices would then look something like this:

Surprisingly, with the exception of China, all the ‘affected’ countries have strongly pro-American policies.

In a similar case, card players say: ‘If you can’t get the player hooked, get your whist partner hooked.’ And in politics: ‘What’s worse than war with an American? Only friendship with him!’

So, in terms of geo-economics, the United States, in alliance with Russia and OPEC, is waging an economic war against Germany, Japan, Britain, France and South Korea. As a bonus, it is also waging an economic war against China.

These countries, which buy gas on the spot market, will collectively lose more than $700 billion a year, which will affect not only the balance of payments but also the competitiveness of the economy.

They will tolerate one year, another year… And then they will be faced with a choice: either to lose their economy or to change their political course. What will win? They say that ‘being determines consciousness.’ Well, we’ll live and see.

17.10.2022

Why Did We Surrender Kherson?

In my previous article Balakliya. Correction of the War Aims and Methods of Their Achievement, Advantages and Shortcomings from 11.09.2022,[201] I have already written that the real aims of the war were:

1. To keep the price of energy at a high level for a long time, but not higher than the level at which European industry is forced to stop. The world producers of hydrocarbons will all the time squeeze all the liquidity and accumulated reserves out of European industry and population. Until the total ruin of industry and population. The loss of the Europeans, equal to the income of their competitors, will amount to more than 10 trillion dollars;

2. Long-term use of obsolete Russian and NATO weapons and ammunition on the territory of Ukraine. According to the simplest estimates, Russia alone has enough past-service life ammunition to wage a war for many years.[202] The proceeds from this disposal will amount to 2–3 trillion dollars.

3. The pro-American and anti-American blocs will test all the latest weapons on Ukrainian military personnel,[203] refine them based on the results of their combat use, and test them again. The military order for the next 10 years will be redistributed in the amount of more than 10 trillion dollars.

Methods to achieve these goals

1. The war will undoubtedly last 4–5 years.

2. The war will take place far from the main gas pipelines and the places of Ukrainian gas production, i.e. in the steppe part of Ukraine.

3. Russian troops will conduct positional warfare, crushing Ukrainian ‘cannon fodder’ and making localized advances. Accordingly, the number of self-propelled guns will be increased.

4. The Ukrainian Armed Forces will occasionally win high-profile and low-profile victories to motivate Ukrainian conscripts to participate in the war.

Advantages

1. Strengthening and ‘soldering’ the economies of the international anti-American coalition to the tune of $5 trillion.

2. Weakening of the dependent economies of the American (Anglo-Saxon) coalition in favor of the US economy to the tune of about $5 trillion.

3.  The additional hydrocarbon revenues for Russia over the next five years will be up to $2 trillion.

4. The transfer of part of Europe’s energy-intensive industry to Russia and the growth of Russia’s own energy-intensive industry will generate additional revenues of up to $1 trillion over the next 10 years.

5. Significant growth in import substitution in strategic industries will generate up to $1 trillion in additional revenue over the next 10 years.

6.  Postponing for 3–4 years the release of frozen assets of the Russian state, businessmen, officials and oligarchs amounting to more than $2 trillion in favor of pro-American structures under the pretext of ‘assistance to Ukraine’.

7. Reducing risk of invasion of Ukraine by Polish and Romanian forces.

8. Reducing the risk of use of tactical nuclear weapons.

9. Reducing the risk of radioactive contamination of territory as a result of sabotage of a nuclear power plant;

10. Reducing the risk of sabotage of the Crimean Bridge;[204]

11. Reduction of anti-state activities in Russia by US intelligence services;

12. Reducing the risk of the Yellowstone caldera exploding in the USA;

13. Reducing the risk to the population of Ukraine associated with the possible conduct of hostilities in the forested part of Ukraine.

The advantages of the military operation to abandon Kherson are almost the same, while the disadvantages of the operation are similar but somewhat different.

Unlike the ‘Battle of Balakliya’, the Russian state in the Kherson region did not abandon its citizens, but organized their evacuation. This means that there is a lesson to be learned, i.e. ‘all is not lost’.

However, the refusal of the state to explain to its citizens the real advantages of the capitulation of Kherson only leads to the aggravation of all the shortcomings listed above, namely:

1. Significant decrease in the level of trust in the state both in the liberated territories and among the native citizens of the Russian Federation.

2. Decrease of patriotic feelings in Russia, growth of dissatisfaction of Russians with the military policy of the authorities. As a result — an increase in the risk of a ‘palace coup’ in Russia by the forces of internal warring parties.[205]

In order to translate into simple language what the state did not say, I will explain.

1. Already this year Russia’s exports will exceed those of 2021 by more than 40% and will amount to about 700 billion dollars. This is a direct consequence of the war as a generator of price growth for export products. And such good export figures will certainly continue for several years. If the RF Armed Forces had made a breakthrough from Kherson to Transnistria, the war would have ended quickly, which would have led to a drop in the prices of gas, oil, coal, fertilizers, food and our other export goods. Then the export forecast for 2023 would not be the expected $700 billion, but only $400 billion. This difference would significantly affect the state and ordinary Russians.

2. Mortality in 2022 will be lower than in 2021, despite combat losses. This is because COVID has ‘retreated’. And while the war in Ukraine continues, no new viruses are expected to emerge.

3. Traditional US allies such as Germany, Italy, France, Britain, Japan and South Korea have begun to realise that the war is being waged against their economies and therefore against their citizens. The longer the war goes on, the greater the likelihood that they will turn politically to Russia.

4. Xi Jinping’s victory in China, Netanyahu’s victory in Israel and the surprisingly failed assassination attempt on Imran Khan in Pakistan can also be part of this deal. From a geopolitical point of view, this is more important for Russia than the loss of Kherson.[206]

And there is nothing of geo-economic importance in Kherson. No oil, no gas. No mineral resources. Local industry had been destroyed before Russia came. The famous Kherson shipyard was long ago dismantled for scrap by ‘democratic Ukrainians’. There is still a port, but all the ships that pass through it do so via the Kinburn Spit, which remains under our control. In geo-economic terms, the loss is insignificant.

But the Russians’ self-esteem has suffered greatly. The Russians ‘harness slowly, but ride fast’. God forbid there should be a Russian revolt, as the poet said. It would be both ‘senseless and merciless’. And it is necessary to prevent it in advance. Fortunately, it is not so difficult to simply explain everything to the Russians in a normal way. It just has to be done and not left to chance.

10.11.2022

P. S. ‘Any resemblance is purely coincidental’.

• Statements by the Russian Federation on its willingness to negotiate without preconditions.

• The US extended until May 15, 2023, permission for banks to engage in transactions related to Russian energy deliveries.

• Abramovich gained control at a cost of $6 billion.

• The London Metal Exchange has abandoned the idea of introducing a ban on metal supplies from the Russian Federation.

• The US does not object to India buying Russian oil at a price above the price ceiling without using the services of Western companies.

• The Netherlands has cleared the way for 20,000 tons of Russian fertilizer to be shipped to Africa after it was stuck in port because of sanctions against the cargo’s owner.

(ZeRada Telegram Channel, 12.11.2022)

Is the US Our Enemy in the War in Ukraine?

The vast majority of political scientists believe that since Putin’s Munich speech in 2007 on the need for a multipolar world, the US has become our enemy. They declare that the US needs a rigid dominance in the world and will not accept anything else. The most radical analysts believe that ‘America needs only one thing from us — that we do not exist.’

I think this is a mistake. Moreover, from the point of view of the science called ‘political economy’, this cannot happen. Let me explain.

In the US, the military lobby and the hydrocarbon producers’ lobby are very strong. This is a well-known fact.

Let’s ask ourselves: ‘Who will the US military-industrial complex sell weapons to if the world is unipolar and the US has won?’ The answer is obvious: if the US has already won, then there is no need to buy new weapons in such quantities. And such a decision will hit hard the revenues of companies like Boeing, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon and many others.

The US military budget is over $700 billion. The emergence of a unipolar world means a reduction in the income of the military-industrial complex by $300–400 billion per year. And the reduction in the income of senators and congressmen ‘from the military-industrial complex’ will be more than noticeable. Do they need it? No. The US military-industrial complex desperately needs a great militarized power capable of threatening the US. Only then will the revenues of the defense contractors be large enough.

The situation is similar for the largest international oil and gas companies. The so-called ‘Seven Sisters’, named after John D. Rockefeller:

British Petroleum, Exxon, Gulf Oil, Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron and Texaco.

The average cost of producing oil is $20 per barrel. How can you explain to consumers why this oil should be sold for more than $90 per barrel? In a normal, peaceful world, the profit from the sale of fossil fuels cannot be 300–400%. Absolutely not! Maybe 20%. Maximum 30%. But not 300%!

And the profits before the Arab-Israeli conflict were just as reasonable. Only the military actions of the Arabs with the support of the USSR and, accordingly, of the Jews with the support of the USA increased the price of oil fourfold. And since then, this war has been used by the USA, Russia and the Arab world for the “non-transparent” increase of the price of oil. When the Arab-Israeli conflict began to subside, supposed enemies of the USA ‘coincidentally’ appeared in the Muslim world: in Iran, Iraq and even Afghanistan. And now the ‘Seven Sisters’ are in dire need of a major militarized power whose geopolitical actions would provide a convincing pretext for raising the price of oil.

For the oil and gas sector, war is not only a ‘dear friend’ but also an obligatory part of doing business. Therefore, a unipolar world is unacceptable for the US military-industrial complex and the oil and gas industry. The victory of ‘world peace’ will lead to a sharp decrease in the profitability of these sectors and, accordingly, to a change in the economic and, therefore, political elite in the US and around the world. They desperately need an image of an enemy that can be shown to American (and not only!) citizens. It is not for nothing that a joke appeared in 1999:

ENEMY WANTED:

Mature North American superpower seeks hostile country to join arms race, Third World conflicts, and general confrontations. Must be threatening enough to convince Congress to fund us. Preference will be given to those with nuclear arsenals, and proposals from those close to developing nuclear weapons will also be considered.

Land, any area.

Send letter and photo of armored armies to General C. Powell,

Pentagon, Washington D.C., USA.[207]

Therefore, Putin’s announcement of a multipolar world was manna from heaven for these oligarchs.

Putin immediately became vital to the US military and hydrocarbon lobbies, because it is by creating an image of him as an enemy that they can fool oil consumers and American taxpayers. ‘Putin is to blame for everything.’ These words are much easier to say to American citizens than ‘arms manufacturers need orders and oil companies need huge profits’. And since Russia (probably by some amazing coincidence) is also a world producer of hydrocarbons and a world producer of weapons, such deception of American (and other) consumers of oil and weapons plays into Russia’s hands.

Those who espouse conspiracy theories may posit a ‘joint conspiracy of the highest authorities of Russia and the USA’, but those with a command of economic principles are compelled to recognize the intertwined macroeconomic interests. The American military-industrial complex is driven by the imperative to produce weapons, as is the Russian military-industrial complex. US oil companies are driven by the need for superprofits, as are Russian oil companies. If a conflict that is both sluggish and publicly vocal is a means to achieve these goals, then it stands to reason that such a conflict may be created.

To quadruple the cost of oil, they started the Arab-Israeli conflict. To quadruple the cost of gas, they started a Russian-Ukrainian conflict (what a remarkable coincidence!).

No one in the world sympathizes with the Jews or the Ukrainians. Of course, by another remarkable coincidence, the government of Ukraine is largely composed of Jews, and the military and intelligence of Israel are largely composed of Soviet Jews from Ukraine and the Baltic states.

Consequently, once political analysts recognize that the United States and Russia are essentially aligned in global affairs, the entire perspective of the Russia-Ukraine conflict will become clear.

In conclusion,

1. A protracted military confrontation between Russia and Ukraine is beneficial to the military and oil industries of both nations.

2. A quick resolution would be detrimental to both parties.

So, in fact, neither needs a quick victory. Neither side. It is only necessary to negotiate in time so that neither side does anything that would lead to a quick end to the war. For example, so that Russia does not hastily seize the main Ukrainian gas field in Shebelinka, only 17 km from Balakliya, or inadvertently break through the military corridor Kherson-Transnistria.

And to make the deal less obvious, the US is supplying the Ukrainians with obsolete weapons in quantities sufficient for defense, but in no way for military parity.

As long as the US-Russian agreement is seen as a guarantee of ‘Ukrainian losses being eight times as high as Russian losses but give Ukrainians resounding victories’. That’s why they help them. The cruiser Moscow, Zmeinyy Island, Kharkov region, Kherson region. Loud and inspiring Ukrainians. And they just forgot about the inspiration of Russians. Which is wrong.

18.11.2022

Ukraine’s Gas Pipelines and the Front Line

As everyone has noticed, Russia hardly hits any Ukrainian gas pipelines. To what extent are gas pipelines taboo in the current special military operation?

The map of Ukraine’s gas pipelines shows the approximate front line for April.

Note that in April Russian troops controlled the gas entrances to Ukraine through the Valuyki and Pisarivka gas pipelines, and in Balakliya stood 17 kilometers from Ukraine’s largest gas field near Shebelinka with a strategic pipeline junction (hub) of the same name.

Throughout the entire period of the special military operation, no Kalibr, Smerch, Grad or even artillery was fired at the Shebelynka gas field from Balakliya, although the range of even artillery allowed it. And after the ‘Battle of Balakliya’ they left both entrances of the gas pipelines to Ukraine and moved away from the hub to a safe distance for the gas pipelines.

And in the fall they also moved away from the same gas pipeline in the direction of Kherson to a safe distance for it.

Those in the know told me that during the NATO bombing of Serbia, not a single bomb fell within half a kilometer of the main gas pipeline in Serbia.

Therefore, we observe that, for some reason, gas pipelines are off limits in contemporary warfare. While we may not fully understand the reasons for this, it is important to acknowledge this pattern. If this trend continues, it is reasonable to expect that the trajectory of the conflict will not include the primary gas pipeline.

So Kramatorsk and Zaporozhye can, in principle, be in the center of the hostilities, but Dnipropetrovsk and Pavlograd cannot categorically.

19.11.2022

Solution to the Problem: How Many Fools Are around Us?

Problem statement

The distribution of smart people in society follows the Gaussian normal distribution law, and unfortunately, according to his theory, the majority of the population is not smart.

Not smart, but how much? According to the Gaussian distribution, 6% of the human population is officially demented and mentally retarded. From a biological and medical perspective, people with an IQ below 70 are considered retarded. Officially, they are called morons, cretins, and idiots, which is a medical diagnosis. Despite Article 1 of the Declaration of Human Rights, which states that ‘all human beings… are endowed with reason,’[208] these people are officially recognized as lacking intelligence.

Even though the same document states that ‘all people are born… equal in their rights’,[209] these people do not have the right to acquire civil rights and duties. Mildly disabled persons may have some rights and duties, but they are restricted in their right to serve in the armed forces, in state and municipal bodies, in their right to access state secrets, in their right to handle weapons and explosives, in their right to drive vehicles, and so on.

These people live right next to us, and there’s no denying it. For example, a study commissioned by the Innovation Center for US Dairy found that 7% of American adults believe chocolate milk comes from brown cows, and not from the white ones.[210]

Unfortunately, the number of truly intelligent people, i.e. gifted, talented, and geniuses, i.e. all those with IQs above 130 according to the Gaussian distribution, is exactly the same as the number of imbeciles. Their insufficient number has been noted by all prominent thinkers without resorting to scientific calculations.

Stanislavsky once said that geniuses are born once a century, great talents every decade, talents every year, mediocrity every day, and third-rate people every hour. And George Bernard Shaw said, quite mathematically, that ‘two percent of the people think; three percent of the people think they think; and ninety-five percent of the people would rather die than think.’

In a simplified form, the rule is: ‘Three are smarter than five’[211] — which is in line with the ancient truth: ‘The worst are always the majority’.

However, a closer examination of the Gaussian curve can provide insights beyond simply quantifying the proportion of intelligent and unintelligent individuals in society.

If we are guided not only by the normal distribution curve, but also by the theory of complex systems that follows from it, which states in a highly simplified form that ‘every complex system necessarily contains an error if it consists of a sufficiently large number of sufficiently complex elements connected by a sufficiently large number of sufficiently complex nonlinear, including feedback, connections,’ we can conclude that every intelligent human being is an error of nature, a deviation from the ‘norm’.

From the point of view of higher mathematics, the intellectual elite (6%[212] smart) is as much a mistake of nature as 6% idiots. In scientific terms, it is a mutation in the human biological population.

This mutation can be an innate mutation, in which case a person is smarter than normal from birth. It is no accident that in smart families smarter children are born.

Also mutation of ‘smart aleck’ can be acquired, that is, it is developed by method of constant unusually large training of a brain. It is clear that if long to train the brain, to load it with exercises and to absorb knowledge, a person becomes smarter.

At the same time, a person who is born with a low ability to perceive knowledge naturally has less chance of becoming clever through learning. But even a smart child from birth should not be lazy and should work hard on himself: to study to become a really smart person. Lazy people are lazy to train their brains, and this is the main reason for the spread of stupidity.

The picture by the artist Roman Shisteryov

In the context of studying the cognitive abilities of highly intelligent individuals, it is imperative to elucidate the mechanisms underlying the rapid transmission of signals between neurons at synapses and the ability of the brain to simultaneously form a large number of interconnected synapses.

The speed of signal travel in the brain depends on the electrical conductivity of the cerebrospinal fluid and is most likely an innate human trait. It is highly doubtful that it can be changed by training.

Conversely, the brain’s capacity to align a substantial number of interconnected synapses concurrently, in addition to memory, is purportedly malleable and can be enhanced through personal growth and development.

Recent scientific findings have revealed that during the initial 30 years of life, the nerve fibers within the brain are enveloped by a myelin layer. This layer facilitates the transmission of impulses, thereby enhancing cognitive functions such as concentration, memory, and responsiveness to familiar stimuli.[213]

A substantial corpus of research on the nature of intelligence frequently arrives at the conclusion that individuals with a high intellectual capacity exhibit a gene-to-labor ratio of approximately ‘40 to 60.’ This suggests that 40% of success is attributable to genetics, while the remaining 60% is derived from intellectual labor. Kennel owners who breed medalist dogs on the basis of trainability have been shown to make them practice commands on a daily basis. These dogs are then mated with other well-trained dogs. A puppy from such a mating has been demonstrated to learn basic commands like ‘sit’ or ‘off’ two to three times faster than a puppy from the same but untrained dogs. Multiple crossbreeding has been shown to produce breeds of such unusually intelligent dogs as the German Shepherd and the Bernese Mountain Dog.[214]

In principle, if a group of people, such as a tribe, were to be isolated from the rest of society and compelled to engage in daily study without the opportunity to marry outside the group, it could be hypothesized that the result would be a higher proportion of intelligent offspring in this group compared to other tribes. These more intelligent offspring, in turn, would be expected to produce an even higher proportion of intelligent offspring in subsequent generations.

Solution to the problem

It used to be thought that the problem of ‘How many idiots are around us?’ was unsolvable. The assumption ‘80% of people are idiots’ was usually followed by the answer: ‘Only those who can’t count to 90 think so.’ It’s often said, ‘Everyone around us is stupid.’

But this problem has a solution, and it lies solely in the IQ of the person asking the question.

This means that if the IQ of the questioner is, God forbid, 70, then all the people around him are smart. Or, as our former brothers the Ukrainians say: ‘There are no fools.’ If the questioner’s IQ is 100, it’s just as easy for him: half the people around him are stupid, and the other half are smart. But if the questioner’s IQ is 130, there is a problem. For him, only 6% of the people around him are smart, and the rest are stupid.

And imagine how hard it is for Nobel prize winner mathematician Grigoriy Perelman with his IQ significantly exceeding the estimate of 200 units. He really objectively sees that the leadership of the Institute of Mathematics is more stupid than he is in the field of development of this discipline. He does not evaluate their organizational abilities, but from the point of view of a theoretical mathematician he is really right. He really has no one to talk to, because there is simply no one equal to him in terms of intellect. But that doesn’t mean that everyone at the Math Institute is stupid. No. Everyone there has an IQ of over 130. Everyone there is really gifted. And he is just much smarter than they are, as he is a real genius.

So if you think everyone around you is a fool, the problem is not with the people around you. The problem is you. You’re the one who’s too smart.

And you won’t find a society made up entirely of smart people with IQs over 130, because the law of normal distribution cannot be overridden. So get used to living among more stupid people. This will be the next stage of your learning and ‘getting smarter’.

25.11.2022

Who Benefits from Xi Jinping’s Victory at the 20th CPC Congress?

At present, China is not a monolithic, cohesive ethnic power. It has a large number of nationalities speaking different languages and sometimes not even understanding each other. There is also no single economic and therefore political leader — ‘emperor’.

As leading Chinese scholar N. N. Vavilov explains, China’s economy is divided among three main clans, each with different political influence. The northwestern ‘Xi’an’ clan of ‘communists’ led by Xi Jinping controls only about 10% of China’s economy. True, this is the military-industrial complex and the rest of the economy associated with the army and the strongmen. That is why the ‘Communists’ are called the ‘Party of Victory’ or the ‘Party of War’. They are not for friendship with the US, but for the military annexation of Taiwan.

The more southerly ‘Komsomol’ clan, led by Hu Jintao and his protégé Li Keqiang, controls about 60% of the economy and is focused on good relations with the US. It does not want to go to war with Taiwan.

The ‘Shanghai’ clan, although pro-American, is for war with Taiwan. It controls about 30% of the economy.

But we see from the results of the 20th CPC Congress that Hu Jintao is politely removed from the presidium, and his protégé Li Keqiang, with whom they control 60% of the economy, is not even elected to the CPC Central Committee. And Xi Jinping, who controls only 10% of the economy, is given almost monopoly political power. True, with the support of the ‘Shanghainese’, pro-American by the way.

From the point of view of a science called political economy, this is a bit strange. Figuratively speaking, imagine that a 100 kilogram tiger has bitten a 600 kilogram tiger to death. True, with some help from a 300-kilogram tiger.

Besides, the fact that the pro-Russian Xi Jinping was supported by the pro-American “Shanghainese” also raises serious questions.

It seems impossible that such a thing could happen! But it did.

So maybe we just don’t see the other players who were discreetly involved in the fight? Metaphorically speaking, maybe there were 3–4 other tigers of several tons each, but invisible?

Let us try to look at this situation in the financial and economic light and analyze the financial and economic interests of the four major world players: the US military-industrial complex, the US hydrocarbon business (Seven Sisters), the US financial sector, and Russia (arms and hydrocarbons).

What does the US military-industrial complex profit from: peace or war? Can Boeing, General Dynamics, Lockheed Martin, Raytheon and others maintain and increase their revenues in peacetime? Of course they can’t. They need war.

But there’s already a war in Ukraine. And there’s a war in Syria. Isn’t that enough? No. Both Ukraine and Syria are ground-to-ground, land-to-land wars. These wars will provide orders for tanks, planes, aerial drones, surface-to-surface and air-to-surface missiles. But orders for aircraft carriers, destroyers, underwater drones, and anti-ship missiles will decline. Does the US military need that? No. So it needs to organize a war at sea.

The signal was the explosion of the Nord Stream pipeline, most likely using low-noise underwater drones. And while this event has spurred orders for underwater minesweeper drones, sapper drones, and anti-drones, it is not enough to seriously load the Pentagon’s naval contractor factories. What’s needed is serious naval warfare.

And with whom? Russia is 90% land based, and Syria is not a player that can be used to get military allocations for fleet rearmament. China, on the other hand, is a half-water power, very rich and with great macroeconomic and therefore geopolitical ambitions. A military conflict between rich China, backed by militarized Russia, and US-friendly Taiwan is simply manna from heaven for the naval part of the US military-industrial complex.

Therefore, the US MIC is much more favorable to Xi Jinping’s victory at the 20th CPC Congress. If “Comrade Xi” wins, he will start a war over Taiwan. Then several hundred billion dollars can be extracted from the US Congress to rearm the US Navy. And the ‘allies’ — Japan, South Korea and Australia — will also splurge. And if the land war in Taiwan drags on, the land part of the US military-industrial complex will also get additional orders. In short, at this point in history, Xi Jinping’s victory benefits the US military-industrial complex immeasurably. In a five-year perspective, the benefit will amount to at least 1 trillion dollars.

What does the US hydrocarbon business (British Petroleum, Exxon, Gulf Oil, Mobil, Royal Dutch Shell, Chevron and Texaco) profit from: peace or war? As I wrote in Is the US our enemy in the war in Ukraine?[215]:

‘The average cost of producing oil is $20 per barrel. How can you explain to consumers why this oil should be sold for more than $90 per barrel? In a normal, peaceful world, the profit from the sale of fossil fuels cannot be 300–400%. Absolutely not! Maybe 20%. Maximum 30%. But not 300%!

And the profits before the Arab-Israeli conflict were just as reasonable. Only the military actions of the Arabs with the support of the USSR and, accordingly, of the Jews with the support of the USA increased the price of oil fourfold. And since then, this war has been used by the USA, Russia and the Arab world for the ‘non-transparent’ increase of the price of oil. When the Arab-Israeli conflict began to subside, supposed enemies of the USA “coincidentally” appeared in the Muslim world: in Iran, Iraq and even Afghanistan. And now the “Seven Sisters” are in dire need of a major militarized power whose geopolitical actions would provide a convincing pretext for raising the price of oil. For the oil and gas sector, war is not only a “dear friend” but also an obligatory part of doing business. Therefore, a unipolar world is unacceptable for the US military-industrial complex and the oil and gas industry. The victory of “world peace” will lead to a sharp decrease in the profitability of these sectors and, accordingly, to a change in the economic and, therefore, political elite in the US and around the world. They desperately need an image of an enemy that can be shown to American (and not only!) citizens.’

They need a war. Both the Ukrainian war and the Syrian war are not enough for them. In both Ukraine and Syria it’s a ground war, a land war. But how much fuel do tanks use, how much fuel does a destroyer use? Naval warfare requires much more oil than land warfare. And the demand is rising, and the price is rising in the midst of public psychosis. War at sea is very necessary for the US hydrocarbon business. Therefore, at this historical stage, the US hydrocarbon business also benefits from Xi Jinping’s victory. Let us repeat, over the five-year horizon, the benefit will be at least several trillion US dollars.

What does the US financial sector profit from: peace or war? In times of peace, the markets are stable and there is no one to ‘take’ and ‘freeze’ money from. But if a war breaks out between Taiwan, supported by the United States, and China, supported by Russia, there are at least two kinds of advantages.

First, the markets will be feverish. You can make a lot of money playing with sharp price fluctuations on a stock exchange. And if you can get information about upcoming embargoes from bribed Senators and Congressmen, you can make a lot of money with very little risk.

Second, it will be possible to “freeze” Chinese assets. Both the money of the Chinese government and the accounts of Chinese businessmen, politicians and their ‘wallets’. This is 3–4 trillion US dollars. Then, in a few years, part of it will be given to the ‘Taiwanese government in exile’, but not directly, but through the Pentagon. 1–2 trillion will ‘stick’ in their hands.

Therefore, even at this historical juncture, the US financial industry is benefiting from Xi Jinping’s victory. Over a five-year horizon, the benefit will be at least several trillion US dollars.

What benefits Russia (arms and hydrocarbons): peace or war? The answer follows from the previous analysis: Russia will be able to sell a lot of weapons to China at a high price, and will get a much larger share of hydrocarbon supplies by land, since the US is likely to try to block water supplies of hydrocarbons to China. Therefore, Russia also benefits greatly from Xi Jinping’s victory. Over the five-year horizon, the benefit will be at least several trillion US dollars.

What do we get in the end? We see at least four players who stand to gain at least $10 trillion from China’s war with Taiwan. And we have not yet analyzed the interests of other, smaller sellers of weapons, hydrocarbons, and financial services. And all of them together will ‘earn’ no less.

Figuratively speaking, now that we look at the ‘tiger battle’ through the prism of financial and economic interests, we see that four more tigers weighing several tons and several dozen big wolves were involved. And they were all in favor of the 100-kilogram tiger. It’s just that they weren’t visible. Simply because the vast majority of people don’t see the world in terms of the financial and economic spectrum.

Moving from figurative financial and economic vision to financial and economic modeling, it is very logical to assume that the American ‘friends’ gave an order to the ‘Shanghainese’ to support Xi Jinping. And sacrificed the ‘Komsomol’ for the ‘Communists’. How they did it is another question. Maybe they threatened them with some kind of incriminating evidence that could damage their reputation. Or maybe they promised to block their assets outside China. Maybe they threatened them with something else. But most likely the effect was complex and coordinated. As Alexey Yedrikhin (Vandam), a writer and officer in the Russian imperial navy, said: ‘The only thing worse than enmity with an Anglo-Saxon is friendship with him.’

What is the most mutually beneficial scenario for all players involved in the China-Taiwan conflict? How should the war be fought so that everyone ‘wins’ as much as possible?

For the US military-industrial complex, it is imperative that the Chinese sink at least a couple of aircraft carriers and 20–30 smaller ships of the US Navy. This can be achieved through the use of hypersonic missiles of the Kinzhal type, which will be discovered suddenly, and with hieroglyphic markings on all parts. Additionally, it is imperative for the Chinese to shoot down 20–30 US Air Force planes, a feat that can be accomplished through the employment of S-400s, which have been utilized by the Chinese Armed Forces for several years. It will also be advantageous to lose 100–200 tanks and a corresponding number of artillery units in battles in the mountains of Taiwan. The US Air Force and Navy will use 300–700 non-nuclear high-yield missiles and 3–4 thousand cruise missiles, 100–200 surface and underwater drones. This active phase of the war will last no longer than six months. But the longer it is, the more profitable it is for the US military-industrial complex. So there may be several active phases.

The US hydrocarbon business requires at least five aircraft carriers, 100–200 smaller ships, and a thousand or two smaller escort ships. Plus tankers and cargo ships to the max. In addition, the cargo air fleet should make several thousand flights from the US to bases in Japan. This projection is also valid for an active war phase of six months. But the longer it is, the better it is for the ‘oil men’. They also need several active phases.

For US financial transactions, at least $2 trillion in assets of the Chinese government, officials and businessmen must be blocked. In money, securities, real estate. As well as Chinese-owned businesses in the US. It is also necessary to ‘earn’ at least one trillion in stock speculation.

For this to happen, the war must be a ding-dong struggle, i.e. first the Chinese must win, then the Taiwanese, then the Chinese again, and so on. And in politics, there must first be many different embargoes, then relaxations, then tightenings, and so on. In general, these ‘gentlemen’ need a long war. At least one year, better three years.

Russia has to sell half a trillion dollars worth of weapons to China. I would have liked more to be sold, but Russia’s military-industrial complex is unlikely to pull it out. Not even in 2–3 years. It has been falling apart for so many years that it cannot be put back together quickly. And it would be desirable to increase and maintain the share in hydrocarbon supplies at at least 30%. The longer the better.

It would be very good if Russia could improve its logistical relations with China during this period, including transit logistics to Europe. Technically it is possible, organizationally — only in case of severe repressions among officials. It would also be great to ‘return Kazakhstan to its native port’ without fanfare, but again, the level of intelligence of Russian officials does not allow us to hope for such success.

Bottom line. The ‘invisible tigers’ need a long war. One to three years.

What are the benefits for China?

1. China will eventually get Taiwan.

2. China will gain a consolidation and unity of the Chinese people in the face of an external threat comparable to the unity of the Chinese during World War II. This is expensive, and such things cannot be done quickly. At least one, or better two or three years of war is required for this outcome to materialize.

3. The Chinese army will be restructured and strengthened. This process will take several years.

4. Xi Jinping and the ‘Communists’ will redirect the country’s financial flows to China’s military-industrial complex, which they control. This is not a quick fix either. It will take at least a year, more likely two or three.

5. Besides, the ‘Communists’ will have to take away from the ‘Komsomol’ 30–40% of China’s economy. It is not a quick job either, it may not be done in a year.

The following conclusion is hereby formulated.

A ‘treaty’ war between China and Taiwan is required for all major world players. The duration of this war should be a minimum of two years, although three to four years would be preferable.

It is reasonable to assume that the following scenario will occur:

1. China’s push into Taiwan, destruction of the Taiwanese navy and 80% of the air force, fixation on the bridgehead.

2. Long and arduous battles in the mountains of Taiwan.

3. Taiwan will get help from the US and push China into the sea, striking China’s coastline.

4. China’s base in the Solomon Islands will be destroyed at the cost of a fair number of US ships.

5. China will declare a people’s ‘rally’ and ‘mobilization’ and fire missiles at Taiwan and the adjacent sea for a long time.

6. A long and tedious battle of underwater drones and underwater anti-drones.

7. Another push into Taiwan.

8. And another round.

Basically it will be the same as in Ukraine, but longer and considering the sea and local color.

It is also very realistic to assume an international ‘merry-go-round’ of wars. What does that mean?

Now that the sides in Ukraine are in a static phase of war, the price of gas has fallen to the $1,000 per 1,000 cubic meters mark. But! Suddenly Kurds attacked a tourist street in Istanbul. No one asks why the Kurds would kill foreign tourists. Public outcry is great, Americans are blamed, Americans don’t care. Turkey declares Operation Claw-Sword, attacks an American base. Americans don’t mind. The price of gas returns to $1,400 per 1,000 cubic meters. Now there will be a ground operation by the Turks and Iranians in Syrian and Iraqi Kurdistan. Oil fields will burn, the price of oil will rise.

When the Turks are exhausted, active hostilities will have to shift to China. If China is not ready by then, they will fight in Ukraine. Thus, the ‘carousel of wars’ will spin between the battlefields in Ukraine, Kurdistan and Taiwan. In total — at least 5 years, more likely 10 years of international war.

Whether it will be nuclear or not will be decided by the agreements reached in the course of the war. Most likely, if everyone is ‘forced’ to use nuclear weapons, they will be used only on Taiwan. Or they will choose another island. For example, the Solomon Islands, where China still has a military base. As a last resort, they will shoot at each other with tactical nuclear weapons in the Australian desert. No one in the world feels sorry for either the Chinese or the Australians.

26.11.2022

Beria as Hitler’s Agent

Hitler began the war with the USSR with the firm belief that there were agents in the highest levels of Soviet power capable of staging a coup and deposing Stalin. Who were these agents?

Based on a number of evidences and real actions, we can assume with a high degree of certainty that one of these agents was Lavrenty Pavlovich Beria.

Beria as a child

According to data obtained from the website of the FSB of the Russian Federation, it turns out that Beria from childhood was a Germanophile, and all his life in his family there was a German mistress.

‘A few kilometers from the village of Merkheuli[216] there was a German settlement called Lindau,’ says Givi’s son Zviyadi Gvindzhia, who accompanied us. — ‘Our old residents told us that little Lavrenty used to spend hours at the neighbors’ house. Marta and Pavel would just throw up their hands when their Lavrik started using German phrases. By the time he was four years old, he spoke German as if it were his mother tongue… And for many years, until Lavrenty Pavlovich’s death, Ella Emmanuilovna Allmendinger, who became governess of his son Sergo, lived in their family as its member. When the war broke out, all the Germans began to relocate, and the governess remained to live under Beria’s wing. This was reported to Stalin… Joseph Vissarionovich came to Lavrenty for lunch. Ella Emmanuilovna sat at the same table with him. Stalin could not bear it: “So you are the very representative of Hitler? I would never have thought that you were a German…” The lady was stunned. But it was all over. Stalin laughed, began to remember Austria…’[217]

Beria as a young man

Beria began his career at the age of seventeen in Baku, at the headquarters of the oil company owned by the Nobel family, a Swedish business family that was one of the main suppliers of kerosene to Germany. In the same office was the technical director Karl Wilhelm Hagelin, whose son Boris Hagelin was then 24 years old. An acquaintance between Lavrenty Beria and Boris Hagelin is more than possible.

Later, Karl Wilhelm Hagelin and Boris Hagelin founded AB Cryptograph, which supplied encryption equipment to the armies of Germany, Italy, France, and the United States. After the war, the company morphed into the infamous Swiss company Crypto AG, which supplied encryption equipment to a number of countries, but was under the control of the BND and NSA.

Beria before World War II

1. Destroyed the Red Army’s top and middle command staff by 90%, so that surviving leaders such as Rokossovsky were literally let out of their cells in the first months of the war.

2. Destroyed 95% of the top and middle intelligence command staff, so that surviving leaders like Serebryansky were literally let out of their cells in the first months of the war.

3. ‘In 1936–1940, five chiefs of the Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff were repressed and shot: S. P. Uritsky, Ya. K. Berzin, S. G.  Gendin, N. N. Prokurorov, A. G. Orlov’ [Makolov V. V. Enigma of June 22, 1941, Interview with the former Minister of Defence D. T. Yazov // Newspaper Sovetskaya Rossiya. 2005. March 24.][218]

Intelligence for Stalin — Beria before the German attack

Based on the analysis of Beria’s actions in transferring intelligence information to Stalin personally, we can conclude that he deliberately denied accurate intelligence data on the impending German attack and also deliberately created a channel for the supply of strategic disinformation, placing the clearly incompetent Kobulov at the head of NKVD intelligence and possibly organizing him to supply high-quality disinformation from their German ‘masters’.

‘On June 21, 1941, People’s Commissar of Internal Affairs Beria wrote in a report to I. V. Stalin: “I again insist on the recall and punishment of our ambassador in Berlin, Dekanozov, who continues to bombard me with false stories about Hitler’s alleged preparation of an attack on the USSR. He reports that this attack will begin tomorrow. Major General V. I. Tupikov, the military attaché in Berlin, also radioed the same thing; this stupid general claims that three groups of Wehrmacht armies will attack Moscow, Leningrad, and Kiev, referring to Berlin agents. He insolently demands that we provide these liars with radiosets. Lieutenant General F.I. Golikov, head of the Intelligence Department, where Berzin’s gang operated not so long ago, complains about Dekanozov and his colonel Novobranets, who also lies, as if Hitler had concentrated 170 divisions against us on our western border… But I and my people, Joseph Vissarionovich, well remember your wise prediction: in 1941 Hitler will not attack us!’”[219]

‘Similar brief instructions from L.P. Beria were written on the reports of foreign intelligence officers of the People’s Commissariat for State Security (NКGB). On June 21, 1941, when the flow of reports from Soviet intelligence agents and residents about Nazi Germany’s attack on the USSR was at its most intense, Beria apparently played the role of a kind of “information filter” that evaluated all the reports coming to the Kremlin from the intelligence services and determined what could be reported to Stalin and what could not. Less than a day before the German invasion, Beria left the following comment on one of the NКGB foreign intelligence reports: “Recently, many agents have succumbed to brazen provocations and are sowing panic. For systematic disinformation, the secret agents Hawk, Carmen, Faithful are to be ground to powder in a camp as willing to create a quarrel between us and Germany. The others should be sternly warned’.”[220]

This brief instruction from one of the most influential members of the Politburo of the Central Committee of the All-Union Communist Party (Bolsheviks) is noteworthy for two reasons.

First, judging by the content of this instruction, Beria firmly believed in the development of Soviet-German relations, and he considered anyone who saw anything suspicious in the system of these relations to be an enemy who wanted to ‘create a quarrel between the USSR and Germany’. He ordered such specialists to be ground to powder in a forced labor camp.

Second, Beria ordered that other agents, intelligence officers, and residents who dared to send intelligence reports or messages to the Kremlin about the growing threat of an attack on the USSR by Nazi Germany be ‘sternly warned’. Thus, Beria’s ‘information filter’ completely or largely prevented documentary information about the growing threat of war from reaching Stalin.

‘In Berlin, the resident of the NKGB foreign intelligence was Amayak Kobulov. He was appointed to the post of resident on the recommendation and insistence of Beria. Previously, Kobulov had nothing to do with intelligence, his education was only five grades of a Tbilisi trade school. However, Amayak’s brother Bogdan was a long-time friend of Beria. This played an important role in the appointment of Amayak Kobulov, who understood nothing about intelligence, as a resident in Berlin.

While working in Berlin, Kobulov sent to Moscow valuable information obtained by professional intelligence officers such as A. M. Korotkov, along with strategic disinformation. This disinformation was personally delivered to Kobulov by the agent Lyceum Student who had been set up for him by the German State Secret Police (Gestapo).

In May 1947, Major Siegfried Müller, a German military intelligence officer and former Gestapo officer, testified under interrogation: ‘In August 1940, the Latvian Berlinks, an agent of German intelligence, was assigned to Kobulov. On our instruction, Berlinks supplied him with disinformation material for a long time. When asked if they had really succeeded in deceiving Kobulov, Müller claimed: “I am firmly convinced that Kobulov did not suspect the deception. This is evidenced by the fact that in conversations with Berlinks he blurted out to him some information about the Soviet government’s policy on the German question … Information from conversations with Kobulov … was reported to Hitler and Ribbentrop’.”

In meetings with the Lyceum Student Kobulov informed his ‘agent’ that he would personally forward his reports to Stalin and Molotov.

On December 14th, based on Berlinks data, Kobulov reported to Moscow that according to Lyceum Student’s reports, Germany’s foreign policy was based on the following fundamental principles: ‘The only enemy of our country [Germany — V.L.] is Britain…. Germany sees its political goals… in avoiding a two-front war. At the same time, it’s important to maintain good relations between Germany and Russia…’

In a note to this message it was reported that ‘Lyceum Student had received the data on the Germans preparing to land in Britain from the First Lieutenant and this was indirectly confirmed by the changed nature of the German air raids on London. It was Hitler who pretended to be the ‘First Lieutenant’ mentioned in the report by Kobulov and who directed the work of the Lyceum Student. Through the Lyceum Student and Kobulov Hitler convinced Stalin that Germany would not attack the USSR, and Stalin believed this disinformation, which was reported to him by Beria, more than all the reports of residents and agents of military intelligence.’[221]

Beria in World War II

1. Beria was immediately counterbalanced by General Serov, who, on Stalin’s personal orders, led the protection of the rear of the Moscow zone, thereby depriving Beria of the opportunity to organize a coup.

2. Until early July, Beria was unaware of the capture of the Brest HF communications node by a group of the Brandenburg Battalion, which occurred at 3:45 a.m. on June 22, as a result of which:

a) the entire HF communication of the USSR was compromised (it was forcibly disconnected in July 1941 and not restored to working order until November 1941);

b) the Wehrmacht-controlled communications center in Brest requested all radio cipher tables from all military units of the Red Army via HF communications. This led to a complete compromise of the military radio communications of the entire Red Army. The use of these cipher tables was forbidden in July 1941, and they were restored only in November 1941, after new cipher tables had been created.

3. Throughout the ENTIRE war, cryptography was decipherable down to the 5-digit level, and mosaic-type cryptography was decipherable at all levels, resulting in the Wehrmacht being able to decipher 95% of the Red Army’s communications.

4. Communication standards in the Air Force were unacceptable for most of the war: fighters did not have radio transmitters or receivers until the winter of 1942. Even then it was very poor, with only the Lend-Lease Aerocobra[222] aircraft having good communications.

5. In the early stages of the war, in the winter of 1941–1942, the most vulnerable point of the German Army — the supply of troops — was not significantly disrupted by the partisans. Thus, in 1941 and 1942, train derailments due to sabotage amounted to 0.44% and 3.3% of total freight traffic, respectively, and had no significant impact on the supply of the Wehrmacht.

6. In 1941–1942 the mortality rate among the groups thrown by the People’s Commissariat for Internal Affairs (NKVD) into the enemy rear was 93%.

7. In 1941, 2,800 partisan units were formed. In 1942 only 280 of them survived.[223]

8. In 1941, only 1.5% of partisan units had radios for communication with the mainland.[224] It was not until the spring of 1942 that radio operators with American radios were sent to the partisan fighters, increasing the level of communication tenfold (!) to 15%. There was 1 radio for every 6 partisan units.

9. Until the summer of 1942, the partisan detachments operating in the same area of operations were under different subordination: they were controlled simultaneously by party committees (republican, regional, district), the Fourth Directorate of the NKVD, military councils, and the intelligence services of the fronts and armies. Unfortunately, in most cases all these administrative structures assigned tasks to the same partisan detachments without sufficient coordination of efforts among themselves, which led to inconsistency and parallelism of work, poor quality of spending of forces and funds, and sometimes — to casualties.[225]

10. Until November 1941, Beria did not even initiate the creation of the Central Headquarters of the Partisan Movement. In November 1941, when the Central Headquarters of the Partisan Movement was still established at the Supreme Command Headquarters, that is, outside the structure of the NKVD, Beria arrested a number of its employees on various pretexts. In a note that Beria submitted to Stalin in December 1941, he argued that the creation of the Central Headquarters of the Partisan Movement was inappropriate. The creation of the Central Headquarters of the Partisan Movement was not considered again until May 1942.

Firing squad discipline

Nevertheless, the NKVD, under Beria’s leadership, exhibited a complete lack of effectiveness in its handling of discipline in the Red Army. In his work Firing Squad Discipline, Vyacheslav Shpakovsky writes the following:

‘On the eve of the war, the state of discipline in the Red Army itself was more than unsatisfactory. So-called emergencies involving the death and injury of personnel took on the character of an epidemic.

‘Therefore, there was a 26.6% increase in the number of such emergencies from the fourth quarter of 1940 to the first quarter of 1941, from 3,669 to 4,649. In 1940, these emergencies resulted in the out-of-service status of 10,048 people, 2,921 of whom were killed and 7,127 wounded.

‘During the first quarter of 1941, 3,244 individuals were rendered out of service: 945 were killed and 2,290 were wounded.

‘This represented a significant escalation from the average daily loss of 27–28 people in 1940 to 36 people in the first quarter of 1941, as documented by the Central Archive of the Ministry of Defense — TsAMO (fonds 32, inv. 11309, file 26, sheets 245–246). Concurrently, the high rate of fatalities and injuries was further compounded by the malfunction and significant breakdown of military equipment.

‘In October 1941, on the Western Front, 20 individuals were shot in the 30th Army, and 30 were shot in the 43rd Army. These figures were obtained from TsAMO (fonds 32, inv. 11289, file 50, sheet 245–246). As the poet said, Let others learn from this example! However, this was not the case. The study demonstrated that this extreme measure did not yield the desired outcome. Thus, despite the execution of cowards and panic-stricken men on the spot, the 97th Infantry Division (Southwest Front) withdrew from the battlefield three times between August 6 and 8, 1941, in the most disorganized manner, losing 80% of its personnel, as well as a great deal of equipment and weapons (TsAMO, fonds 221, inventory 1362, file 34, sheet 195).

‘In 1941, there were 30,782 desertions. In 1942 the number increased to 111,994. In 1943 it dropped slightly to 82,733. In 1944 it dropped further to 32,723, and in 1945 to 6,872, for a total of 265,104.’[226]

‘During the same period, there were also 8,105 sentences for self-mutilation in 1941. This number rose to 35,265 in 1942. It then dropped to 16,631 in 1943 and 6,959 in 1944. Finally, in 1945, the number was 1,696, for a total of 68,656 cases of self-mutilation.

‘The proportion of evasion from combat operations as a form of violation of military discipline in the overall number of offenses and crimes during the war varied over time and across different fronts. However, throughout the 1,418-day period of the war, such offenses were prevalent, as evidenced by the cases prosecuted by military tribunals.

‘From the beginning of 1941 through the first half of 1945, the group in question accounted for the following percentages of criminal records: 58.2% in the first half of 1941, 51.9% in 1942, 54.6% in 1943, 38.7% in 1944, and 34.6% in the first half of 1945.’[227]

But the tribunals, that is, the courts, also worked extremely efficiently.

Here, for example, are the data given in the 8th issue of the Gosudarstvo i Pravo [State and Law] magazine for 1995 by Colonel General of Justice A. Muranov in his article The Activity of Military Courts of Justice during the Great Patriotic War: during the 1418 days of the war they convicted 2,530,663 people.

Death sentences were passed on 284,344 people, i.e. on average 200 people were sentenced every day! It is true that fewer of these people were shot. ‘All in all’ 157,593. That is about fifteen divisions!

Fifteen divisions!

That’s a lot of manpower for any army, but it wasn’t the Germans who killed them!…

In the Wehrmacht from September 1, 1939 to September 1, 1944, German military tribunals sentenced 7810 people to death.[228]

05.12.2022

A Story of How Corruption Fueled Drug Addiction and Killed the State

Once upon a time, there was a fairy-tale kingdom where ordinary citizens lived. They plowed, sowed, and traded bread in bakeries. And the citizens had a state — Father the Tsar, the boyars, and various supervisory departments.

And one of the supervisory departments supervised the bakeries so that there would be no mice, unsanitary conditions, cheating in weighing or measuring, and other unpleasant things. But corruption was rampant in that department. If the supervisory department found garbage in a bakery, they would not close it down, but take a bribe instead.

The deeper into the wood you go, the more timber seems to grow. The supervisors were used to accepting bribes and felt very insulted when bakeries were clean and orderly. They did not pay, the bastards! Therefore, during inspections, the supervisors would bring garbage into their pockets and discreetly place it under the counters, or simply write lies directly into the inspection reports. For example, he would write on clean floors — dirty, for the cat he found — that he had found a mouse, and for the dog — that he had found a rat, and then he would fine them.

But the inspectorate did not write anything bad in the inspection report of the bakeries, where there was indeed dirt and rats running around. They pay, they’re that good!

And it turned out that it became unprofitable for clean and honest bakeries to do business. You have to pay a lot of fines for nothing. Or bribes. And again for nothing. But it became very profitable to work in dishonest bakeries with dirt and unsanitary conditions. After all, it was more profitable to pay a bribe to the inspectorate than to bring cleanliness and order. You could sell rotten bread and no one would punish you.

And it’s even more profitable to sell drugs in bakeries. The turnover is huge, and the profit is huge. And no one would punish you — just pay the bribes on time. And the most dishonest bakery became a drug bakery. Where they just sold bread for show. And all the turnover was from drugs.

But the supervisory department was also crafty. And one day they said to this super-profitable drugstore: ‘Give up 50% of your shares or we will close you down.’ The drug dealers lamented, haggled, and gave 45% of their shares to the supervisory department.

And from that moment on, all the clean and decent bakeries became competitors not only of the drug bakery, but also of the supervisory department. After all, it became a shareholder in the main drug bakery!

Then the supervisory department began to close down clean bakeries, where the supervisors threw garbage, or wrote ‘dirty’ where it was clean, or picked on every trivial thing: the bakers’ uniforms or the movers’ shoes.

And the supervisory department shut down all the clean bakeries. All that was left was a huge drug store. All the junkies went there to get drugs. And all the normal people went there for bread. And all the normal people were offered drugs to buy. Safe! Because the supervisory department is the stockholder of the drug store!

And the number of drug addicts in this country has grown to a number equal to the mobilization contingent. And the mobilization contingent is the number of citizens who can be drafted into the army in case of war. But there was no war. And if there is no war, there is no problem! Nothing can come of nothing.

But this particular kingdom had a fierce enemy.

And this enemy provoked a big war, a long war. And at that moment it turned out that you can’t take drug addicts to war!

‘What if he goes crazy on drugs and starts shooting at his own people? Or will he give away all military secrets in captivity in a state of withdrawal?’ This kingdom started having problems with mandatory military service.

Meanwhile, the enemy was watching. He wrote letters to drug addicts: ‘Throw bottles of gasoline at military enlistment offices, and we will give you a jar of jam drug and a basket of cookies drug.’

So, the junkies started throwing gasoline bottles at the military recruitment offices. And in the end they burned down all of the recruitment offices.

But the enemy didn’t stop. He started writing letters to drug addicts: “Destroy your state, kill your Father the Tsar, and we will give you drugs for the rest of your life. And the stupid drug addicts killed the tsar, destroyed the state, and gave their land to the evil enemy for drugs.

But the enemy stopped giving them drugs, and the drug addicts died of withdrawal. And that’s what the enemy wanted. And he got the kingdom, and the drug addicts were gone.

And when the fairyland was gone, the enemy took all the money from the supervisors. And they themselves were all shot. Of course, why would the enemy want to create such corruption that would harm the security of his state?

10.01.2023

How to Respond to the Idea of ‘Beheading’ Russia?

Recently, calls for the physical destruction of Russian President Vladimir Putin have become more frequent in the United States. US Senator Lindsey Graham said so,[229] or the Newsweek magazine wrote about it.[230]

As RIA Novosti noted on October 7, 2022, ‘the cherry on the cake in the list of special measures of the American partners is “a decapitation strike to kill Putin in the heart of the Kremlin.” The Russian ambassador to the United States, Anatoliy Antonov, specifically drew the attention of the world community to this phrase in his recent interview.’

Since statements about the physical elimination of the Russian president began to appear too often and, more importantly, in very high circles in the United States, it makes sense to assume that some serious structures are really hatching such an idea.

One can have different attitudes towards the President of Russia, but even his most ardent opponents cannot but admit that his physical assassination will lead to serious destabilization in Russia, comparable to the consequences of 1917. At that time, the elimination/removal/rejection of the very unpopular Nicholas II led Russia into a gigantic cataclysm, the results of which we will have to deal with for centuries to come.

None of the Russians need such a repetition of the events of a century ago. Not at all.

But how can we protect our country from attempts to repeat such an outrage? Launch a pre-emptive nuclear strike against the United States? It seems somehow wrong to kill 300 million Americans at once for the words of a few political figures and lines in a few publications.

Of course, it would be more correct to respond to their idea with our own idea.

Are you talking about the idea of creating a global catastrophe in Russia? Let’s discuss a possible global disaster for the USA!

For example, we could make a feature film called After the Yellowstone Explosion based on this idea.

Take the movie and novel The Fifth Wave as a starting point, but create a drama with a tragic ending and elements of horror.

Approximate plot

1. A voiceover by Vladimir Solovyov reads the text on the screen, ‘The Yellowstone volcano has exploded. Maybe US President Biden decided to overthrow Russian President Putin, and Putin responded by hitting America with a tectonic weapon. Or maybe it was just time, because according to geologists, Yellowstone explodes every 200,000 years. And the last one was 300,000 years ago. And here it is again. The force of this explosion is equivalent to a trillion megatons of TNT.’[231]

2. Scenes from the eruption of the Yellowstone volcano. Footage of people dying instantly within a radius of 10–30 km, almost like a nuclear explosion. In the upper left corner of the screen, the counter reads, ‘20–30 million dead’.

3. The St. Andreas Fault intensified, huge masses of water from the Pacific Ocean entered it, California was flooded by the ocean. The view from space of this event was taken from the Russian orbital station. The images show the relatively rapid death of the entire population in that area. Some people drowned, others fell into the fault, and some were crushed under the rubble of buildings. It was a heartbreaking sight. The counter said, ‘Another 50 million people. Total: 80 million.’

4. At least one meter of ash fell within a radius of 200–500 kilometers, hitting the center of Canada. Footage shows the relatively rapid death of people in this area, including unsuccessful attempts to survive on the streets, in homes, and even in special ‘bomb shelters’ where people also died as the ash clogged their ventilation systems and caused slow death by asphyxiation. The counter reads, ‘Another 100 million people,’ bringing the total to 180. All these scenes are broadcast to the whole world through the Internet. The world reacts in different ways. North Koreans are happy. Iranians are not too upset. Europeans frown. Australians are crying.

5. Ash falls within a radius of 500–2000 km, which, when inhaled, forms a crust of a mixture of plastic and glass in the lungs. Asphyxiation with convulsions. Broadcast on the Internet. The kill radius covers almost all of western and central Canada, parts of northern Mexico. The counter reads, ‘200 million more people. That’s 380’.

6. Low but still dangerous levels of such ash in Quebec and Miami. People run to the ships, trample each other, there is no mutual help. The ships, without picking up the drowning, sail full speed to Europe. The wind created by the Gulf Stream drives the ash after the ship. Halfway, the ash catches up with the ship. And a rough replay of shots of death on deck and in the hold as the ash zone. The counter: ‘Another 10 million people. Total: 390.’

7. Europe is talking about it: ‘The Yankees have had enough! After all, they really did live large… What was missing?’

8. The voiceover by Vladimir Solovyov reads the text on the screen. ‘Do you think it is Russia that will realize such a scenario? Or the US opponents from the Arab world? Possibly…. But most likely, it will be realized by stock speculators who have bet a lot of money on the decline of the US industrial production index and the exchange rate of the US dollar against other currencies.’

Options that can be left unfilmed

1. The Europeans don’t have any American gas, they are dying of cold and are racing to build a gas pipeline to Russia.

2. Russia promises lower wheat yields and a refusal to export wheat. Some winters will be 5–10 degrees colder. In summer it will be +15 in the Moscow region.

3. But all Russians go on vacation and work remotely in Sochi, Crimea and Turkey.

4. Now there is world peace because there is no initiator of wars — US imperialism.

It is possible to make such a film with a fixed budget literally in six months to a year. Pro-state film directors like Mikhalkov and Bondarchuk will shoot it quite quickly, even if they have to create a large amount of computer graphics. If time is short, a documentary with the same title can be released first in a few months.

This movie is obviously going to do well at the box office and make a significant profit. It will be seen not only in countries with a negative attitude towards the United States, but also in the United States itself. And it is very important that, in addition to increasing patriotic sentiment in Russia and anti-American sentiment in the world, it will give a serious ideological warning to the hawks in Washington. As the former Prime Minister Viktor Chernomyrdin used to say: ‘If you have an itch to fight, don’t scratch it.’

P. S.

On May 3, 2023, three months after the publication of this article, Nikolay P. Patrushev, Secretary of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, stated the following in an interview with the Izvestiya newspaper under the title Preservation of Ukraine as a state is not included in the US plans:

‘As you may recall, the Yellowstone volcano is a potential threat. If it were to become active, the consequences would be unparalleled. It has the potential to produce eruptions thousands of times more powerful than any previously documented. Observations indicate that the volcano’s activity has been increasing over time, with magma reaching the surface at a rapid rate. The surrounding caldera has also experienced a rise in seismic activity, with earthquakes reaching 2,000 per year.

‘The findings of these studies allowed for modeling the course of the expected eruption and its consequences. It is believed that the death of all life on the North American continent is inevitable, and a series of volcanic eruptions, earthquakes, tsunamis, and acid rain is projected to impact a significant portion of the global population. However, this issue does not seem to be a top priority for American politicians. This is a concern only for America’s population.

‘The challenge of safeguarding the public and economic infrastructure against the destructive potential of volcanoes necessitates the advancement of scientific research in the field of volcanology. Western countries, which are increasing the number of sanctions, should not be shielded from Russia by them, but continue to cooperate in the scientific sphere, including geology. Research and achievements in the interests of progress and saving human life should become the property of all mankind.

‘It would be desirable if the American authorities, when faced with the Yellowstone problem, would more often remember a folk wisdom. An English proverb says: Those who live in glass houses should not throw stones. Washington, which decides the fate of other nations and peoples, should remember that the ancient Romans also lived well in Pompeii and were no strangers to debauchery.

‘Incidentally, some in America say that the safest places to be in the event of an eruption would be Eastern Europe and Siberia.’[232]

30.01.2023

Frightening Figures

On February 1, 2023, RosBusinessConsulting (RBC), a multimedia conglomerate, published data from the Federal State Statistics Service (Rosstat) on the permanent population of Russia.

‘At the end of November 2022, the latest available statistics show that the natural attrition amounted to 543.4 thousand people, which is less than in November 2021, when, amid the effects of the pandemic, the attrition reached 945 thousand people.’[233]

This means that while there was a war, the population loss was 400,000 people less in the 11 months of 2022!

That is, while there was no war, the population loss was 400,000 more in the 11 months of 2021!

The numbers tell us literally: ‘War is a lesser evil than COVID…’[234]

P. S.

‘In 2022, the number of deaths in Russia decreased by 22.1% to 1,905,778 from 2,445,509 in 2021.’[235] By 539,731 people! By more than half a million a year!

And in Ukraine.

‘In 2021 … mortality reached 714,263 people.’[236]

‘In 2022, 541,739 deaths were registered, 24% less than in 2021.’[237]

In the ’war’ year 2022, the death rate even in Ukraine decreased by 172,524!

This is an exceptional, unbelievable case where the war has reduced the death rate of the population in both warring countries.

30.01.2023

Put in a Good Word for the Poor IT Guy

A large number of politicians scolded the IT workers who moved abroad in the spring of 2023, seeing in it only an attempt to evade conscription. These politicians are not even deterred by the fact that, according to the newly adopted legislation, IT workers are not subject to conscription into the RF Armed Forces. Their logic is simple: ‘If you left the territory of the country during hostilities, you are a traitor.’

However, this flawed logic fails to take into account the following objective factors that have been established in the practice of IT workers since before the beginning of the Special Military Operation (SMO):

1. Remote programming jobs became popular in the United States 15–20 years ago.

2. It became common for IT professionals in the West to work remotely 5–10 years ago, but in Russia, for a number of reasons, remote work has not become so widespread.

3. In the spring of 2020, due to the COVID epidemic, most office workers have been forced to work remotely by decrees of the president and mayors of cities.

4. Thus, in the summer of 2020, IT workers were forced to realize in practice that it was much more profitable to live in nearby warm countries (Turkey, Georgia, Armenia), both in terms of food and rent prices, and in terms of climate, without changing their jobs in Russia in companies located in Lipetsk, Tyumen, Moscow, St. Petersburg, etc.

5. In 2021, a significant part of IT employees working in Russian companies were already located in the ‘southern territories’.

With the beginning of the SMO, many IT specialists, being professional information processing specialists, saw a huge number of ‘oddities’ in the war in Ukraine. These include refusal to eliminate the leaders of the enemy army, refusal to hit headquarters and communication nodes at the level of the enemy army and above, refusal to hit bridges and logistic railway nodes, etc.[238] Since IT people are mostly introverts and sociopaths, they are totally unprepared for public appearances asking, Isn’t this treason? But since they are really smart, such questions must have crossed their minds.

They found a way out by changing their place of residence without changing their place of work. ‘You can sort out for yourselves where you have cheated and where you have cunning plans. We will not take part in the showdown, nor should we be present at it. We will also work for the motherland, but we will be in a place where we think the showdown is less likely to take place.’

And so it goes. Critics cannot cite statistics on the termination of work for Russian companies by IT specialists who left Russia for warm countries. Why not? Is it because they simply do not exist?

Yes, they left Russia, but they continue to work for our Russian companies.

And here is something else important. There is a large number of cases when various artists and showmen, having left Russia, publicly defected to the side of the enemy and de facto became fighters of the enemy’s information and psychological troops.

Can anyone give statistics on the defection of IT specialists to the enemy? Why are such cases not discussed even in the most patriotic press? Is it not because there are none?

At the same time, it is well known in the industry, although not discussed for obvious reasons, that IT specialists continue to work not only in critical services, but also in the field of Internet security. That is, being far from their homeland, they are on the edge of Internet security confrontation in terms of work. In fact, they are fighting on our side during computer attacks on our critical services.

You just forget to praise them for it…

06.02.2023

Where Do the Funds Come from to Pay the Soldiers Fighting in Ukraine?

After comparing the actual (cash flow) economic aid from the United States to Ukraine, the ZeRada telegram channel concluded that the amount allocated coincides with Ukraine’s spending on military salaries.

‘13.37 billion in economic aid to Ukraine. This is what is actually going into the Ukrainian budget.

‘Now let’s calculate the approximate cost of military salaries.

‘Let’s take the total number of servicemen as 1 million people, with 100,000 in the line and the rest on the home front.

‘I count the salary as 10,000 plus war supplements (30,000 on the home front and 100,000 for combat):

900,000 × 40,000 UAH = 36 billion UAH

100,000 × 110,000 UAH = 11 billion UAH

‘A total of 47 billion hryvnias per month and 564 billion hryvnias per year.

‘The US dollar exchange rate for next year is set at 42 hryvnias.

‘A total of 13.43 billion dollars will go to military salaries (excluding the salaries of command personnel).

‘This is the total allocated economic aid.

‘It turns out that the USA is financing Ukraine’s war.’[239]

Let us try to apply this method to find a possible source of income for Russia to finance the salaries of the servicemen involved in the SMO.

The Israeli intelligence service Mossad believes that Russia has about 480 thousand servicemen involved in the SMO zone.[240]

The salary of a private in Donbass is about 200 thousand rubles per month.[241]

Multiplication gives the salary expenses for servicemen involved in the SMO in the amount of 96 billion rubles per month. Or 1,152 billion rubles per year.

For almost the entire year, the dollar exchange rate was kept around the mark of 60 rubles per US dollar.

Recalculated at this rate, the salaries of servicemen involved in the SMO will amount to $19.2 billion a year.

And now let’s see if Russia has a source of income of this magnitude.

And very quickly we will find out that there is such a source.

Telegram channel Ravenstvo.Media claims that Russian gas exports in transit through Ukraine amounted to just $19.2 billion.[242]

What an interesting coincidence!

The amount of money received from the export of Russian gas in transit through Ukraine is almost equal to the amount of salaries of Russian servicemen involved in the SMO.

It must be a coincidence.

The amount of money that Ukraine de facto receives in cash from the United States is almost equal to the amount of salaries of Ukrainian servicemen.

This is probably also a coincidence.

And the fact that the amount of salaries of Russian servicemen involved in the SMO coincides with the revenues related to gas sold through Ukraine, and the amount of salaries of Ukrainian servicemen coincides with the Ukrainian budget revenues received by Ukraine from the US in cash, is also a coincidence.

Three coincidences in a row. Does this happen? Probably ….

Except that the science called Probability Theory, taught in the first or second year of any technical university, does not allow for the real probability of three coincidences at the same time. Higher mathematics says it is impossible.

But as Goethe said:

Grey, dear friend, is all theory,

And green the golden tree of life.[243]

10.02.2023

Prioritization of War Aims by Economic Results of the First Year of Combat Operations

Politics is a concentrated expression of economics.

V. I. Lenin[244]

The main result of the first year of the war in Ukraine was the calculation of various items of income of the interested parties resulting from the hostilities and, accordingly, the prioritization of objectives.

The main goal of the war was the long-term maintenance of high energy prices. The capacity of the goal was $2 trillion per year[245] in ‘ready cash’ and another $4 trillion in the competitiveness of the economies of the energy producers, which in turn translates into the flow of industry to more competitive economies (e.g., from Europe to the United States).

Other goals of the war were (in descending order of importance):

1. To obtain new defense contracts. The total capacity of the target is 3 billion dollars. An obligatory part of this goal is both the testing of all kinds of weapons and tactics at the Ukrainian testing ground and the disposal of military equipment. A separate additional goal is to drain money from the US and NATO budgets into the ‘black hole’ called Ukraine. Such a drain in Afghanistan has yielded $1 trillion in almost 20 years;

2. The confiscation of money from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen placed in the West in offshore accounts and other assets. The capacity of the target is $2 trillion in total. Part of this goal is the creation of a ‘fifth column’ among Russian officials and businessmen with their own money;

3. To artificially sever Russia’s economic ties with Europe and Japan. The target capacity was $0.3 trillion per year.

What does this prioritization of life goals mean? Why is it so important for predicting the future?

It means that the united lobby of the energy and arms producers will prevent the ‘united financiers of the West’ from making any sharp moves.

The ‘United Financiers of the West’ would very much like to launch a massive drone attack on Moscow from Ukraine via Ukrainian proxies, wait for a massive Russian response, during which time they could detonate a nuclear device in Kiev and blame Russia. This would be sufficient justification to complete the legalities of robbing Russia and Russians of a total of about $2 trillion deposited in the West.

But such actions to escalate the Russian-Ukrainian conflict will lead to its rapid termination. The Russian population will immediately and categorically demand that Russia’s leaders immediately defeat Ukraine by simple methods of cutting off gas and physically eliminating Ukraine’s top leadership. And the united lobby of energy and arms producers does not need the conflict to be minimized in any way. They need a long, controlled conflict like the Arab-Israeli conflict. To siphon off about $1 trillion a year in ‘ready cash’ from Europe and Japan. It is impossible to do more, because the economies of Europe and Japan can simply stop. And it is necessary for them to work and pay an additional tax for the ‘war in Ukraine’ in the form of a surcharge on the price of energy. And the ‘testing ground’ for testing new weapons and disposal of military equipment called Ukraine must also function without stopping.

In order to achieve this main goal, Russia will delay the victory over Ukraine as long as possible through the method of non-defeat of headquarters, leadership, strategic communication networks, and other strategic targets. It also aims to kill no more than 300,000 Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) soldiers per year so as not to exhaust them before the end of the conflict. The United States and NATO will provide Ukraine with military equipment, ammunition, and energy resources to achieve this goal, and they will also involve Eastern European countries in the production of ammunition.

In order to keep the Eastern European military conflict going after Russia’s victory over Ukraine, Romania and Poland, and then the Baltic states and Finland, must be slowly drawn into the war.

Romania will gently integrate Moldova into itself, try to seize Transnistria, and get a missile strike on Ploiesti oil fields and military bases. Most likely from the territory of Transnistria .

Poland will cautiously send troops to Western Ukraine and will receive a massive, possibly even nuclear, attack on Polish troops in the Lvov area.

Belarus will ‘gently’ enter the military conflict.

If this does not prolong the war for the expected 5–10 years, it will be the turn of the Baltic states, which will repeat 100% the Ukrainian scenario: declaration of nuclear weapons — Russian land operation with missile and bomb strikes.

As a last resort, the US and NATO still have a new member — Finland, which will be persuaded to step on the same rake for the third time.

In the event of the termination of a conflict in Eastern Europe, the possibility of an escalation of the military conflict between Greece and Turkey in the area of the Turkish gas hub, as well as between China and Taiwan, remains.

The USA will gladly throw Georgia and Armenia into the fire of war. A lot of American money is being spent on it, but it makes little sense. The problems with the Baku-Tuapse oil pipeline are likely to increase energy prices.

But what is important! All these conflicts must be controlled and slowed down. No attacks on headquarters, leadership or strategic infrastructure. For example, the Greek-Turkish war could only take place on the territory of Cyprus and the Greek islands, with occasional rocket attacks on the coastal areas of Turkey and Greece.

You can fight with these methods for 10 or 20 years. It won’t be a war, it will be a circus. But that’s nothing new. They have been watching the Arab-Israeli circus for 40 years, which means that humanity will be watching the Eastern European, Greek-Turkish, and Chinese-Taiwanese circuses in the same way, not for the first time.

08.03.2023

What Were Russia’s Gains during the Initial Year of Hostilities?

This article is a continuation and addition to the article Why Is Russia Prolonging the War?[246]

It evaluates the negative and positive results of the ‘long war’ in the first year of military operations from the military, economic, domestic and geopolitical points of view.

Military aspect

Positive result

1. The dead and wounded are usually written in the negative, but not in this war.

On February 1, 2023, the multimedia conglomerate RosBusinessConsulting (RBC) published the data of the Russian Statistics Committee (Rosstat) on the permanent population of Russia.

‘At the end of 11 months of 2022 (the latest available statistics), the natural attrition amounted to 543.4 thousand people. This is less than in the same period of 2021, when, amid the effects of the pandemic, the attrition reached 945 thousand people.’[247]

This means that under the conditions of the war, the population loss became less by 400 thousand people in the 11 months of 2022! That is, while there was no war, the population loss was 400,000 more in the first 11 months of 2021!

The numbers tell us literally: ‘War is a lesser evil than COVID’…[248]

Surprisingly, the situation is the same in Ukraine. There, 541,739 deaths were registered in 2022, which is 24% less than in 2021.[249] This means that despite the huge military losses, there are more than 100,000 fewer deaths than in the pre-war period during the epidemic!

There are many different points of view on Russian deaths, personally I believe in the figure of 30,000–40,000 for the first year of the war. Is that a lot or a little? Traffic accidents in Russia kill about 15,000 people a year, fires kill about 8,000. In 2020, according to Rosstat, 50,435 people died in Russia from alcohol-related causes.[250]

A total of 0.84 million people died from poisoning (by alcohol) between 1991 and 2022.

Total alcohol-related deaths during this 31-year period were 2.4 million, including cirrhosis of the liver, cardiomyopathy, etc., where alcohol was not the primary cause of death but aggravated the disease.[251]

2. Legal destruction of aggressive Russophobes-Banderites in Ukraine. The same ones who shouted ‘Hang a Muscovite’, ‘Whoever doesn’t hop is a Muscovite’, ‘Cut the Russians’, ‘Putin is a fool, la-la-lala-la-la’. Including foreign Russophobes from all over the world. CNN puts the numbers killed and those who died from injuries and illnesses from February 24, 2022 to February 28, 2023 at 259,085. The number of wounded is about 247,000.[252]

3. Cheap use of older weapons. For example, a T-62 tank costs no more than $50,000 when delivered on the world market. There are a lot of them in storage, and it would take more than a year of war to use them up. According to various sources, 15,000 to 20,000 older tanks are mothballed. ‘Antiquated’ artillery systems such as S-60 anti-aircraft guns and even D-1 howitzers are also being used. In this case, the disposal of weapons is tantamount to the ‘disposal’ of individuals harboring extreme animosity towards Russia.

4. Cheap disposal of long-obsolete ammunition.

Disposal of a single shell of 122–152 mm caliber costs 15,000 rubles. Up to 60,000 shells are used per day. Total savings on the disposal of shells alone is 1 billion rubles per day! Disposal of even one obsolete S-300 missile costs a huge amount of money… And it is even scarier to imagine how many more past-service life shells and missiles are lying in warehouses waiting for disposal! In this case, too, the disposal of obsolete ammunition correlates with the ‘disposal’ of egregious and confirmed Russophobes.

5. Testing and modernization of the latest Russian (and not only) weapon systems including the Kinzhal, Kalibr, Terminator, Krasnopol, SU-57, Geran, and various electronic warfare systems. During the special military operation in Ukraine, we effectively tested almost the entire line of advanced airborne weapons designed and manufactured by the Tactical Missiles Corporation (JSC).[253]

6. A rigorous evaluation of Russian weaponry when tested against NATO weapon systems, including HIMARS, Switchblade, Gepard, Caesar, Javelin, Patriot, and Leopard, among others.

7. In fact, Russia is conducting ‘combat maneuvers’ on Ukrainian territory with NATO, which is trying to increase the effectiveness of outdated Western weapons by supplementing them with the latest satellite communications, reconnaissance, target designation, and target tracking.

8. Consequently, new military formations are being established, such as BARS and PMCs, which, following the conclusion of the Eastern European conflict, potentially including wars in Moldova and the Baltics, may be utilized in Africa to establish a comprehensive African Federal District under the leadership of envoy Ye.V. Prigozhin.

9. The process of removing incompetent troop leaders who went to the front line with their personal mobile phones or satellite communication systems turned on.

10. The ‘battle test’ revealed the following:

a) the ignorance of most of the top military leadership;

b) the lack of coherence between the branches of the army;

c) the lack of reliable communications in ‘foreign’ territory;

d) problems with snipers, drones, satellite targeting and tracking;

e) fantastic theft by the top and senior leadership of the home front;

f) the unwillingness of the leadership of the Russian Armed Forces and the state corporation Rostec to produce cheap and effective combat equipment, such as racing drones with hollow-charge grenades, because it is impossible to steal ‘effectively’ from the production of cheap equipment;

g) theft and looting at the middle command level;

h) the total unpreparedness of the Russian Armed Forces to ‘jam’ the Starlink global reconnaissance system;

i) actual betrayal of Russia’s interests by officials of the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media of the Russian Federation, who blocked a similar Russian project 5 (five!) years ago.

Balance

The negative result is almost non-existent, the positive result is enormous. Just reducing the death rate by over 400,000 a year was worth the war, not to mention the other positive results.

Economic aspect

Negative result

1. The ‘freezing’ (and subsequent seizure) in the West of the Central Bank’s assets worth some $300 billion, as well as the assets of Russian officials, oligarchs and businessmen worth some $2 trillion.

2. Mobilization of 300,000 people with a corresponding reduction in the number of industrial and agricultural workers.

Despite the numerous unprofessional actions of some military commissars, as outlined in the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media of the Russian Federation’s Order No. 712 of September 26, 2022, highly qualified specialists are only drafted in specific cases. This applies to a wide range of professionals, including IT specialists, bankers, military equipment developers, geologists, cartographers, and even sound engineers.

3. The recruitment of contract soldiers, estimated at 500,000 people.

In Russia, the ‘army’ of security guards is estimated at up to 2,000,000 people. If a quarter of this number were to guard the motherland with guns in their hands, nothing bad could happen.

4. The stupidity (or malice?) of the employees of the Ministry of Finance, who included Cyprus, Gibraltar and the British Virgin Islands in the list of unfriendly jurisdictions, hit the Russian economy harder than any sanctions, since up to 90% of the Russian economy is structured on these jurisdictions.

5. Sanctions imposed on the economy, resulting in the restructuring of logistics chains, have led to a distribution imbalance of consumer goods within a period of one to three months and industrial goods within a period of six months to two years.

6. Sanctions and panic strikes on the financial system led to a 60% decrease in mortgages and a 40% decrease in real estate sales during the initial six months of the war. The risk of a bursting of the mortgage bubble and the risk of bankruptcy in the construction sector was high. By the close of the first year of the war, the situation had stabilized. In 2022, Frank RG estimates indicate that the volume of mortgage loans issued amounted to 1.3 million loans worth RUB 4.9 trillion, representing just 16% of a decrease compared to 2021 figures. In December 2022, a record was set for mortgage loans issued, with banks issuing 177,000 loans worth RUB 703 billion, marking a 48% increase compared to November 2022 and an 8% rise over the same period last year.[254]

7. The loss of three strings of Nord Streams, in accordance with Germany’s contractual obligations, is estimated to result in a loss of approximately $10 billion.

8. The estimated cost of rebuilding Donbass from the Russian budget is approximately $2 billion.[255]

Positive result

1. The Russian economy and budget are poised to achieve unprecedented revenues in 2022, driven by the high prices of gas and oil. The forecast for export growth currently stands at 20–25%, with total exports projected to surpass $750 billion in 2022.[256] Approximately $600 billion of this amount is expected to be officially recognized, while an additional $120–150 billion is anticipated to be settled indirectly through cryptocurrency and sideways transactions. Trade turnover on Venezuelan oil and oil and gas ‘cooperation’ with Iran and Qatar may also be included in these calculations.

2. The number of refugees from Ukraine has already exceeded 5,300,000 people,[257] which is more than the number of Russians mobilized or fighting on contract in the economy.

3. Import substitution has noticeably intensified, especially in strategic sectors of the economy such as energy, communications, aircraft construction, arms production, informatics, and banking.

4. In practice, logistics chains have been established that do not involve unfriendly jurisdictions. For instance, there has been a significant surge in European goods imports to Kyrgyzstan, with a 84% increase, and to Armenia, with a 72% increase.[258]

5. In response to the sanctions, Russian entities have taken control of companies that are under unfriendly jurisdictions, including Shell, McDonald’s, Société Générale (Rosbank), and Volkswagen, among others, with a total value of $240 billion.[259] This practice is not unprecedented in Russian history. For instance, Tsarist Russia seized real estate from foreigners after the outbreak of war in 1914.[260]

6. According to recent estimates, the share of Russian companies in the Russian economy has increased from 50% to 80%.

7. Russian corporations and high-net-worth individuals have begun to significantly reduce their investments in Europe, with some even returning capital to Russia. At the beginning of 2023, there was a noticeable increase in investments in the Russian economy from entities that have already been sanctioned or are preparing to be sanctioned.

Balance

The negative result was less significant than expected, and its formation is almost complete. The positive outcome in the economic sector has already surpassed it by a significant margin and is projected to exhibit substantial further growth as the war persists.

Domestic political aspect

Negative result

1. The majority of the population is dissatisfied with the mobilization, and there is significant dissatisfaction with the incongruous level of incompetence and negligence exhibited by many military commissars at the local level.

2. The majority of the population is dissatisfied with the retreat of Russian troops in Kharkov region and Kherson, as well as the ‘non-implementation’ of strikes on the headquarters, leadership, communications, and strategic infrastructure of the enemy, primarily in the oil and gas sector.[261]

3. There is significant dissatisfaction among the Russian Armed Forces and Russian National Guard regarding the inadequate supply of uniforms, food, medicines, and most importantly, the completely incompetent management of the troops.

4. Massive dissatisfaction of 95% of the Russian population with the lack of ideology and clear position of the country’s leadership on the conduct of the war, when highly powerful Armed Forces of the RF are allegedly incapable of defeating the very weak AFU.[262]

5. Part of the officials and businessmen close to the Kremlin began to switch to the side of the enemy (the USA and NATO) for the promise of the possibility of using 60–70% of the money previously ‘withdrawn to the West’.

6. In Georgia and Armenia, there is an ongoing ideological indoctrination and recruitment of ‘draft evaders’. This initiative targets up to 100,000 individuals with the objective of establishing a ‘fifth column’ and cultivating agents who will directly serve foreign intelligence agencies.

7. Further sharp separation of kinship ties between residents of Russia and residents of Ukraine.

8. Consolidation of the inhabitants of western and central Ukraine under anti-Russian and Nazi slogans.

Positive result

1. Consolidation of the Russian population under pro-Russian and anti-Nazi slogans, a sharp decline in separatist ideas.

2. Some growth of pro-Russian sentiment after the admission of the Donetsk and Lugansk People’s Republics, Kherson and Zaporozhye regions to the Russian Federation.

3. A sharp decline in the influence of the West.

a. Rejection of the Bologna education system.

b. The ‘demotards’ physically left the country: Chubais, Yavlinskiy, the liberal propaganda intelligentsia, such as the leading staff of Ekho Moskvy, Meduza, etc.

c. Traitors to Russian ideology also left the country:

i. Actors Galkin, Pugachova, Khamatova, Slepakov, etc.

ii. Oligarch businessmen: Prokhorov, Tinkov, Milner, etc.

iii. A small section of the technical intelligentsia, including some of the youth in IT.

iv. Draft evaders.

All of them can no longer count on the positive attitude of either the state or the majority of the population toward them. As the ‘great politician’ Klichko says: ‘They have painted themselves in the colors in which they have painted themselves’.

4. The West’s economic betrayal of the Russian businessmen who trusted it has become clear. Fridman and Aven gave the most obvious example of the West’s betrayal. Even Tinkov and Chichvarkin had their money blocked![263] A very big positive role was played by the decision of the Court of the District of Columbia, which recognized Fridman and Aven, who could not think of anything smarter than to sue with the State Department structure of the Center for Public Integrity (CPI) in Washington, D.C., as ‘having achieved their power through management and manipulation under the rules of lawlessness and corruption in the Russian economy’ and participants in the transit of Colombian cocaine.[264]

5. Officials who have kept their assets in the West have become ‘semi-impoverished’ — their assets in Russia (houses, apartments, cars, some cash) remain, while 95% of their savings in the form of money ‘offshore’ in Western banks or in the form of real estate in the West have actually gone to zero. Therefore, those of them who want to stay in public service for a long time have become economically much more patriotic, and there is a serious hope for a transition from negative to positive political corruption.

Balance

The positive outcome in the internal political arena is nearly equivalent to the negative outcome. Concurrently, the circumstances are deteriorating due to the absence of a unifying ideology, the absence of clearly defined war objectives with which the population can be made aware, and the willingness of the officialdom to commit treason.

Additionally, the situation could undergo a dramatic deterioration if further mobilization is declared, if significant territories are lost, or if substantial drone strikes are initiated against major Russian cities situated at a considerable distance from the Ukrainian border.

Geopolitical aspect

Negative result

Practically absent. Numerous economic sanctions have not had a geopolitically negative impact on Russia.

Positive result

1. Putin has effectively established a collective ‘anti-Western’ front consisting of China, India, Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Venezuela, Iran, and Turkey (transit) in the energy sector, along with the majority of Asian, African, and Latin American countries in other sectors. This alliance has even expanded to include Mexico. The formation of sustainable political and economic ties is underway for the coming decades.

2. China successfully executed a strategic maneuver, known as a ‘treaty coup,’ in support of Xi Jinping,[265] who has a pro-Russian stance. This development occurred in the context of a significant expansion in trade relations, with a 29% surge in trade turnover reaching a record $190 billion. Notably, China’s exports to Russia accounted for $76 billion of this total, while shipments from Russia amounted to $114 billion.[266]

3. The political importance of Britain, Russia’s long-standing geopolitical rival, has decreased in the wake of the death of Elizabeth II.

4. It is important to note that the GDP of the BRICS, where Russia is the military leader, has surpassed that of the G7, where the US plays a similar role.[267]

5. The countries that have been most economically impacted by the ongoing conflict in Ukraine are Germany, Italy, Britain, Japan, and South Korea, who are also key allies of the United States within the NATO and G7 frameworks.[268]

6. In light of these developments, a number of ‘fragile satellites’ of France in Africa have reoriented toward Russia. The formation of an African Federal District is underway.

7. The extension of the war has had a positive impact on all producers of high-priced hydrocarbons, including the OPEC+ bloc: Russia, Qatar, Venezuela, Iran, and Saudi Arabia, with an estimated increase of approximately $1 trillion in revenue. Conversely, the same amount[269] is beneficial to the top 50 largest fuel and energy corporations of the West.[270]

8. The alignment of US and Russian interests for the duration of the war through a concerted reduction in regional security would increase world security with a reduced risk of a global nuclear conflict.[271]

9. Ruined by high energy prices, Germany, together with its Eastern European satellites, will sooner or later be forced to change its political development vector for an economic alliance with Russia.

Balance

The positive geopolitical outcome is enormous, and it is unprecedented in world history. For the first time, Russia has become a geopolitical player of the highest global rank.

The bottom line

Russia’s main ‘advantages’ are geopolitical, military and economic. They are very big and worth fighting for.

At the same time, Russia’s domestic balance is very precarious and can be broken at any moment. Such an undesirable development of events with insufficient attention of the state may well lead to a critical result.

11.03.2023

What Was the United States’ Acquisition during the Inaugural Year of the Ukrainian War?

In the preceding study, titled What were Russia’s gains during the initial year of hostilities?[272] an analysis was conducted of military, economic, domestic, and geopolitical dimensions.

In the present study, the economic dimension will be the focal point, with an analysis of the United States conducted against the backdrop of the other participants in the conflict.

Export

In Russia, the forecast indicates a projected export growth rate of 20–25%, with total exports potentially surpassing $750 billion in 2022.[273] Of this total, approximately $600 billion was officially recorded,[274] while an additional $120–150 billion was settled through cryptocurrency and alternative methods. This substantial growth of approximately $200 billion is particularly advantageous for Russia.

Ukraine’s exports have experienced a significant decline, dropping from $70 billion to $45 billion. From a macroeconomic perspective, the state of Ukraine no longer exists. The nation has relinquished its economic sovereignty and is reliant on external economic ‘support’ to sustain itself. And the ‘support’ relationship between the United States and its satellites is a de facto interstate contract of employment. Ukraine is now a mercenary state hired by the US and its satellites to fight a limited non-nuclear war with Russia.

What is the profitability of the United States and its allies hiring Ukraine and paying tens of billions of dollars?

‘Germany’s exports increased by 14.3% to €1564.1 billion in 2022.’[275] This represents a €219 billion gain, equivalent to 237 billion US dollars. This substantial increase in exports provides a valuable opportunity to consider allocating 20–30 billion dollars in the form of military or social aid to Ukraine.

‘Japan’s exports for the year are projected to rise 19.5% from 2021 to 102.6 trillion yen (US $754 billion). The majority of these exports will be products from the machinery industry, as well as transportation equipment, including automobiles.’[276] An increase of US $126 billion also looks good. They can afford to sacrifice some of the interests of the fishing industry.

By the conclusion of 2022, the total value of US exports amounted to $3.01 trillion,[277] marking a substantial increase of 72% or 1.26 trillion US dollars. Evidently, the United States possesses the financial resources to allocate 50 or 100 billion dollars annually to sustain its military engagements.

And what is surprising is that the entire ‘free’ press keeps quiet about these colossal figures. In a normal situation, they would write about it with gusto. But in this case, it is impossible to discuss it publicly — it will immediately become clear who is the main beneficiary of the war. Historian and political analyst Andrey Fursov is right: instead of MM of C (mass media of communication) we should say MM of ASS (mass media of advertising, stirring and slandering). They have nothing in common with objective coverage of events.

In light of these developments, it is intriguing to observe the performance of Russia’s primary anti-NATO and BRICS allies.

‘China’s exports rose 6.9% to $3.59 trillion in 2022.’[278] The $240 billion gain is not insignificant, even for China.

‘Exports of goods from India in FY 2021–2022 increased by 43.5% over the previous fiscal year to a record $417.8 billion.’[279] The increase of $177 billion is also quite significant given these relative numbers.

So Russia, China, and India’s exports have also grown, almost as much as Germany’s and Japan’s. However, their exports remain significantly below those of the United States.

The increase in US exports is substantially greater than the exports of all other major participants in the conflict combined. It is said that war makes some people rich. In this case, it is especially true of the United States.

Foreign trade balance

‘Russia’s trade surplus reached $332 billion, …while imports fell 11.7% to $259.1 billion.’[280]

‘In Germany, imports climbed 24.3% to €1,488.1 billion in 2022.’[281]

‘Japan’s imports are forecast to rise 34.7% to 123 trillion yen (US$904 billion).’[282]

‘US imports totaled $3.96 trillion at the end of 2022.’[283]

‘China’s imports increased by 1.1% to reach US$2.72 trillion.’[284] ‘India’s imports grew by 55% to US$610 billion, driven by a surge in global economic activity. India’s trade deficit stood at US$192 billion.’[285]

Looking at the foreign trade surplus, we see that China, Russia, and Germany received more than $1.2 trillion worth of phantoms (various currencies) in lieu of goods, while the US, Japan, and India issued phantoms (issued US dollars, yen, and rupees) in lieu of goods worth about $1.3 trillion.

Comparing the growth of real exports and currency imports, we get the following figures.

1. Russia’s exports of tangible goods officially increased by $0.1 trillion. However, this was counterbalanced by a $0.33 trillion increase in imported foreign currency, primarily yuan and rupees.

Consequently, there was a final deficit of 0.55 trillion USD in goods.

2. China’s exports of tangible goods exhibited a 0.24 trillion USD increase, while its imports of foreign currencies, predominantly US dollars, amounted to 0.77 trillion USD.

Consequently, a final goods deficit of 0.55 trillion USD was recorded.

3. Germany increased tangible goods exports by $0.22 trillion and imported almost none in foreign exchange.

As a result, Germany saw a $0.2 trillion increase in the quantity of goods.

4. Japan’s exports of tangible goods increased by 0.12 trillion USD, while its exports of banknotes (yen) increased by nearly 0.15 trillion USD.

This led to an additional 0.27 trillion USD in quantity of goods.

5. India augmented its export of tangible goods by USD 0.17 trillion, and exported currency (rupees) by nearly USD 0.2 trillion.

In sum, the aggregate increase in quantity of goods was USD 0.37 trillion.

6. US exports of tangible goods saw a significant increase of 1.26 trillion USD. Additionally, exports of banknotes accounted for nearly 1 trillion USD.

This led to a final surplus of 2.21 trillion USD in quantity of goods.

And that’s where the USA is most important! Selling shredded paper for tangible goods for almost 1 trillion US dollars in one year — that’s a skill! Once again, the US did better than all the other participants in the conflict put together.

By the way, where did those dollars go? Usually they are used to buy US Treasury bills.

The US Federal Reserve made a significant move by raising the discount rate, which led to a dramatic decline in the prices of previously sold treasury bonds, particularly long-term ones. This resulted in an unrealized loss in stocks and bonds of the American financial system reaching an unprecedented level of about 10 trillion USD.[286]

If we assume that those who were aware of the impending rate hike in advance purchased the corresponding options, it would be logical to conclude that these options generated approximately $1 trillion in additional ‘earnings’.

Total.

1. The United States earned $1.26 trillion from export growth.

2. Additionally, the country generated $0.95 trillion through the sale of shredded paper, contributing to the overall economic activity.

3. Additionally, they earned another $1 trillion from manipulations with the Federal Reserve’s interest rate and its impact on securities markets.

The total amount is $3.21 trillion, and this is all in just one year!

And that’s not all. There is one more thing to consider.

Gross Domestic Product (GDP)

In the initial year of the pandemic (2020), the United States’ GDP was $20.89 trillion. By 2021, it had increased to $23 trillion.[287] This growth may be attributed to the rapid emission of dollars and the expansion of the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet,[288] or it may be attributable to the deceleration in global trade due to the pandemic. While this is not the primary focus of this analysis, it is undoubtedly a salient factor that merits close examination.

It is important that by the end of 2022 the GDP of the USA has increased by 25.5 trillion US dollars.[289]

That is, the growth of GDP for the first ‘Russian-Ukrainian military year’ was 2.5 trillion US dollars! This means that the American economy grew both as a result of the artificial slowdown of international trade between Europe and Asia due to the sanctions, and as a result of the growing competitiveness of the United States as an energy producer. This, in turn, has translated into industrial flows, for example, from Europe to America.

And not just growing, but growing by more than 11%!

‘US President Joe Biden tweeted, citing independent experts, that the US economy may overtake China in growth this year for the first time since 1976.’[290]

This shows the great skill of the US in manipulating the world economy in its favor by fomenting regional conflicts away from US territory.

Current transactions grew by $3.21 trillion and GDP growth was $2.5 trillion. In one year!

With such economic results, the US will do everything it can to keep the ‘Russian Russians’ and ‘Ukrainian Russians’ killing each other for as long as possible.

It’s as certain as preaching.

18.03.2023

Comrade Stalin and Russia’s Economic Security

Having joined the social-democratic movement in the winter of 1897/98, Joseph Dzhugashvili (a.k.a. Soso, a.k.a. Koba, a.k.a. Stalin) went to Batum at the end of November 1901 on behalf of the Tbilisi Committee to create a social-democratic organization.

At that time in Russia (Baku — Batum) was produced and refined 11.2 million tons of oil, which was 53% of the world oil production. Great Rockefeller controlled only 40% of the world oil production and refining.

During the period of Joseph Dzhugashvili’s active revolutionary work in the Caucasus until 1908, significant transformations occurred within the oil industry.

Oil production and refining exhibited a decline, with a decrease of 2.6 million tons to 8.6 million tons, while the global oil production increased from 21 to 35 million tons during the same period. Consequently, Russia’s share in the global oil market declined by 28% to 25%, while the share of Mr. Rockefeller (USA) increased by 28% to 68%.[291]

Consequently, owing to the diminution of Russia’s standing in the global oil market, Rockefeller’s revenue from 1901 to 1908 in oil production alone (excluding refining) escalated from $9 million per year to $17.6 million per year. Rockefeller’s total additional income from oil production alone (excluding refining) was equivalent to between 70 and 80 tons of gold. When the processing of kerosene is factored in, this figure can be safely tripled.

Did Rockefeller pay someone to reduce the level of oil field operations in Russia? And is there any connection between the revolutionary work of Comrade Stalin and such a huge failure of the Russian economy in the sphere of oil production and refining?

The year 1901 is notable for the fact that Russia became the world’s first oil producer. Russian oil accounted for almost half of Britain’s imports, one-third of Belgium’s, and three-quarters of France’s. In addition, Russia became the main supplier of oil and petroleum products to the Middle East.[292] In the previous year, 1900, a cartel agreement was made between the Nobel Brothers Petroleum Company and the Rothschild Oil Company to control the export of kerosene. The union was bound together by the task of opposing Standard Oil’s global expansion. Gustav Ternudd, CEO of the Nobel Brothers Petroleum Company, shared his plans in his letter: ‘At present the situation is such that the market of the Russian Empire is entirely dependent on us, and we are seriously thinking of driving the Americans not only out of Europe, but out of Asia.’[293]

As stated in United States Congressional documents, John D. Rockefeller provided financial support to V. Lenin and L. Trotsky from the early years of the 20th century, increasing it after the failure of the 1905 Revolution.[294]

Just three months after Stalin’s appearance in Batum, Rothschild’s oil-industrial plant inexplicably caught fire. How did it happen? Stalin was hired to work for Rothschild in their oil depot at a salary of six abaz a day (1 ruble 20 kopecks). Stalin laughed, almost singing, and said that he worked for the Rothschilds! On January 4, 1902, Stalin rejoiced that his oil depot caught fire![295]

The next day the Rothschild workers demanded a wage increase. Stalin was part of a delegation that met with Rothschild’s manager, a Frenchman named François Jeune. This was Stalin’s first meeting with a European businessman. But there is evidence that from then on Stalin was in secret contact with Rothschild’s managers — this was the beginning of his shadowy and very lucrative relationship with the oil magnates. The Rothschilds, of course, knew it was arson, and Jeune refused to pay the compensation. Stalin succeeded in his provocation: he called for a strike.[296]

Joseph Stalin then organized demonstrations and strikes in Batum against two of the three major oil magnates, Mantashev and Rothschild, who were reducing the volume of oil refining.[297]

Due to strikes and economic sabotage, oil production and refining in Russia (Baku-Batum) decreased to 10.9 million tons in 1902, representing a 5% reduction and accounting for 48% of global production.[298]

While the impact on workers is unclear, it is evident that it was a significant development for Rockefeller. Consequently, his share of the global market experienced a substantial growth of 8%, reaching 48%.

Regardless, it is worth noting that Stalin did not actively oppose the largest oil magnates, the Swedish Nobels. Some researchers believe that the Nobels bribed Stalin with money, even citing a figure of 50,000 rubles.[299] Others believe that the Nobels were so close to the highest power in Russia, and directly to Alexander III, who lobbied the German Kaiser ‘Cousin Willi’ for the Nobels’ kerosene on the German market, that the Nobels’ economic security may have been managed by the tsarist secret police. So it is quite possible that in parallel with the security service Stalin himself ‘worked’ for the Nobels, arranging problems for his internal Russian competitors, from which, incidentally, the version of Stalin’s cooperation with the security service was born. On the one hand, he carried out the orders of Rockefeller through Lenin and Trotsky; on the other hand, the Nobels had no grievances against him.

Oil derricks were burning in Baku even before Stalin came to Batum. In 1897–1899, 50–60 derricks burned down every year. And in 1900, 318 derricks burned down at once — 5 times more than the year before. This no longer looked like a safety issue. And in 1901 there was direct economic sabotage: a guard of a fuel oil tank in Baku set fire to oil with a torch. The fire lasted 5 days and cost the Nobel company about 1.5 million rubles.[300] 257 derricks were burned. After that Comrade Stalin came to Batum.

And if, according to Konstantin Kandelaki, Stalin personally carried out the first fire at the Rothschild oil refinery on January 4, 1902, then later Stalin formed a very large and perfectly organized criminal group engaged in murder, extortion (racketeering), and most importantly — ideological and economic sabotage (arson of oil fields). There were several dozen active organizers in this organized crime syndicate, including prominent figures such as Kandelaki, Ordzhonikidze, Kalinin, Rosenfeld (Kamenev), Kirov, Shaumyan, Krasin, Litvinov, Kamo, Voroshilov, and later Beria.[301]

Ideological subversion in the form of distribution of subversive literature with the demand to increase workers’ wages led to mass strikes and consequently to a decrease in oil production in Russia (Baku and Batum), which in turn was beneficial to Rockefeller (USA). At the same time, these ideological diversions created strong popular support, which helped hide members of Stalin’s organized crime group (OCG) from the police and prepare the next economic sabotage in the form of oil field arson.

At the same time, it is worth noting the very weak work of the police and gendarmes, who were partly unable to eliminate Stalin’s OCG and partly covered up arson attacks by rival oil producers for bribes. Policemen, due to their low material status, did not value their official position and very easily parted with it.[302] Cossacks were used by the police almost exclusively at demonstrations of protesters and did not make a significant contribution to the fight against Stalin’s OCG. Oil producers hired Chechens to protect oil fields, but this did not save them from fires.[303]

In 1903, the Rothschilds completed an oil pipeline from Baku to Batum. Oil and oil products were exported from Russia to almost all countries: first to Great Britain, then to the East Indies, Germany, Egypt, Turkey, France. And in the same year, right after negotiations with the Nobels and Rothschilds in Paris, there were riots and sabotage organized by Rockefeller in Baku, where the oil derricks and refineries of Rothschilds were burned down. There was a fire in the Bibi-Heybat oil fields which destroyed most of the oil fields and more than 25 million poods of oil (2.6 million barrels of oil). 188 derricks were burned. Stalin was one of the organizers of these riots. And so, almost beyond doubt, he had certain obligations to Rockefeller.

Baku’s oil production fell to 10.3 million tons, down to 41% of world production. But Rockefeller’s share of the world market increased to 50%.

In 1904, Stalin organized a great strike of oil field workers in Baku.[304] ‘After the end of the business part of the meeting (December 28),’ recalled a member of the strike committee M. Sarkisyan (Minas), ‘the representative of the Central Committee told us that two days after his arrival about two people came to his hotel and, identifying themselves as representatives of the company Bros. Nobel, said openly: “We know that you are a representative of the Central Committee of the Russian Social-Democratic Workers’ Party; we propose that through you we contribute 30,000 rubles to the organization on condition that you prolong the strike for another week and a half or two weeks.” Needless to say, the comrade categorically refused the offer made to him, saying that they were mistaken and that he had no connections with any organizations. The same day the comrade moved to another hotel, where two days later the same two men came again for the same purpose, this time offering 50,000 rubles.’

The damage from the 1904 fires was great for most industrialists, but the Nobels had huge, for the time, kerosene depots and stockpiles far from Baku, which, as usual, were replenished before the end of shipping and, consequently, the beginning of the strike.[305]

In February 1905, the first Armenian-Tatar (Azerbaijanian) massacre broke out in Baku without any significant reason. Neither side benefited from it, but it created objective conditions for burning the enterprises of one of the largest oil producers — the Armenian Mantashev. And Jewish pogroms correspondingly created an occasion for the burning of Rothschild enterprises. This caused minimal damage to the Swedish Nobels and even helped them to eliminate competitors. At the same time, Rockefeller benefited the most from the economic sabotage of the competition war in Baku, as he gained new markets for his products in Europe and Asia.

In the same year, 1905, after only 10 years of construction, the Trans-Siberian Railway was completed in its variant with the Chinese Eastern Railway. Alexander III had entrusted its construction to S.Yu. Witte for the purpose of exporting Russian kerosene to China, which was the main market for the Rockefellers and the Rothschilds-Samuels-Detterings.

It should be noted that the Rothschilds did not like all this. They saw in the burning of the fields not so much Rockefeller’s intrigues as the economic-terrorist struggle of the pro-Russian Nobels. Accordingly, the Rothschilds, united with the Rockefellers, began to shape Russia’s war with Japan, openly taking its side in the financial war.

The journal Krasnyy Arkhiv (Red Archive) contains numerous reports by Russian financial agents, which show the resistance to which attempts to obtain loans in the West were subjected (e.g., Nos. 4, 6, 10). In the memoirs of the German ambassador in London, Baron von Eckardstein, there is a curious episode of how, in 1904, he introduced the Japanese ambassador, Count Hayashi, to Alfred Rothschild, who was ‘always glad to cross the road of Russian diplomacy’. Japan could not start a war with Russia without major financial support, and the British government refused, not wanting to violate neutrality. But Rothschild ‘assured Count Hayashi of his sympathy,’ guaranteed the financial support of the House of Rothschild, and thus enabled Japan to start the war.[306] During the Russo-Japanese War, the Rothschilds provided the enemy of Russia with unlimited credit from the banks they controlled, which allowed the Japanese to wage the war much longer than the Russian command had hoped. Almost all foreign credit to Russia during this period was cut off, including, of course, by the Rothschilds themselves.[307]

Rockefeller said that if the tsarist government refused to sell the oil fields to the Americans, the National City Bank would lend money to Japan that would be used for purposes hostile to Russia. This was blatant blackmail.[308]

The Russo-Japanese War of 1905 was planned to cut off a promising overland kerosene trade route from Russia to China.

At the moment of signing the Portsmouth Peace Treaty by the chairman of the Council of Ministers S.Yu. Witte, a gigantic fire broke out in Baku, causing enormous damage. In five days 1429 oil platforms burned down. 58% of the wells were put out of operation. In a report to the minister of finance of the Russian Empire, Baku’s oil producers recorded the loss of ‘at least three quarters of their field property, burned, damaged or stolen’ and thus ‘fundamentally’ undermined.

Compared to other companies, the Branobel partnership suffered moderately.[309]

Baku’s oil production fell to 7.4 million tons, down to 26% of world production. But Rockefeller’s share of the world market rose to 50%.

Events in Russia led to a decline in oil production, exacerbating the problem of Russian oil production technologies lagging behind those of the West.

According to the data of the department of customs duties, the export from Russia of oil and oil products in 1905 decreased to 55.589 million poods (against 103.201 million poods in 1904). The value of exports in the same period decreased from 50,612 rubles to 27,762 rubles. The total volume of crude oil exported from Russia in 1906 decreased threefold in comparison with the pre-revolutionary period (i.e. before 1904). Oil exports to France decreased four times, to Britain — three times, to China and India — 24 times.[310] And ‘when oil burns, millions burn’, as ‘the treasury received 100 million rubles annually from the Baku fields.’[311]

The Rockefellers, who competed with Russian oil producers, actively sponsored the Russian Revolution of 1905. As the newspaper Rus wrote at the time, ‘unrest was brewing covertly, a nest of brigands had been created,’ setting oilfields on fire. Boris Savinkov cited Zilliacus’s recollections of the ‘donations from American millionaires, amounting to one million francs,’ which he received on their behalf ‘for the Russian Revolution.’ Concurrently, Vladimir Mayevsky, the vice-consul of Russia in Erzurum (Ottoman Empire) during the late 19th century, observed that the majority of individuals ‘lacked the capacity to fully comprehend such phenomena and ascertain their underlying causes.’ The events in Baku were ‘remarkable for their unexpectedness, peculiar nature, and inexplicability’.[312]

‘Each of the 314 fires that occurred in the Baku region between 1900 and 1909 destroyed an average of 150 oil wells, four iron tanks, forty-seven wooden barrels, one oil-storage pit, eleven drilling rigs, and one hundred and thirty-three thousand poods of oil.

‘In 1906 there were fifty-nine kerosene factories in Russia, but by 1910 only thirty-nine remained.

‘The revolutionary movement at the beginning of the century, one of the main centers of which was the region of Baku and Batum, where Stalin began his activity, was one of the reasons for the reduction of oil production.’[313]

‘The Union of Russian Trade-Industrialists’ report on oil highlighted that ‘the decline in oil exports had a significant negative impact on Russia’s economy, particularly on the city of Batum, which had been experiencing rapid development during the period of Russian oil export growth. The closure of its factories for the manufacture of tin cans and wooden boxes, the diminution of steamship arrivals to the port (1–2 times per week), the departure of workers and merchants, and the transformation of the city into a provincial dead zone all contributed to this decline.’[314]

But Rockefeller’s Standard Oil, taking advantage of the unrest in Russia, successfully regained for American kerosene the markets that had been lost in the fight against Russian oil.[315]

In 1905–1917 the Nobels managed to restore oil production in Baku to the level of 8–9 million tons per year, but during the ‘rampant revolution’ of 1918–1924 it was almost destroyed, falling to 3–4 million tons per year. Thus, the share of Russia in world oil production amounted to a paltry 3%.

Consequently, due to Russia’s diminished standing in the global oil market, Rockefeller’s revenue from oil production alone (excluding refining) surged from $17.6 million per year to $195 million per year from 1908 to 1920.

Rockefeller’s total additional income from oil production alone (excluding refining) amounted to about 1000 tons of gold. If refining into kerosene is taken into account, the sum can easily be tripled.

Conclusion.

The Bolsheviks in the person of Lenin-Trotsky and especially Stalin worked for the interests of foreign oil companies, especially Rockefeller (USA), for which they conducted subversive ideological and economic activities against the Russian Empire and the Russian people by organizing strikes and sabotage in the oil industry of Russia.

It is one thing to take money from foreigners to change the elite in the country (perhaps even from less effective to more effective), and quite another to take money from foreigners to destroy an entire industry, and the most profitable and promising for the entire Russian economy.

This is already a crime against the welfare of all citizens of the Russian Empire, against all the people, not just the elite.

This is not only treason against the state, it is treason against the people of the country.

It is safe to say that it was the activities of the Russian Social Democratic Workers’ Party (Bolsheviks) that led to the weakening of the economy of the Russian Empire, which greatly affected the outcome of World War I. If the security service and the police had liquidated the Bolsheviks in time, it is very likely that Russia would have won the war in 1917 and gotten the Bosporus and the Dardanelles. There would have been no civil war and tens of millions of people killed and oppressed.

Russia’s economy would be many times stronger now, which means we would be living many times better now.

P. S. There are quite a few questions left outside of this article:

• the holding of congresses of the Russian Social Democratic Workers’ Party (Bolsheviks) in London against the background of Britain’s competition with Russia in the oil market;

• nationalization of the oil industry by the Bolsheviks and its de facto transfer to Rockefeller control;

• Rockefeller’s de facto monopoly on Russian oil exports in the 1930s;

• the USSR’s waiver of economic claims against the United States ‘arising from the actions of American troops in Siberia’ during the intervention in the amount of approximately $1 billion (equivalent to approximately 1,000 tons of gold), signed by Soviet Foreign Minister Litvinov at Stalin’s direction;

• absence of detention of American spies on the territory of the USSR by the NKVD against the background of mass arrest and extermination of spies of other states;

• the beginning of the NKVD’s ‘Great Purge’ in 1937, exactly two weeks after John Davison Rockefeller’s death on May 23;

• the share of oil exports under Stalin never amounted to more than 4% of export revenues;

• the dramatic increase in oil produced and exported by the USSR after Stalin died;

• a sharp decline in Russia’s oil production under Yeltsin from 570 to 300 million tons per year and in oil exports from 230 to 120 million tons per year.

17.04.2023

‘Oddities’ of the Second World War

One often hears the popular opinion: German staffs were no fools.

The facts cast serious doubt on the truth of this statement.

1. How was it that these ‘no fools’ let the entire British Army of 300,000 men leave Dunkirk when it cost next to nothing to defeat them?

2. How was it that these ‘no fools’ waged war in Africa and the Mediterranean with 10 divisions (3 German and 7 Italian) without taking Gibraltar with only two (2) divisions, thus allowing the ‘Allies’ to freely supply their troops?

3. How was it that these ‘no fools did not give Rommel 2 more divisions to conquer the Suez Canal, while 180 divisions were on the border with the USSR?

4. How was it that these ‘no fools’ abandoned the plan to capture the oil fields of Basra by marching five (5) armored divisions from Suez, which would have deprived the British of fuel, but would have given the Third Reich great opportunities?

5. How was it that these ‘no fools’ did not notice that the head of the Abwehr, Admiral Canaris, had been working for the British since 1939, while he even kept a diary in which he described all this on a daily basis?

6. How was it that these ‘no fools’ spent 6.5 billion Reichsmarks on the construction of the ‘Atlantic Wall’, an almost meaningless alleged barrier against the British, when this money could be used to build 10,000 heavy four-engine bombers of the Flying Fortress type and bomb all of Britain, its entire fleet and harbors, plus the American forces in Africa, and there would still be bombers for the Eastern Front? In addition, the savings on air defense forces in France and Germany, and gigantic savings on the Navy…

7. How could these ‘no fools’ supply their military aviation in the winter of 1941/1942 in Russia with gasoline that freezes at minus 14 degrees? Had they never been to Russia? Military Attaché Koestring was born into a landowner’s family in Serebryanye Prudy, Moscow Province! And a year and a half before the beginning of the war with the USSR, in January 1940, the frost in Moscow reached –37°C, and then –44°C, as the newspaper Pravda[316] wrote. Even if the Germans did not read the newspapers, did they not have a thermometer in the embassy?

8. How could these ‘no fools’ supply their cars and tank equipment in the winter in Russia with gasoline and lubricants that thicken at minus 20 degrees Celsius?

9. How could these ‘no fools’ shoe the entire German army on the ‘Eastern Front’ in boots with iron rivets on the soles, perfectly transmitting the cold from the ground to the feet?

10. How could these ‘no fools’ be unaware of the multiple defensive lines in the USSR in the spring of 1941?

11. How could these ‘no fools’ even plan a front line several thousand kilometers long and communications cut off from the main supply bases in Europe for three thousand (3000) kilometers?

12. Consider Plan Barbarossa. The plan had only one option: blitzkrieg. According to the plan, in a matter of weeks, the defenses would be dismantled, the Red Army defeated, and Moscow forced to surrender. What if it failed? Did Hitler have a contingency plan? There was no backup plan. How could that be? How could you launch such a scam without having a ‘Plan B’? What were these ‘no fools’ thinking?[317]

13. How could these ‘no fools’ not know about the poor quality of dirt roads in the USSR, when every Russian knows that in Russia you can only drive on dried-up or frozen dirt?

14. How could these ‘presumably intelligent’ people even venture into a major war without a guaranteed source of tungsten and chromium, vital to the production of armor and sub-caliber ammunition?

15. How could they not be fools if they themselves voluntarily began to fight on two fronts, knowing full well the much-discussed suicidal nature of such a strategy?

16. How could these ‘smart guys’ fail to foresee the obvious, even to civilians, Anglo-American support of the belligerent USSR with arms and strategic materials?

17. How could these ‘nobody’s fools’ not dare to take Murmansk and Kondopoga to cut the strategic route for the delivery of military equipment under Lend-Lease?

18. How could these ‘no fools’ starve more than 2,000,000 healthy prisoners of war into captivity in the winter of 1941/1942, only to recognize the labor shortage in German industry in the spring of 1942 and begin to forcibly transfer the civilian population of the occupied territories to Germany?[318]

19. Why did these ‘not foolish people’ prefer to lose more than 1,000,000 soldiers at Stalingrad for no gain, without trying to cut off the Soviet oil “lifeline” by simply crossing the Volga River above or below Stalingrad?

20. Why did the seemingly ‘not stupid people’ not cancel their offensive at the very beginning of the battle of Kursk, after they realized from the artillery shelling at 4 a.m. that the USSR had the German plan for an offensive, but drove their tanks into minefields? Why did they not call off the Citadel operation after losing half of their tanks to mines?

Much more logical is the view that the job of the Nazi leaders was to steal from the German budget on behalf of the military, not to win the war at all.

22.04.2023

How Ukraine Can Be Quickly Defeated and What It Will Do for the US and Russia[319]

Russia has the capability of achieving Ukraine’s capitulation within a few days by employing one or more of the following methods:

Defeating Ukraine’s Gas Industry[320]

This will necessitate the following actions:

1. Cutting off the gas pipelines to and from Ukraine.

2. Stopping the operation of Ukraine’s largest gas field, Shebelinka, which is located 19 kilometers from the former Russian positions in Balakliya, by a missile strike; Shebelynkagazodobycha Gas Production Directorate produces 40% of Ukraine’s gas.[321]

3. Destroying Ukraine’s largest Bilche-Volytsko-Uherske underground gas storage facility, located in Stryy, Lvov region, by a missile strike.

Of course, we can also hit four other underground gas storage facilities located in western Ukraine, which store 80% of ‘Ukrainian’ gas, and several other relatively large gas fields in the Kharkov and Poltava regions (Zapadno-Krestishchenskoye, Yablunovskoye, Efremovskoye, and Melekhovskoye).

In the absence of gas, the industry and the population of Ukraine will be unable to subsist. They will fall on their knees begging for forgiveness.

This method is the fastest; it can be performed literally in one (1) hour and will give the desired result in 2–3 days.

Defeating Ukraine’s Oil Industry

To this end, the following measures are necessary:

1. Cutting off the pipelines supplying oil to/through Ukraine;

2. Stopping fuel supply to Ukraine, both directly and through Belarus, India, and the Baltics.[322]

3. Blocking the supply of fuel to Ukraine by sea via Odessa and other ports.

4. Destroying the Kremenchug refinery by missile attack.

The military will be unable to move without fuel. Diesel locomotives on the railroad and road transportation infrastructure will also be non-operational.

This method can be executed in 2–3 days and will produce the desired result within 7–15 days, once reserves are exhausted.

Defeating Ukraine’s Railroad Industry

Contrary to the opinion of many industry experts, the bridges are not supposed to be hit. The targeted infrastructure is the railroad traffic control systems located at hub stations. There are six such stations in Ukraine: Cherkassy, Kremenchug, Kiev-Darnitsa, Dnepr-Nizhnedneprovsk, Zaporozhye-Marganets, and Anatoliy Alimov.[323] According to industry experts, the destruction of this equipment will result in a significant reduction in the railroad’s real capacity. They estimate that it will fall by a factor of three to ten.

It is imperative to destroy the Beskid tunnel, which is a key link in the West’s military supply of Ukraine by rail (up to 90% of weapons supplied).[324]

Without a consistent supply of personnel, ammunition, and fuel, the effectiveness of the AFU will decrease three- to fourfold, which could have disastrous consequences.

This method can be completed in one hour, but the desired outcome will be realized once the reserve supply is depleted, which could take seven to fifteen days.

Killing Ukraine’s military and political leadership

This method is widely known in the military sphere and includes attacks on the headquarters, main and reserve command posts, decision-making centers, and main bomb shelters of the enemy leadership.

For the sake of reliability, it is desirable to destroy the offices of the Security Service of Ukraine and military recruitment offices in 10–15 largest cities of Ukraine.

This method can be executed in 4–5 days, as it will require repeated blows in case of rapid movement of the attacked persons before delivering them, but will give the desired result in the same time.

Destroying the Communications System

It is imperative to jam the Starlink satellite link, which is actively used by the enemy. The vulnerability of Starlink satellite communications is not in jamming the strong dish-to-satellite signal, but in jamming the weak satellite-to-dish signal, which is in the 10–13 MHz band. A country that has successfully jammed the Voice of America from powerful terrestrial repeaters can perhaps jam a weak satellite signal? This task is extremely simple and can be accomplished by a student at any communications university in very little time and with very little money.

To be safe, the main wireline and cellular switching nodes, usually located at the ISP’s main office, need to be destroyed.

It is also essential to suppress any activity in the radio band in combat zones using electronic warfare, as demonstrated in Debaltsevo.

This method can be achieved in 2–3 days, but it may require repeated strikes if communications are quickly switched to spare switches. However, this approach will yield the desired result within 20–30 days, which is the time required to encircle and defeat enemy troops.

Buying up Ukraine’s weapons and military leadership

Konashenkov, the ‘Talking Head’ should officially announce the purchase of tanks and other heavy equipment from the Ukrainian military. Knowing the habits of the AFU soldiers last year, at the price of 1–2 million rubles per tank of the T-72 type, tanks in Ukraine will run out in 2–3 days in the combat zone. Buying up tanks at a distance from the battle line will only take time to bring them to the contact line.

Prices should also be set for IFVs, MLRSs, and other heavy weapons that reflect the real black market in Donbass. They will ‘run out’ in the Ukrainian armed forces within the same time frame.

There will be problems with Crab self-propelled armored vehicles operated by Polish crews and HIMARS MLRSs operated by Americans.

Konashenkov should also officially announce the buying up of high-ranking AFU officers. The price for a battalion tactical group commander should not be less than 10 million rubles. A higher-ranking one is more expensive. In order to avoid the possibility of the mass appearance in Ukraine of freshly minted specialists, only officers who have served in this position at least three months on the contact line and at least six months on the reserve lines of defense should be paid.

This method can be carried out in 4–5 days, since it requires verification of the AFU soldiers, but it will bring the desired result in the same period of time.

Simultaneous use of all the above methods guarantees the capitulation of Ukraine within 2–5 days.

What are the implications of this for the global economy, particularly for the United States and Russia?

The prices of energy resources, metals, and food are expected to revert to their pre-war levels.

The producers of these raw materials (primarily in the United States and Russia) will lose $2 trillion a year in ‘ready cash’[325] and another $4 trillion a year in economic competitiveness, which in turn will translate into the relocation of industry to a more competitive economy (e. g., from Europe to the United States[326]).

The arms manufacturers, primarily in the United States and Russia, will lose the opportunity to receive new defense contracts worth around $3 trillion over a 10-year period. They will also lose the chance to test all types of weapons and tactics on the ‘Ukrainian testing ground’ and dispose of outdated weapons. The possibility of ‘siphoning off’ money from US and NATO budgets to the ‘black hole’ called Ukraine will be lost as well. Such ‘siphons’ in Afghanistan amounted to $1 trillion for almost 20 years in total.

It will become impossible to confiscate money from Russian oligarchs, officials and businessmen placed in the West in offshore accounts and other assets totaling about $2 trillion.[327]

Even for 10% of the above amounts, any group of people interested in a quick victory in Ukraine will be “rolled in asphalt”. Quickly and with impunity.

So a quick victory in Ukraine will simply be prevented. Those who need to be deceived will be deceived; those who need to be bribed will be bribed; those who need to be intimidated will be intimidated. Those who do not understand will be actively liquidated.

It is unpleasant to realize, but it is necessary to understand. This is an objective reality that we exist in now.

It is also worth noting that large American landowners such as Cargill, Du Pont and Monsanto, which already control 52% of Ukraine’s agricultural land,[328] are likely to lose their land.

Russia will get the following problems.

• A huge subsidized region. The industry in Ukraine has been completely ruined by the ‘independent Ukrainian gentlemen’; accordingly, the amount of collected taxes is significantly lower than the volume of necessary social expenditures: pensions, salaries for teachers, doctors, police, etc. The approximate subsidy to Ukraine in its current form will amount to about 2 trillion rubles a year, or $25 billion a year. Since Russia’s budget will most likely not be invested in the next in turn development of Ukraine’s industry, the only unpleasant but realistic way out is to reduce the population to at least 10 million people, since the income from agriculture simply cannot feed a larger population.

The ‘solution’ to this problem lies either in the continuation of the war with the ‘expulsion’ of the population to more peaceful countries, including Russia, or in the creation of jobs for Ukrainians in Russia with their voluntary resettlement. Incidentally, the government’s positive decision on ‘free gold mining’ — unlicensed open-pit gold mining — will solve this problem quite quickly. All ‘managing’ and aggressive Ukrainians will quickly leave to earn money. And to Siberia, to the taiga. They will even quickly give themselves up for imprisonment, if the prisoners are allowed to wash gold in Siberia.

• A large number of ‘problem’ population:

a. These are the aforementioned ‘independent Ukrainian gentlemen’ who completely ruined Ukraine’s industry and partially sawed off the factories for scrap metal, as they did, for example, with the Kherson Shipyard, which used to build tankers and icebreakers. This ‘contingent’ does not aim to create a new economy, but lives only by the idea of ‘finding and stealing.’ This crowd is quite numerous, even including low-income people called ‘termites’ who use explosives to extract rebars for scrap metal from stacked reinforced concrete slabs.

b. 2–3 million liberated/conquered ‘Ukrainians’ will violently hate the Russian government and regularly commit terrorist acts. This number is made up of both hardcore Nazis who have been shouting since 2014: Hang a Muscovite! as well as those who were ‘zombified’ during the war and the relatives of those killed at the front.

At the same time, Russia does not have the necessary personnel reserve to organize effective work of SIGINT (within the Bureau of Special Technical Measures), the Federal Security Service and military intelligence (such as SMERSH — ‘Death to Spies’ — during the Second World War) throughout Ukraine. Not to mention the personnel of the civil-military administration and the police. This means regular terrorist attacks and a publicly demonstrated inability to maintain order in the ‘liberated’ territories. So, from the point of view of the security forces, it is much more convenient to shoot this ‘problematic crowd’ on the front line or to slowly squeeze them out of the liberated/conquered territory.

• A large number of ‘protest’ voters who will vote against Putin and his team in all elections.

Why the existing authorities need this electorate and what they intend to do with it is completely unclear.

17.05.2023

Who Is Disadvantaged by the Effectiveness of NATO Military Equipment in Ukraine?

During the Battle for Moscow in the winter of 1941/1942, the German Luftwaffe received from the German chemical cartel IG Farben, controlled by the Rockefellers, aviation fuel that froze at minus 14 degrees.

And the Wehrmacht received automobile and tank fuel (and lubricant), thickening at minus 20 degrees Celsius.[329]

Hans-Ulrich Rudel, the most effective pilot of the Ju-87 bomber, described the Wehrmacht’s unpreparedness for frost as follows: ‘The sudden forty-degree cold freezes ordinary lubricant. Our guns cannot fire. The engines will not start, everything is frozen, the hydraulics are out of order, to rely on any technical tool is suicide. In these temperatures, the engines cannot be started in the morning, even though we cover them with straw mats and blankets. Mechanics often spend all night in the field, warming the engines every half hour so they can be started when the squadron has to fly. The cold gets worse, making it harder to keep the planes operational for the next day’s missions. I saw desperate mechanics trying to warm up the engines with open flames. One of them said to me, ”They’re either going to start or they’re going to burn to charcoal. If they don’t start, they’re no good anyway.” Our tank drivers are complaining that the turrets cannot turn, everything is frozen.’[330]

It should not be assumed that the Germans did not expect such winter frosts in Russia. Military Attaché Koestring was born into a family of landowners in the village of Serebryanyye Prudy in the Moscow province. A year and a half before the outbreak of the war with the USSR, in January 1940, the frost in Moscow reached –37°C, and then –44°C, according to the newspaper Pravda.[331] Even if the Germans did not read newspapers, did they not have a thermometer in the embassy?

They all knew and understood. It was just that the German industrialists did not want the war to end so quickly. It was a pity to lose war orders worth many billions of Reichsmarks. They wanted to make huge profits for another two or three years. According to Reich Minister of Armaments Speer, ‘the degree of corruption of the Reich’s state apparatus is such that even the threat of total defeat in the war is unable to change the minds of the Nazi elite who have come to power.’

Therefore, the main enemy of the Nazis was not ‘General Frost’, but the unbridled greed of the leaders and owners of the German military-industrial complex.

In terms of political economy, nothing has changed in 80 years. At the moment, NATO troops are fully equipped with good weapons. But the military-industrial complex of the NATO countries wants to continue to receive huge military orders.

And how can this be achieved? It is very simple! For example, send a hundred or two Leopards to Ukraine and show their vulnerability to the ‘terrible Russian troops’. To scare the German taxpayers and make them splurge on a new level of armament. If they are scared, they will pay.

As a result, there are plenty of companies ready to take on new orders for state-of-the-art tanks and APCs. And Leopard manufacturer Rheinmetall AG is no exception. So much so that on June 17, 2022, at the Eurosatory exhibition in Paris, a prototype of a new German tank was unveiled to replace the aging Leopard 2. The new vehicle was called Panther KF51.[332]

The rearmament of NATO countries from the 2,500 Leopards in service to the new Panthers at a price of about $40 million apiece will bring Rheinmetall AG a total of $100 billion in orders.

Faced with such a prospect, Rheinmetall AG will do everything in its power to prove that the Leopard is not up to the task. For example, it can equip its tanks with GPS trackers and ‘inadvertently’ leave the telemetry codes of such signals in the public domain. Such radio beacons will not harm our artillerymen at all when defeating German tanks. And any kamikaze drone will come to such a signal without error.

The task of ‘disposing’ of the existing 2,500 Leopards is organizationally difficult. It requires the media and financial support of Zelenskiy’s regime to transfer the Leopards to Ukrainian fields, giving the German public the impression of the urgent need to transfer arms to another country. Lenin said that German citizens, like any other people, will be stupid fools until they learn to see the course of real interests behind the external manifestations of events.

The same goes for the F-16 fighters. There are about 4,400 of them in service with the United States and NATO countries.[333] And their manufacturer, Lockheed Martin Corporation, is very actively lobbying to replace the F-16 with the F-35 at a cost of up to $100 million apiece.

And this is already an arms order of more than 400 billion US dollars.

Therefore, the question ‘Will there be F-16s in Ukraine?’ is not worth asking at all. It is easier to ask: ‘Is Lockheed Martin ready to give up the $400 billion arms order?’ It is clear that for this amount of money the obsolete F-16s will be ‘rolled into Ukraine, even manually along the route.’ And, of course, they will do everything to ensure that our Air Force and Air Defense Forces shoot them down.

11.06.2023

What Is the Most Objective Method for Evaluating the Performance of Russia’s Senior Military Leadership?

Since the beginning of the special military operation in Ukraine, and especially lately, in various de facto established media one can hear more and more often the dissatisfaction of the personnel of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation with the current situation of the command of the troops by the supreme military leadership of Russia. The following are the most frequently cited accusations:

• Ignorance of senior officers and general leadership.

• Lack of coherence between branches of the army.

• Lack of reliable radio communications.

• Poor ammunition supply.

• Problems with snipers, drones, satellite targeting and tracking.

• Fantastic levels of theft by senior and top leadership at home.

• Inability or unwillingness to produce cheap and effective equipment in a timely manner.

• Lack of adequate measures against looting by some military units.

Things have even gotten to the point where some soldiers are openly calling for a ‘march of justice’ on Moscow to change Russia’s top military leadership.

We will omit from this article a discussion of the concepts of ‘oath’, ‘loyalty to the fatherland’, ‘unity of command’, and ‘decision-making by leadership based on secret information’. We also will avoid discussing the feasibility of a quick end to the war, which I described in previous articles.[334]

It is important to consider that the success of the war in Ukraine should be evaluated not only on the basis of the speed of the conflict’s resolution, but also by taking into account demographic, economic, domestic and international factors.

Let us examine the foreign policy achievements of Russia’s top military commanders over the past decade and a half.

It is clear to all of us that the dangers of a worldwide nuclear confrontation are many times greater than the risks of a limited ‘firearms’ war. Put simply, even the loss of a hundred thousand lives and injuries in Ukraine is insignificant compared to the potential loss of over a hundred million Russian lives in a nuclear conflict.

What has Russia’s top military leadership been doing in this area for the past 10–15 years? From publicly available data, we know that Russia has developed the unprecedented hypersonic Kinzhal system, which can hit targets smoothly at speeds of up to 12 Mach at a distance of more than 3,000 kilometers when launched from Tu-22M3 aircraft[335] with an altitude ceiling of 13.5 kilometers.[336] Apparently, the Kinzhal will fly even farther when launched at higher altitudes, and with new modifications it will be able to hit targets much farther away.

Dry numbers do not give a vivid understanding of such possibilities. For a better understanding, let’s try to translate them into simple human language.

Simply put, this missile is guaranteed to hit any target, including aircraft carriers or deep command centers in the following regions.

• From Brest you can reach any point in Europe up to and including Lisbon. This includes all of Northern Europe and the entire Mediterranean. Also the northern part of Morocco, half of Algeria and Tunisia.

• If you start from the Crimea, the same applies, with the addition of all of Libya, Egypt, northern Sudan, and most of the Red Sea.

• If you start from the Caspian Sea region, you can cover the entire Middle East, all of Arabia including Yemen, the entire Persian Gulf, and part of the Indian Ocean almost to Mumbai.

• If you start from Kunashir Island, you can cover the entire Sea of Japan, the Yellow Sea and the East China Sea, in the Pacific Ocean a sector that includes the island of Guam and is just short of Midway Island.

• If you start from Chukotka, all of Northeast Canada, including Vancouver and Edmonton, all of Northern Canada up to Gjoa Haven and Baffin Bay will be available.

• If you start from Severnaya Zemlya, the entire Arctic Ocean, all of Greenland up to Baffin Bay will be accessible, but from the other side.

• When starting from Kaliningrad, all the northern seas up to Iceland are within reach, along with Europe that is accustomed to everything and the Mediterranean.

To put it even more simply, we can hit any more or less influential elite in our hemisphere very quickly. For example, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson complained to the press on January 30, 2023, that Russian President Vladimir Putin told him in a telephone conversation: ‘Boris, I don’t want to hurt you, but with a missile it will only take a minute.’[337]

Likewise, we can now strike any military target in these areas. For example, no aircraft carrier or other ship carrying nuclear weapons can now approach Russia within range of our firepower without fear. Not only will they not have time to retreat, they will not be able to get close.

If we deploy the Kinzhal system in African countries that have ‘friendly relations’ with PMC Wagner, such as Libya, Sudan, the Central African Republic, Zimbabwe, Botswana, Congo, Angola, Algeria, Mali, Mauritania, Madagascar, and Mozambique, then the ‘zone of influence’ will include not only the entire African continent, but also the following territories:

• from the coast of Mauritania, any point in the eastern North Atlantic Ocean, including the entire passage from the North Atlantic to the South Atlantic Ocean as far as Brazil;

• from the coast of Angola, any point in the eastern part of the South Atlantic Ocean;

• if departing from the coast of Madagascar, any point in the southwestern and western parts of the Indian Ocean, including the Seychelles and the Maldives.[338]

With the Kinzhal deployed in Indonesia, a country with which we have cordial relations, the following regions are within range: India as a whole, the entire eastern and southeastern Indian Ocean, 80% of Australia, including Adelaide and Sydney, New Caledonia, Vanuatu, the Solomon Islands, and, again, the island of Guam.

In the American hemisphere, if the Kinzhal is deployed on Venezuelan territory, we can keep in our sights not only the entire northern part of Latin America, including Paraguay, but also the southern part of the United States, including New Orleans, Atlanta, and Washington, D.C., a city ‘beloved’ by the personnel of the Russian Strategic Missile Forces.

This means that Russia’s possession of the Kinzhal, created by Russia’s top military leadership, almost guarantees the absence of a nuclear conflict on Russian territory, which means the safety of the lives of more than a hundred million Russians. This is just one aspect of Russia’s foreign policy, and it is a significant one. In practice, Russia’s global power capabilities are not only a factor in foreign policy, but also in macroeconomic successes that positively impact the lives of all Russians.

A comparison between Russia’s losses in Ukraine and the possibility of Russians being assured of their safety from nuclear attack may be unethical. However, it is important to note that military strategy involves the concept of a diversionary strike, wherein a military unit is deliberately sent to a certain death by the military leadership for the purpose of achieving success in the main strike. And it is worth realizing that it is the ongoing military conflict in Ukraine, with the loss of Russian army personnel, that has allowed Russia both to conduct a combat demonstration of the Kinzhal’s capabilities against ultra-deep targets in Western Ukraine and Kiev, and to prove its superiority in a duel with the best US anti-aircraft systems. And that it is this demonstration of strength that now gives a much more peaceful life to a hundred million Russians and a much less peaceful life to the enemies of our homeland.

P. S. Here’s a popular joke from the first half of 2022: ‘I’m the son of an officer of the Strategic Missile Forces. I live in Siberia. My father’s colleagues at work have split into two camps: some support a special operation to demilitarize and denazify Ukraine, while others want to hit Washington at once. Nothing is so unambiguous here…’

28.07.2023

How to Make a Billion Dollars a Day

Crossing (passengers only)

Vyborg-Blagoveshchensk

‘Do you mean that a man can lift himself up by his hair?

‘Absolutely! A thinking man just has to do it from time to time.’

Writer and satirist
Grigoriy Gorin

1. The Beijing–Hong Kong High-Speed Rail is now operational.

You can now travel from Beijing to Hong Kong in less than 9 hours, covering about 2,000 kilometers, for about US$150 in economy class. The trip from Hong Kong to Guangzhou takes 47 minutes after the opening of the new high-speed line (HSL).[339]

1.1. How to apply it in Russia

This technology can be used to construct the Vyborg-Blagoveshchensk HSL via Moscow, Kazan, Yekaterinburg, Novosibirsk, Krasnoyarsk and Chita. The route is approximately 8,000 kilometers long and can be traversed at a speed of 400 kilometers per hour, similar to the typical speed for modern high-speed rail, without requiring stops. This would allow for a 20-hour journey, with an estimated cost of $600 in economy class. In terms of price and travel time, this option is competitive when compared to the Beijing-Helsinki flight.

From an economic perspective, a Pan-Eurasian passenger corridor could be created, allowing European tourists (Germany, France, Britain, Italy, etc.) to visit Asia and Asian tourists (China, Japan, Korea, etc.) to visit Europe.

2. Comparison with Existing Projects in Russia

The existing projects of the St. Petersburg-Moscow-Kazan HSL are doomed to economic failure from the outset, because with a shoulder of about 1400 km they are designed for a population of only about 30 million people. The proposed project of Europe-Asia HSL with a shoulder of about 12 thousand kilometers is aimed at a population of up to 3 billion people, which increases the efficiency of the project by 10 times. It should also be taken into account that the Europe — Asia HSL project is not only based on domestic demand, but 90% of it is oriented to external demand, i.e. export of services.

3. Justification of the political independence of the route

First, it is necessary to create a politically independent backbone of the project from Vyborg to Blagoveshchensk, from which branches politically dependent on other sovereignties, such as Belarus, Poland, Germany, Kazakhstan, China, North and South Korea, can branch off.

For example, the construction of an HSL to China via Kazakhstan has serious political disadvantages.

1. Uncertainty about Kazakhstan’s long-term political orientation creates risks that were fully realized when the Russia-Europe gas pipeline passed through Ukraine. In order to minimize these risks, Russia was forced to implement the projects Nord Stream, Nord Stream-2, South Stream, Turkish Stream, and Power of Siberia, which resulted in huge economic, political and time costs and had a negative impact on the political and economic development of Russia. Falling into the same trap twice will be very burdensome for the authors of the idea of a high-speed railway through Kazakhstan.

2. Infrastructural development of another state (Kazakhstan) instead of Russia’s Trans-Urals regions, primarily Kurgan, Omsk, Novosibirsk, Barnaul, Chita and Blagoveshchensk, will be perceived as a refusal to unite the largest industrial agglomerations of the Trans-Urals and will raise political questions to the Russian leadership not only among the elites and residents of these regions, but also among all citizens of Russia.

3. The experience of the construction of the Chinese Eastern Railway (CER), which in 1903 cost 360 million tsarist roubles, the equivalent of 280 tons of gold at that time, is not so long ago, but it is very instructive, not only in the sense of loss of money, but also in the result of creating a belt road to the enemy — the Japanese.

4. Also, the refusal to ensure the infrastructural integration of Russia’s territory in accordance with the National Security Strategy will be perceived very negatively by the ‘power’ elite.

To suggest such political risks to the country’s leadership would be more than unwise.

4. Railroad capability

The basic parameter is the emergency braking time of a train traveling at 400 km/h in the event of an emergency such as a track failure. It is this time interval that determines the maximum frequency of train movements. In the calculation below, this time is assumed to be 7 minutes.

There are 24 hours in a day, 60 minutes in an hour, so there are 1440 minutes in a day. With an interval of 7 minutes it is possible to run more than 200 trains (routes) per day.

If each locomotive (or coupling) pulls 40 cars, the railroad capability will be 8000 cars per day in one direction.

Since the high-speed line, like all roads, will be double-tracked, the number of cars should be multiplied by two. The result is 16,000 cars.

This number of cars is calculated for a 7-minute interval. If the interval is changed, the railroad capability will also change.

4.1. Verification of Railroad Tonnage Capacity

Presently, the official tonnage capacity of the Trans-Siberian Railway is 100 million tons per year.

At the same time, a fast train covers 7,000 kilometers of track in only 6 days, i.e. 144 hours, which means an average speed of just under 50 km/h.

When creating a high-speed railway with a speed of 400 km/h, its tonnage capacity will increase by eight (8) times and will amount to 800 million tons per year, or about 2.2 million tons per day.

If we even take the weight of one car with 100 passengers with a large reserve of 50 tons, we will get 44,000 cars per day, which is more than twice the previous calculation.

4.2. Verification of Railroad Tonnage Capacity Using the Example of the Operating Tokyo-Osaka HSL (Tokaido Shinkansen)

The Tokaido Shinkansen carries more than 450,000 passengers per day in 16-car trains with 1,323 comfortable passenger seats per train.[340]

There are couplings of two trains, which shows that it is in principle possible to carry 900,000 passengers per day at the available travel speed of about 300 km/h. Accordingly, at a speed of 400 km/h, it is more than realistic to carry 1,000,000 passengers per day in two-train couplings.

5. Justification of the ticket price

The cost of an HSL ticket is usually higher than that of an airplane ticket.

For example:

• A Moscow-St. Petersburg air ticket is easy to buy for $50 US dollars, and on the Sapsan — 100 US dollars;

• A Beijing-Hong Kong air ticket is easy to buy for $100 US dollars, and on the high-speed line — $150 US dollars;

• A Tokyo-Osaka air ticket is easy to buy for $100 USD, and on the bullet train — $170 USD.

Thus, based on the actual ticket prices for the high-speed line, we get the following table.

Given these realities, it would be very cautious to assume a reasonable price for a one-way economy class ticket on the HSL at the beginning of service at $600 USD, business class at $1,500 USD, with more than possible price increases even in the short term.

6. Revenue

6.1. Revenue Assuming 100% Economy Class Passenger Traffic

• A standard third-class sleeper has 54 seats.

• Since double-deck trains are becoming the norm, we will assume a double-deck car with 100 seats.

• Accordingly, at a ticket price of US$600, the revenue per car will be US$60,000.

• With 16,000 cars, the revenue would be $960,000,000 per day.

• Practically US$1 billion per day.

• 1,600,000 people a day.

6.2. Revenue Assuming 100% Business Class Passenger Traffic

A standard compartment car has 36 seats.

Since double-deck trains are becoming the norm, we will assume a double-deck car with 60 compartment seats as the norm.

Accordingly, at a ticket price of $1,500, the revenue per car will be $90,000.

16,000 cars — 1,440,000,000 USD per day.

Practically $1.5 billion per day.

960,000 people per day.

6.3. Revenue assuming 30% of passengers in business class and 70% in economy class

30% × 1 440 000 000 = 432 000 000

70% × 960 000 000 = 672 000 000

Total: 1,104,000

A very realistic $1 billion per day.

288,000 compartment passengers and 1,008,000 third-class passengers.

Total 1,296,000 people per day.

6.4. Unprofitability of goods traffic

A carload of passengers will generate $60,000 to $90,000 in revenue per trip. Delivery of non-perishable cargoes on this route by sea transport now costs up to $3,000 per container, which is almost equal to one railway wagon. Accordingly, the profitability of non-perishable cargo transportation is 20–30 times lower than that of passenger transportation, demonstrating the poor economics of goods transportation compared to passenger traffic.

An exception to this premise might be the delivery of mail, Internet orders, or particularly expensive goods. But it would be overly optimistic to expect a significant share of revenue from such goods traffic.

7. Occupancy Rate

1,296,000 people per day 365 days per year equals 473,000,000 passengers per year.

Will we find almost half a billion tourists per year?

If we assume that 70% will take a round-trip ticket, we only need to find about 300 million willing travelers.

7.1. The Asian Market

More than 150 million tourists travel from China alone each year. The Institute of International Tourism Research in China predicts that more than 400 million Chinese will be traveling by 2030. According to the institute, this means that of the 600 million trips that will be added to the current number by 2030 (1.2 billion travelers today, growing to 1.8 billion in 12 years), almost half will be made by Chinese. China’s international tourism market will account for nearly a quarter of the world’s total (https://china-outbound.com/).

The whole of Southeast Asia (China, Korea, Japan, parts of Vietnam and Indonesia) is estimated at 400 million tourists a year. But not all of them go to Europe, and not just by train.

It will be realistic to accommodate a market of 50 million tourists per year in the short term (2035) with growth to 200 million per year in the long term (2050).

The total population of China, Korea, Japan, Vietnam is about 2 billion people.

7.2. The European Market

The whole of Central Europe (Germany, France, Italy, partly Britain, Spain, Poland) is estimated at 400 million tourists per year. But not all of them go to Asia, nor do all of those going to Asia take the train.

It is realistic to expect a market of 50 million tourists per year in the short term, with growth to 100 million per year in the long term.

7.3. Domestic Market

With stops in St. Petersburg, Moscow, Kazan, Yekaterinburg, Chelyabinsk, Barnaul, Krasnoyarsk and Chita, a domestic market of 30 million tourist and especially business trips per year can be expected in the short term, with growth to 100 million trips per year in the long term.

If it will be possible to reach an agreement with the large cargo carriers interested in increasing the cargo traffic on the Trans-Siberian Railway to transfer the passenger traffic to the high-speed railways at the expense of subsidizing the tickets at their expense, then the internal Russian market of tourist trips can be safely assumed to be 50 million trips per year in the short term and to grow up to 150 million trips per year in the long term.

7.4. Other markets

With abundant and quality advertising, production of movies like Pan-Eurasian Express, etc. it is possible to create demand from the US market and the Middle East market.

It will be realistic to take all other markets at 50 million tourists per year in the short term with growth to 100 million per year in the long term.

The markets of passenger traffic between Russia and Europe, as well as between Russia and China, are not considered due to their known insignificance. This parameter is often referred to as ‘negligible’ by mathematicians, indicating that its value can be disregarded when conducting analyses.

However, the domestic tourism sector within China, with its annual volume of 5 billion trips, warrants consideration. A 10% redirection of this domestic tourism flow toward Russia would be sufficient to ensure the financial sustainability of the project.

7.5. Final Occupancy Rate

The assumption of multiple growth is clearly supported by the current data. Passenger traffic on the Sapsan train between Moscow and St. Petersburg has increased more than threefold, from 1.62 million to 5.47 million per year.[341]

7.6. Further arguments against air travel and in favor of the HSL

1. Aerophobia. A significant number of passengers are afraid to fly without rational justification.

2. There has been an increase in the number of airplane crashes due to equipment failure.

3. Occasional airplane crashes due to both terrorism and warfare.

4. Dehydration, high blood pressure, oxygen deprivation, increased doses of radiation, decreased immunity, general body stress, and other adverse health effects on passengers during flights.

5. Opportunities during train travel to visit a restaurant, showers, and the availability of playrooms for children.

6. The ability to get off at any intermediate station, both for health reasons and simply out of a desire to travel.

7. Much more convenient service for the disabled, the elderly, and small children.

8. For young children, doctors often advise against flying until they are one year old and sometimes even three years old.

9. Elderly people and pregnant women often face limitations on air travel due to health concerns, preferring alternative modes such as trains.

10. There are special ‘tourist’ railway routes. The luxury train to South Asia is well-known, and an ‘Arctic’ route from St. Petersburg to Murmansk has recently been introduced.

7.7. Occupancy verification

According to ICAO’s latest long-term air traffic forecasts, the number of passengers carried in 2017 (4.1 billion) is expected to increase to approximately 10 billion by 2040.[342]

Given that Europe and Asia currently account for 53% of the global air transportation market, it is projected that the number of passengers will reach 5.3 billion by 2040, even under the assumption that Europe and Asia will not experience further growth, which seems unlikely.

Consequently, to fully utilize the HSL connecting Europe and Asia, less than 10% of air passenger traffic is required, which is a very realistic target.

8. CAPEX Comparison

According to Airbus’ forecasts, the demand for new passenger airplanes (100 seats and above) will reach 31,400 units by 2033, with a total investment required of $4.6 trillion.[343]

Assuming that the number of passengers carried in 2033 will be at least 8 billion, about 2,000 new passenger aircraft (100 seats and above) will be needed to carry 500 million people at a total cost of US$300 billion.

The cost of the high-speed line connecting Europe and Asia, including stations, interchange hubs, and rolling stock, is estimated at $250 billion. This suggests that rail transportation may be a financially viable option. The high-speed railways’ many times longer service life compared to passenger airplanes further enhances their economic viability.

9. Cost

Recent high-speed rail projects in China, with train speeds of 350 km/h, demonstrate an average construction cost of approximately US$25 million per kilometer.

• According to the China Railway Construction Corporation (CRCC), in 2019, the construction of 1 km of a high-speed railway for trains with a design speed of 350 km/h will cost an average of 129 million yuan, or 19.394 million US dollars.

• The above amounts do not include the cost of surveying. In addition, when such projects are contracted out of China, the construction cost is increased by the Chinese party’s expenses for the logistics of machinery and equipment, and the travel of engineers and labor.

• It’s also important to realize that there are credit costs involved in providing funding.

For example, the construction of the Vyborg-Blagoveshchensk HSL with a speed of 400 km/h and a length of 8,000 km should cost about $200 billion. Taking contingencies into account, the price tag should be around $250 billion, which is less than or comparable to the annual revenue of the project at full capacity.

10. Financing

Funding for the project will not come from a single source, but through a ‘multi-layer pie’ method. The ‘layers’ of this pie will be as follows (in order of decreasing interest on our part):

1. Since the Silk Road project is funded from the PRC budget,[344] it seems necessary to try to build at least part of the route at the expense of China and the Silk Road Fund.

For example, China offered to finance the construction of the Moscow-Kazan HSL to the tune of 300 billion rubles, of which about 50 billion would be invested in a special purpose vehicle to implement the HSL project and the remaining 250 billion in a 20-year loan.[345] The financial thickness of this slice can vary from USD 10 billion to USD 100 billion, depending on the quality of the negotiations described below. The value of this pie layer is its irrevocability.

2. In order to optimize financing, it is recommended that the ‘Our Gas — Your Pipes’ scheme be utilized, as previously employed during the construction of the Yamal-Western Europe gas pipeline. This approach facilitates the remuneration of a group of equipment suppliers and construction investors from China, Korea and Europe through ticket sales. This incentivizes them to invest in advertising and the distribution of tickets. This ‘layer of the pie’ is of strategic importance for the project, as it is an insurance against the risk of not selling tickets due to possible political disagreements. It is important not to approve the project unless the thickness of this slice is at least 40% of the estimated cost ($100 billion). At the same time, the amount of guarantees for loading the facility under construction, which is in the range of 100 — 200 billion dollars, depends on the quality of the negotiations.

3. It has also become clear that a group of large exporters of coal, ore, steel and other bulk commodities, especially on the Yekaterinburg- Blagoveshchensk section, are willing to finance the project. The commercial interest of these ‘sponsors’ lies in their desire to relieve the Trans-Siberian Railway on this section as much as possible of passenger traffic, with a consequent increase in the flow of export goods associated with their commercial enterprises. The financial thickness of this layer is small and can vary from 5 to 20 billion dollars, depending on the quality of the negotiations. However, the value of this ‘slice of the cake’ lies in its irrevocability.

4. Debt financing from large parastatal institutions. Options include banks, development institutions and funds: the Russian Direct Investment Fund (RDIF), BRICS Bank, Eurasian Development Bank (EDB), Russian-Chinese Fund (see: the PricewaterhouseCoopers report Eurasia HSL Project dated 15 November 2017). The financial thickness of this layer can vary from USD 20 billion to USD 70 billion, depending on the quality of the negotiations.

5. Debt financing by issuing bonds for individuals and legal entities. A very simple, clear and powerful instrument. It is even possible to issue ‘convertible’ bonds that can be repaid not in money, but in tickets for travel on the Vyborg-Blagoveshchensk high-speed railway. In the case of issuing international bearer bonds in cash, and even with ‘amnesty of origin’, the financial thickness of this layer can be up to 100 billion dollars. The disadvantage of this ‘pie layer’ is its high cost, both in terms of issuance and distribution costs, as well as coupon payments.

6. The abolition of VAT on HSL passengers’ tickets and luggage is expected to make a significant contribution to the project’s payback. The financial thickness of this layer will be up to USD 60 billion per year. The disadvantage of this ‘pie layer’ is that it cannot be applied before the start of operations.

The quality of the negotiations will depend on the coordination of all types of negotiators discussing simultaneously the thickness of all layers of financing and consisting of

1) financiers and developers of the project in question;

2) foreign ministry officials;

3) the top political leadership of the countries.

It is essential not to involve ministry and agency officials in negotiations, as they will dramatically increase the cost and time of projects by seeking bribes.

10.1 Ancillary services are not included in this model for simplicity’s sake

However, advance (forward) sale of the rights to the following benefits can provide good financing even during the construction phase. Once construction is complete, the revenues listed below will dramatically improve the payback of the project.

• Income from stops of transit tourists (mainly Chinese) in Russia in hotels, restaurants, shops and tourist excursions.

• Income from foreign investment (mainly Chinese) in Russia in railway stations, hotels, service and maintenance companies, industry and transport.

• Income from the transport of perishable goods (fish and seafood, vegetables and fruit).

10.2 Benefits to the Russian economy can also be translated into sources of finance

• Increase in exports by at least 100% (from $386 billion to at least $700 billion over the next 15 years (10 years of construction and 5 years of promotion).

• To fundamentally change the structure of exports to make them independent of oil prices. Getting off the oil needle.

• Increasing tourism to Russia at least fivefold.

• Creation of at least 10 million jobs, not only in transport but also in tourism services.

• Attracting at least $200 billion in foreign investment, both in infrastructure and services.

• Boosting the economy by making travel cheaper and faster for tourists, business travelers and perishable goods.

• Opening up low-speed rail lines, almost doubling export freight traffic.

The interest of South Korea and Germany in this project is clear. It’s worth working on, but it’s not important enough to make it a priority.

11. Timing

Taking into account that the Trans-Siberian Railway from Chelyabinsk to Port Arthur with the length of 7.5 thousand kilometers was built in 12 years from 1891 to 1903[346] and that China came to the construction of 1 thousand kilometers of high-speed railway per year, the project can be realistically completed in 10 years.

In just five years and $3.5 billion, China built a 1,150-kilometer main line (at $30 million/km) connecting Tibet to the mainland. Work on the high-altitude section to Lhasa presented particularly complex engineering challenges, with construction crews working in permafrost and oxygen-deprived conditions, as well as in the unique Tibetan ecosystem, which the Chinese Party and government have declared to be of paramount importance.[347]

Moreover, it is fundamentally important not to have any state financing, because it will attract a large number of ‘thieves from the bureaucracy’ and slow down the project for a long time, or, as in the case of the Moscow-St. Petersburg high-speed railway, destroy it.

12. Risks

• Acquisition of land from non-government owners.

• Relocation of a number of villages and settlements.

• Environmentalists, archaeologists, extortionists acting under the guise of ‘public defenders’, ‘environmentalists’, ‘archaeologists’, etc.

• Confrontation with companies that lose income due to the existence of such a trunk line, e.g. airlines operating flights between Europe and Asia.

13. Further development

In the West, the Moscow-Brest branch with further access to Berlin and the rest of Europe.

In the East, the Blagoveshchensk-Vladivostok branch with further development to Seoul.

14. Benefits for the Russian economy

• Independence (sovereignty) of revenues from the main part of the project (Vyborg-Blagoveshchensk) from foreign and international jurisdiction.

• Creation of at least 10 million jobs not only in the transport sector, but also in tourism services.

• Freeing up existing low-speed railway lines to almost double export freight traffic.

05.02.2019

Last revised on September 17, 2019

Cryptocurrency Risk Management

The question of blockchain first came up for me after Herman O. Gref spoke at the Davos Forum in 2014. I was asked what bitcoin was, and I had never studied it, so I had nothing to say. It even became annoying: how is it that Herman Gref knows more than me? Especially since we had a long conversation about technology in 2010–2011 (he wanted to buy CyberPlat, but we didn’t come to an agreement), and I know his level of knowledge about digital technologies well.

I’ve been working with computers continuously since 1983, and I’m deeply immersed in the subject. And he is a humanist in general, and his view of IT could hardly be more profound. For example, look at his idea to train Sberbank employees in the mathematical tool of artificial intelligence at his university!

I did a little bit of AI in 1988–1989, and I know very well that for this purpose one should first study mathematical analysis, linear algebra, probability theory, mathematical statistics, modeling methods, algorithmic methods… and only then the basics of AI! Not every excellent student with a solid technical education will accept such a thing, and even less a humanist: it is like teaching a revolutionary sailor the differences in the techniques of Impressionist painting.

However, I started looking into what bitcoin is and came to a sad conclusion. Why sad? Most people happily say, ‘Everybody goes there, everybody makes money there!’ But unlike most, I know what risk management is all about.

What is risk management?

I will try to explain this concept to you in the most popular way possible, without profile subtleties. Take the insurance business, for example. How are insurance premiums formed for the risk of car theft? Insurers look at the statistics of thefts of a certain brand of car for the previous year. Let’s say 3% of cars were stolen… They offer a rate of 4% and they know that if they insure 100 cars, three cars will be stolen and the premium on the fourth car will stay with them and they will still make money on the car. That’s what underwriting is all about: knowing the amount of risk as accurately as possible. And if, after receiving good premiums, you also try to ‘persuade’ car thieves not to steal cars, that is already risk management.

In banking, risk assessment is usually expressed in terms of interest rates. When a potential borrower comes to the bank, the bankers calculate the risks: the country risk costs so much, the risk of the legal system — so much, the risk of an industry, the risk of the owner, the risk of technological development… All this adds up to the final interest rate on the loan — for example, 12.5% per annum. And the client is shown why it is exactly that much and not, for example, 10% or 15%.

Risks in new technologies should be considered in the same way. When financiers and/or IT specialists professionally ‘enter’ a new field, they are sure to create a risk management of the new field: a kind of conventional book, where the table of contents is a list of risks, and each chapter is a description of the risk as such, its limits, and methods of minimizing it.

Let’s look at how such situations were handled in the past. For example, to manage credit risks, bankers used to hire lawyers, develop long loan agreements, and then realize that it was necessary to have some kind of security for these credit risks… Lending as we know it today did not start overnight! Banks as an institution are only 400–500 years old, and during these 500 years such tools as legal support of loan agreements, collateral options, guarantees, sureties, pledges, etc., etc., have been invented.

There are settlement risks. To overcome them, settlement companies are licensed. Not everyone is involved in mass settlement, but only those who are regularly monitored by the central bank. When checks were invented, a whole body of legislation was created over time. So did letters of credit and escrow accounts.

The history of credit and settlement risk management shows that it is quite possible to solve the risk management problems of blockchain, bitcoin, and various cryptocurrencies.

And the solution, as usual, is in three stages: listing the risks, describing the risks (threat model), working on finding methods of risk minimization.

Where do we stand now in cryptocurrency risk management?

First of all, at the moment in Russia, and even in the world, there is little understanding of the origin of this technology and the goals of its creators. Natalia Kasperskaya began to talk a little about the American origin of bitcoin, but most people basically do not understand who created it and why. What was the technical task of development, if such a result was obtained? Why did the creators choose these technological principles from a wide range of options?

The problem with uninformed estimates of technology’s impact on life is that they are often maximalist, stemming from the fact that the uninformed assessor has no idea what he or she is talking about. There is one assessment: all of our lives will change completely because blockchain has arrived. And there is another: we should not touch it because cryptocurrencies are organized fraud. Can you imagine the gap? It’s not even a situation where you go into a dark room and you don’t know if there’s an elephant or a cat in there. It’s a situation where you’re not even sure you’re in the room.

In what plane are the risks of cryptocurrencies?

Therefore, when I started studying cryptocurrencies, I started looking specifically at the list of risks… and found that there are not only many of them, but they also lie in three large and different areas: IT risks, economic risks, and legal risks. It is almost impossible to find a single universal specialist who understands all these areas simultaneously. There are only a dozen of such specialists per country, and it is unlikely that they will work as officials.

Therefore, before dealing with cryptocurrency, it is necessary to make a list of all possible risks and divide them into groups according to their professional orientation. Each group must be analyzed by a specialist in that field. For example, the legal risk group would be analyzed by lawyers, and the economic risk group by economists, etc. Because when an economist starts talking about IT risks, nothing good comes out. This is the main problem with all digital currencies: everyone talks about their own things, and no one has thought that everyone who wants to do this should come together and form a society consisting of departments based on their expertise, which would allocate each risk to the appropriate department.

The first conclusion is that analyzing blockchain technologies or, rather, distributed ledger technologies requires detailed competence in various fields.

What are these fields?

The first is general electronics, or understanding how computers work in general. You need to understand why it is based on the binary number system (exactly ones and zeros) and not, conventionally speaking, twos or threes.

In addition, the latest electronics, also known as the electronics of the so-called closed areas, is very important, first of all, military electronics, in which special algorithms are used. There is no such thing as purely peaceful technology. When a man invents something, he usually uses it first to kill all his rivals. When humanity succeeded in splitting the atomic nucleus, 300,000 people were killed in Hiroshima and Nagasaki. I think the first time a monkey took a stick, it was not to knock a fruit from a tree, but to knock another monkey on the head.

It’s the same in electronics: everything we see in the peacetime field, rest assured, was first used in the military. For example, cellular communications is a field backbone communications network that was developed for military use in the mid-20th century. Some of this technology has been declassified and made available to civilian subscribers. The Internet was originally called the ARPANET and connected several hundred military installations and businesses in the United States. It was declassified and made available to the public, and now we send emails to each other and look at news and other sites.

So, to analyze distributed ledger technologies, you need at least a basic knowledge of two types of electronics.

Next is jurisprudence. You need to know jurisprudence: both public law — how cryptocurrencies, money and settlements are regulated by the state — and private (commercial) law, i.e. how two equal persons (legal or physical) can exchange them.

And of course, macroeconomics.

Try to imagine how many people there are who know all these branches well enough. Personally, I am lucky enough to have just these three degrees: electronic engineering (Moscow Institute of Electronic Engineering), finance (Financial Academy[348]), and law (Moscow State University Law School).

And the main problem is not even to find multidisciplinary universal specialists. The problem is to find such universal officials, because it is they who should regulate processes at the state level, in the field of public law, but in macroeconomic interests, relying on knowledge in the field of electronics.

Let’s start with macroeconomic risks

The first risk is the risk of inadequate top management literacy. Example. At one of the specialized conferences, a speaker with a very responsible position made a statement that blockchain and bitcoin are completely different things and should be treated differently. In fact, bitcoin is based on blockchain technology. And what is interesting is that no one objected, no one was outraged, no one hissed….

Another risk is underestimating the future damage caused by the emergence of new threats due to the development of technologies used for criminal purposes. The extent to which we fail to understand future risks can be illustrated by the following example. Five years ago, everyone was shouting: ‘Bank-to-customer will change life, people will send payments to the bank from home with their mobile phones and everything will be fine.’ And nobody warned that at the same time there would be hackers who would hack into accounts, log in instead of the customer and make transfers wherever they wanted. This is described by Nassim Nicholas Taleb in Antifragility, who writes that people always talk about the height of mountains based on their knowledge of the tallest mountain they have seen. But that doesn’t mean they won’t find a mountain even taller.[349] No one is competently and skillfully assessing the likelihood of the risk that these cryptocurrencies will, God forbid, be stolen. I recently came across information that 10% of the money raised in initial coin offerings (ICOs) has been stolen by hackers. And that is just the beginning. The percentage of stolen funds will increase because hackers are getting better and better.

Another example. The US is a highly developed country that is building cyber weapons to protect its interests. And in order to deal with these weapons, the CIA has developed a separate top-secret network that is not physically connected to the rest of the Internet. And it was from this network that they had these weapons stolen! A reasonable question arises: if hackers could hack into the CIA’s isolated top-secret network in the high-tech United States, can they not hack into the Central Bank? And cryptocurrencies don’t even have a single registrar!

There is a very illustrative story of what leads to underestimating the risks of technologies that nobody knows about yet. The Russian inventor Lev Termen invented the Zlatoust interception system, which then worked for Russia against the Americans for 10 years.[350]

One day the American ambassador went to Artek to visit the pioneers, and they gave him a carved wooden eagle. ‘That’s a beautiful eagle,’ he thought, ‘I’m going to hang it in my office, it’s the symbol of America. And it is completely made of wood, there are no wires sticking out, no power supply — there can be no eavesdropping devices!’ So the eagle hung in his office for 10 years. And when they already knew for sure that somewhere in his office there was a listening device, and they took everything apart, they decided to take a look at this eagle. They took it apart and found some wires. And it turned out that if this eagle was irradiated with a certain radio frequency, the wires acted as a voice modulator, which took the sound and put on this frequency. And in another place this modulated frequency was taken off the air and one heard what was being said in the office. This technology was unknown to anyone for the first 10 years of its existence and use. Do you have any idea how many technologies are out there now that we don’t know about, but they’re out there and they work! It’s a good thing if they are ever uncovered and allowed to be used. For example, you think you bought a cell phone and it’s yours.

And Natalia Kasperskaya says quite openly: ‘A smartphone is no longer your device. It is given to you so that you can indulge yourself. But in reality, it is a device of completely different people, to whom we send a big and warm hello.’[351] Accordingly, we do not understand the risks and new secret technologies because of their secrecy, and they tell us: take it and use it. And not only 10 years have not passed, almost none at  all.

The next macroeconomic risk is the risk of choosing an authoritative but inappropriate solution.

In 1996, the monsters of the economy — Microsoft, IBM, Visa, Mastercard — got together and decided to develop a unified solution for electronic payments. They did, and it was called SET (Secure Electronic Transaction). Visa said, fine, we will live with this solution. And the educated people who knew about IT immediately realized that it was very heavy, inconvenient, and no one, let’s say, would go to the bakery in a BELAZ truck. And those who did not know IT (and at that time it was mainly Alfa-Bank), took and bought the SET solution for about a million dollars.[352] But a year later they realized that it was really inconvenient to go to the bakery in a BELAZ, and Visa suddenly left the association, and IBM said: sorry, we made a mistake…

It turned out to be a situation where everyone chose, one person invested, and then the rest of them all said: ‘Oh, it won’t be like that’. Alfa-Bank had a long argument with Visa after that. The end result was that they were taken into some kind of supervisory board as a consolation.

It turned out to be a situation where everyone chose, one person invested, and then the rest of them all said: ‘Oh, it won’t be like that.’ Alfa-Bank had a long argument with Visa after that. The end result was that they were taken into some kind of supervisory board as a consolation.

What is the key takeaway from this story? Even the most experienced people can make the wrong decision. And who proved to us that bitcoin is the right choice when there are already several thousand cryptocurrencies on the market? And bitcoin is not even the dominant one among them!

These are all macroeconomic risks that should be assessed by who? The Central Bank, the Ministry of Economic Development, the Ministry of Industry and Trade, and other government agencies.

Another macroeconomic risk is the recognition of a technology as licensed or prohibited for use and possession, as was the case with drugs, guns, and alcohol during Prohibition. I once wondered what the best currency was. I typed in Yandex the query ‘the best currency’… And do you know what I got? The first link? ‘The best currency is bullets. One bullet is one life.’

In a number of places where there is war, this is the case. And our Special Forces, who fought in Chechnya, understand this. Where there is no law, weapons are the best currency. But as soon as there is a law, the free circulation of weapons is forbidden. There is a list of things that are forbidden for free circulation in the civilized world: drugs, weapons, missiles, certain chemicals…. It can happen that something that has been legal for a long time suddenly becomes illegal. Just look at the history of the Bayer company: it began with the legal production and sale of cocaine. There were even cocaine nose drops — People’s Commissar for Health Nikolai Semashko prescribed them to members of the Council of People’s Commissars. Bayer prospered, and then cocaine was banned from legal sale. Then they started producing heroin,[353] until it was also banned.

In an area like money circulation, where the government is watching very closely, a situation where something legal can become illegal is very likely. It is obvious that cryptocurrency will be recognized as legal in some countries and not in others. Some countries have already banned it. And even if we can still have an entire Telegram channel where there are advertisements for the sale of apartments, cars, and even titanium deposits for bitcoins and other cryptocurrencies, the question of legal registration of such a transaction remains open. How do you know that the transaction has taken place, that the money has passed from the buyer to the seller? And this is where the purely legal risks begin: recognizing the transaction as illegal, illegitimate, failed, or even worse, a fake.

It wasn’t long ago that the WannaCry encryption virus swept the world and caused real human casualties by encrypting computers responsible for life support in British hospitals. Where did it come from? The first decryptors worked on breaking this encryption on the condition of payment via SMS. And when this payment channel was cut off to the extortionists, the hackers stopped sending these viruses, stopped using this tool. We can say that WannaCry is based on the existence of anonymous cryptocurrencies: if there was no bitcoin, it wouldn’t make economic sense to launch an encryption virus. Therefore, if humanity wants to protect itself from encryption viruses, anonymous cryptocurrencies must be abolished. After all, how many electronic devices can be infected with these decryption viruses, from smartphones to ventilation systems! And if, God forbid, someone scares the whole world with such viruses, the question of banning cryptocurrencies will immediately arise. And these decisions are made by people who stand to gain from a politically favorable populist decision.

Another macroeconomic risk is an alternative currency circulation that is not controlled by the state. The Chairman of the Central Bank of the Russian Federation, Elvira Nabiullina, and Deputy Finance Minister Alexei Moiseyev have already mentioned this: no normal state would allow a currency to circulate on its territory that it does not control. Up to certain limits they do not pay attention to it, but as soon as the volume of circulation increases, the situation will change.

Uncertainty of taxation of cryptocurrency circulation and capital gains. Literally tomorrow, the state could introduce any taxes on cryptocurrency, and this risk should also be foreseen.

Criminal Risks

There are many such risks.

Any cryptocurrency is at risk of being used to violate anti-money laundering and anti-terrorist financing laws.

Another risk is anti-government social engineering. What is that? Let’s say people receive an anonymous email with the following request: ‘Come to Bolotnaya Square at such and such a time, you’ll get 1/10th of a bitcoin.’ How many people will come? You can gather a very large crowd. And let’s imagine — these people come and get a new message: ‘Now cross the bridge and go to Red Square.’ Or to Manezhnaya Square. Anyone who has this technology in his hands can remotely manipulate a large number of greedy and stupid people.

The third risk is the use of non-compliance with current legislation for fraudulent purposes. For example, smart contracts, on which everything is based, are not described at all in the Civil Code. Electronic digital signature is described; it is called ‘e-signature’. And no one knows what smart contracts are from a legal point of view, and if you go to court with this, the court has no legal basis, let alone practice, on which to make a court decision. You have exchanged cryptocurrencies, yes, but by definition there is no legal support for that decision. What is that risk? You have to assess it, weigh it. Because the rules of the game can be invented in such a way that your investment in cryptocurrency is instantly devalued.

Another risk: theft or disclosure of commercially sensitive information and trade secrets, or personal data. This is the problem with all blockchain technology. Everyone knows all the transactions at once. They know everyone’s personal data. This is in direct contradiction to the law On Personal Data.

We discussed the risk of theft a bit above — the very 10% we mentioned. 10% for now. As Mr. Moiseyev said: ‘We cannot ensure absolute reliability of transactions, because if for some reason 50% + 1 cryptocurrency validators say that a transaction has taken place, but in fact it has not, we will have no way to refute it.’ And if these validators are also anonymous, the risk increases significantly.

The risk of finding forbidden information in the cryptocurrency network. Each cryptocurrency validator is the keeper of the entire data archive. Since the vast majority of validators are not professionals in the field of creating and controlling cryptographic software, they may not even realize that there could be something foreign in the archive. Meanwhile, researchers from the Universities of Aachen and Frankfurt have discovered that the Bitcoin network stores about 1,600 other files in addition to financial information. Among the files discovered, seven are copyright-infringing: they contain excerpts from various white papers, an RSA private key, a secret software key, and a key to crack DVD copy protection. The bitcoin blockchain also stores wedding photos and a snapshot of people with their online aliases. Among the files found are copies of US diplomatic cables leaked by WikiLeaks in 2010 and news of a demonstration in Hong Kong in 2014. Some files in the bitcoin blockchain contain illegal information and 274 links to similar resources, 142 of which lead to services on the Dark web.[354]

This fact leads to very simple conclusions.

There is a method, unknown to the general public, of placing extraneous files in an archive.

This allows viruses and other malicious software to be placed in the archive (if they are not already there).

And if there is an unknown method of placing foreign files in the archive, it is logical to assume that there is also an unknown method of reading these foreign files, including viruses and malware, out of the archive.

It is also logical to assume that there is also a method, unknown to the general public, of self-extracting and self-installing such foreign viruses and malware on the user’s computer, exploiting the hidden capabilities of cryptocurrency mining software or their operating systems.

Cryptocurrency containerization risk. Thus, a cryptocurrency archive is a cryptocontainer. Upon receiving it, the user can only know the information written on the ‘container wall’, its name, and the publicly visible contents. In some types of blockchains, the user cannot know what else is inside the archive — the cryptocurrency cryptocontainer — precisely because it is encrypted (if we understand by encryption the cryptographic transformation), and also because he does not know the algorithm for searching and identifying the ‘added’ information (he does not know what and where to look for), i.e. steganography.

And inside could be anything: terrorist instructions or top-secret information. Or a malicious code.

For example, an unlimited number of people can write to a public blockchain, there is no access control, and there is absolutely no chance that the validator will not receive any forbidden information or virus. And there are no certified or at least trusted means to verify what exactly is in the cryptocurrency archive. In addition, many cryptocurrencies provide developers with an open API to develop their tokens based on the ‘underlying currency’. Developers have every opportunity to add illegal content to the cryptocurrency container, and there is hardly anyone in control other than the developers.

Has there been a precedent in history for the realization of risks in an ‘untested container’? Yes, there was. In the 13th century, Khan Khubilai launched relatively ‘fast’ caravans along the Silk Road. Who objected to this new, clearly revolutionary technology of cargo delivery? Everyone was for it and very happy. But no one realized that the plague virus, which is naturally present in Mongolia, did not have time to kill the caravans in the Gobi Desert, and these very caravans, due to their increased speed, became the carriers of the plague in Europe and China. The price of materialization of the risk was the death of half the population of Europe and two-thirds of the population of China.

We do not know what kind of ‘infection’ can be in these cryptocurrency cryptocontainers right now. It is very easy to put malware in there that steals information or infects critical information infrastructure. We now understand the magnitude of stopping critical infrastructure.

Technological risks

Where did blockchain technology come from? Nobody talks about it. But distributed registry technology has been around for 35–40 years, not the last five years that people have been talking about it. And it was usually used for automated force control systems, primarily for sharing tactical information. Imagine you have 50 combat units fighting. And some unit, for example, a helicopter that went up in the air, saw something important, received information. This information has to be passed on to all the sections of the unit and to the command so that everyone has a complete picture of the battle. Either directly or through a chain of command. A transaction is not considered complete until that information has reached every authorized participant. Not from the moment they all find out, but from the moment they give feedback that they have received it. If you have 50 subscribers, the data transfer is quite fast. But as soon as you have a thousand of them, you start having problems… You can’t reach this one, you can’t reach that one… And blockchain was originally designed for many thousands of validation nodes. That’s why the speed of this technology is a maximum of 7 transactions per second. What does this mean in comparison? In Cyberplata, our regular ‘speed’ is 100 transactions per second, and the peak speed is 500. In Sberbank, I assume the regular rate is somewhere around 400, with a peak rate of 1,500 transactions per second. How many blockchains will you need? When the President of Sberbank Herman Gref talks about the usefulness of blockchain, I immediately start estimating how many he will need?

The risk of not meeting objectives is significant. The number of transactions per second is 7, which equates to approximately 220 million transactions per year. Given a population of 140 million, this means that each individual can complete less than two transactions per year. If a third transaction is required, the wait time is extended to the following year. If you need, for example, 300 transactions, I’m sorry, you will not live to perform them. The implementation of such technology in large communities is impractical. And it is bankers who serve large communities, they are interested in this. When IBM assembled the first 100 serial computers, one was purchased by the Pentagon, one by meteorologists, and the other 98 by banks.

In a notable instance, a group of developers, having learned that 7 transactions per second is not sufficient, congregated a thousand computers in a single room, interconnected them via optical cables, and attained 200–300 transactions per second. However, the distribution of the ledger, if the entire ledger is confined to a single room, becomes ineffective. To effectively distribute this ledger on a global scale, one must utilize the broader communication infrastructure, encompassing copper and air networks, among others. Achieving such performance on a distributed network is impractical. While 7 transactions per second may suffice for military applications, financial institutions require higher performance, and this technology was not originally designed for that purpose. It does not align with the current structure of the financial market.

Gradually we come to the main problem. The risk of opaque creation. Who wrote the specifications to create this software? Who did the work? Who wrote the structural algorithm? Who put the code into production? Who did the debugging?

Natalia Kasperskaya was the first to publicly declare that there is no Satoshi Nakamoto and that a group of American cryptologists is behind blockchain. We already know that distributed ledger technology was originally used in an automated troop control system quite a long time ago, and that is why nothing was written about it in scientific and popular science journals. And now we find out that someone, somewhere is already using this technology. And obviously they’ve known about it before. And where do you find people who know about such things? Obviously it’s the Pentagon.

Remember where bitcoin was first used? There is such an anonymous Tor network, and it had an online store called Silk Road, which dealt in drugs. The Tor network exists on anonymous donations, but strangely enough, it is known who the main donor is. It’s the US Federal Bureau of Investigation. And it’s clear that you can’t hack this network, because you have to hack five servers in a row… Unless, of course, all five servers belong to you. And if they are yours, all five of them, then you read all this correspondence and make decisions: we’ll put these people in jail — we’ll give statistics, we won’t put these people in jail, but we’ll see who falls for it, we won’t put these people in jail — they pay us. Evil people say that this is how the Tor network was created — by certain people for certain people.

And evil tongues say about the Silk Road online store that when the FBI catches someone with drugs, they turn some over to the government and embezzle the rest of the confiscated goods. And where is the most convenient place to steal and sell confiscated goods? A very convenient tool for this is an online store. If you know that in the US all FBI employees are officially exempted from responsibility for drug operations under the pretext that ‘they have to do it to infiltrate’ organized crime groups, the picture becomes complete. It becomes immediately clear who controls this market and how. But after a few rounds of ‘drugs/weapons-bitcoin’, these people started dumping cryptocurrency or exchanging it for apartments, cars, titanium deposits, etc. And since these people have a plethora of journalists in their arsenal, it didn’t take any effort to stir up a story around all this.

A direct consequence of all of the above is the risk of unintentional loss.

Access to a cryptocurrency wallet can be lost due to password loss, storage device failure, or loss of the storage device itself.

Due to the nature of cryptocurrency operations and blockchain technology, users’ passwords are not stored in any other location than their memory or personal records. There is no corresponding business process by which passwords can be changed in person, the identity of the owner can be verified, and the rights to those cryptocurrencies or other cryptoassets can be recovered.

According to the New York Times, about 20% of the world’s 18.5 million bitcoins are in wallets that have been locked for some reason or whose passwords have been irretrievably lost. The total value of the currency that cannot be used is estimated at $140 billion.[355]

So before we go anywhere, let’s think: How will we get out? And if it turns out to be money laundering on a particularly large scale, then you are, in fact, an accomplice in the laundering of drug and arms operations.

What we should do

We have to do risk management. For this purpose, the risk is described, its maximum value is described, a so-called threat strategy is formed, the value of this threat is described and how it should be countered.

It is well known that the most effective fighters against terrorists are the terrorists themselves — those who are counter-terrorists. They know how to carry out a terrorist attack and can easily guess how to neutralize them. Any good armor maker knows exactly how a bullet is designed, or he wouldn’t make armor. Why do bandits call their ‘protection’ insurance? Because it’s all one and the same.

Not so long ago, the theory of the state as a stationary bandit appeared, and the economist who wrote it almost won the Nobel Prize. The whole theory can be summed up in one sentence: ‘Whoever has the biggest stick rules the territory’. In the case of cryptocurrencies, it is the same. To deal with macroeconomics, you have to go to the biggest crooks in macroeconomics — the central bank, the government. To deal with criminals, you have to go to… it’s clear where. Only when it becomes profitable and interesting for them, they will start to manage this process.

My deepest conviction is that the real America — the one we know — began with the creation of Murder Incorporated in the 1920s. When the major Mafia clans got together and decided that you could only kill a person with the permission of the leaders of all the Mafia clans at the same time. Then the lawlessness ended and they used their internal court to decide who could be killed and who could not. From that moment on, the country became civilized. Before that, cowboys shot at sheriffs and sheriffs shot at cowboys, and the only difference was the presence or absence of a badge. But the moment the illegal space got its own legal process, that’s when civilization began in the US. Any risk should be handled by professional risk managers. And who they are… We will not write, but we will understand.

Therefore, in order to determine the risks of cryptocurrencies and create a risk management for cryptocurrencies, we need to categorize all the risks into groups, and each group of risks should be studied by those who know about it.

• For example, IT risks should be assigned to the Ministry of Communications and the Academy of Sciences.

• Economic risks — to the Central Bank, the Ministry of Economic Development, the Ministry of Finance.

• Criminal risks — to the Ministry of Justice, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the prosecution service, special services.

And only after collecting the professional opinions of all groups it is possible to make a unified basic decision.

Disaster Tolerance and Survivability

Probability theory tells us that in peacetime, a twofold duplication of the information infrastructure, for example on civilian aircraft or in processing systems, is quite sufficient, while a threefold duplication is somewhat excessive. This parameter is called ‘disaster tolerance’. But in combat aircraft and automated troop control systems, for example, the duplication of critical information infrastructure should be 4–7 times. This is for the simple reason that if this device is used for combat purposes, the enemy will take measures to destroy it. Therefore, if 2–3–4 levels of the combat information infrastructure are deliberately defeated, the aircraft or control system must still perform its combat missions. That’s why the redundancy level is 4–7 times. And it is called ‘survivability’. This term is used in weapons design and testing. You hear the phrases ‘ship survivability’, ‘tank survivability’, ‘aircraft survivability’. But there is no such term for peaceful systems. Because that level of survivability is not needed in peacetime. A peaceful airliner does not need a sevenfold duplication of on-board electronics. And peaceful processing systems do not need a sevenfold duplication level. Unless, of course, your goal is to fund terrorism, reconnaissance networks behind enemy lines, or knowingly illegal activities such as drug trafficking.

In blockchain, however, each ‘miner’ ideally duplicates virtually the entire network. This is a kind of super-mega survivability. Even if 99% of the reservation is destroyed, the blockchain does not stop working. But is it possible to lose 99% of the redundancy infrastructure in peacetime? Of course not. So why pay for such an obviously redundant resource all the time?

Cryptocurrencies have to pay for their megasurvivability with the additional work of all participants’ processors and, most importantly, with transaction time. This excessive megasurvivability is the reason for the low performance and high price of cryptocurrencies.

Former PayPal CEO William H. Harris writes: ‘It takes about an hour to confirm a bitcoin transaction, and the bitcoin system is limited to five transactions per second. MasterCard can process 38,000 transactions per second. It costs about $6 to transfer $100 from one person to another using cryptocurrency, and less than $1 using an electronic check… It takes enough electricity to create one bitcoin (the process is called ‘mining’) to power the average American family for two years. If bitcoin were to be used for most of the world’s commerce (which will not happen), it would consume a very large portion of the world’s electricity, diverting scarce energy from useful purposes.’[356]

For the peaceful application of blockchain, it is enough to reduce the number of verification nodes to 10, maximum 20. And if we transfer these verification functions to the actors responsible for the risk management of a given cryptocurrency, everything will fall into place. We will get a payment infrastructure that is ultra-reliable in terms of disaster tolerance (and even survivability), where the verifiers are ministries and agencies authorized by the state. The risks of using such a cryptocurrency will be minimal.

The most rational development of distributed ledger technology for the creation of cryptocurrencies is the creation of a cryptocurrency with a highly limited number of verifier-registrars. The government will determine the number of verifier-registrars, their composition, and their responsibilities (primarily to reduce the risks of use). This group will include the Ministry of Communications, the Academy of Sciences, the Central Bank, the Ministry of Economic Development, the Ministry of Finance, the Ministry of Justice, the Ministry of Internal Affairs, the prosecution service, and special services.

All other parties will utilize this registry and will not maintain ‘archives’ of other people’s transactions.

11.04.2018

P. S. After careful consideration and analysis of distributed ledger systems for automatic troop control systems, it was determined that the number of not only duplication nodes, but also subscribers, is very limited. Specifically, it was determined that a unit operating in the Murmansk area has no need for tactical data in the Caucasus. Furthermore, in the event of a combat unit being captured, it is imperative that the enemy does not gain access to a significant amount of classified data. It is noteworthy that saboteurs share a similar perspective on this matter. In the event that a single saboteur is apprehended, local counterintelligence should not gain significant insight into the sabotage network. Consequently, the number of duplication nodes does not exceed 10, even in the riskiest zones.

Empirical data show that duplication is not required more than 10 times, and under no circumstances is it necessary for any individual or entity. Not a single user in the world. The closed interval under consideration is from 1 to 10. In nature, there is no such risk that necessitates more than 10x redundancy.

Then who needs cryptocurrencies with many thousands of times the entire registry duplicated?

After a lot of thought, it was possible to identify only one type of organization that needs to know everything about everyone. No, of course there are journalists, but high-level cryptography with elements of automatic troop control system technologies is not their method of operation. It is clear that for intelligence services, if they are the organizers of the introduction of cryptocurrencies, such a tool is convenient. Everyone gives the whole volume of private data about himself, piously believing that the system is anonymous and refusing to think that any crypto software created by intelligence services just has to have a ‘backdoor’.[357]

This is the normal work of special services; it’s what they get paid for. But why do users need them? Even if you have such a great love for the secret service of your country, it may be possible to find a less expensive and complicated method of transmitting information to them. If it is the intelligence service of another country, then you can get into a very delicate situation, which is described in a simple way by the criminal code. As the well-known poet Vladimir Vysotskiy wrote: ‘There are such institutions that can send you up the river.’ And if a housewife can prove that she does not know the basics of reliability theory as a part of probability theory, it will not be easy for any IT worker who must have attended lectures on probability theory and passed exams, for which there is documentary evidence, to get away with it. The ‘everybody does it’ argument may not work, because epistemology — the science of knowledge, which is part of philosophy, — explicitly tells us that ‘majority opinion is not a criterion of truth’.

03.05.2018

Addendum. Cryptocurrency humor

In the context of potato mining, a similar process is observed, characterized by the self-generation of liquid value through the duplication and replication of the potato’s genetic code.

The process of mining potatoes is now more profitable than mining bitcoin. A mining farm and a plot of 0.1 ha cost the same — about 3,000 US dollars. With 0.1 ha, a good trader will mine eight tons of potatoes, which at the current exchange rate to the dollar is equivalent to 2,400 US dollars. The project will pay for itself in 15 months. And if you apply manure, then you can collect all ten tons.

And at the same time, the process of mining potatoes goes without electricity costs, and the mining potato farm does not lose in price.

Potatoes can also be used to produce a byproduct called moonshine. Eight tons of potatoes distilled into moonshine will yield 1,500 half-liter bottles, or $7,500. Bitcoin won’t yield that much.

Luna-25, Prigozhin and BRICS+ in Terms of Emotion and Logic

Russia is used to the second half of August bringing trouble. This has been the case since the default on treasury bills in 1998.

And this year, 2023, the second half of August was also quite unpleasant from an emotional and psychological point of view.

First, the Russians were prepared for the idea that we are still a great space power and can send lunar stations to the Earth’s satellite. The launch of the booster rocket was held with great pomp, and all the corrections of the flight and landing were announced. After each correction, Roscosmos cheerfully reported that all systems were working correctly. And at the last correction they managed to make the mistake of letting the engines run one and a half times longer without setting even the simplest time limit in the foolproof system. This caused not only an unpleasant feeling for the system failure, but also emotional bitterness and resentment for the amazingly illiterate design and management decisions. All the more so against the background of the Indian mission’s moon landing.

Nor did Prigozhin’s death bring joy to Russians. Despite his clearly criminal past, he made Russians proud of the country and our people, and showed that competent management leads to victory in the most difficult situations. Prigozhin reminded historically-minded people of the story of Yermak Timofeyevich, a bandit and deserter who conquered Siberia for Russia. Even the ‘coup attempt in the name of a tank stuck in a circus’ gate’ did not destroy Prigozhin’s media popularity among Russians.

Russians were neutral about the expansion of BRICS to BRICS+. BRICS is ideologically distant from the majority of the population of our country, and BRICS+ has not come closer to them.

But what happened during this time from the point of view of logic? How much money has Russia lost and gained during this period?

Experts estimate that the cost of the Luna-25 mission was about $130 million (13 billion rubles at the current exchange rate).[358] If we understand that only the financing of the salaries of the military personnel involved in the special military operation in Ukraine amounts to about $20 billion,[359] then the loss of Luna-25 is less than 1% of this amount. This is very little. And if we count from the budget of the Russian Federation for 2023 in the amount of 26 trillion rubles,[360] it is 0.05% of the Russian budget. This is a very small figure that can be neglected.

How bad is Prigozhin’s death for Russia economically? Most likely, nothing will change economically for Wagner. Financing and armaments will go through exactly the same channels. Colonel General Mizintsev and his council of commanders are quite capable of running the military administration without Prigozhin and Utkin. Moreover, from the economic point of view, Prigozhin and Utkin were talented founders of the start-up PMC Wagner, but with the number of personnel of about 50,000, the classic professional economic and personnel management is more effective. The system was built and will continue to work. Both within the CIS and outside.

But the expansion of BRICS to BRICS+ is already an extraordinary event. And it is not even the fact that the BRICS GDP was only slightly higher than the G7 GDP, while the BRICS+ GDP significantly exceeds it. The main event is the entry of major oil producers such as Saudi Arabia, Iran and the UAE into BRICS. This means the creation of a structure not only parallel to OPEC, but with the support of the world’s largest economies, China and India.

This means that it is now possible to manage the price of oil on the basis of the military-political weight of Eurasia, as opposed to the military-political weight of the USA and NATO. This means that the economic alliance is beginning to turn into a military-political alliance on a global scale.

This is a huge amount of money, certainly not less than a trillion dollars a year. This economic mega-event will allow Russia to prevent a sharp drop in energy prices and, as a result, make the Russian economy much more stable.

In terms of economic importance, it is disproportionately (a thousand times) more important than the loss of the lunar mission and Prigozhin and Utkin.

And, of course, the loss of Luna-25 and the Wagner commanders is humanly deplorable.

29.08.2023

Pandeya’s Digital Piastres. A view from the Villain’s Side

Let us imagine the reasoning of an obvious cheat and thief who lives only by cheating and stealing. He wants to live well, eat well, and sleep well. But he doesn’t want to work honestly. And he doesn’t want to go to jail.

So how should a crook plan a crime to get away with it?

Such typical reasoning is vividly shown in the immortal film by the famous film director Gaiday Operation 1! and Shurik’s Other Adventures, released in 1965:

‘What can save us from auditing?… The only thing that can save us from auditing is theft.

‘Burglary?

‘Burglary, of course!

‘Article 89, paragraph 2. Up to six years. No way!

‘There’s no burglary! Everything has been stolen before! It’s nothing, you just have to stage a theft. You have to break the lock, leave traces of the goods, and leave without taking anything. Have you learned that?

………

‘Well, let’s get down to business. First, you must neutralize the guard… The guard is sedated with chloroform without causing bodily harm. Legally, this whole Operation 1! thing is just disorderly conduct. Mind you, I’m paying big bucks for this disorderly conduct…

‘Is the security guard tough?

‘In our operation, we have a woman on duty, and she’s an old biddy. That’s good, right?

‘Is she armed?

‘The bullets are blanks!’

In the nearly 60 years since the movie was released, little has changed in this area. For example, if a dishonest individual works in a bank in a position of authority over the cash operating unit and embezzles a significant amount of money, he may need to enlist the help of other criminals to stage a robbery and attribute the entire amount stolen to the robbery.

What if a crook works in a bank with cashless money? Then he steals money using more sophisticated methods, such as writing off valuables, knowingly making bad loans, knowingly ‘losing’ to counterparties on the stock market, etc. etc. He also ‘spreads’ the theft over a large number of transactions.

The only way to save such a crook is to destroy all traces. Then such methods are used as ‘fire in the accounting office’, ‘the car carrying the archive fell off a bridge into a river’, and ‘computer failure led to the deletion of the database’. Lately, the ‘unknown hackers stole it’ method has become quite popular. Just like in Gaiday’s movie — burglary. Only digital theft and digital hacking.

Crooks working in the central bank of some country can think the same way. In analogy to the inhabited island of the Strugatskiy brothers, science fiction writers, let’s call such a country Pandeya, located on the planet Saraksh. It is at war with the Khonti, its former part, and the Island Empire. Let’s call the currency of Pandeya piastres.

How do the crooks of the Pandeyan Central Bank steal many piasters and ‘shift’ the responsibility to other, uncaught ‘burglars’?

After all, in order for a hacker to attack a Central Bank of Pandeya computer, he must have access to the Central Bank of Pandeya computers. And only banks that have a banking license issued by the Central Bank of Pandeya have access to the computers of the Central Bank of Pandeya. And there are only a handful of them, not more than 400. And such access is carried out only from separate dedicated computers, not connected to external networks, but having a limited number of computer programs and strong hardware and software protection. If such a bank computer starts an attack on the computer of the Central Bank of Pandeya, it can be quickly shut down. And the assets of such a bank would be the collateral for repayment of the damage caused by the hacker attack.

This means that the crooks of the Central Bank of Pandeya, in order to carry out the theft under the cover of ‘burglary’, must create many direct poor clients of the Central Bank of Pandeya, who have direct access from their computers to the computers of the Central Bank of Pandeya. And that these poor clients can have such access not only from the territory of Pandeya, but also from abroad, for example from the territory of Khonti, so that after the ‘burglary’ they cannot be caught for sure.

How do you do that? It’s very simple! We need to introduce the ultra-fashionable ‘digital piastres’ and give access to such a product to the entire population.

By definition, digital piastres technology is peer-to-peer, which means exactly ‘many direct poor customers of the Central Bank of Pandeya who have access from their computers to the computers of the Central Bank of Pandeya’. In this case, it is possible to either move the ‘poor Central Bank of Pandeya customer’s computer’ to Khonti territory, or to spoof the IP address from Khontian to Pandeyan.

The passport of the digital piastres technology must not be approved by the Ministry of Control or the Public Prosecutor. And the Computer Security Department of the Central Bank of Pandeya must be thinly staffed, first by dismissing the most intelligent employees. The hardware and software of the Central Bank of Pandeya must be produced by the Island Empire, and must not be replaced by domestic equipment, so that Khontian hackers can use the Island Empire’s computer weapon based on zero-level hardware and software vulnerabilities.

Then the crooks of the Central Bank of Pandeya can hire Khontian hackers who will launch a digital ‘burglary’ virus inside the Central Bank of Pandeya’s computer, or better yet, a virus that will format the hard drives of the Central Bank of Pandeya’s computer and thus destroy all data, thus completely removing all responsibility for the theft from the crooks working at the Central Bank of Pandeya.

Hackers, including Khontian hackers, have been raiding crypto exchanges all over the planet Saraksh for years, plus or minus one more digital money system (piastres) will make no difference to them.

So what’s the demand of the crooks at the Central Bank of Pandeya? Pandeya is at war with Khonti, and it is understandable that Khontian hackers try to do maximum damage to Pandeya’s economy. But it is not the duty of the employees of the Central Bank of Pandeya to fight, they say.

Who would be held responsible for what happened? Those responsible for the computer and economic security of Pandeya, of course. That’s the Pandeyan Ministry of Control, the Pandeya’s Prosecutor General, the Pandeyan Battle Guard, and the rest of them.

Who will win and who will lose in this story?

The Pandeyan Central Bank crooks and their accomplices, who have cleaned up the trail of the embezzlement of a huge sum comparable to the Pandeyan budget, win.

The Khontian hackers will win. On the one hand, they will “collect money”, on the other hand, they will report in propaganda broadcasts about another victory over the Pandeyan simpletons.

The employees of the Pandeyan Ministry of Control, the Pandeyan Prosecutor General’s Office, the Pandeyan Battle Guard, and the rest of the security ministries will lose. Some of them will resign, some of them may be ‘prosecuted’.

The losers will be the citizens of Pandeya, who will once again have their money stolen.

Is it a nice scheme? It is beautiful!

It has only one very serious flaw. This plan is a classic ‘black swan’. Such a risk has never been realized, and no one knows what the consequences will be.

What happens if the computers of the Central Bank of Pandeya stop working after two or three days of downtime?

In three days, card payments in Pandeya will slow down, except for the cards of two or three major banks.

In one week, suppliers will begin to limit food deliveries to Pandeya’s retail chains.

In two weeks, the payment of salaries and social benefits may slow down.

Panic may set in.

Where there’s panic, there’s rioting.

And riots are a threat to national security.

A revolutionary coup will not be far away.

Of course, it would be possible to quickly give the largest bank in Pandeya settlement functions instead of the Central Bank of Pandeya. But what would stop the Khontian hackers from attacking the largest bank of Pandeya next time? Well, it not only has a lot of ‘direct poor customers’, but very, very many of them. And notoriously leaky computer security. The second series of the same ‘movie’ will not be difficult for Khontian hackers to show. And again the same will happen. Slowdown — suspensions — panic — riots.

Of course, during ‘senseless and merciless riots’, as the great Russian poet A. Pushkin said, the people of Pandeya can hang all the employees of the Central Bank of Pandeya from lampposts. In Pandeya this happens sometimes. But, apparently, at this moment there are no crooks from the Central Bank in Pandeya. With this amount of money, they will be transported quickly and comfortably to the Island Kingdom.

06.09.2023

The Political Economy of War

Do not seek for unity in the whole, but rather in the uniformity of separation.

Kozma Prutkov

As I wrote earlier in the article Who Won the Arab-Israeli Conflict? the geo-economic goal of the 1973 Yom Kippur War was to create a system of artificial manipulation of oil prices. It was the loss of the war that enabled the Arab world to create OPEC and raise oil prices 4 (four) times, from $3 to $12 per barrel.

During this war, more than 3,000 Israelis died,[361] but over a period of seven years, the additional income of the oil producers in the US (the ‘Seven Sisters’ of Rockefeller) amounted to more than 200 billion dollars. The US provided ‘massive’ support to Israel, whose power bloc was represented mainly by natives of Ukraine and the Baltics, for a total of about $17 billion, which amounted to about 8.5% of the additional income of US oil producers.

The OPEC countries and Russia (Soviet Union) were not out of pocket either, receiving a combined additional income of $600 billion over the same seven-year period. To the Arab countries, which lost about 9,000 people killed in the war, the USSR supplied only $2 billion worth of arms, according to open data. Unfortunately, internal settlements between OPEC countries and Egypt and Syria, which were at war, are unknown.

The main economies that received large geo-economic losses as a result of rising oil prices were the USA (excluding the oil industry), Germany, France, Italy and Japan.

Russia’s pseudo-war with Ukraine,[362] which began on February 24, 2022, had roughly the same geo-economic significance.

Its goal was to artificially manipulate the price of natural gas first and then oil.[363] The military actions in the territory adjacent to the main gas pipelines connecting Russia with Europe and the subsequent explosion of three strings of the Nord Stream pipeline have increased the price of natural gas by an average of 4 (four) times.

During this war, more than 250,000 Ukrainians were killed in the first year, but in one year alone, the US economy was able to generate more than $3,210 billion in additional revenue.[364] Ukraine, whose leadership is largely composed of Jews with Israeli citizenship, was ‘massively’ supported by the US and its satellite countries, mostly with weapons, for a total of about $120 billion,[365] which amounted to about 4% of the additional US income.

Russia, along with friendly Qatar and Iran, also benefited, receiving a combined $500 billion in additional revenues during the year of the war. Russia’s expenditures on payments to contract soldiers, including payments to the families of the 50,000 or so soldiers who died,[366] are estimated at about $20 billion.[367]

Germany, Japan, France, and China were the major economies that suffered large geo-economic losses as a result of rising natural gas and oil prices.

In tabular form, these data for the two wars analyzed can be presented as follows:

As a result of the Russian-Ukrainian pseudo-war, it has become clear that the German economy cannot sustain a natural gas price of even $1,000 per thousand cubic meters and begins to deindustrialize. In 2022, Europe, including Germany, consumed 20% less natural gas than in 2021.[368] Since it is not profitable for natural gas producers to kill the cash cow, Europe was given a price break in 2023 by lowering the gas price to around $300 per thousand cubic meters for a while.

In addition, it became clear that Ukraine could no longer wage an effective war against Russia due to the physical exhaustion of its heavy weaponry. The Russian military quickly destroyed the tanks and planes in Ukraine’s inventory. Europe, scraping the corners, threw in Soviet tanks and planes that were in service in Eastern Europe, but they are already running out. A number of experts believe that Ukraine currently has only about 200 tanks[369] and about 40 planes ‘in service’. It is becoming impossible to wage any kind of war, even a pseudo war, with Russia, which has an order of magnitude more weapons.

Of course, NATO troops need to be rearmed from Leopards to Panthers and from F-16s to F-35s, for which the obsolete weapons should be used de facto and formalized de jure with a ‘friendly loan to freedom-loving Ukraine’.[370] However, the usual pace of rearmament will only allow the release of 200–300 Leopards and 100–200 F-16s per year, which may be enough for only 3–4 months of the next ‘counter-offensive’. Moreover, the direction of the ‘friendly loan’ has been uncertain since the beginning of the conflict in Palestine and has become even more uncertain since the death of Li Keqiang.

The ‘war appreciation’ effect has also begun to take shape. Roughly speaking, it consists in the completion of all past-service life ammunition stored in Ukraine and NATO warehouses and subject to disposal.[371] Germany is ready to supply 155 mm caliber shells alone at an average price of $4,000 per piece.[372] At a rate of 20,000 shells per day, the cost of shells alone will be about $30 billion per year. The cost of the AFU’s salaries is already about $15 billion a year.[373] If we add missiles, fuel, ammunition and the obligatory Ukrainian theft, we get about $70 billion a year.

But the revenues of US and allied oil and gas companies are not as high as they used to be. If we assume that of the increase in liquefied natural gas imports by Europe of about 60 billion cubic meters,[374] the entire increase went to the oil and gas companies of the US and its allies, then with an additional income of only $300 per thousand cubic meters, the total direct additional income is $18 billion per year. Obviously, these revenues are not the only ones, and at the expense of other buyers and the growth of the domestic economy, this figure can be safely multiplied by 5. Still, it’s not worth the trouble. This obviously does not suit American ‘businessmen in politics’.

So, the task of the ‘masters of the world’ now is to:

• End the war in Ukraine gently by the method of another Khasavyurt;

• Unleash a limited military conflict somewhere else.

Palestine and Israel are well suited for such ‘other’ managed space by a number of parameters:

• The absence of gas pipeline routes in the territory, with the simultaneous ability of the ‘gas OPEC’ to block gas supplies to countries it recognizes as sponsors of terrorists against Palestine;

• The absence of a real army in Palestine, with the simultaneous presence of Hezbollah forces in Syria, and the sudden presence in Palestine of surprisingly savvy terrorists who make clever use of EW, drones, and advanced methods of destroying enemy communications. Really: not the Palestinians, but like a real Brandenburg-800 of sorts;

• Complete control of Israel by both the US and Russia, which is quite capable of covertly providing Iran with the technology to produce weapons that can actually destroy Israel’s elite.

These parameters would allow a prolonged managed conflict in Palestine to keep natural gas prices around $600 per thousand cubic meters and oil prices around $90 per barrel.

The projected managed conflict is tentatively expected to have the following geo-economic parameters:

Up to 2,000 Israelis will die in the course of this war, but in one year the shale gas producers in the US and their associated oil and gas companies will receive additional revenues of about $200 billion. Israel, whose power bloc is mainly represented by natives of Ukraine and the Baltic states, will be ‘massively’ supported by the USA, mainly with weapons, for a total amount of about $14 billion, which will amount to about 7% of the additional income of the shale gas producers and their related oil and gas companies in the USA.

Russia and its allies, Venezuela, Qatar, and Iran, will also receive substantial financial benefits from this deal, with a combined total of $100 billion in additional income for a year of war.

Palestine, which has experienced significant losses with approximately 4,000 lives lost, received $75 million from the US the day before the war,[375] and is expected to receive an additional $200 million. The internal calculations between OPEC countries and Palestine are likely to remain confidential. Germany, Japan, China, France, and Italy will continue to be the main economies that will suffer large, but this time more or less acceptable geo-economic losses as a result of rising natural gas and oil prices.

In tabular form, these data for the three wars analyzed can be presented as follows:

P. S.

1. Financial Times: ‘The EU economy is 65% the size of the US economy in dollar terms. This is down from 91% in 2013. US GDP per capita is more than twice that of the EU, and the gap is widening. Thus, the EU’s economic performance relative to the US has declined significantly since 2013, and the gap in technological leadership, university rankings, and semiconductor production is widening. The main challenges are the structural problems of the EU’s internal market, the burden of red tape, the shortage of skilled workers, and the impact of recent crises.’[376]

The difference between 65% and 91% is 26%. US GDP in 2022 was $25.5 trillion. Of that, 26% is $6.6 trillion per year. Assuming that the EU competed only with the US, excluding China and the rest of the world, this means that a large group of $3.3 trillion per year in business left the EU for the US. Since this did not happen overnight, but over 10 years, assuming a linear spillover, the average spillover was about $1.6 trillion per year, and over 10 years the total GDP transferred from the EU to the US was about $16 trillion. This result was achieved primarily by artificially breaking up business cooperation between Russia and the EU, and replacing cheap energy from Russia with expensive energy from the US.

2. ‘For those who suffer the bitter plight of the Palestinians, it is useful to know that the top leaders of Hamas are not at all burdened by the hardships suffered by the rest of the Palestinians.

Hamas leader Haniyeh is a dollar billionaire who lives in Turkey and Qatar, travels the world in a private jet, and whose family fortune is estimated to be at least $2.5 billion. Haniyeh’s son, Maaz, is the largest real estate owner in Gaza and the chief developer, receiving a large share of the contracts to build and rebuild what has been destroyed. Virtually every Israeli strike on Gaza becomes a golden rain in Haniyeh’s family budget.

Khaled Mashal, a former Hamas politburo chief, lived in Damascus until 2012, when he fled to Qatar and transferred $1.5 billion there. He now holds a position in the movement that controls all of the group’s cash flow and real estate transactions.

Musa Abu Marzouk — deputy leader of Hamas — lived in the US for a decade and a half; his children (six) are US citizens by birthright. Marzouk’s family is worth at least $2 billion.

And that’s just the top three leaders.

The Hamas banner and emblem could well be supplemented with the inscription War is our business.’[377]

The Influence of Oil Tycoons on the Course of World War II

In the previous article, The Political Economy of War,[378] it was found that the 1973 Yom Kippur War, Russia’s war with Ukraine in 2022, and Israel’s war with Palestine in 2023 have similar beneficiaries in the form of oil and gas producing companies of the Anglo-Saxon world (USA with satellites[379]), Russia with satellites,[380] and the Arab world.[381]

It is also known that the Russian-Japanese war of 1905 was financed from the Japanese side by the Rockefellers,[382] who produced oil in the USA, and the Rothschilds-Samuels-Detterings,[383] who produced oil in Basra (today’s Iraq), in order to cut off a very promising overland trade route of oil products, first of all kerosene, from Russia to China along the Trans-Siberian Railway, completed in 1905 in the Chinese Eastern Railway version.

If we know for sure that the main beneficiaries of World War II were the United States and the owners of the fuel complex, did the top political and military leaders not follow the instructions of the oil magnates in any way? Let’s take them all in order and try to identify their actions that were clearly favorable to the oil lobby.

Roosevelt

He was born into the Dutch family of Rosenveldt, grandson of Isaac Roosevelt and son of Sarah Delano.

As President of the United States, he seems to have represented the interests of the Rockefeller family.

1. Instead of waging a large-scale land war in Europe, which did not require exceptionally high fuel consumption, Roosevelt conducted a long and extensive naval war with a much weaker opponent, Japan, which required enormous naval and air fuel costs, especially given the length of the shipping lane, which was the size of much of the Pacific Ocean. For example, the fuel consumption of an aircraft carrier is about one ton of diesel fuel per kilometer of travel. And the distance from the US West Coast to the Japanese theater of war was about 3,000 kilometers. Knowing that the total US military expenditures amounted to about $341 billion in 1945 prices,[384] we can assume that the expenditures on fuel and lubricants for the navy and aviation received by the Rockefeller clan amounted to at least $100 billion in 1945 prices, which is equivalent to 100 thousand tons of gold in those prices.

2. He turned a blind eye to the Rockefellers’ ownership of a virtually controlling interest in IG Farben, a corporation that produced synthetic gasoline and fuels and lubricants for the Wehrmacht and Luftwaffe of Nazi Germany.

3. He hardly noticed that General Motors owned Opel, and Ford openly owned the Cologne and Poitiers plants of the same name, as well as Volkswagen. Opel and Ford supplied the Wehrmacht with 90% of the light trucks and 70% of the heavy trucks,[385] guaranteeing the consumption of a fair share of synthetic gasoline produced by Rockefeller’s IG Farben.

4. From the time the United States entered the war on December 6, 1941, until the spring of 1944, the IG Farben factories were virtually untouched by American bombing. This period, therefore, lasted for more than two years.

The Cologne Ford plant was hardly bombed at all.[386]

Churchill

Born to the son of the Chancellor of the Exchequer, Chancellor of the Exchequer of Britain, and Jennie Jerome, a wealthy American woman whose family owned a stake in the New York Times. Churchill was the grandson of the seventh Duke of Marlborough.

It is worth considering the German aristocratic origins of the ruling House of Windsor, which was created on July 17, 1917 by King George V to rid the ruling dynasty of its former German name of Saxe-Coburg-Gotha in the context of the First World War.

Therefore, when analyzing Churchill’s activities, it is correct to assume that the ‘Churchill-Windsor’ bundle is being analyzed.

Churchill (the Windsors) apparently represented the interests of both the Rothschild-Dettering-Samuels-Windsor clan, legally styled Royal Dutch/Shell, and the Rockefeller clan.

1. Britain proactively and very suddenly declared war on Germany in 1939 after it attacked Poland.

2. Like Roosevelt, instead of waging a large-scale land war in Europe, which did not require an extraordinary amount of fuel, he waged a long and large-scale naval war with Germany, not only in the seas that washed Britain, but also in the very remote Mediterranean, which required enormous fuel costs for the navy and for aviation. We can assume that the expenditures on fuel and lubricants for the fleet and aviation, received by the clan Rothschild–Dettering–Samuels–Windsors, amounted to at least 20 billion dollars in 1945 prices, which is equal to 20 thousand tons of gold in those prices.[387]

3. More than actively, Churchill accepted ‘aid’ from the US on Lend-Lease, in amounts 3 (three) times larger than the Lend-Lease from the US to the USSR. This ‘aid’ amounted to about a quarter of the national wealth of Great Britain,[388] which suffered huge losses in the naval war with the German submarine fleet. A quarter of Britain’s entire merchant fleet was lost, and her naval losses amounted to 7 aircraft carriers, 3 battleships, 24 light cruisers, 139 destroyers, and 65 submarines.[389] Britain’s total material losses amounted to about $120 billion in 1945 prices,[390] which was equivalent to about 120 thousand tons of gold at those prices. These gigantic expenditures, which obviously could have been avoided by staying out of the war, ultimately led to the virtual bankruptcy of Britain and the loss of almost all of its colonies, as well as the loss of its status as the world’s leader.

4. From the beginning of Britain’s entry into the war on September 3, 1939, until the spring of 1944, that is, for more than four and a half years, the IG Farben factories were hardly ever bombed by the British! These factories were easily identifiable from the air, were enormous in size, covering several square miles, and were very easy and effective targets for bombers. If they had been defeated, Nazi Germany would have been left without fuel not only for the Wehrmacht, but also for aviation, and could have been bombed as early as 1939. Thus, proper targeting would have prevented Germany’s war with France, Germany’s war with the USSR, and Germany’s long war with Britain. But then Rockefeller’s company IG Farben could not have made a gigantic amount of money by supplying fuel to the Wehrmacht and Air Force of Nazi Germany in the amount of revenue of about $80 billion, which at those prices was 80 thousand tons of gold. And then Rockefeller would not have been able to make a gigantic amount of money on fuel supplies to the US Navy and Air Force in the amount of revenue of about $100 billion, which at those prices was 100 thousand tons of gold. And then the US would not have been able to ‘earn’ $51 billion on lend-lease to Britain and the USSR, which at those prices amounted to 51 thousand tons of gold.

It is also an indisputable fact that both Roosevelt and Churchill, both ‘independent’ politicians, could not have been unaware of the operation of the Bank for International Settlements in Basel, which was set up by their major banks for the benefit of Nazi Germany.

The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) was established in 1930 on the basis of the Hague Agreement between the central banks of 6 countries (Belgium, Great Britain, Germany, Italy, France and Japan) and the convention of these countries with Switzerland, where the Bank for International Settlements (Basel) is located, in connection with Jung’s plan of reparations paid by Germany to the victorious countries after the First World War. Officially, the US did not participate in the creation of the Bank for International Settlements because it could not receive reparations from Germany. Therefore, private American banks, led by J.P. Morgan, subscribed to the shares of the Bank for International Settlements. During the Second World War (1939–1945), the Bank continued its cooperation between directors from the countries of the anti-Hitler coalition (France, Great Britain and the USA) and from the fascist countries (Germany, Italy). Germany, which was interested in acquiring goods through neutral countries, did not have enough currency to do so. Therefore, the BIS exchanged Nazi gold for freely convertible currency, for which transactions were conducted in Sweden and other neutral countries. The Nazis received gold from the concentration camps at Majdanek, Auschwitz, etc. (gold crowns, jewelry, melted into ingots of 20 kg each), they also used the gold reserves of the captured European countries.[391]

Hitler

He had no historical economic roots related to his ancestry.

It is worth considering the background of the ‘second man in the Reich,’ Hermann Goering, who was in charge of all economic matters. Goering was a wealthy aristocrat from the top of the German military aristocracy. He was the son of a very high ranking official, Governor General of German South West Africa (now Namibia) Heinrich Ernst Goering, a member of the Supreme Court of Prussia, a personal friend of Otto von Bismarck.

Therefore, when analyzing Hitler’s activities, it is correct to assume that the ‘Hitler-Goering’ bundle is being analyzed.

Hitler (Goering):

1. Hitler rose to power as a result of 40% campaign financing by the Rockefeller-owned IG Farben cartel.

2. He created the German fuel complex with Rockefeller money and technology whose only purpose could be war. ‘In December 1935, the military attaché of the American embassy reported: “In two years, with millions of dollars provided by the Standard Oil Company of New York, Germany will produce from lignite oil and gasoline in quantities sufficient to fight a long war.” W. Dodd also reported to Roosevelt that Standard Oil “is helping the Germans to produce substitute gasoline for war purposes…” Why for war? Because for peaceful purposes substitute gasoline is inefficient to use — it is too expensive. According to H. Schacht, the production of ersatz materials costs Germany “four times as much as imported raw materials.” By 1938, more than half of all gasoline consumed by Germany was produced by chemical synthesis.’[392] Knowing that the total military expenditures of Nazi Germany amounted to about 272 billion US dollars in 1945 prices,[393] we can assume that the expenditures on fuel and lubricants for the Wehrmacht and aviation, received as revenue by the Rockefeller clan through IG Farben, amounted to at least 80 billion US dollars in 1945 prices, which is equal to 80 thousand tons of gold in those prices.

3. He made a huge number of strategic mistakes, extremely favorable to the US and Britain, as detailed in the article ‘Oddities’ of World War II.[394] Here are just a few:

• How could the entire British Army of 300,000 men be let go from Dunkirk when it cost next to nothing to defeat them?

• How was it possible to wage war in Africa and the Mediterranean with 10 divisions (3 German and 7 Italian) without taking Gibraltar with only 2 (two) divisions, thus allowing the ‘Allies’ to freely supply their troops?

• How was it possible not to give Rommel 2 more divisions to conquer the Suez Canal when 180 divisions were on the border with the USSR?

• How was it possible to abandon the plan to seize the oil fields of Basra by marching 5 (five) divisions of tanks from Suez, which would have deprived the British of fuel but would have given the Third Reich great opportunities?

• How was it possible that until 1944 the submarine fleet did not use snorkels, known since 1910, when they would have increased the survivability of the submarines many times over, would have increased the losses of British and American ships many times over, and certainly would have made the Normandy landings impossible?

• How could one not realize in 13 (thirteen!) years that the top-secret Enigma code had already been broken in 1932, and that everything the Germans were doing was known to the British and Americans in advance?

• How could one not notice the work of the head of the Abwehr, Admiral Canaris, for the British since 1939, when he even kept a diary in which he described everything on a daily basis?

4. In November 1941, Hitler supplied the Wehrmacht with summer synthetic fuel and lubricants, which disrupted the ability of German troops to fight effectively, especially near Moscow. German synthetic aviation fuel froze at temperatures below minus 14 degrees Celsius, as Soviet chemist Alexander D. Petrov reported to the Soviet Air Force Command as early as October 1941.[395] According to Soviet sources, in the three-week period from November 15 to December 5, 1941, the Russian Air Force flew 15,840 combat missions, while the Luftwaffe flew only 3,500, almost five times as many.[396] This is due to the fact that synthetic gasoline contains benzol as an additive to increase the octane number. But in its pure form, benzol begins to crystallize at +5.5°C. Therefore, the main types of German gasoline became unusable at temperatures below 10–15 degrees. In 1941 near Moscow, the Germans had no low-temperature winter weapon lubricant, so automatic rifles and machine guns often broke down in the cold. The same was true for artillery guns, where the fluid in the recoil brake and return gear thickened at low temperatures to the point of failure. The lack of antifreeze made it impossible to ensure stable operation of the engines.[397] It was impossible to use optical sights of tanks, radios did not work. German automotive synthetic fuel of red color Vergaserkraftstoff began to thicken at a temperature of minus 18 degrees and froze at a temperature of minus 25 degrees,[398] in connection with which German tanks, armored personnel carriers and cars in the first half of December, though uncertain, but could move, and in the second half completely lost the ability to move. This was the reason for the abandonment of a large amount of equipment during the retreat from Moscow, and not the alleged panic flight. The most effective pilot of the Ju-87 bomber, Hans-Ulrich Rudel, described the unpreparedness of the fuel and lubricants of the Luftwaffe and the Wehrmacht for frost as follows: ‘The sudden forty-degree cold freezes ordinary lubricant. Our cannons cannot fire. The engines will not start, everything is frozen, the hydraulics are out of order, to rely on any technical tool is suicide. In these temperatures, the engines cannot be started in the morning, even though we cover them with straw mats and blankets. Mechanics often spend all night in the field, warming the engines every half-hour so they can be started when the squadron has to fly. The cold gets worse, making it harder to keep the planes operational for the next day’s missions. I saw desperate mechanics trying to warm up the engines with open flames. One of them said to me, “They’re either going to start or they’re going to burn to charcoal. If they don’t start, they’re no good anyway.” Our tank drivers are complaining that the turrets cannot turn, everything is frozen.’[399] In the event of a German victory near Moscow, the war with the USSR could well end in the spring of 1942 with the capitulation of the USSR. Obviously, such a development went against the grain for the military branches of the US and German economies, and especially for the Rockefeller clan. They could well make an ‘imperceptible mistake’ in the composition of synthetic fuel. The version of ‘deliberate sabotage with synthetic fuel and lubricants’ in the winter of 1941/1942 is more than probable.

Stalin

No historical economic roots associated with Stalin’s ancestry are noted.

From the beginning of his ‘revolutionary’ activity in 1901 until the coup of 1917, he destroyed in Batum and Baku the oil enterprises of the Rothschild clan, and later of the Mantashevs, in favor of the Rockefeller clan, which is described in detail in the article Comrade Stalin and the Economic Security of Russia.[400]

It also describes his post-revolutionary ‘deeds’ that clearly benefited the Rockefeller clan and the United States:

1. Nationalization of the oil industry by the Bolsheviks with the actual transfer of the industry to Rockefeller’s control.

2. Rockefeller’s de facto monopoly on Russian oil exports in the 1930s.

3. Writing off by the People’s Commissar for Foreign Affairs Litvinov under the leadership of Stalin the economic claims of the USSR against the US ‘arising from the actions of the US armed forces in Siberia’ during the intervention in the amount of approximately $1 billion, equivalent to about 1,000 tons of gold at the time.

4. Absence of detention of American spies on the territory of the USSR by the NKVD against the backdrop of mass capture and extermination of spies from other states.

5. The beginning of the ‘Great Purge’ of the NKVD in 1937, exactly two weeks after the death of John Davison Rockefeller on May 23.

6. The share of oil exports under Stalin never exceeded 4% of export revenues.

7. The sharp increase in oil production and exports in the USSR began only after Stalin’s death.

Both before and during the Great Patriotic War, Stalin made a series of significant strategic mistakes. These mistakes ultimately resulted in a four-year period of conflict within the borders of the USSR. At his command and with his knowledge:

1. The top and middle command staff of the Red Army was destroyed by 90%.

2. The top and middle intelligence command staff was destroyed by 95%.

3. The top and middle command staff was repeatedly destroyed of the People’s Commissariat of Communications, so that on June 22, 1941, the People’s Commissariat of Communications was headed by Colonel Perepyolkin, who had previously commanded only one signal squadron.

4. The Red Army HF communications directorate was organized, which was under the control of the NKVD and organized in such a way that the compromise of any one communications signal node would compromise the entire network.

5. Radio communication in the Red Army at the level of the army front was organized with only 25% of the necessary equipment, and the situation was even more critical at lower levels.

6. Wire communication in the Red Army was organized at the level of ‘outdoor wire lines on telegraph poles’.

7. Radio communications were not utilized at all in Soviet aircraft until the fall of 1942.

8. The cryptography in all power departments and army units was organized in such a way that cryptography up to the 5-digit level was decipherable, and mosaic-type cryptography was decipherable in its entirety;

9. The sabotage troops were destroyed by 95% in 1940, so that at the beginning of the war the USSR had 40 (forty) saboteurs at its disposal, and the chief of the ‘sabotage troops’ Sudoplatov was on duty, expecting to be arrested from one day to the next.

10. Despite the fact that the Wehrmacht’s use of combat stimulants such as Pervitin was already known to be highly effective, the NKVD and the Red Army did not have combat stimulants in service at the beginning of the war.

11. In 1940 an order was issued to disband the cadres of the partisan detachments prepared for the war and to liquidate the prepared partisan bases, arms and food caches.

12. In 1940, an order was given to remove anti-tank rifles from service, so it was not until November 1941 that anti-tank rifles were reinstated.

13. At the onset of the war, radar forces were available at less than 1% of the required level.

14. At the beginning of the war, military meteorology did not exist.

15. At the start of the war there was practically no self-propelled artillery, so it was not until the end of 1942 that self-propelled artillery entered the Red Army on a mass scale.

16. Stalin ordered the troops to retreat near Vyazma instead of trying to encircle the German breakthrough columns. The stupidity of such a strategic decision led to a fantastic defeat of a gigantic army with a huge supply of food, weapons and ammunition.

Had it not been for these ‘mistakes’ of the ‘brilliant leader and teacher’, the war would have ended in 1941 on the enemy’s territory.

But then the US would not have been able to ‘earn’ $51 billion on the lend-lease of Britain and the USSR, which at those prices amounted to 51 thousand tons of gold.

And then Rockefeller could not have made a gigantic amount of money by supplying fuel to the US Navy and Air Force for about $100 billion in revenue, which at those prices was 100,000 tons of gold.

And Rockefeller’s company IG Farben could not have made a gigantic amount of money supplying fuel to the Wehrmacht and Air Force in Nazi Germany for about $80 billion in revenue, which at those prices was 80,000 tons of gold.

The economic price of the ‘mistakes’ of the ‘brilliant leader and teacher’ was the total material losses of 2 trillion 569 billion dollars (about 30% of all national wealth); military expenditures — 192 billion dollars in 1945 prices. 1,710 cities and towns, 70 thousand villages and hamlets, 32 thousand industrial enterprises were destroyed.[401]

Thus, based on a ‘set of features’, we see that all ‘mistakes’ made by Joseph Stalin have led to a huge income for the USA in general and for the income of the Rockefeller clan in particular due to the enormous losses of the USSR economy, not counting the fatal losses of the population.

Thus, the theory of ‘controlled war’, the purpose of which was to extract profit for the USA and first of all for the Rockefeller clan, is working.

A sufficient number of facts have been uncovered that testify to the deliberate actions of Roosevelt, Churchill, Stalin and Hitler aimed at prolonging the war to maximize the destruction of the economies of Britain, Germany, Eastern Europe and the USSR in favor of the growth of the US economy and the income of the Rockefeller clan.

This does not mean that the guilt of the Rockefeller clan and their “puppets” Roosevelt, Churchill, Stalin and Hitler in ‘crimes against peace and security of mankind’ has already been proven.

But it means that the grounds for starting a massive collection of evidence are already more than sufficient.

09.11.2023

How to Evaluate Russia’s Top Political Figures

One of the main faults of Russian propaganda is self-righteousness. It often portrays ‘ours’ as always being good and ‘theirs’ as always being bad. This is an obvious falsehood, and it is absolutely wrong to deceive the public in this way.

Loyalty to the homeland does not consist of blindly lying to one’s fellow citizens.[402]

First of all, every Russian realizes that ‘even a horse with four legs stumbles’, and secondly, there are objectively vivid mistakes that cannot be called achievements.

For example, we cannot find a single person in Russia who says that raising the retirement age is a good thing. Such people simply do not exist, and it is simply stupid to deceive your audience by saying that we have no mistakes.

Mistakes must be recognized, and in this case it would be very right to learn from the experience of our Chinese comrades. Once I was lucky enough to visit Tiananmen Square during the May Day celebrations, where a million Chinese really fit in. They first gather in this square, and then ‘in small groups of 5,000 to 10,000 people’ flow toward the Imperial Palace, also called the Forbidden City. A huge poster of Mao Zedong hangs at the entrance to the Forbidden City. When I asked the comrades accompanying me why there was a poster of Mao Zedong, who had committed many ‘excesses’, including the Cultural Revolution, the Chinese replied, ‘We have weighed all of Mao Zedong’s activities and believe that he did 40% bad and 60% good. The good is greater, so he’s hanging here.’ Great idea! We need to use the same method, but apparently in the 20%–80% ratio.

That means we have to admit our mistakes and say, ‘Yes, there are mistakes, but they are 20% of the material we have done.’

1. For example, one such mistake is raising the retirement age.

2. The same mistake is the presence of Siluanov and Nabibullina in leading positions. Well, and other leaders, for example, Gref, who, in general, is a big continuous mistake.[403]

3. It was a mistake to have Zurabov as Minister of Health.

4. The already recognized mistake was Chubais with his Rosnano scam.

5. It was a big mistake not to apply the principle of ‘economic patriotism’ in general.[404]

It is necessary to admit your mistakes. But at the same time you have to point out that the total share of mistakes in the work done is no more than 20%.

We are bound to be asked: what are the achievements and where are these 80%? And this is a perfectly normal question, for the simple reason that people remember mistakes easily and do not want to remember successes.

In answering this question, people who are not versed in geopolitics and geo-economics should be guided by the great English philosopher and economist Thomas Hobbes’ great work, Leviathan. This work shows how ordinary, uneducated people see government. They see it as a terrible dragon that gives them certain benefits in exchange for taxes. And the most important benefit for them is the increase of security and welfare of the citizens.

We must honestly admit that the current administration has greatly improved the level of citizen security. We all remember the ‘roaring nineties’ when shootings in the streets were a regular occurrence, contract killings were a norm of life, shootings were considered something normal, and the word ‘meet’ was understood as a place where opposing forces came to either agree or shoot at each other. It should be noted that in the last 25 years the level of violent crime has been dramatically reduced. Contract murders have become something unusual, inter-group shootings have practically stopped. Moreover, even if someone now says that he or she was robbed in Moscow within the Sadovoye Koltso street, they will probably not even be believed.

All of this is happening against a backdrop of soaring violent crime in Europe. In Germany, Syrian and Afghan groups rob and rape almost openly. Sweden ranks second in the world in the number of rapes per thousand people.[405] The United States is third in the same ranking. The level of ‘black’ gang violence in the US has led to a sharp decline in the standard of living in San Francisco and a mass exodus of the ‘white’ population to Seattle.

Against this ‘backdrop’, the successes of Russia’s political leadership in reducing violent crime are more than noticeable.

Just as the level of security in Russia has increased tremendously over the past 25 years, so has the level of prosperity. The number of cars in Moscow has risen at least fourfold since 1998.[406] This can be easily verified by comparing the number of valid license plates.

In the nineties, the ideal of prosperity was the formula ‘car- apartment-summer house’. Now every Russian has some kind of apartment, some kind of car, some kind of summer house.[407] In 25 years, all more or less sane people have moved to this level of well-being, except, perhaps, only some very antisocial individuals.

If we can’t see how much better we have become internally, we can see it very well from abroad. Any Turkish salesman will tell you that if the best customer used to be a German, now the best customer is a Russian. Russian tourists visit Turkey as much as Germans,[408] but Russians spend four times as much. This objectively shows the ratio of wealth of Russians and Germans.

Therefore, from an objective point of view, the current government has dramatically improved the indicators of security and welfare, which is what the average citizen needs. It is fair to say that we have 80% of the advantages and 20% of the disadvantages.

If we explain the successes of the political leadership to more educated segments of the population, we can show geo-economic and geopolitical successes.

In 1998 Russia’s exports amounted to 100 billion dollars, last year they amounted to 600 billion dollars.[409]

In terms of geopolitical security, it is useful to note that the risk of nuclear war has also decreased significantly. If this risk was significant in the last millennium, it has become minimal with the availability of the Avangard and Kinzhal hypersonic missile systems. Now, even before the arrival of US nuclear missiles, Russia can use the Kinzhal to destroy any European elite before they have time to run for cover.

On January 30, 2023, former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson complained to the press that Russian President V.V. Putin had told him in a telephone conversation, ‘Boris, I don’t want to hurt you, but with a missile it will only take a minute.’ Just as quickly, we can now hit any military target in these regions. For example, no aircraft carrier or other ship carrying nuclear weapons can now fearlessly approach Russia within effective firing range. Not only will it not have time to get away, it will not be able to get close.

Separately noteworthy are:

1. Repayment of foreign loans, which led to economic and credit independence;

2. Food independence;

3. Incorporation of Crimea without firing a shot;

4. Current return of at least 4 regions from Ukraine to Russia;

5. Russia’s huge geopolitical successes in China, India, Turkey, Syria, Qatar, Venezuela, and most of Africa.

At the same time, there are shortcomings in the work of the political leadership. But they are no more than 20% of the results achieved, which is a very good parameter, much better than the results of the political leadership in Europe and the United States.

And the shortcomings should not be denied, they should be recognized. And they should be fought against objectively. But the struggle should be constructive, which means not to go through the streets in crowds with slogans, but to formulate concrete proposals and send them to the decision makers.

09.11.2023

Assessment of Russia’s Past Political Leaders

In the previous article How to Evaluate Russia’s Top Political Figures[410] the mistakes and achievements of the current political leadership of Russia were assessed on the basis of the following parameters.

I. Main parameters:

1. Improving the security of citizens;

2. Improving the welfare of citizens.

II. Secondary parameters:

1. Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports);

2. Geopolitical security;

3. Geopolitical achievements.

For the group of these parameters the amount of shortcomings in the work of the political leadership is defined in the amount of 20% of the achieved results, or the achievements amounted to 80%.

The rating ex-post is 20%–80%. Is this good or bad? How do these results compare with the results of previous leaders (leaders-presidents-tsars) in the last 200 years?

Yeltsin (1991–1998)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

In just a few years, against a backdrop of ‘gangster capitalism’ and law enforcement inaction, violent crime has increased by orders of magnitude. If in the ‘pre-Yeltsin’ era a murder with firearms was an exceptional event, in the wild 90s fatal shootings and contract killings became the norm. Especially large ethnic gangs, such as the Chechen and Ingush gangs, were formed. The two Chechen wars, created by the elite exclusively to steal money, increased the availability of weapons and skilled hitmen for hire.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The artificial collapse of the USSR, carried out primarily by Yeltsin, led to the breakdown of production ties and a sharp decline in the economy. There was a general crisis of default and massive non-payment of wages. A large part of the population fell into poverty. The collapse of the pyramid of short-term government bonds deprived even successful enterprises of working capital and led the country into a massive regular crisis. Almost the only achievement is the legalization of entrepreneurship, which led to a sharp increase in the number of small entrepreneurs.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

Russia’s GDP in PPP terms fell by 30%.[411]

• Geopolitical security

The dissolution of the military resulted in Russia being disregarded not only by its historical opponents but also by its previous collaborators. The intentional demolition of a critical component of the nuclear triad bears a striking resemblance to treason against the nation.

• Geopolitical achievements

The loss of 14 states, first de jure and then de facto by 1998, laid the groundwork for future wars in the Caucasus, Ukraine, the Baltics, and perhaps even Central Asia.

The rating ex-post is 95%–5%. This is one of Russia’s worst leaders, who has benefited the US immensely while doing tremendous damage to Russian interests.

Gorbachev (1985–1991)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

‘Prohibition’ in 1985 reduced domestic crime. ‘The decrease in the rate of serious violent crime during the anti-alcohol campaign was real, but short-lived: the number of crime victims began to increase as early as 1987–1988. The number of registered premeditated murders (with attempted murders) in 1989 exceeded the 1985 level in Russia.’[412] The mismanaged Afghan war created a well-organized and branched gang of former ‘internationalist soldiers’.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The adoption of the Law on Cooperatives in 1986 opened the way for private entrepreneurship, which began to emerge in rather ugly forms. However, ‘perestroika’, which was carried out in a fantastically harmful way for the economy, plunged a large number of citizens into poverty. The salaries of military and civil servants became absolutely miserable, which could not lead to anything good. The saying ‘We survived perestroika and we will survive this one’ is still alive.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

Russia’s GDP in PPP terms was relatively stable, but it shrank slightly relative to US GDP in PPP terms.[413] At the same time, even children realize that fair compensation for Eastern Europe would make Russians at least twice as rich.

• Geopolitical security

The dissolution of the military resulted in Russia being disregarded not only by its historical opponents but also by its previous collaborators. The intentional demolition of a critical component of the nuclear triad bears a striking resemblance to treason against the nation.

• Geopolitical achievements

The loss of all of Eastern Europe for free was a factor in the formation of a dismissive attitude toward Russia, laid the foundation for the entry of all of Eastern Europe into NATO, and future wars on this territory.

The rating ex-post is 90%–10%. This is one of Russia’s worst leaders, benefiting the US and Germany immensely while creating huge damage to Russia’s interests.

Brezhnev (1964–1982)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

Violent crime was on a steady decline. Murder with a firearm was an emergency. Domestic crime also decreased. The special services were omnipotent and controlled the entire life of the country down to the last detail, which also led to excesses in the sphere of ‘combating ideological sabotage’. The fear of being ‘thrown into camps’ for a political joke was total. To express an opinion contrary to the ideology of the CPSU was tantamount to suicide.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The brilliantly managed Arab-Israeli crisis led to a rise in oil prices and substantial foreign exchange earnings, which were used to buy foreign currency goods for widespread consumption. The population actually began to live better. Meat and vegetable consumption increased. The housing stock grew rapidly. A large number of citizens received free housing.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

Under Brezhnev, the country became a world leader in oil production. Russia’s GDP in PPP terms grew by more than 50%.[414] Even in relation to the US GDP in PPP terms, it grew slightly.[415] A huge number of businesses were created. Brezhnev’s granddaughter later rightly remarked: ‘You can’t even paint all the things my grandfather built.’ At the same time, the efficiency of production in both industry and agriculture fell quite rapidly. Russia bought grain from the United States and Canada, which is hard to imagine today.

• Geopolitical security

The policy of strengthening the army and the defense sector continued. The military technologies developed ‘under Brezhnev’ in the field of rocketry and space travel are revolutionary and in some cases still not mastered. The military power of the USSR was undeniable.

• Geopolitical achievements

Russia/USSR firmly controlled Eastern Europe, most of Asia and Central Asia, and had a very active presence in Africa. Cuba was de facto part of the USSR.

The rating ex-post is 30%–70%. This is one of the best leaders in Russia.

Khrushchev (1953–1964)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

At first, violent crime rose sharply because of the amnesty for criminals after Stalin’s death. But later it systematically decreased. The exposure of the ‘father of nations’ gave the opportunity to express their judgments more freely. Repressions against the population of Russia stopped. But the Cuban Missile Crisis almost led the world to a nuclear catastrophe and the population of the USSR to total annihilation.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The introduction of maize cultivation, albeit with obvious problems, increased the fodder base for livestock. The development of virgin lands increased grain production, both for bakery products and as a feed base for poultry. Consumption of meat and vegetables began to grow rapidly. The decision on mass construction of Khrushchev-era houses made it possible to rapidly increase the housing stock. A large number of Russians received free apartments.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

Under his leadership, the oil sector began to develop rapidly, including exports. In just 9 years, Russia’s GDP in PPP terms grew by almost 50%.[416] Even compared to the US PPP GDP, it grew by 10%.[417]

• Geopolitical security

The first Earth satellite was launched. Along with the first manned space flight and the testing of a 100-megaton hydrogen bomb at Novaya Zemlya, Russia/USSR became the most powerful military power.

• Geopolitical achievements

Relations with China began to deteriorate.

The rating ex-post is 30%–70%. This is one of the best leaders in Russia.

Stalin (1924–1953)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

During the Civil War, along with Lenin and Trotsky, he was responsible for the deaths of at least 10 million Russians. During the famine-genocide (Holodomor) and the suppression of peasant revolts — at least 5 million more Russians. During ‘dekulakization’, as he told Churchill, another 20 million Russians were destroyed. Political repression — several million Russians. Emigration and flight outside the USSR — several million more Russians. Failure to prevent a war with Germany on the territory of the USSR resulted in the loss of 26 to 40 million Russians during the Great Patriotic War, according to various estimates. After the war, at least 10 million more Russians died of wounds. During this time, in addition to wars, the country was constantly plagued by banditry and looting. The famine of 1947 led to a massive outbreak of gangs, often forcing people to join them. In cities like Odessa and Rostov-on-Don, gang leaders were more powerful than the police and military. Any criticism of Stalin’s policies resulted in imprisonment or execution. Mass repression of the Russian population was the norm.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

Poverty, hunger, and starvation were the norm. Even ‘ears of corn’ lost during the harvest were not allowed to be gathered for food. The catastrophic lack of housing was described in a number of works by Bulgakov and other writers of the time.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

As a result of the economic collapse after the Civil War, 30% of Russia’s national wealth was destroyed. During the Second World War, another 30% of the country’s wealth was lost. The total material loss due to the military mistakes of the ‘genius leader and teacher’ was 2 trillion and 569 million dollars. Military expenditures amounted to $192 billion in 1945 prices. 1,710 cities and towns, 70 thousand villages and hamlets, 32 thousand industrial enterprises were destroyed. Industrialization was only an opening of the Russian market to the failing American economy and machine building after the Great Depression, but that was primarily for the purpose of militarizing the economy. The share of oil exports under Stalin never exceeded 4% of export revenues; the sharp increase in oil production and exports in the USSR began only after Stalin’s death.

During the nearly 30 years of Stalin’s rule, even at the cost of slave labor and the loss of nearly half the population, Russia’s GDP at PPP grew by less than 30%.[418] In relation to the GDP of the United States in PPP terms, it did not change.[419]

• Geopolitical security

After the end of the Great Patriotic War, Russia/USSR came into direct confrontation with the Anglo-Saxon world. The attempted takeover of Iran led to a direct threat of nuclear bombing of Baku.

• Geopolitical achievements

The seizure of Eastern Europe, the control of China. The extraordinarily stupid refusal to invade Turkey, which ended with the deployment of US nuclear missiles there.

The rating ex-post is 95%–5%. This is the worst leader in Russia, who has brought great benefits to the US while causing great harm to Russia’s interests.

Lenin (1918–1924)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

During the Civil War, he was responsible, along with Stalin and Trotsky, for the deaths of 10 million Russians. All this time, in addition to the war, there was constant banditry and plunder in the country. Mass repression of the Russian population was a way of life. The intellectual elite of the country was deliberately destroyed.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

Poverty, hunger and starvation were the reality of life.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

During the ‘economic collapse’ after the Civil War, 30% of the national wealth of Russia/USSR was destroyed. In the course of his six years of leadership, he caused Russia’s GDP in PPP terms to fall by 50%.[420] In relation to US GDP in PPP terms, it also fell by half.[421]

• Geopolitical security

With his policy of ‘world revolution’ he made enemies of Russia all countries without exception.

• Geopolitical achievements

As a result of the infamous Peace of Brest-Litovsk, Russia lost Ukraine, the Baltic States, and Belarus. He gave away Finland for free, exposing St. Petersburg to a strategic threat by having its border so close. Turkey was given vast, previously conquered territories.

The assessment of Lenin’s performance is 100%–0%. This is Russia’s worst leader ever. He has benefited Germany immensely while doing great damage to Russia’s interests.

Nicholas II Romanov (1894–1917)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

During his reign the police worked properly, violent crime was moderate. He started the senseless World War I, in which 3 million Russians died. He did not take adequate measures against treason and terrorism. His abdication plunged the whole country into the abyss of de facto anarchy.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The welfare of Russians has increased significantly. The standard of living of Russians in 1913 has long been a point of reference in Russian and world economic history.

‘In 1912–1917 Russian workers (at least in large enterprises) earned no less than European workers, and prices in Russia for all basic products were much lower! In factories with more than 100 workers, free medical care was introduced as early as 1898, covering 70% of the total number of factory workers. From June 1903, businessmen were obliged to pay to an accident victim or his family an allowance and a pension equal to 50–66% of the victim’s maintenance.’[422]

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

‘Between 1894 and 1913, Russia’s young industry quadrupled its productivity… During World War I, production grew even faster. The Russian Empire entered the 20th century with the world’s largest and best oil production and refining industry, and by decree of the tsar as early as 1896, crude oil exports were restricted — in order to develop its own industry — and 94% of all oil was refined domestically. All products were known for their high quality and cheapness. As a result of inadequate suppression of terrorism, the oil industry began to stagnate in 1901, and over the next 16 years Russia’s share of world production declined dramatically, which is described in detail in the article “Comrade Stalin and Russia’s Economic Security”.’[423]

During the twenty-three years of Nicholas II’s reign, the cereal crops doubled. In 1913 Russia was the world leader in the production of rye, barley and oats, became the main exporter of agricultural products, accounting for 2/5 of all world agricultural exports. This has never been repeated in the future![424]

By 1905, construction of the Trans-Siberian Railroad, founded by Alexander III as Chinese Eastern Railway, had been completed. In 1916, the Circum-Baikal section of the Trans-Siberian was finished.

• Geopolitical security

Russia certainly dominated the Caucasus, Central Asia, and the Far East. In Europe, the de facto enemy was Britain, which, in alliance with France, was able to pit Russia against Germany in the First World War.

• Geopolitical achievements

The naval and army forces in the Far East were not adequately prepared, which resulted in the loss of Port Arthur and the Chinese Eastern Railway. The opportunity to capture Korea was missed, and an unnecessary war with Germany was initiated instead of conquering Istanbul.

The assessment of Nicholas II’s performance is 50% –50%. He did a lot of good in the economy and a lot of bad in foreign and domestic policy. He did much good for Britain and its king, his cousin, and much harm to Russia’s interests.

Alexander III Romanov (1881–1894)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

During his rule, the police worked properly, violent crime was moderate. He did not take adequate measures against treason and terrorism. He deliberately covered up an assassination attempt on him while the tsar’s train was traveling from Crimea to St. Petersburg near Kharkov, which eventually led to his death.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

During his reign, the welfare of Russians increased significantly.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

‘In only 10 years (1887–1897) industrial production in the country doubled. For 13 years — from 1887 to 1900 — the production of pig iron in Russia increased almost 5 times, steel — also almost 5 times, oil — 4  times, coal — 3.5 times, sugar — 2 times… The construction of railroads proceeded at an unprecedented pace. By the end of the 1890s, about 5 thousand kilometers of railroad were put into operation annually.’[425]

By 1901, Russia was producing and refining 11.2 million tons of oil, which was 53% of the world’s oil production. The great Rockefeller controlled only 40% of the world’s oil production and refining, which was the basis for Rockefeller’s financing of both Japan’s war with Russia and terrorist Russian and international organizations.

He initiated the construction of the Trans-Siberian Railroad, then known as the Chinese Eastern Railway, to deliver kerosene to China.

• Geopolitical security

He is known for the following statement: ‘Russia has two allies — the army and the navy.’

• Geopolitical achievements

He did not wage wars at all, for which he was nicknamed ‘Peacemaker’. He did not invade Korea in time, which could have been done practically bloodlessly.

The assessment of Alexander III’s performance is 25% –75%. He has done a lot of good things in the economy and domestic politics. This is one of the best leaders of Russia.

Aleхander II Romanov (1855–1881)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

The liberation of landless serfs resulted in a significant increase in the number of vagrants and brigands. He implemented a tax on sobriety, which incited ‘teetotal riots’ that were subsequently suppressed by the military. The failure to implement sufficient measures to address treason and terrorism ultimately resulted in the emperor’s demise.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

During the reign of Alexander II, Russia experienced periodic famines, the last of which had occurred during the time of Catherine II. These famines, such as the one that occurred in the Volga region in 1873, were particularly devastating, leading to widespread hunger and starvation.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

During Alexander II’s reign, the country faced a period of significant economic downturn. Starting in the early 1860s, Russia experienced an economic crisis, which some economic historians attribute to Alexander II’s rejection of industrial protectionism and shift to a liberal foreign trade policy. This crisis was also influenced by Russia’s defeat in the Crimean War. Consequently, within a few years after the implementation of a liberal customs tariff in 1857 (by 1862), cotton processing in Russia decreased by 3.5 times, and iron smelting decreased by 25%. In comparison to 1841, import duties in 1868 decreased by more than 10 times on average, and for certain types of imports, by 20 to 40 times.

Contrary to the goals of the 1861 agrarian reform (the abolition of serfdom), the country’s agricultural yields did not increase until the 1880s, despite rapid progress in other countries (the United States, Western Europe), and the situation in this most important branch of the Russian economy worsened as a whole.’[426]

Railroad construction began.

• Geopolitical security

The Crimean War was lost with heavy losses.

• Geopolitical achievements

Retreat from the Black Sea line, accompanied by the abandonment of such cities as Novorossiysk, Anapa, Gelendzhik. Alaska was sold. Khiva, Bukhara, Kokand were conquered.

The rating of Alexander II’s performance is 80%–20%. He is one of the worst leaders of Russia, bringing great economic and geopolitical benefits to Britain while causing great damage to Russia’s interests.

Nicholas I Romanov (1825–1855)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

During his rule, the police functioned properly, violent crime was moderate. He did not take adequate measures against treason and terrorism, which gave rise to Herzen and the Russian Populists.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

The wealth of the Russians increased significantly. The rapid development of industry led to a sharp increase in the urban population and the growth of cities. The urban population more than doubled during the reign of Nicholas I. At the same time, factory workers remained serfs for a long time.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

For the first time in the history of the Russian Empire, the country began to form technically advanced and competitive industry, in particular, textile and sugar industry, developed the production of metal products, clothing, wood, glass, porcelain, leather and other products, began to produce its own engineering tools, small tools and even steam locomotives. It was during the reign of Nicholas I in Russia that an industrial revolution similar to the one in Britain in the second half of the 18th century took place. As a result of the intensive introduction of machines (mechanical weaving looms, steam engines, etc.), labor productivity increased dramatically: from 1825 to 1863, the annual output of Russian industry per worker increased 3 times. From 1819 to 1859 the volume of cotton production in Russia increased almost 30 times; from 1830 to 1860 the volume of engineering products increased 33 times.

For the first time in the history of Russia, under Nicholas I, intensive construction of paved highways began: the Moscow-St. Petersburg, Moscow-Irkutsk, and Moscow-Warsaw highways were built. Of the 7,700 miles of roads built in Russia by 1893, 5,300 miles (about 70%) were constructed between 1825 and 1860.

The construction of railroads was also started and about 1000 kilometers of railroad bed were built, which gave an impetus to the development of Russia’s own mechanical engineering.[427]

• Geopolitical security

Nicholas I fought the Russo-Turkish wars with good results, but lost the Crimean War.

• Geopolitical achievements

Conquest of Sakhalin, Armenia and Chechnya.

Nicholas I’s performance rating is 35%–65%. He has done a lot of good things in the economy and domestic policy. He is one of the best leaders of Russia.

Alexander I Romanov (1801–1825)

Main parameters:

• Improving the security of citizens

The war with the French in 1812 brought Russia huge losses, looting and banditry. Moscow was burned. The Decembrist Uprising could lead the country into another internal massacre.

• Improving the welfare of citizens

As a result of the war, the entire western part of Russia was devastated.

Secondary parameters:

• Macroeconomic growth (GDP and/or exports)

Some historians believe that the war resulted in the destruction of up to 30% of the national wealth. Alexander I did not receive proper reparations from France, on the contrary, he insisted on leaving in France all the cultural treasures looted by Napoleon, of which the Louvre now consists.

In fact, there was no industry capable of competing with the West, where the Industrial Revolution was already coming to an end. Russia’s exports consisted only of raw materials; almost all types of industrial products needed by the country were purchased abroad.

• Geopolitical security

After defiantly violating the Peace of Tilsit, Alexander I recklessly started a war with Napoleon. Nevertheless, he conquered almost all of Europe.

• Geopolitical achievements

At the very beginning of his reign, he abandoned Napoleon’s plan to create a land route between Europe and India, which had been adopted by his father Paul I. This project, if realized, would have been of great geostrategic and geo-economic benefit to Russia.[428]

Despite winning the war in alliance with the whole of united Europe, he took only Poland, unnecessary for Russia. Rather casually he conquered Kazakhstan, Georgia and Azerbaijan.

Alexander I’s performance rating is 90%–10%. He is one of the worst leaders Russia has ever had, benefiting Britain economically and geopolitically while causing enormous geo-economic damage to Russian interests.

Thus, the ranking of Russia’s leaders over the last 200 years is as follows:

Alexander III 25%–75%

Khrushchev 30%–70%

Brezhnev 30%–70%

Nicholas I 35%–65%

Nicholas II 50%–50%

Alexander II 80%–20%

Alexander I 90%–10%

Gorbachev 90%–10%

Stalin 95%–5%

Yeltsin 95%–5%

Lenin 100%–0%

And so Putin, with his 20%-80% ratio, where 20% are mistakes and 80% are achievements, is the best Russian leader of the last 200 years, surpassing even Alexander III.

01.12.2023

What’s the Right Way to Watch The Boy's Word

A number of strong movies have their own ‘keys’ to understanding. For example, in the movie Kin-dza-dza one of the keys to understanding is A Concise Chatlan-Patsak Dictionary with the words ‘otselopp’ and ‘patsak.’[429]

The Boy's Word series has the same keys.

The first clue is the scene in the last (eighth) episode, when the main positive character Marat Suvorov kills the main villain Kolik. Doesn’t it remind you of anything?

The second key is the date of broadcasting of this very eighth part about Kazan Boys — December 21, 2023. Surprisingly, it coincided with the date of opening of the last section of the highway M-12 Moscow-Kazan by the President of Russia Vladimir Putin — December 21, 2023.[430]

Numerologically, this is a beautiful date, 21.12.2023. We have interesting things happening in our world on beautiful dates:

• the ramming of skyscrapers in New York took place on September 11 (9/11),[431] and Americans record this date as 09.11, i.e. as a police call,

• the ‘Olympic’ war with Georgia — 08.08.08

• the beginning of the special military operation — 24.02.22,

• the massive attack on the energy infrastructure of Ukraine —10.10.22.

While personal belief in numerology is not necessary, it is important to be aware of numerical sequences. Please prepare for dates such as February 2, 2024, and February 20, 2024.

The third key is a list of the organizations that funded the production of the series.

The film was produced by Toomuch Production in cooperation with NMG Studio with the support of the Internet Development Institute and commissioned by Start Online Cinema.[432]

Who are these organizations affiliated with?

1. The Institute for Internet Development (IID)

On October 14, 2019, Russian President V.V. Putin instructed the Russian government to identify a nonprofit organization to create on its basis ‘a coordinating center for organizing the production of content aimed at spiritual and moral education of youth and its distribution on the Internet’, and at suggestion of Federal Agency for Youth Affairs Rosmolodyozh, IDI became such an organization.

In 2021, the Institute announced a competition for the production of patriotic content, which took 7 billion rubles from the Reserve Fund of the Russian Federation. In August 2021, in addition to the 3 billion rubles already included in the federal budget for 2021, the government allocated another 7 billion rubles, which IID was to distribute to 200 projects to create ‘spiritual and moral’ content for young people. In 2023, the Institute received more than 20 billion rubles, including more than 17 billion for the creation of ‘state content’ dedicated to ‘civic identity’ and ‘spiritual and moral values’. Another 26 billion was planned for 2024 and 2025.[433]

2. Start Online Cinema

The company is de facto part of Megafon, usually associated with Alisher Usmanov, a member of Russian President V. V. Putin’s inner circle.

3. NMG Studio

It is part of the media holding National Media Group (NMG), whose Chairman of the Board of Directors is Alina M. Kabayeva.

For those who did not understand the previously described ‘keys’, I note that the main character has the surname Suvorov, like the famous Russian Field Marshal of the 18th century. He is not tall, but athletic and combative.

So its informational message in the film is clear.

What’s this movie about?

It’s about matching Word and Deed.

The characters live in an obviously poor society in the USSR. In some families there is no money to buy an iron, and in others a good woman’s fur hat is almost a luxury item.

At the same time, the film, obviously for political reasons, removed the description of the propaganda of that time, which was well known to the contemporaries of that time. Propaganda that said that life in the USSR was better than in ‘decaying capitalism’. Propaganda that embodied the ‘word’, the opposite of reality.

Maybe that’s why young people gathered in groups where they had to stand by their words. And the film shows the differences between different groups of ‘words’.

There is a ‘word of a thief’, exemplified by Kashchey’s actions and statements.

There is a ‘word of an Afghan veteran’, exemplified by Vova Suvorov’s behavior.

There is a ‘word of a boy’, shaped by the influence of the aforementioned ‘words’.

And there is also a ‘word of a cop’, exemplified by the actions and words of major Ildar Yunusovich, lieutenant Irina Sergeyevna, and the head of the Komsomol’s operative vigilante group, Denis Konevich.

The first part of the tragic plot of the film consists in the realization of the inconsistency of the ‘boy's word’ as previously idealized by the protagonist Marat Suvorov with concepts of honor and justice.

• The street ‘guys’, at the instigation of Vova Suvorov, ‘shamelessly’ stole a video recorder from a man whom they had previously visited to watch video recordings.

• The street ‘guys’, represented by Turbo, failed to protect Aigul, the girlfriend of Marat Suvorov.

• The street ‘guys’ then harassed Aigul and eventually drove her to suicide.

‘Why the hell are these guys mine? Because we live in the same street? What did they do? They harassed her for going out the window. And to you, they’re your people. They’re bastards. Bastards should be punished. There’s a law higher than the law of guys,’ says Marat Suvorov.

At first, Marat Suvorov rejected the ‘word of a thief’ and did not agree to ‘go for theft’ with Kashchey. After Aigul’s death, he rejected both the ‘word of an Afghan’ and the ‘word of a boy’ after quarreling and fighting with his brother Vova Suvorov.

Only one group offered Marat assistance in avenging Aigul: the ‘word of a cop’ group. They honored their commitment in the ‘outhouse’ of the police station.

After Marat surrendered his entire ‘street gang’ to the ‘cops’, he became ‘sewn to the cops’, whose ideology was internally alien to him.

The second part of the film’s tragic plot is the realization of the inconsistency of the accepted ‘word of a cop’ with Marat’s inner convictions.

The movie conveys an informational message: Marat’s search for a ‘word’ that aligns with his moral convictions.

This turned out to be a type of а novel And Quiet Flows the Don, but not about Cossacks, but rather about teenagers.

It would be logical to assume that in the next seasons of the series Marat will find a group of people suitable to his beliefs, and then create his own.

Let’s try to guess what its name will be ….

19.01.2024

Risks of Living in Europe for Rich Businessmen, Especially Russians

(Major) risks for Europeans

1. Physical survival risk

a. A sharp increase in the risk of a nuclear attack after:

i. Liz Truss’ SMS Done after the North Streams explosion, which is a classic casus belli;

ii. the possible start of deliveries of Taurus missiles or other highly dangerous weapons to Ukraine[434];

iii. the use of airfields and other logistics for the war in Ukraine;

iv. the possible entry of regular troops into Ukraine.

b. Weak defense of European capitals due to lack of hypersonic weapons and means to counter them.[435]

2. Economic decline risk

a. Deindustrialization. The energy-consuming part of the economy is being squeezed out of Europe, primarily from Germany, France and the Benelux countries, due to a sharp increase in energy prices;

b. The loss of France’s de facto colonies in Africa, resulting in an increase in the cost of uranium, the main raw material for the French energy industry;

c. The inability of the European economy to compete with the Chinese and Indian economies[436];

d. The risk of attacks on LNG-receiving terminals, of which there are only 22 in Europe[437];

e. Increased military spending, such as the Czech Republic paying $270 million for each F-35 fighter jet[438];

f. Increasing the already high tax burden.

3. A sharp increase in the presence of migrants (Syrians, Afghans, Ukrainians, Africans, ‘Pakis’ in London)

a. Loss of national identity and culture;

b. Increase in violent crime[439];

c. Establishment of de facto independent enclaves such as Turks in Vienna, Pakistanis in London, Africans in Marseille, etc;

d. Danger of provoked riots like the black riots in the USA.

4. Educational and cultural risks

a. A sharp decline in the level of education, even in leading universities;

b. Popularization of images of drug traffickers, including in the movies Gentlemen, the TV series Breaking Bad, etc;

c. A culture of support for pederasty and the LGBT community;

d. Mandatory use of images of black and LGBT people in cultural works.

(Additional) risks for Russian citizens in Europe

1. Economic risks

a. Freezing of accounts and assets, as in 1914 in Germany, including after US President Biden’s statement that ‘We’re going after your ill-gotten wealth,’ using the example of:

i. Vekselberg’s accounts;

ii. A1 accounts;

iii. Russians’ assets in Euroclear through various brokers;

iv. and even the accounts of Chichvarkin and Tinkoff;

b. Partial divestiture, as evidenced by the 1935 Haavara Agreement in Germany, including the divestiture of Fridman’s assets in London;

с. Lack of fair justice, as exemplified by the verdicts against Fridman and Aven in Washington;

d. The existence of a very high inheritance tax;

e. Closure of bank accounts of all Russian citizens;

f. Forcible recruitment into the anti-Russian opposition, including coercion to finance the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU) by the method of threatening to deprive them of property and livelihood.

2. Physical risks

a. Forced relocation to concentration camps, as Japanese-Americans experienced in 1941 (by the way, the Czech president has already proposed similar measures for Russians);

b. Suffering the similar fate to that of Berezovskiy, who unexpectedly committed suicide by hanging himself from a shower rod with a scarf in the bathroom;

c. Experiencing a similar fate to that of Litvinenko, who succumbed to thallium poisoning;

d. Targeted robberies of Russians in upscale neighborhoods[440];

e. Assault in the street by aggressive Ukrainians with actual police inaction.

3. Psychological Risks

a. Rigid, intolerant anti-Russian propaganda;

b. A de facto ban on employment; social death for Russians — figures of science, culture and sports who have chosen to live outside Russia and refuse to publicly betray their homeland in the interests of one or another political campaign;

c. Bullying of Russian students by teachers in schools;

d. Non-admission of Russian applicants to universities;

e. The title of ‘color’ for all non-Anglo-Saxons in Australia and, in fact, the same treatment of Russians throughout Europe.

11.02.2024

Curious Facts about the Great Patriotic War

1. Everyone knows that Adolf Hitler was appointed as the Reich Chancellor of Nazi Germany in 1933 by Paul von Hindenburg, who was the Reich President at the time. Von Hindenburg was only half of his surname. What did the rest of the name sound like?

The answer is: Paul Ludwig Hans Anton von Beneckendorff und von Hindenburg. He was a relative (albeit distant) of Alexander Khristoforovich Benckendorff, founder of the Third (Security) Department of His Majesty’s Chancellery.

2. What was the name of Goebbels’ mistress?

The answer is: Ludmila Babkova (also known by the creative pseudonym Lida Baarova)[441]

3. Where was Ernst Koestring, Nazi Germany’s military attaché to the USSR, born?

The answer is: In Russia, in the province of Tula, where his father August Koestring owned the estate of Serebryanyye Prudy, owned beforetime by Count Sheremetev. He graduated from Moscow Gymnasium and St. Michael’s Artillery School. On May 4, 1945, he was captured by American troops and released in 1947. He was considered a witness at the Nuremberg Trials, but the USSR objected to his use.[442]

4. What was the name of the commander of the Army Group Center von Bock?

The answer is: Fedor.[443]

5. Many people are familiar with the sabotage unit of the German Wehrmacht, Brandenburg-800, and its most famous operation was the bloodless occupation of Maykop. This operation was led by Lieutenant Adrian von Fölkersam. But where was he born?

The answer is as follows: Adrian Arminievich von Fölkersam, the real name of Lieutenant von Fölkersam, was born in St. Petersburg in 1914.[444] His family had served the Russian tsars for centuries. In fact, his great-grandfather served as governor of the Livonia province during the reign of Tsar Nicholas I. His grandfather was a rear admiral who lost his life on the battleship Oslyabya on the way to the Battle of Tsushima. And his father was a renowned art historian and curator at the Hermitage Museum.

6. Where was the ideological founder of German Nazism and anti-Semitism born?

The answer is as follows: In Revel (now Tallinn) in 1893. Citizen of the Russian Empire. In 1910 he graduated from the Peter I Real School in Revel and entered the Riga Polytechnic Institute. During World War I he moved to Moscow, where in 1918 he graduated from the Moscow Higher Technical School as a ‘certified engineer-architect’. In February 1918 he returned to Revel, where he tried to join the German Volunteer Corps, but was not accepted, being considered a ‘Russian’. He worked as a teacher at an all-boys’ secondary school in Revel.

In late 1918, he moved to Munich where he became a writer. There, in late 1919, he became close to Adolf Hitler and joined the NSDAP (National Socialist German Workers’ Party) in 1920 (membership number 625).

He was among those who greatly influenced the formation of Hitler’s views, particularly by introducing him to the Protocols of the Elders of Zion. A key component of his ideology was the identification of Jews and Bolsheviks as part of a Judeo-Bolshevik conspiracy. From 1921, he was editor-in-chief of the NSDAP’s central newspaper, the Völkischer Beobachter.[445]

His name was Alfred Rosenberg.

7. Everyone knows the film director Nikita Sergeyevich Mikhalkov, the author of the TV program Besogon (Exorcist). His father, Sergei Vladimirovich Mikhalkov, wrote the national anthem of the USSR. He had one brother, Mikhail Vladimirovich, who served in the SS division The Reich (Empire) in 1941–1944. Mikhail Vladimirovich was captured by Soviet troops while wearing the uniform of a captain of the SS Division Totenkopf (Dead Head),[446] which was part of the Second Panzer Corps of the Wehrmacht.[447]

21.02.2024

The Undermonetization of the Russian Economy — a Strategic Economic Crime?

‘The ratio of money supply M2 to GDP (coefficient of monetization of the economy) is 140% in the UK, 130% in France, 100% in Germany, 95% in the US, 220% in Japan and 250% in China.

Values below 50% generally signal difficulties in the circulation and settlement of money, as well as liquidity shortages.’[448]

‘The initial estimate of Russia’s GDP for 2023 was 171,041.0 billion rubles in current prices.’[449]

‘The monetary aggregate M2 as of February 1, 2024, was 97.7 trillion rubles.’[450]

Consequently, the ratio of M2 money supply to Russia’s GDP at the end of 2023 is approximately 56%.

In other words, according to global statistics, the Central Bank of Russia does not inject into the Russian economy the money supply amounting to 70 to 150 trillion rubles.

The absence of adequate monetization engenders an artificial scarcity of financial resources and, consequently, investment, thereby impeding economic growth.[451]

According to the quantitative theory of money, as elucidated in the standard undergraduate course on macroeconomics, the GDP of a nation is equivalent to the product of the money supply M2 and the velocity of money circulation. This theoretical framework suggests a direct proportionality between GDP and the money supply.

Accordingly, if, for example, the money supply in Russia at least doubles (additional monetization at least to the world level of 112%), Russia’s GDP will also double. At the same time, it is obvious that such monetization should not happen immediately, but gradually, within 4–7 years.

Therefore, the restriction of the money supply may be regarded as a deliberate economic strategy of criminal nature against the population of Russia, constituting an act of treason in the economic sector.

22.02.2024

QIWI Bank Depositors’ Money in the Hands of Tax Authorities

The press writes that the annual turnover of QIWI Bank was about 1.9 trillion rubles.[452]

As a person who is very familiar with the market of legal payments (acceptance of payments for mobile phones, housing and utilities, transfers to identified beneficiaries), I have reason to believe that the share of such payments in QIWI Bank’s turnover is probably no more than 0.4 trillion rubles per year. And this is an extremely optimistic estimate. It may be as little as 0.2 trillion rubles per year.

Then it turns out that about 1.5 trillion rubles a year was the turnover of:

1. ‘Numerous cases of QIWI Wallets opened by the bank using personal data of individuals without their knowledge and conducting transactions on them, which created significant risks for citizens.’[453] This tactic is commonly used for cashing out by the crushing method. Instructions to combat this method were first created in Russia at Platina Bank;

2. Gambling (casinos and bookmakers)[454];

3. Drug trafficking[455];

4. Transfers of stolen funds for the benefit of drug dealers[456];

5. And many other interesting things that we do not know about yet…

It was not known that the tax authorities had previously actively fought against ‘waggish’ actions of QIWI Bank in the field of taxation. There were no reports of tax inspections when the Central Bank imposed a fine of 11 million rubles on QIWI Bank and restricted its ability to transfer funds to foreign online stores,[457] or when the FSB raided QIWI,[458] or even when the Central Bank banned individuals from withdrawing funds from QIWI wallets to bank accounts or cash.[459] It is unclear whether such a struggle will become known now, as ‘information about QIWI Bank’s operations with signs of criminal activity has been sent by the Central Bank to law enforcement agencies.’[460]

However, if the tax authorities suddenly conduct a thorough audit of QIWI Bank[461] for at least the last three years, it seems likely that this could well result in tax claims against QIWI Bank amounting to trillions of rubles.

It is clear from QIWI Bank’s statements that it is unlikely to receive more than 50 billion rubles. However, there is still a possibility of filing claims against the owners for subsidiary liability.

And in addition to wealthy individuals from whom there is definitely ‘something to take’, one such owner for more than five years was the Central Bank of Russia through its Otkritie Bank (from August 29, 2017 to December 21, 2022).[462] A possible lawsuit by the Federal Tax Service of Russia against the Central Bank for trillions of rubles for aiding and abetting tax evasion could be the most significant event of our time, potentially dramatically affecting relations between the government, the Security Council law enforcement agencies and the Central Bank.

Therefore, the situation regarding the receipt of funds by depositors from QIWI Bank is contingent upon the actions of the tax authorities, who, in turn, are subject to the directives of the government and law enforcement agencies.

Once instructed to do so, the tax authorities will go ahead and submit claims amounting to trillions of rubles, resulting in depositors receiving nothing.

Once instructed to get in through another angle, the tax authorities ‘will not find’ large-scale tax evasion again, and then depositors will be able to receive money, in case of their proper registration in QIWI Bank. Of course, taking into account the previously mentioned ‘numerous cases of opening QIWI wallets by the bank using personal data of individuals without their knowledge and conducting transactions on them, which created significant risks for citizens.’

But then money will be lost to the Russian budget, and consequently to the Ministry of Finance, the government and the special military operation. Well, and the citizens of Russia. Also.

26.02.2024

‘Israel Relocation’ Version

The Facts

1. Kissinger: ‘Israel must move’. That’s 9 million people.

In 1967, Arnold Toynbee, the famous British scholar and former director of studies at the Royal Institute of International Affairs, said that Israel would last 60–70 years. In the fall of 2012, Henry Kissinger made a sensational statement in the New York Post (H. Kissinger: ‘In 10 years, Israel will be gone’. Politikus — Politikus.ru), (‘Kissinger on Israel’s coming demise: Senile, prophetic or merely pragmatic?’ — World Tribune | World Tribune) that Israel would probably cease to exist as a state in 10 years. And Kissinger, unlike Toynbee, is not a theorist, but a real creator of modern history. The US Secretary of State was considered a theorist and a promoter of the policy of détente between America and the USSR and China. To this day, the Nobel Peace Prize winner is said to be part of the secret world government. In any case, it was he who came to Moscow to negotiate with Putin.[463]

These statements have a curious explanation.

The American policy of provoking conflicts in the Middle East has a purpose. Thus, American scholars (Charles Kupchan, Adam Mount The Autonomy Rule / Russia in Global Politics. — Foreign Policy Research Foundation) write that in the midst of the global financial and economic crisis, embroiled in the ‘war on terrorism’ and the ‘promotion of democracy,’ the US political elite is intensively searching for alternative paths to national prosperity and world order. A world order in which America will once again become the dominant force in international politics. To achieve this goal, the United States needs, first, a new model of global governance and, second, a ‘breather’.

This means that the US is withdrawing from the Middle East, but does not want another political player (probably China or Iran) to gain a foothold in the territory. Therefore, the territory in question must be in a state where there is no possibility of controlling it. This is a state of constant bloody conflict. Moreover, the conflicts should be initiated on the basis of such a reason that does not allow the parties to the conflict to reduce the tension. An intractable conflict between Sunnis and Shiites can serve as such a reason. There are conflicts and disagreements of lesser magnitude, but no less significant:

— Qatar’s desire to gain control over Syria to build a gas pipeline to Baniyas on the Mediterranean Sea. Qatar is also in conflict with Iran over the division of the North (South Pars) oil and gas field, which has estimated reserves of 28 trillion m³ of gas and 7 billion tons of oil (45 billion barrels)[464];

— Turkey’s desire to extend its influence over as much territory as possible and to politically realize its economic power;

— Saudi Arabia is spreading its influence to counterbalance Iran. In addition, the Sunni areas of Iraq could go to the Saudis and then they would have access to Syria;

— Egypt is now buried in internal problems, but has an interest in weakening the Muslim Brotherhood movement;

— The Kurds are an irritant to all the forces in the Middle East, and they stand apart in the political calculus, but they also complicate the situation considerably;

— ISIL (the Islamic State of Iraq and the Levant), initially supported by individuals from Kuwait and Saudi Arabia, has now reached a new level and is becoming a regional actor in conflict with other actors as it pursues its goal of establishing an Islamic state on the lands of other states.

On the outside looking in is Israel. At first glance, everything is normal because Muslims are slaughtering each other and Jews are profiting from it. But the only reason why the existing conflicts can subside is directly related to Israel. Only the Israelis, or rather the State of Israel itself, is an even more powerful irritant than the ones mentioned above. Thus, the existence of Israel runs counter to the US plans to keep the Middle East in a state of long-term conflict.

There is another aspect to Israel’s existence. This country’s existence plays into the hands of Muslim fundamentalists because it allows them to unite Muslims against a common enemy. And after the unification, there will be a war against Israel. But this is not the conflict the US needs, because the Arab world will be united, i.e. organized. In this case, it will be anti-Western against the background of controlling the main oil and gas resources of the world. This is very dangerous for the US because the commonality of interests of China and the united Muslim world in the Middle East is clearly seen.

Therefore, Israel is not necessary for the USA because it breaks all efforts to maintain confrontation between the countries of the Middle East.[465]

2. There are less than 100,000 Jews living in Ukraine, less than 0.5% of the population

According to Wikipedia, there were 103,591 Jews living in Ukraine in the 2001 census.[466]

Other sources put the number at 40,000 in 2023.[467]

At the beginning of 2023, there are about 300 Jewish organizations and 290 Jewish religious communities registered in Ukraine. There are also 100 charitable foundations. Some of them are Ukrainian, while others, such as Sokhnut and Joint, represent Israeli and international organizations.[468]

3. The leadership of Ukraine is dominated by Jews

The number of Jewish deputies in the Verkhovna Rada is 203, i.e. almost half. This figure was mentioned by deputy V. Semenyuk in the courtroom during the hearing of the case on the closure of the newspaper Silski Visti in 2004.[469]

The following list of Jews in the Ukrainian leadership is given in the Cyclopedia:[470]

1. Volodymyr Oleksandrovych Zelenskiy, President of Ukraine

2. Yefim Leonidovich Zvyagilskiy, Prime Minister of Ukraine

3. Yulia Vladimirovna Tymoshenko, Prime Minister of Ukraine

4. Volodymyr Borysovych Groysman, Prime Minister of Ukraine

5. Yuliy Yakovlevich Ioffe, Vice Prime Minister of Ukraine

6. Yevhen Alfredovych Chervonenko, Minister of Transport and Communications

7. Dmytro Vladimirovich Tabachnyk, Minister of Education and Science

8. Eduard Anatolyevich Stavytskiy, Minister of Energy and the Coal Industry

9. Dmytro Oleksandrovych Dubilet, Minister of the Cabinet of Ministers

10. Vadym Markovych Gutsayt, Minister of Youth and Sports

11. Aivaras Abromavicius, Minister of Economic Development and Trade

12. Oleksiy Yuryevich Reznikov, Minister of Defense

13. Igor Valeriyovych Kolomoiskiy, Governor of Dnepropetrovsk Oblast

14. Volodymyr Leonidovich Nemirovskiy, Chairman of the Odessa Regional Administration

15. Mark Abramovich Berfman, Chairman of the Sumy Regional Council

16. Igor Lvovich Rainin, Chairman of the Kharkov Regional Administration

17. Mikhail Markovich Dobkin, mayor of Kharkov

18. Gennady Adolfovich Kernes, mayor of Kharkov

19. Leonid Mikhailovich Chernovetskiy, mayor of Kiev

20. Vitaliy Vladimirovich Klitschko, mayor of Kiev

21. Eduard Iosifovich Gurvits, mayor of Odessa

22. Dmitriy Vladimirovich Dvorkis, mayor of Vinnitsa

23. Maria Yegorovna Gaidar, Deputy Chairman of the Odessa Regional Administration

24. Yuriy Aleksandrovich Gaysinskiy, Deputy Prosecutor General of Ukraine

25. Alexander Iosifovich Paskhaver, Advisor to the President

26. Evgeniy Fedorovich Saburov, Deputy Prime Minister of the Government of Crimea

27. Viktor Mikhailovich Pinchuk, deputy, businessman

28. Gennadiy Olegovich Korban, head of the UKROP party

29. Gennadiy Borisovich Bogolyubov, businessman

30. Eduard Vladimirovich Shifrin, businessman

31. Evgeniy Yakovlevich Sigal, businessman

32. Boris Leonidovich Fuksman, businessman

33. Gennadiy Ilyich Akselrod, businessman

34. Mikhail Yuryevich Kiperman, businessman

35. Yuriy Mikhailovich Kiperman, businessman

36. Vadim Zinovievich Rabinovich, deputy, businessman

37. Alexander Borisovich Feldman, deputy, businessman

38. Gennadiy Vladislavovich Butkevich, businessman

39. Sergey Vladimirovich Maksimov, businessman

40. Boris Rafailovich Kaufman, businessman

41. Nisan Lazarevich Moiseyev, businessman

42. Grigoriy Mikhailovich Surkis, deputy

43. Igor Mikhailovich Surkis, businessman

44. Alexander Vladimirovich Nalekreshvili, businessman

45. Svetlana Samuilovna Fabrikant, deputy

46. Borislav Efimovich Bereza, deputy

47. Yakov Yakovlevich Bezbakh, deputy

48. Yan Petrovich Tabachnik, deputy

49. Vadim Mikhailovich Stolar, deputy

50. Maksim Arkadyevich Buzhanskiy, deputy

51. Borislav Solomonovich Rozenblat, deputy

52. Anatoliy Moiseyevich Girshfeld, deputy

53. Mikhail Yuryevich Brodskiy, deputy

54. Efim Zisyevich Fiks, deputy

55. Dmitriy Markovich Dobkin, deputy

56. Alexander Olegovich Kunitskiy, deputy

57. Alexander Semenovich Presman, deputy

58. Alexander Anatolyevich Dubinskiy, deputy

59. Evgeniy Borisovich Geller, deputy

60. Grigoriy Aronovich Shverk, deputy

61. Mikhail Borisovich Radutskiy, deputy and businessman

62. Andrey Alexeyevich Stavnitser, businessman, co-owner and CEO of TIS

63. Alexander Gennadievich Granovskiy, businessman

64. Alexander Mikhailovich Granovskiy, businessman

65. Andrey Grigoryevich Adamovskiy, businessman

66. Grigoriy Davidovich Korogodskiy, businessman

67. Joseph Gennadievich Pintus, owner of RBC-Ukraine

68. Vitaliy Eduardovich Portnikov, media figure

69. Dmitry Ilyich Gordon, media figure (declared a terrorist in the Russian Federation, etc.)

70. Matvey Yuryevich Ganapolskiy, media figure

71. Alexander Efimovich Rodnyanskiy, media figure

72. Evgeniy Olegovich Komarovskiy, TV presenter, was considered for the post of Minister of Health

73. Yosif Samoilovich Zissels, public figure

74. Ilya Mikhailovich Levitas, public figure

75. Leonid Semenovich Shkolnik, public figure

76. Boris Mikhailovich Zabarko, public figure

77. Grigoriy Adolfovich Ioffe, First Deputy Chairman of the State Council of the Republic of Crimea

78. Marko Mikhailovich Gorodetskiy, chief infectious disease specialist of the Ministry of Defense of Ukraine

79. Igor Vyacheslavovich Sorkin, Head of the National Bank of Ukraine

80. Boris Davidovich Deych, Chairman of the Supreme Council of Crimea

81. Vladimir Yuryevich Ormeli, Advisor to the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of the Autonomous Republic of Crimea

82. Lionel Stoleru, Advisor to the President of Ukraine

83. Sergey Nakhmanovich Shefir, First Assistant to the President of Ukraine

84. Nikolay Aleksandrovich Shteinberg, Deputy Minister of Energy of Ukraine

85. Boris Yevgenievich Lozhkin, Head of the Presidential Administration of Ukraine

86. Yulia Vladimirovna Mendel, Press Secretary of the President of Ukraine

87. Artem Vladimirovich Abramovich, soldier, Hero of Ukraine (posthumously)

88. Roman Vladimirovich Mendel, soldier, Hero of Ukraine (posthumously)

89. Savik Shuster, media figure

90. Vadim Mikhailovich Stolar, MP and businessman

91. Andriy Ivanovich Palchevskiy, First Deputy Minister of Ukraine for Family, Youth and Sports

92. Andriy Borisovich Yermak, Head of the Office of the President of Ukraine

93. Mykhailo Borisovich Reznik, Ambassador to the United States and China

94. Amirov Oleksandr, entrepreneur

95. Berlin Mykhailo, Chairman of the Supervisory Board, Institute of Road Safety of Ukraine

96. Vasilevskaya-Smaglyuk Olga, People’s Deputy

97. Vugelman Pavel, Deputy Mayor of Odessa

98. Girshfeld Anatoly, President, Ukrainian Machine-Building Industrial Group

99. Goland Ilya, Master of Sports, founder of the company Object Service

100. Goldenstein Boris, founder and CEO of Zezman Holding

101. Yeliseyev Oleg, CEO of the telecommunications company TENET, member of the board of the Telecommunications Chamber of Ukraine, head of the supervisory board of the Sailing Federation

102. Yermolayev Vadim, businessman and investor

103. Zaika Andrey, President, Keren Kayemet leYisrael, Ukraine

104. Zarazovskiy Alexander, businessman

105. Zlotnik Alexander, rector of the Kiev Municipal Music Institute

106. Karminskiy Anatoly, Honored Builder of Ukraine

107. Kinzburskaya Victoria, people’s deputy

108. Komskiy Leonid, gallery owner, founder of the Ducat Auction House

109. Kostelman Vladimir, majority shareholder of the Fozzy Group corporation

110. Lemberg Evgeny, Chairman of the Board of the Arikol Group of Companies

111. Loifenfeld Alexander, businessman and philanthropist

112. Lutskiy Alexander, businessman

113. Melamud Alexander, businessman and philanthropist

114. Morokhovskiy Vadim, Chairman of the Supervisory Board of Bank Vostok

115. Morokhovskiy Maksim, CEO of City Rent Capital, co-founder of the Odessa Institute of Development NGO

116. Nisilevich Svetlana, member of the Union of Theatrical Figures, President of the Guild of Entrepreneurs of Odessa

117. Pertsovskiy Alexander, member of the board of JSC Ukrzaliznytsia

118. Yuriy Pecherskiy, Representative of the Ukrainian Chamber of Commerce and Industry in Switzerland and Liechtenstein

119. Pinchuk Volodymyr, Honored Builder of Ukraine, Laureate of the State Prize of Ukraine

120. Pavlo Pisnoi, businessman

121. Remenik Vilen, founder, VIK-A company

122. Sandler Dmytro, businessman

123. Sokolovskiy Alexander, founder, Textil-Kontakt group of companies

124. Grigoriy Trypulskiy, lawyer, candidate of law, member of the executive committee of the Odessa City Council

125. Fedorik Sergey, Founder and Partner of KEY Group

126. Chepurnyak Yevgeniy, People’s Artist of Ukraine

127. Chernyak Yevgeniy, businessman

128. Tatyana Shats, art historian, general director of the cultural and educational project ORMAN

129. Grigoriy Shverk, People’s Deputy of the VIII Convocation

130. Vladimir Shpilfogel, President of the East-West Express Company

131. Shpirt Yuriy, owner, ARBER company

4. Not a single Jew at the front

‘How many Jews are fighting in Ukraine against the Russian army, the Wagner group and the people’s militia?’ Attention — the answer is: none. The second quickie is why this is the case. And here we have a whole range of answers. The first — and the most important: there is an unspoken agreement between Israel and the Ukrainian government on the ‘Jewish draft taboo’. They say: ‘If you want to fight, you can do it with your own forces and resources. Don’t touch our people.’

Reason two: Tens of thousands of Jews living in Ukraine long ago became Israeli citizens. Therefore, they are not subject to conscription — as citizens of another state. Israel has taken care of its compatriots here as well. Now, of course, of great importance is the fact that there are many Jews in the government structures of Ukraine and in all kinds of government positions in the ‘independent’ country. And if you have such ‘protection’ in your country, what kind of fool would go to the front to die?

The fact that there are practically no Nazis among Ukrainian Jews also plays a role. Why is that? Because they themselves suffered terribly from them in their time. Polish Nazis handed them over to the Germans. German Nazis killed them in concentration camps and burned them in gas chambers. Ukrainian Nazis killed them in Babi Yar, Nazis in the Baltics during the war threw them out of their own houses and apartments into the streets, occupied their homes… The list is long. That is why, as Ukrainian Jews themselves jokingly say, ‘there are only two Jewish-Nazis in the “independent country” — Zelenskiy and Arestovich. But for them, Nazism is not a belief, but a way to make money.’ As they say, nothing personal — just business. And the fact that it is a business on blood… does not matter… It is a working moment, the cost of production.[471]

At the same time, there are Israeli citizens at the front who have come specifically to take part in the special military operation. They may be representatives of the Israeli military intelligence, who collect data on the military potential of Ukraine and Russia directly on the battlefield. According to the Israeli publication Mako, about 1,000 Israeli citizens are serving in the AFU.[472]

5. Zelenskiy has implemented a streamlined process for granting Ukrainian citizenship to foreign mercenaries.

Kiev has streamlined the process for foreign mercenaries who want to join the Ukrainian Armed Forces (AFU) with a new, accelerated procedure for acquiring Ukrainian citizenship. This information was provided by the head of the State Migration Service of Ukraine, Natalia Naumenko, on September 26, 2023.

‘For these people (foreign mercenaries) we have made their stay in Ukraine as easy as possible. That is, we have extended the period of stay on the territory of our country if it has already expired. Secondly, we have freed them from the need to obtain temporary residence documents,’ the Ukrainian news and analysis website Censor.net quoted her as saying.

According to Naumenko, the Ukrainian authorities have conditionally equated a military ticket with a temporary residence permit. If a foreigner will continue to serve in the AFU, or if he or she has a state award or representation of the Ministry of Defense, Ukrainian citizenship can be obtained in a simplified procedure.[473]

Version

1. Jew Zelenskiy provoked Putin to war with Ukraine.

2. Jews in the political leadership of Ukraine select the most aggressive Slavic men of conscription age (Russians, Ukrainians), especially anti-Semitic Banderites, and send them ‘to the slaughter’ for the ‘pseudo-war’ with Russia.

3. ‘According to the official data of the State Migration Service of Ukraine, as of May 2023, the population of the country was only 23 million people, of which men aged 18–60 years numbered about 7 million.’[474] Due to the hardships of the war, young people and highly qualified middle-aged citizens are leaving Ukraine. By 2030, the population of Ukraine will be reduced to 10–15 million people, mostly elderly and of retirement age.

4. When the aggressive Slavs (about 2 million), especially the anti-Semitic Banderites, are gone, Israeli citizens — men of conscription age (1 million) — will come to ‘protect’ the remaining part of Ukraine, first obtaining a residence permit along with a military ticket, and then citizenship through a simplified procedure. There will be no one to oppose the ‘soft aggression’ because there will be no aggressive Slavic anti-Semites left on the territory of the state of Ukraine.

5. Families will eventually move to the Jewish ‘protectors’ — another 8 million people.

6. Thus, by 2030 there will be 10–15 million Slavs in Ukraine, most of them of retirement age. And there will be only 2–3 million aggressive anti-Semitic men of conscription age, crippled and disabled, who will not be able to resist 1 million healthy Jews of middle age, armed with standard light and heavy weapons due to their service in the Ukrainian army, and having the motive to protect their Jewish families already on the territory of Ukraine.

7. By 2040, another 5 million of these 10–15 million Slavs will have died of old age and war injuries.

8. Thus, by 2040, the Jews, who dominate the power structures, will transfer the population of Israel, 9 million people, to Ukraine and will dominate the army and the power structures. The remaining 10 million Slavs will work in agriculture and manufacturing.

28.02.2024

P.S.

The Rada adopted bill No. 12023, about which there is very little information, but it makes serious changes in the legislation on service in the AFU.

‘According to the adopted law, foreign citizens and stateless persons will be able to serve voluntarily (under a contract) in the Armed Forces of Ukraine (AFU), the State Special Transport Service, and the National Guard, not only as enlisted men and warrant officers, but also as COMMISSIONED OFFICERS.

Now it is NOT NECESSARY for foreigners and stateless persons to obtain Ukrainian citizenship in order to obtain officer military ranks in the AFU, the State Special Transport Service and the National Guard.’[475]

11.10.2024

The Terrorist Attack in the Concert Hall Named after Muslim Magomayev. More Questions than Answers

Who benefits geopolitically

This is a provocation of the Anglo-Saxon West against Russia for a large-scale attack on Ukraine, during which the collective West will detonate an atomic bomb on the territory of Kiev, blame Russia for it, and finally take away 2 trillion dollars of Russian money from the officials, oligarchs, and other entities, which will then be used to finance another war in Ukraine.

Traces of professionals in the terrorist attack

1. It was carried out on the day after the announcement of the election results, when all law enforcers are off duty and resting.

2. The attack was carried out after the MICEX market was closed, so it was not possible to organize significant fluctuations on the ruble-dollar market.

3. The attack was planned not at a football match, where a crowd of aggressive fans would tear the terrorists to pieces in less than a minute, but at a concert for soft aesthetes, who can frighten you only with their hairstyles and tattoos.

4. The terrorists had brought very good AK-12 assault rifles from the special military operation zone.

5. The organizer of the terrorist attack knew that the mayor of Moscow Sobyanin was covering the city with cameras, while governor of Moscow oblast Vorobyov did not do it in the region.

6. Some of the terrorists were very professional in firing single shots, controlling sectors, doing everything silently (or through a headset).

Big questions about the terrorist attack

Muslims

1. What kind of ISIS can it be if there was no shouting of Allahu Akbar in public?

2. What Muslim would even go for a terrorist attack during the holy month of Ramadan, and on the holy day of Friday, and moreover, during the hours of the special Maghrib prayer that begins ‘iftar’?

3. Why did Muslims attack the concert hall named after Muslim (!) Magomayev?

The conclusion is that these are very ‘strange’ Muslims. It seems to be a false trail.

Executors

1. Why did they speak Tajik in public? Did they not realize that they were drastically reducing the number of suspects?

2. Why would a terrorist set fire to a concert hall? Especially when he knew that it was equipped with a powerful fire extinguishing system? And that everyone would have scattered by the time the fire broke out?

3. Why didn’t they use explosives?

4. Why were there so few grenades, which are cheap to buy and would have a much greater effect in a crowd?

5. Why was the same ‘burned’ vehicle used for another 300 kilometers?

6. Why was the vehicle not stopped once during the entire 300 kilometer trip?

7. Why did they keep their Tajik passports in the car?

8. What type of ‘free checkpoint’ could exist at the Ukrainian border, where there are more law enforcement personnel than trees in the forest. There is only guaranteed liquidation.

9. The people testifying in the video do not look like people who can even think, let alone move competently in a battle, hold sectors, etc.

Conclusion: these are very strange terrorists, either deliberately ‘disposable’ or looking like a set-up for a false trail.

Location of the event

1. Why were there not a hundred or more armed guards, as is customary at such events?

2. Why didn’t members of the police department in an adjacent building arrive during the entire 13–18 minutes the terrorists were there?

3. Why did the armed rapid response team of the private security company Crocus not arrive?

4. Why did the Russian National Guard not arrive until 50 minutes later?

5. The main problem is not that the police and security services did not arrive, the problem is that the terrorists in the video weren’t in a hurry to get anywhere. They knew for sure that no one would arrive in that time.

6. Why did the automatic fire extinguishing system in the concert hall go off abnormally? Why was the fire not extinguished automatically? It’s a very testable system! ‘If it had worked as usual in Europe, in two minutes 150–170 liters of water per square meter of the room would have been thrown from special pipes in the ceiling. Such a stream is capable of dampening or extinguishing any fire.’

25.03.2024

COVID Supermortality for 2020–2022 in Russia Amounted to Exactly 1 Million People

Who benefits geopolitically

It’s an amazing thing — statistics! According to publicly available data, 1,798,307 deaths occurred in Russia during the pre-COVID year 2019.[476]

In 2020, the pandemic officially began in Russia and 2,124,000 people died during the year.[477] That is, the excess number of deaths caused by the virus was 325,693.

In 2021, the ongoing effects of the pandemic continued in Russia, resulting in 2,445,000 deaths.[478] This translates to an of 646,693 individuals. The total excess mortality for the 2020–2021 period stands at 972,386.

In 2022, the end of the COVD epidemic coincided with the start of the special military operation (SMO) in Ukraine. Despite combat losses at the front, Russia experienced a remarkably low mortality rate of 1,898,644 deaths[479] in 2022. This indicates a super-mortality ratio of 100,337 people compared to the pre-pandemic year of 2019.When adjusting for the estimated 60,000 Russian combat losses in the SMO, as reported by Mossad, the actual super-mortality due to the virus is reduced to 40,337.

That is, the cumulative supermortality resulting from the effects of the novel strain of coronaviruses from 2020 to 2022 was 1,012,723 people.

Note the round figure. Not 900,000 or 1,100,000. Practically exactly one million! Is this by chance? Mathematicians who specialize in probability theory will say no.

It can’t happen by chance. Either ‘the clock ran out’, or ‘someone got bored’, or probability theory is wrong. You can choose one of these three solutions. Or you can come up with one of your own.

05.04.2024

Anti-Oppenheimer

The official history of science assumes that the American scientific community was the main developer of nuclear weapons.

But the evidence, even from American-oriented sources of information, shows the primacy of German science and a very delayed reaction of the American scientific community, rather driven by the American establishment and American intelligence agencies.

The following is from a completely open source, Wikipedia, which is often accused of being more than just an active collaborator with the American propaganda machine.

During the analysis of these quotations, the author’s assumptions will be given to try to explain such actions.

German nuclear program[480]

‘In 1939–1941, Nazi Germany had the right conditions for the development of atomic weapons: it had the necessary production capacity in chemistry, electronics, engineering, and non-ferrous metallurgy, as well as sufficient financial resources and general purpose materials. Its scientific potential was also very high, and the necessary knowledge of nuclear physics was available.

‘In December 1938, German physicists Otto Hahn and Fritz Strassmann performed the world’s first artificial splitting of the uranium atomic nucleus.

‘On April 24, 1939, the highest military authorities of Germany received a letter signed by Professor Paul Harteck of the University of Hamburg and his associate Dr. W. Groth, which pointed out the fundamental possibility of creating a new type of highly effective explosive. It stated that the first country to master the achievements of nuclear physics in practice would gain absolute superiority over others.

‘In 1939, Professor A. Esau’s working group on nuclear energy under the Reich Ministry of Education initiated a law banning the export of uranium from Germany. As a result, a large amount of uranium ore was urgently purchased from the Belgian firm Union Miniere in the Belgian Congo.’

Manhattan Project[481]

‘In August 1939, (American) physicists Leo Szilard and Eugene Wigner drafted the so-called Einstein Letter to Roosevelt, warning of Nazi Germany’s possible development of an extremely powerful new type of bomb.’

German Nuclear Program

‘On September 26, 1939, the Army Armaments Department (of Nazi Germany) convened a meeting of nuclear physicists to discuss the question of how to create atomic weapons, to which Paul Harteck, Hans Geiger, Walther Bothe, Kurt Diebner, Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker, and Werner Heisenberg were invited. It was decided to classify all work directly or indirectly related to the uranium problem and the implementation of the program called the Uranium Project (German: Uranprojekt). The participants of the meeting considered it possible to create nuclear weapons in 9–12 months.

‘The IG Farbenindustrie concern (owned by the Rockefellers) began to produce uranium hexafluoride suitable for uranium-235 and to build a semi-industrial isotope separation plant. It consisted of two concentric tubes, one (the inner) heated and the other (the outer) cooled. Between them, gaseous uranium hexafluoride was to be fed, with the lighter isotopes (uranium-235) rising faster and the heavier isotopes (uranium-238) rising slower, allowing them to be separated from each other (the Clusius-Dickel separation method). At the same time, Werner Heisenberg began theoretical work on the design of a nuclear reactor. In his report The Possibility of Technically Obtaining Energy from Uranium Fission, completed in December 1939, Heisenberg came to the following conclusion: “In general, it can be assumed that a mixture of uranium and heavy water in a sphere with a radius of about 60 cm surrounded by water (about 1000 kg of heavy water and 1200 kg of uranium) will lead to the spontaneous release of energy.” At the same time, Heisenberg calculated the parameters of another reactor in which uranium and heavy water were not mixed but arranged in layers. In his opinion, “the fission process would be maintained for a long time” if the installation consisted of layers of uranium 4 cm thick and about 1 m² in area, interspersed with layers of heavy water about 5 cm thick. In addition, after repeating the uranium and heavy water layers three times, a layer of pure carbon (10–20 cm) is needed, and the entire reactor must also be surrounded by a layer of pure carbon on the outside. On the basis of these calculations, the Auerge company was commissioned to produce small quantities of uranium, and the Norwegian company Norsk Hydro was to supply the heavy water. In the courtyard of the Physikalisches Institut in Berlin, the construction of the reactor assembly began to confirm Heisenberg’s calculations.’

Manhattan Project

‘In early 1940, Otto Frisch and Rudolf Peierls at the University of Birmingham (UK) made an estimate of the critical mass of uranium-235. The result was published in the so-called Frisch-Peierls Memorandum, which essentially initiated large-scale research into the possibility of making nuclear weapons.’

German Nuclear Program

‘In late 1940, Heisenberg conducted an experiment to create a reactor assembly based on his calculations, but the chain reaction could not be caused, and Heisenberg and his associates realized that the theoretical calculations underlying the experiment were incorrect.

‘The first failure of the German atomic project was that the installation for isotope separation by the Clusius-Dickel method, mounted in Leverkusen, did not work, and in early 1941 scientists were forced to recognize that the separation of uranium isotopes by this method was impossible. As a result, German scientists spent about a year on fruitless experiments.’

Manhattan Project

‘On June 28, 1941, Roosevelt (closely associated with the Rockefellers) signed Executive Order 8807 creating the Office of Scientific Research and Development with Vannevar Bush as its director.’

Already at this point there was a suspicion that the Rockefellers, through their corporation IG Farbenindustrie, deliberately sabotaged the German project by passing data to American intelligence agencies and American scientists.

German Nuclear Program

‘In a series of experiments conducted in August-September 1941 in Leipzig, W. Heisenberg, C. F. von Weizsäcker, and R. Döpel obtained a positive result of neutron multiplication, which served as evidence of a chain reaction occurring in the uranium mass, but this reaction was not yet self-sustaining.

‘In a memo dated November 27, 1941, Heisenberg proposed that all work on the uranium project be divided into necessary, important, and unimportant. He considered necessary only that which would make it possible to build at least one working reactor in the shortest possible time; important only that which could improve the quality of the reactor; all other work was what Heisenberg called unimportant.

‘The first German reactor was built in February 1942, four months before Fermi’s similar development in Chicago. It was a pilot reactor at the Leipzig Institute, designed by Prof. Heisenberg and the Döpel couple.

‘The Uranium Machine (as the reactor was called) consisted of two aluminum hemispheres containing 572 kg of uranium powder and 140 kg of heavy water. The mass of the reactor, placed inside the water tank, approached one ton. Inside the uranium-filled sphere was a neutron initiator in the form of a conventional radium-beryllium primary neutron source. Measurements of the neutron flux from the loaded reactor showed that many more neutrons reached the reactor surface than were emitted by the primary radium-beryllium source, so R. Döpel sent a message to the Wehrmacht Armaments Department that the reactor was operational.’

Manhattan Project

‘In the spring of 1942, when Arthur Compton estimated the critical mass of uranium-235 to be between 2 and 100 kilograms, it became clear that it was possible to make an atomic bomb that could be carried on an airplane. President Roosevelt was informed of this and authorized the start of practical work on such a weapon.’

German Nuclear Program

‘On June 4, 1942, the Reich Minister of Armaments and Munitions, A. Speer, convened a meeting of military leaders and scientists on the nuclear problem. At this meeting, Heisenberg said that it would take at least two years to solve the production and technical problems, provided that all the scientists’ demands were met. As a result, money was allocated for the project, funds for scarce materials, and minimum deadlines were approved for the construction of a bunker for the nuclear reactor in Berlin, the production of uranium metal, and the delivery of isotope separation equipment.

‘The Uranium Machine exploded on June 23, 1942, for reasons not entirely clear (the first nuclear accident in history).’

And here it is quite reasonable to assume that the Rockefellers not only slowed down the nuclear project in Germany through the IG Farbenindustrie, but also organized sabotage at German nuclear facilities through Roosevelt and the American intelligence services.

Manhattan Project

‘By the fall of 1942 (in the United States), enough pure materials (graphite, uranium) were available to build the world’s first successfully operating nuclear reactor. It was designed by Enrico Fermi, who was working at the University of Chicago. The reactor was assembled under the west stands of the University of Chicago’s Stagg Field Stadium. On the night of December 2, 1942, the first controlled, self-sustaining chain reaction of nuclear fission of uranium atoms was achieved for the first time in history.’

‘On December 28, 1942, President Roosevelt signed an executive order for the construction of uranium enrichment plants using the gas diffusion and electromagnetic methods, and a plutonium production plant.’

German Nuclear Program

‘In February 1943, Norwegian saboteurs sent from Great Britain succeeded in destroying a heavy water plant in Norway.

‘In March 1943, due to the feelings of the country’s leadership, the Armaments Directorate, headed by Speer, abandoned the work on the Uranium Project and it was transferred to the Reich Research Council.’

And again, it is reasonable to assume that the Rockefellers, through the leadership of IG Farbenindustrie, proposed that Hitler and his right-hand man Speer put the brakes on the nuclear project in Germany in exchange for personal and financial immunity after the war. This easily explains the subsequent actions of the Nazi leadership.

German Nuclear Program

‘In the midst of the war, the country’s leadership was of the opinion that scientific, industrial and financial resources should be concentrated only on projects that would bring the quickest return in the form of new weapons. In this connection, the uranium project was transferred from the priority of military science to the civilian one, which slowed down its implementation, as well as the rapid development of the world’s first combat ballistic missiles V-2, the creation of intercontinental missiles A-9/A-10 under the project America, the partial orbital bomber Silbervogel, as well as a number of other projects.

‘Dr. Trinks was not even developing an atomic bomb, but a hydrogen bomb. This work is preserved in a six-page documentary report entitled Experiments in the Excitation of Nuclear Reactions by Explosions. Dr. Trinks attempted to heat up heavy hydrogen by squeezing a silver ball with a conventional explosive. Trinks hoped that in this way he could make a nuclear bomb. Trinks repeated his attempts to initiate thermonuclear reactions in heavy hydrogen several times, but found no radioactive output.’

Manhattan Project

‘Following the construction of the experimental reactor, the plutonium plant at Oak Ridge was constructed in February 1943. The first plutonium production reactor was started up on November 4, 1943, and the first plutonium samples were produced in late November 1943.’

German Nuclear Program

‘In January 1944, Heisenberg received cast uranium plates for a large reactor assembly in Berlin, for which a special bunker was being constructed.

‘The final experiment to produce a chain reaction was scheduled for January 1945, but on January 31, all the equipment was promptly dismantled and transported to southern Germany.’

In addition, it appears to be a reasonable assumption that Hitler sold the atomic technology to the Americans, represented by the Rockefellers, in exchange for additional guarantees of personal inviolability and inviolability of property. This is a likely explanation for the subsequent actions of the Nazi leadership.

German Nuclear Program

‘At the end of February 1945, the B-VIII reactor arrived at the Haigerloch settlement from Berlin. The reactor had a core consisting of 664 uranium cubes weighing a total of 1525 kg, surrounded by a 10-ton graphite neutron moderator-reflector.

‘On March 23, 1945, Professor Gerlach called Berlin to report that the reactor was in operation. But the joy was premature, because later the reactor did not reach the critical point. Recalculations showed that the amount of uranium needed to be increased by another 750 kilograms, as well as the amount of heavy water, which was no longer available.

‘On April 23, American troops entered Haigerloch.

‘On July 3, 1945, a group of German scientists and equipment were taken to the former Farm Hall estate in Britain, where the bugging equipment was installed.’

Manhattan Project

‘The inaugural test (designated Trinity) of a plutonium-239-based nuclear explosive device (a plutonium implosion-type bomb) was conducted in New Mexico on July 16, 1945 (Alamogordo proving grounds).

‘The Little Boy bomb was a nuclear weapon of the cannon-type. Given the performance of the cannon-type design was not in question, the weapon was not tested at the designated test site.’

Apparently, there was no doubt, since data on the circuit’s operability had been obtained from German physicists and American intelligence.

Manhattan Project

‘The Little Boy bomb was dropped on Hiroshima on August 6, 1945. The Manhattan Project involved approximately 130,000 people and cost nearly $2 billion (equivalent to about $22.5 billion in 1996). More than 90% of the cost was allocated to building factories and producing fissile material, and less than 10% was allocated to weapons development and production. Research and production operations were conducted at over 30 locations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The project also involved intelligence collection on the German nuclear weapons program. As part of the Alsos mission, Manhattan Project personnel worked in Europe, often behind enemy lines, where they collected nuclear materials and documents, and also gathered German scientists.’

German Nuclear Program

‘German atomic research cost two hundred times less money and employed one and a half thousand times fewer people than the American Manhattan Project.’

This allows us to formulate a more than plausible real-world version of events.

In 1939, after learning of the potential incredible power of nuclear weapons:

1. The Rockefellers instructed the management of their German corporation, IG Farben, to misdirect the development of the project. This instruction was successfully carried out — the German researchers lost more than a year.

2. They transferred all available data, which was at least 90% of all data on the German nuclear program, to their companies in the US and to the US Secret Service, headed by their former lawyer Dulles.

3. They instructed their close ally Roosevelt to accelerate the nuclear project in the US, including securing gigantic funding from the US budget.

In 1942, the Germans built a nuclear reactor ahead of the Americans. The Rockefellers then organized an accident at the reactor, using the capabilities of lawyer-intelligence agent Dulles and their own resources in Germany.

In February 1943, the Rockefellers organized a sabotage by British commandos at a heavy water plant in Norway, putting it out of operation.

In March 1943, the Rockefellers held all the aces in the world in the form of:

1. A destroyed atomic reactor,

2. A destroyed heavy water plant in Norway,

3. The encirclement of German troops in Africa and Stalingrad,

4. Effective control of the fuel complex.

In this situation, they offered Hitler and Goebbels (tentatively through Magda Goebbels) the opportunity to halt the German nuclear project and other explicitly anti-American initiatives, including intercontinental ballistic missiles and suborbital interceptors, in exchange for personal and financial immunity after the war.

Hitler and Goebbels accepted this proposal and reinforced it by transferring all technical documentation as it was being developed, as well as proven designs and specialists after the war’s end.

In January 1945, the German leadership relocated the new nuclear reactor, documentation, and specialists from the proposed Soviet occupation zone (Berlin) to the proposed American occupation zone of Heaigerloh in southern Germany.

On April 23, 1945, the Americans received a German nuclear reactor, documentation, specialists, and a cannon type nuclear bomb, which was later detonated in Hiroshima on August 6, 1945.

Exactly one week later, on April 30, 1945, Hitler, Goebbels and Magda Goebbels (Hitler’s mistress) faked suicide and left Berlin by water. Their doppelgangers were destroyed in their place, the corpses burned, and the medical records falsified.

Apparently, Goering was also inclined to betrayal, which explains the reduction of the German production of fighter planes in 1943 and the refusal to produce the four-engine bombers of the Flying Fortress class, as well as the anti-aircraft missile systems Wasserfall.

During the ‘imprisonment’ in Nuremberg, American doctors cured Goering of drug addiction and put him on a diet to reduce his weight, as it was impossible to find the same fat double. After the poisoning of the already moderately well-fed double Gоering, carried out in the American shift, the quite healthy Goering was taken out of Nuremberg.

Do we need to dig up the past now? Does it matter who invented and built the atomic bomb?

It does. It is not for nothing that it is said that the present can only be properly understood by those who properly understand the past.

Understanding the working methods of the US government and intelligence services, it is much easier to understand why officials from the Ministry of Digital Development, Communications and Mass Media decided to ‘kill’ the almost finished Russian project for an analog to Starlink in 2018 using available non-government funds.

This decision also shows how much Russia lost as a result of this bureaucratic move.

It is also clear why officials from the Ministry of Finance have never been able to find a small amount of money to develop a working quantum communication satellite technology, which would ensure the complete impossibility of information interception. This allows us to draw conclusions not only about the present, but also about the future.

All of this allows us to draw not only conclusions about the present, but also assumptions about the future.

23.04.2024

Ukraine’s Fabulous Recent History

In 1991, when Ukraine gained independence from Russia and the rest of the USSR, it was an exceptionally wealthy country with a developed industry.

In the 20 years since 1991, the ‘independent gentlemen’ managed to destroy almost all industries that require intelligence: aircraft, automobile, shipbuilding, etc. In 2011 it was the only country in the world whose GDP for 20 years not only did not grow, but even decreased! Due to the disappearance of jobs, the most qualified Ukrainians moved to countries where their skills were in demand: Russia, Poland, Germany.

Accordingly, the taxes collected in the country stopped providing the necessary level of social payments: pensions, allowances, salaries for doctors, teachers and police.

In 2012, the ‘chief Ukrainian security officer’ N. offered a number of high-ranking Russian officials to ‘bring Ukraine into Russia’ for a modest reward of 2 (two) billion dollars, which, as he understood it, was less than half of the funds needed to improve the Russian-Ukrainian border.

Officials from the presidential administration and the security, defense, and law enforcement agencies enthusiastically supported the proposal. But the Russian Ministry of Finance, having carefully calculated the upcoming budget of potential ‘new regions’, made calculations showing that in order to bring all social payments in Ukraine up to Russian standards, it would be necessary to subsidize the ‘new Ukraine within Russia’ in the amount of about 3 trillion rubles per year, which at that exchange rate amounted to about $100 billion per year.

Russia’s budget in 2012 was about 12 trillion roubles. Increasing spending by another 3 trillion rubles a year would have been possible only by significantly cutting spending on pensions and benefits for public sector employees, as well as on defense.

With a population of 40 million, Ukraine would obviously have been a subsidized region that was of no use to anyone. With such a collapse of industry, Ukraine’s budget could only be balanced if the population did not exceed 10 million people. In other words, 30 million people were superfluous.

As a result, Russia decided in 2012 not to admit a huge subsidized region to its membership, so as not to undermine the Russian economy by subsidizing the least patriotic ‘new citizens’.

Then the ‘chief Ukrainian security officer’ N. offered to sell Ukraine to the Americans for the same 2 (two) billion dollars for confrontation with Russia.

As a result, it was agreed that the USA would give 5 (five) billion dollars and 3 (three) billion dollars would be a ‘kickback’.

Thus Ukraine became a de facto colony of the USA for the bribe received by N. and Co.

While the Ukrainian mass media manipulated the consciousness of not very smart Ukrainians and taught them to shout Who isn’t jumping is a Muscovite! and Moscow must bite the dust!, the Americans were counting money.

They figured out where and how to dispose of old European military equipment in order to force the Europeans to buy the latest American weapons at three times the price.

They also studied the Ukrainian economy.

And in the end they discovered something interesting for themselves.

This something interesting turned out to be the Yuzovka gas-bearing shale deposit, with a potential volume of up to 4 trillion cubic meters of gas. At a price of $350 per thousand cubic meters, the deposit’s value is estimated at approximately $1.4 trillion. This figure increases to $4 trillion at a price of $1,000 per thousand cubic meters.The field, which spans approximately 8,000 square kilometers, is strategically located in the Donetsk and Kharkov regions. The center of the field is located in the city of Slavyansk.

The peculiarity of the field is the rather high cost of gas production (3–4 times higher than in conventional fields), combined with the inevitable huge environmental damage caused by the need to pump huge amounts of water underground in an area already in need of water supply and irrigation. It is much easier and cheaper for Russia to transport the gas there via long-distance pipelines, which, by the way, are nearby.

Map of the Yuzovka gas field and the demarcation line of the forces in Donbass

But the American plan was different:

1. Not to give a damn about the ecology of Ukraine;

2. Pump water from the Northern Donets to the field, and if necessary, dig a 100–200 km canal from the Dnieper;

3. Start shipping this expensive gas to Europe through Ukraine’s existing gas transportation network;

4. Cut off Russia’s gas supplies to Europe;

5. Make $1–5 trillion by supplying this shale gas from the Yuzovka field and cutting off cheap Russian gas.

In February 2012 there was a coup in Kiev that overthrew the ‘pro-Russian’ Yanukovych, and by May 2012 the tender for the development of the Yuzovka gas field should have been completed.

But then ‘suddenly’ on April 12, 2012, Girkin (Strelkov) led the liberation movement in Ukraine and seized power precisely in Slavyansk, the heart of the Yuzovka gas field.

‘In May 2012, the tender for the right to conclude an agreement on the development of the Yuzovka field, held by the State Service of Geology and Subsoil of Ukraine, was won by the Anglo-Dutch company Shell.’[482]

‘On May 12, 2014, it was reported that Hunter Biden, son of US Vice President Joe Biden, had joined the board of directors of Burisma Holdings, becoming director of the legal department… Four weeks earlier, Biden Sr. had made an official visit to Kiev, during which he urged the Ukrainian government to “reduce its dependence on Russia for natural gas supplies”. The CNN columnist noted that “the [Hunter] appointment raised eyebrows because it came at about the same time his father and the White House were engaged in diplomatic missions in the region to wean Ukraine off Russian energy sources. Critics argued that Hunter’s work for a country promoting Ukrainian energy independence was a blatant conflict of interest. But the vice president’s office brushed off the controversy, insisting that Hunter was a private citizen whose actions did not represent the administration’s vision”.’[483]

‘In March 2015, Ukrgazdobycha and Shell decided to terminate a joint gas project after completing exploration work in the Kharkov region due to Russia’s unleashing of conflict in eastern Ukraine. In 2023, as Russia advanced on Bakhmut in its invasion of Ukraine, the researchers noted that Bakhmut is located southeast of the Yuzovka field, and “control of the Yuzovka field would significantly strengthen Putin’s strategy of using Russian gas exports as a weapon. Even turning Yuzovka into a militarized no-man’s-land or a ruined wasteland could set back Ukraine’s move toward energy sovereignty by decades.” ’[484]

And now the front line from the west and south of the Yuzovka field falls almost exactly along its border.

And by the way, the main gas pipelines allegedly controlled by the Biden family are not being hit by our troops.

As a result of this research, the following assumptions can be made:

1. There are unofficial agreements on ‘non-occupation’ of the territory of the Yuzovka field by Russian troops;

2. The agreements were made with Biden and will be honored as long as he is the President of the USA;

3. If Biden and ‘his team’ lose the post of US President, Russia will be able to occupy the territory of this field.

17.06.2024

Who Recruited Admiral Canaris?

Wilhelm Canaris, the renowned leader of the German Abwehr, is increasingly perceived as a British agent for the following reasons:

1. He was executed by the Nazis for treason on April 9, 1945;

2. He was associated with conspirators who planned to overthrow Hitler’s regime on the eve of the invasion of Czechoslovakia.

3. During the summer of 1943 in Santander, Canaris held a clandestine meeting with the head of MI5, Stuart Menzies, and the head of the Office of Strategic Services of the United States, William Donovan. At this meeting, Canaris presented his peace plan, which included a ceasefire on the Western Front, the removal of Hitler, and the continuation of the war in the East.

4. His involvement in the conspiracy against Hitler in favor of the British is confirmed by his own handwritten entries in his personal diaries.[485]

Many researchers argue that Canaris, at the behest of the British, exaggerated Britain’s military potential and downplayed the military and industrial potential of the USSR.

But who recruited Admiral Canaris, where and when? And for what reasons?

Wilhelm Canaris came from a very wealthy Westphalian family. The young Canaris had a villa, a shady garden, his own tennis courts, a carriage to take him to school and, at the age of fifteen, his own horse — the height of dreams for a German teenager from a wealthy family.[486]

The admiral’s grandfather, Johann Joseph Canaris, is considered one of the pioneers of industry in the Ruhr region.[487]

The admiral’s father, Carl Canaris, was a steelworks director and board member of the Niederrheinische Hütte, part of Thyssen’s Vereinigte Stahlwerke AG (VESTA) empire. As a subsidiary of VESTA, the plant operated as Niederrheinische Hütte as part of the West Group headed by August Thyssen.

His wife was Erika Bertha Canaris, née Waag, daughter of the industrialist Karl Friedrich Waag.

His sister was Anna. Her husband was Rudolf Buch, manager of an iron foundry.

His brother, Carl August Canaris, one of Germany’s most capable steelmakers, had a doctorate in mechanical engineering and was a member of the Association of German Engineers (VDI) and the Ruhr District Association of VDI. Carl August Canaris worked as the general manager of the Henschel locomotive and engineering works.[488]

Henschel products during the Second World War included

Aircraft

1. Henschel Hs 121 — fighter/trainer (prototype)

2. Henschel Hs 122 — attack/reconnaissance plane

3. Henschel Hs 123 — dive bomber (biplane)

4. Henschel Hs 124 — heavy fighter/bomber (prototype)

5. Henschel Hs 125 — fighter / trainer (prototype)

6. Henschel Hs 126 — reconnaissance plane, development of Hs 122

7. Henschel Hs 127 — fast medium bomber (prototype)

8. Henschel Hs 128 — twin-engine high altitude aircraft (1939, prototype)

9. Henschel Hs 129 — attack bomber (865 pieces)

10. Henschel Hs 130 — high-altitude reconnaissance / bomber (prototype)

11. Henschel Hs 132 — jet dive bomber (prototype)

12. Henschel Hs 135 — trapezoidal wing jet fighter (prototype)

The Henschel Hs. 129 was a specialized, single-seat, twin-engine attack aircraft used by the German Luftwaffe during World War II. Nicknamed Can Opener (Büchsenöffner) by its users, the aircraft saw primary deployment on the Eastern Front from 1942 to 1945, with a total production of 865 units.[489]

Missiles and Bombs

1. Henschel Hs 117 Schmetterling — radio-controlled surface-to-air rocket projectile

2. Henschel Hs 293 — guided bomb

3. Henschel Hs 294 — anti-ship guided bomb

4. Henschel Hs 295

5. Henschel Hs 296

6. Henschel Hs 297 — Föhn, 73 mm air-to-air missile

7. Henschel Hs 298 — air-to-air missile

8. Henschel Hs P.75

9. Henschel Hs P.87

10. Henschel Zitterrochen (Torpedo)

Tanks

1. Pz.Kpfw. III — as contractor

2. Pz.Kpfw. V Panther — as contractor

3. Tiger

4. Tiger II

5. E-100 — experimental super heavy tank developed 1943–1945

Loading a Tiger tank onto a loading platform. Henschel assembly plant in Kassel, 1942.[490]

Thus, Admiral Canaris was a wealthy man who was financially interested in a long and intense war that would benefit his entire family. The slogan ‘guns before butter’ was perfectly in line with his family’s economic interests. No one could convince him to support a shorter war.

Could the war in Britain give his family the maximum income? This question can be easily answered by calculating how many tanks and airplanes were needed to start a war with landlocked Britain and how many to start a war with the USSR.

It is easy to calculate this first by the ratio of the width of the front where tanks and airplanes were needed needed by the advancing units. The width of Britain from west to east is 200 to 300 kilometers in a straight line. You can’t go wider than that. The width of the front in the USSR in a straight line from Leningrad to Kerch was about 1,800 kilometers. And the relief of the Russian terrain forced the front to have a curvature, caused first of all by the riverbeds. So the real width of the front was about 2,500 kilometers.

That is, Nazi Germany’s war with the USSR, just in terms of the width of the front, required 10 times more tanks and planes than the war with Britain.

The same calculation can be made for the depth of the front. Dover to London is less than 100 kilometers. By German standards, and on good English roads, that meant a blitzkrieg of 3–4 days. And from Brest to Moscow it is almost 1,000 kilometers. And at every kilometer new losses of tanks and airplanes. And yet, taking into account the poor quality of Russian roads, it is possible to multiply this figure two or three times.

This means that according to the integral index of the width and depth of the front, Nazi Germany’s war with the USSR required at least 100 times more tanks and planes than its war with Britain.

That is, Nazi Germany’s war with the USSR would have brought the manufacturers of tanks and planes, as well as the politicians corrupted by them, 100 times more revenue than with Britain.

The choice is obvious. From the point of view of all the Nazi bigwigs, steeped in negative political corruption, attacking the USSR was a decision leading to maximum personal economic gain.

And in order to prolong the war in terms of time and, accordingly, losses of equipment and, consequently, orders for aircraft and missiles, it was financially unprofitable for the German military-industrial complex, including the Canaris family, to finish off Britain. On the contrary, it was necessary to make Britain, with American help, a worthy opponent in air and naval warfare, which required a large government order for aircraft, surface-to-air missiles, air-to-air missiles, and guided anti-ship bombs.

How could the Nazi bigwigs make such a decision?

To divert the attention of the USSR, to imitate an active war with Britain, to start a war with Britain in the air, to lose the air battle and to move all the troops closer to the border with the USSR on the pretext of ‘saving the troops from bombing the enemy in a zone inaccessible to him.’

And then, at an opportune moment, to attack suddenly.

Admiral Canaris was not an English spy. He was a corrupt man who profited from the military contracts his family received from the Nazi regime.

And he did not misinform Hitler by giving deliberately inaccurate information about the military strength of Britain and the military-industrial weakness of the USSR. He gave exactly the information that was needed by the whole Nazi gang of Hitler-Goering-Goebbels and Co. For all of them were extraordinarily corrupted by military orders, and they demanded that Canaris provide such ‘intelligence’ as would justify their decisions to wage war against the maximum possible enemy for as long as possible.

But in 1943, Canaris independently decided that he could further increase the family income by prolonging the war through the method of betraying Hitler and agreeing with the Anglo-Saxons on a joint war against the USSR.

In doing so, he made a serious mistake — he did not calculate the difference in the income of the Anglo-Saxon elite under two different scenarios. The income of the Anglo-Saxons from the alliance with Nazi Germany would simply be much less than the income from the actual seizure of the entire industry of Germany and Japan, as well as the additional income resulting from the actual financial control of the former British colonies.

That’s why the Anglo-Saxons ‘leaked’ him. Canaris was hanged by the SS in the concentration camp Flossenburg on a piano wire two weeks before the arrival of the Allied troops, so that he would not prevent ‘serious people’ from making really big money with his selfish ‘penny’ interests.

25.06.2024

What Does Biden Have in Common with Hitler?

In fact, what could a young Nazi gefreiter have in common with an elderly Democrat suffering from dementia?

At first glance, there is and can be nothing in common. But such an impression arises only before the logical method of ‘follow the money’ is applied. And after searching for the sources of Biden’s and Hitler’s financing, it is not difficult to find the common denominator.

It lies in the comparison of financial relations between IG Farben and Hitler and between shale gas producers in the USA and Biden.

Why did IG Farben finance Hitler?

This topic has been very well researched by Alexey Kotov, whose statements are quoted below!

‘The 1920s were characterized by two parallel and yet contradictory processes — the rapid motorization of society and the depletion of proven oil reserves. According to various estimates, the world’s consumption of motor fuels grew at a rate of four times per year. At the same time, geological exploration for oil in the early 1920s did not yield the desired results. The situation caused serious concern, and in 1924 the Federal Oil Conservation Board was established in the USA — the main consumer and supplier of oil to the world market — to assess the prospects of the oil industry. In 1926, this board predicted that oil reserves would be exhausted within the next seven years, while proven coal reserves were enormous. Carl Bosch, who became the head of the German corporation IG Farben, believed that after the depletion of oil reserves, the technology of industrially processing coal into gasoline would be a gold mine for German chemistry, so the company he headed, BASF, began buying up patents on coal hydrogenation technologies even before the corporation was formed. These patents were of German origin, of course. The problem of synthesizing liquid motor fuel was of great importance to Germany because of the scarcity of available sources of oil and its vast coal reserves.’[491]

‘The process of commercializing the production of synthetic gasoline was very expensive; by 1931, IG Farben’s investment in the development of synthetic gasoline production amounted to no less than 426 million Reichsmarks.’[492]

‘Industrial production of gasoline at the Leuna plant began in 1929. The artificial fuel was sold by AG Gasoline, a special subsidiary of IG Farben, through its own network of service stations under the brand name German Gasoline. However, while the Leuna plant was working hard, expanding production and researching ways to optimize the process of obtaining fuel from coal, all efforts to implement the program for the production of synthetic gasoline ended in failure. The fact is that several large oil fields were discovered at once in the late ‘20s, including the colossal Black Giant field discovered in East Texas in October 1930. Within months, world oil prices collapsed, devaluing IG Farben’s investment in Leuna.’[493]

‘Against the backdrop of the Great Depression, fuel prices collapsed catastrophically — In 1931, the price per liter of imported gasoline was only 5.2 pfennigs per liter, while the production cost of synthetic gasoline was 23 pfennigs per liter.’[494] By a factor of 4 (four).

‘It was undoubtedly a severe blow for Carl Bosch, but the head of the company was not going to give up easily. In 1931, using its political connections in the German government (Chancellor Brüning was in power at the time, and in his government, economic ministers were members of the company’s board of directors), IG Farben lobbied for an increase in tariffs on oil and petroleum products imported into Germany. However, even these measures did not help to ensure the profitability of artificial fuel production — the world economy began to be overwhelmed by a severe crisis, and due to the fall in demand, the price of fuel collapsed to such an extent that a liter of gasoline became cheaper than even the coal necessary for its production. Finally, in early 1932, the Leuna project was on the verge of being shut down. Of course, this would not have been a fatal blow to IG Farben, but the management of IG Farben had a desire to safeguard the investments made in Leuna. This could only be done by non-market methods, using state resources.’[495]

It was necessary to establish government contracts for the supply of synthetic gasoline at prices above world market prices. Only war could provide such an order.

‘After assessing the situation, the management of the IG Farben concern decided to pay into the party coffers of the NSDAP (400,000 marks) and von Papen (100,000 marks), which was done on February 28, 1933. And these were only official payments. In total, the Nazis collected 2,071,000 marks.’[496]

After coming to power, the Nazis guaranteed IG Farben that they would buy all the synthetic gasoline produced with a 5% profit margin. They also organized financing for the development of production.

Thus, it is quite logical to conclude that in order to avoid bankruptcy of the economically unprofitable production of synthetic gasoline, the management of IG Farben financed Hitler’s election campaign to organize the beginning of the war in Europe.

In addition, IG Farben received income based on the blood of the dead in the Second World War in Europe.

More than 40 million people died in Europe so that the IG Farben corporation would not lose an investment of about 426 million marks.

For the purposes of this article, let us remember that Hitler started the war in Europe primarily to enrich IG Farben.

Why are US shale gas producers funding Biden?

The US was one of the largest importers of gas until it started fracking for shale gas. Now the US is the largest producer of gas, ahead of even Russia.

‘The largest US shale producers — EOG Resources Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Continental Resources and Marathon Oil — will run out of reserves in about six years at an expansion rate of 15% per year.’[497]

While hundreds of billions of dollars have been invested in the shale gas industry, the cost of its production is 4 (four) times higher than in Russia and 6 (six) times higher than in Europe, taking into account transportation to Europe.

‘The average production cost of 1 thousand cubic meters of shale gas in the USA is $150–250.’[498]

‘An analyst of Raiffeisenbank estimates that if the price of shale gas in the US market is $150 per 1,000 cubic meters, its cost for the European market will be about $300, taking into account liquefaction and transportation.’[499]

‘In Russia, the production cost of natural gas from old gas fields, taking into account transportation costs, is about $50 per thousand cubic meters.’[500]

American shale gas is now economically uncompetitive with Russian natural gas, just as German synthetic gasoline was uncompetitive with American gasoline produced from natural oil in 1931.

But hundreds of billions of dollars have been invested in US shale gas production, just as hundreds of millions of Reichsmarks were invested in synthetic gasoline production in 1931.

However, the management of EOG Resources, Devon Energy, Diamondback Energy, Continental Resources and Marathon Oil also have a desire to get their money invested in shale gas back. This can be done only by non-market methods, using state resources.

It was necessary to make ‘not quite market’ contracts to supply American shale gas to Europe, Japan and other countries at above-market world prices. Only war could create such an order.

It would be logical to assume that the largest shale gas producers financed US President Biden through his son to provoke (start) a war in Europe. So far, only on the territory of Ukraine.

This coincided successfully with the desire of Western financial circles to steal Russian savings in the countries of the ‘collective West’. And also with the desire of the US military-industrial complex to get new orders for the production of weapons.

In order to implement this plan, the American puppet Zelenskiy made a lot of provocations, which are described in detail in the article Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?[501]

At the same time, ‘the son of US Vice President Joseph Biden, Hunter, joined the board of directors of the Burisma oil and gas holding company and planned to produce shale gas in Ukraine as well.’[502]

The war has begun and is being actively fueled by the most unscrupulous methods. For example, ‘funds received through commercial organizations, including the Ukrainian Burisma Holdings associated with the Biden family, were used to organize terrorist attacks on the territory of the Russian Federation. This was reported by the press service of the Investigative Committee (IC) of the Russian Federation.’[503]

Thus, it is quite logical to conclude that in order to avoid bankruptcy of economically unprofitable shale gas production, the management of the largest ‘shale gas producers’ financed US President Biden to organize the start of war in Europe.

And subsequently they received income based on the blood of those who died in the war in Ukraine. So far only in Ukraine.

About 1 million people have already died in Ukraine, so that the shale gas producers should not lose several hundred billion dollars in investments.

Now we understand that Biden provoked (started) the war in Europe also (and primarily) to enrich the shale gas producers in the US, just as Hitler started the war in Europe primarily to enrich IG Farben.

Now that we understand the identity of Biden’s and Hitler’s funding sources, it’s not hard to see what they have in common.

You just have to open your eyes.

30.06.2024

Where Does the US Government’s Budget Money Go?

Passions have been running high in the press lately about the cost of servicing the US national debt.

Let’s take a closer look at why this is such a concern for the United States.

‘For the first three months of fiscal year 2024 (beginning October 1), US government debt service costs were $215.6 billion, an increase of $71.26 billion, or 49.37%, from the same period last fiscal year (as of January 15, 2024).’[504]

That’s an annualized total of $862 billion for government debt service.

‘Foreign holders of US government debt account for only 24.45% of its volume. The largest foreign holder of US government debt is Japan with 1.2 trillion, or 3.98% of the total. Next is the People’s Republic of China with 0.971 trillion, or 3.1% of the total.’

This means that all foreign holders receive only $345 billion per year from the US government budget.

‘The largest holder of US government debt is the US government and the Federal Reserve Bank (the Fed). They account for 39.46% of US government debt. This is because some US agencies accumulate surplus money and invest it in Treasury bonds.’

That is $345 billion a year that the Fed receives from the US government budget.

The other holders of US government debt are mutual funds, financial institutions such as banks, US state and local governments, pension funds, insurance companies, and ordinary citizens.’[505]

That is $302 billion a year that the US government budget gives to US financiers.

Thus, the Fed and other US financial institutions receive $647 billion per year in interest income from the US budget, out of a total of $862 billion paid out.

At the same time, the Fed itself is the issuer of the very money with which US debt is bought. The Fed buys US bonds itself and/or through its banks with the money it issues. It also sets its own interest rates. Rolled into one, so to speak.

In other words, US federal budget revenues are being ‘drained’ into the US financial system. The amount of ‘drain’ is $647 billion per year.

Has this ever happened before?

It has happened. In the ‘wild nineties’ the Ministry of Finance and the Central Bank of Russia placed ‘cheap’ money on deposits of some commercial banks ‘close’ to them, which then bought GKOs (Government Short-Term Bonds) at 100–150% per annum. We had the same ‘drain from the state budget’ to financiers in Russia during the times of ‘democracy bacchanalia’.

So the scheme is not new, we have seen it before.

Only the scale is different.

05.07.2024

Reasons for a Possible Ceasefire in Ukraine

What would have to happen for a ceasefire to begin in Ukraine?

In this article we will not consider such fantastic scenarios as:

• Cutting off Ukraine’s gas, about which the ‘information warrior’ Solovyov sang so cheerfully with the Moscow Military District Choir in 2014;

• Cutting off Russian oil supplies to Ukraine through Romania, Belarus, India, and other intermediaries;

• Destruction of Ukraine’s rail traffic control system;

• Blocking the supply of ammunition by sea to Ukraine through the port of Odessa by allegedly empty bulk carriers;

• Destroying the headquarters and communications systems of the Ukrainian Armed Forces;

• And other methods common in normal warfare, which usually lead quickly to victory.

If such methods are not applied, ‘it means that someone needs it’. Why these methods are not used has been discussed in detail in the following articles:

• Who Will Make Money from the Ukraine War, how much and When?

• Aims and Objectives of the Current War

• What is the Profitability of Killing Ukrainian Soldiers and Who Benefits from Such Actions?

• Why Is Russia Prolonging the War?

• Where Do the Funds Come from to Pay the Soldiers Fighting in Ukraine?

• What Were Russia's gains during the Initial Year of Hostilities?

• What was the United States’ Acquisition during the Inaugural Year of the Ukrainian War?

• How Ukraine Can Be quickly Defeated and What It Will Do for the US and Russia

• The Political Economy of War

• Ukraine's Fabulous Recent History[506]

In this article, we will simply try to analyze how long the parties to the conflict will have enough resources.

We will analyze demographic, weapon, industrial, economic and political resources.

Russian side

1. Demographic resource

The assumption that ‘Russia will run out of soldiers’ has not been considered by any analyst for the last 500 years of military conflicts. Somehow, Russia has never run out of them.

Even now, the number of volunteers who sign up with the Russian Armed Forces every month far exceeds the number of casualties, which, by the way, is lower than the death rate of Russians from alcohol and tobacco. The number of those who want to enroll in military schools has also increased dramatically since the beginning of the war.

Therefore, it would be unreasonable to expect a shortage of soldiers on the Russian side.

2. Weapons and industrial resources

On December 13, 2012, the Military Observer Press Club of the Russian Ministry of Defense held a meeting between Deputy Defense Minister of the Russian Federation Army General Dmitriy Bulgakov and representatives of the leading Russian mass media, at which he stated that ‘as of January 1, 2013, the availability of ammunition in the Russian Armed Forces is 3.7 million tons.’[507]

By the way, the German Wehrmacht used 5.6 million tons of ammunition on the Eastern Front in 1941–1944.[508] That’s just for comparison.

It is estimated that Russia uses 60,000 shells a day, each weighing 20–40 kg. If we take 30 kg as the average weight of a shell, it turns out that Russia uses less than 2 thousand tons of ammunition per day just in shells. If we add missiles, bombs and MLRS, we can reach 3 thousand tons per day. Then, assuming that the military factories have stopped, the ammunition in the warehouses will be enough for 1,200 days of war, i.e. for 3–4 years.

But we know for a fact that the factories have not stopped, are not stopping, and have begun to work in three shifts. Therefore, the assumption that the current stock of ammunition will be sufficient for 10 years would be very realistic.

Therefore, it would be unreasonable to expect a shortage of ammunition on the Russian side.

3. Economic resources

The cost of fighting in Ukraine is classified information and the author has no access to it. And even if he had, it is strictly forbidden to spread secret data.

But it is impossible to prohibit thinking and analysis of open information.

It is well known that the disposal of old ammunition costs money and a lot of it. It costs 15,000 rubles to dispose of a single 122 mm or 152 mm shell. Up to 60,000 shells are ‘used’ per day. The total savings on the disposal of shells alone is 1 billion rubles a day! Russia saves 30 billion rubles a month on the disposal of shells alone. And since the disposal of even one past-service life S-300 missile costs a huge amount of money, the savings can be safely multiplied by two. The result is a saving of 60 billion rubles a month on the disposal of old ammunition alone.

It is also known that the testing of new weapons is not free and is a very expensive item in the budget. Let’s take the figure of 20 billion rubles per month out of thin air. Simply because it seems close to the truth. And this is also a saving.

The total savings will be 80 billion rubles a month.

The main part of the expenses is the salary of the additional military contingent. Why additional — because the regular, ‘peaceful’ composition of the RF Armed Forces was paid in peacetime. New expenses arise only for the additional ‘contingent’. Let’s assume that the total contingent in Ukraine is 700,000 fighters, of whom 200,000 are professional soldiers and 500,000 are volunteers and mobilized. These ‘additional’ soldiers receive a salary of 200,000 rubles per month, which adds up to 100 billion rubles per month.

If we subtract the savings of 80 billion rubles per month from these expenses of 100 billion rubles per month, we get that the total cost of the war is only 20 billion rubles per month.

And what is the income? Even if the price of oil has risen by only $10 per barrel due to the war, with oil production of 10 million barrels per day, Russia will receive an additional $100 million per day, or $3 billion per month, which is 270 billion rubles per month. And this is only on the rise in the price of oil! And the price of gas, wheat, uranium, metals and many, many other resources that Russia exports has also increased.

No wonder the country’s economy is growing at 5% a year.

This war is very profitable for Russia and it is not profitable to stop it.

No one seriously considers sanctions a problem anymore, firstly because of the established ‘parallel imports’, and secondly because of the very active import substitution with Russian goods.

4. Political resource

In the geopolitical sense, Russia has a huge number of benefits from the war, from the expansion of the BRICS bloc to the actual conquest of almost half of Africa.

Theoretically, it is possible to assume that there will be problems in opening a new front for Russia in the Baltics, although the author is not sure what the hell Russia needs it for. There is an old saying that ‘a poor Latvian has nothing but God and his soul’. And we have both. It makes no sense to waste our efforts on this Latvian ‘pseudo-resource’. There is more sense in ‘returning Kazakhstan to its native port’, a country that is rich in mineral resources, but the intelligent Kazakh leadership hardly prepares a forceful response to this simple idea.

It is also theoretically possible to assume that the top military leadership of Russia will come up with the idea of not killing Banderites and their ‘madden’d sons’[509] but of pushing them into Poland. But it is much more correct to gather all these monkeys — ‘Darwin Prize winners’ — into battalions, send them to Chasov Yar and ‘polish them with gun iron’. At least as long as there is a need to use the gun iron. And as I said, there will be such a need for the next 5 to 10 years.

So Russia has no motive for a ceasefire for the next 10 years.

US-Ukrainian Side

1. Demographic resource

A pressing concern, as the ‘authentic Banderites’ are dwindling rapidly. Over the past 2.5 years, approximately 700,000 have been killed and the same number have been disabled. Furthermore, with the change in leadership from Shoigu to Belousov, the AFU’s daily manpower losses have doubled.

The use of high-precision aerial bombs with a universal interspecies planning munition and, in the future, an interspecies planning munition composed of a decommissioned Smerch missile, a decommissioned FAB-250 bomb, a planning and guidance module and a small pulsejet engine with a total range of 120 km and an accuracy of 5 meters will dramatically increase the lethality of the AFU.

We have not heard much about volunteers in Ukraine lately, but information about resistance to forced mobilization is spreading rapidly, even to the point of burning cars of employees of territorial recruitment centers.

And who should be mobilized now? According to V. V. Putin, the population of Ukraine today is 19 million people. Men, taking into account losses and ‘dodgers’, are already less than half, i.e. about 8 million. Of these, 4 million are of military age. Those who work in the energy sector, critical infrastructure, and those who are unfit by health are not less than half of them. This leaves 1–2 million Ukrainians who are not at all motivated to ‘fight and die’. ‘The racers have already been ridden to death.’ It is realistically possible to recruit no more than half a million people, i.e. for one year of war.

If we count the deserters, who, according to some war correspondents, make up 25–30% of the AFU personnel, Ukraine has fewer soldiers than for a year of war.

The situation is only being sustained due to a comprehensive propaganda campaign, the deployment of barrier troops consisting of Azov and Kraken Nazis, a cadre of military specialists from the United States and Poland on Himars and AHS Krab systems, and the non-use of electronic warfare means by the Russian Armed Forces on a large scale.

Recruitment of women in the AFU ‘will not open the floodgates’. By the end of 2024, the AFU will begin to run out of soldiers. By the end of 2025 they will run out completely.

It makes no sense to count on NATO soldiers because of Russia’s rigid position on their early destruction in Ukraine by any means. And this position is regularly well executed, which the NATO leadership is well aware of.

2. Weapons and industrial resources

In 2014, there were no shell factories in Ukraine. The only cartridge factory was in Lugansk. It is a mystery what the Ukrainian military leadership was thinking about when it wanted to defeat Russia in 2022 and 2023.

True, there were huge military warehouses left over from Soviet times, but the ‘independent Ukrainian gentlemen’ sold a lot of things from them, stole a lot of things, and to cover up the theft they blew up even more.

Since the summer of 2024, even the past-service life S-300 missiles have practically run out. The hunger for ammunition is great.

Ukraine’s leaders have bluntly said that without supplies from the West, the war would be over in 2 weeks. And the West has been actively supplying Patriot SAMs, Storm Shadow and ATACMS missiles. But Russia has learned to hit Patriot SAMs with Iskanders and to counter Storm Shadow and ATACMS missiles on approach. And after the death of the US military attaché in Kiev, which suddenly occurred two days after the death of children on the beach in Sevastopol on Holy Trinity Day from the explosion of an ATACMS cluster, the missile attacks on Russian territory with American missiles somehow fell silent.

The Ukrainian armed forces have no ammunition. There are less than two dozen warplanes ‘on the move’. The air defenses have very limited ranges.

The resources are already exhausted, the situation is hanging by a thread, barely holding at the expense of kamikaze drones, which the Russian Armed Forces stubbornly refuse to ‘jam’ with the available means of electronic warfare.

3. Economic resources and the resulting political resources

Ukraine’s economy does not really exist. Ukraine is now an economic ‘zombie’ that exists on handouts from the West to continue the war ‘to the last Ukrainian’.

Therefore, it makes sense to calculate only the economic benefits of the war for the USA. They are quite significant both for the US military-industrial complex, which charges an arm and a leg for supplying Europe with the latest weapons, and for US hydrocarbon business, which pushes gas to Europe at four times the price of Russian gas and to Japan at eight times the price of Russian gas.

This resource will not run out as long as the economies of Europe and Japan keep the lights on. In our opinion, this resource will last for a few more years, and then we will have to look again.

However, the cost of the war in Ukraine has risen sharply after the military depots were emptied. It turned out to be expensive to produce shells, and it is still necessary to pay a million soldiers of the AFU. Again, it is necessary to give loans and extend old ones.

So far, revenues are higher than expenses, but they are quite comparable.

This situation is already unstable and can be ‘aggravated’ in the following cases:

• If the financiers of the ‘collective West’ decide to organize a crisis in the United States that could bring them more money than the war in Ukraine. The possibility of taking away $2 trillion in ‘Russian deposits’ for the benefit of the US military-industrial complex, which is easier to realize in this case, speaks in favor of this version.

• If the US military-industrial complex wants to shift the war from land to sea, which is hard to do in Ukraine but easy to do in Yemen and Taiwan.

Both scenarios become more realistic with the removal of Biden, who represents Lockheed-Martin, Fed financiers and shale oil interests, and the transfer of power to Trump, who represents General Dynamics (aircraft carriers) and Exxon Mobil (Arctic oil),

If the following occurs:

• Europe’s refusal to purchase US shale gas at more than $380 per thousand cubic meters, which would only yield shale producers a 20% profit margin;

• Lockheed-Martin finalizing its order for 2,400 F-35 fighters;

• The ‘drain’ of almost a trillion dollars from the US federal budget to the Fed in the form of interest income,

the option of Biden’s removal from power is quite likely.

In this case, the Americans can ‘dump’ Ukraine by stopping giving it money and weapons.

Alternatively, they can return 2 trillion in ‘Russian deposits’ and give up not all of Ukraine, but only its left-bank part. But they will not give the money back. We will have to take territory instead.

Russia, having received all of Ukraine, is unlikely to immediately restore power to all of its territory, but will open the borders to exit. If another 10 million people leave Ukraine without heat and light, it will be economically feasible to take the remaining 10 million people along with the territory ‘back to their home port’.

07.07.2024

Shooter at Trump

‘Rifle and pistol shooting’ is a sport that exists.

To achieve the lowest level, third category, from a rifle at a distance of 100 meters, one needs to hit the target four out of five times. Children from the age of 10 are permitted to try to pass the third category.

Thomas Matthew Crooks was a 20-year-old bright young man who was one of 20 recipients of a $500 Star Award for excellence in science from the National Math and Science Initiative. So he wasn’t exactly an idiot.

Some publications claim he was an active shooter.

He fired 5 to 8 times, killed one person, seriously wounded two,[510] but ‘missed’ Trump.

How is it possible to fire a rifle 5 times at a stationary target at 130 meters and not hit it once? Without being an idiot and having some shooting experience?

He probably wasn’t shooting at Trump. When we know the identities of the slain man and the victims, a lot will become clearer.

Which parties stand to gain from this situation?

1. Trump himself. There is a strong possibility that he will win the election. This version appears to be effective, including the detail that Pennsylvania is where Rockefeller initiated his oil business and that Exxon Mobil, a Trump supporter, is one of the ‘Seven Sisters’.

2. The forces betting on a civil war.

а. The Fed and the banks it owns have already sucked more than a trillion dollars out of the US government budget in interest payments on government bonds. Now they need a crisis to buy up assets on the cheap. If this option is ‘viable’, Trump will surely be killed. By a drone fired from a distance of 10 kilometers or by a mortar from a few kilometers. But he will certainly not live. After the second, already successful assassination attempt on Trump, America will face civil war, crisis and ‘redistribution of wealth’. Then the organizer will be the United States Secret Service itself, long and closely connected with the US Treasury and the Fed.

b. In the event of a civil war in the US, the war in Ukraine will simply end due to US domestic problems, and Europe and Japan will stop buying expensive US gas and will have access to cheap Russian gas and the Russian market for goods. The benefits to them will be enormous. So I would not dismiss the version of the organization of the terrorist attack by the intelligence services (or private intelligence companies) of Europe and Japan.

14.07.2024

List of References Used

Specialized references in Russian

1. Anikeyev A. A. NSDAP: ideologiya, struktura i funktsii [NSDAP: ideology, structure and functions] / A. A. Anikeyev, G. I. Kol’ga, N. Ye. Pukhovskaya. — Stavropol: Izd-vo SGU, 2001. 323 p.

2. Aviatsiya: entsiklopediya [Aviation: encyclopedia] / edited by G. P. Svishchev. — Moskow: Bol’shaya rossiyskaya entsiklopediya, 1994. 736 p.

3. Bacho Ya. Natsizm: ot triumfa do eshafota [Bácsó J. Nazism: from triumph to the scaffold] / trans. from Hungarian by V. S. Ivanov. — Moscow: Yauza, Eksmo, 2004. 544 p.

4. Basin Ya.Z. Yevreyskiy vopros i emigratsionnaya politika Germanii i SShA v 1933−38 gg. [The Jewish Question and the Emigration Policy of Germany and the USA in 1933–38] / Ya. Basin // Zametki po yevreyskoy istorii [Notes on Jewish Histor y]: online portal. — 2009. Oktyabr’ magazine (No. 16 [119]).

5. Blizhnevostochnaya politika velikikh derzhav i arabo-izrail’skiy konflikt: monografiya [The Middle East policy of the great powers and the Arab-Israeli conflict]. Monograph in 2 volumes, V. 2 / edited by O. A. Kolobov. — Nizhniy Novgorod: ISI NNGU, 2008. 623 p.

6. Damaskin I.A. Sto velikikh razvedchikov [One Hundred Great Intelligence Officers] / Moscow: Veche, 2001. 526 p. [illustrations, portraits (100 Great men)]

7. Ferten Kh. V ogne Vostochnogo fronta : vospominaniya dobrovol’tsa voysk SS [Verton Hendrik In the Fire of the Eastern. Front: Memories of a Volunteer of the SS Troops]; translated from English by M. Sviridenkova. — Moscow: Yauza-press, 2008. 446 p.

8. Fursov A.I. Vodorazdel. Budushcheye, kotoroye uzhe nastupilo [The Future That Has Already Arrived] / Moscow: Knizhny mir, 2018. 348 p. (chart [1]).

9. Fursov A.I. Mirovaya bor’ba. Anglosaksy protiv planety [World Struggle. Anglo-Saxons against the Planet] / Moscow: Knizhnyy mir, 2020. 2nd ed., expanded. 521 p., (tables [2]) — (Games of the World Elites).

10. Grotov G. Reykhsmarshal Gering [Reichsmarschall Göering] / Moscow: Veche, 2005. 473 p., charts [4] , pictures [8] — («Zagadki Tret’yego reykha» [‘Mysteries of the Third Reich’ book series]).

11. Istoriya Vtoroy Mirovoy Voyny. 1939−1945.T.2. [History of the Second World War. 1939–1945. Vol. 2.]. Moscow: Voyennoye izdatel’stvo ministerstva oborony SSSR, 1974.

12. Itogi Vtoroy mirovoy voyny. Vyvody pobezhdennykh [Results of the Second World War. Conclusions of the vanquished]. St Petersburg: Poligon; Moscow: AST, 1999. 634 p. (illustrations, maps). Ivanov S.V. Messerschmitt Bf 109. Chast’ 2. [Messerschmitt Bf 109. Part 2] / Ivanov S.V. Voyna v vozdukhe [War in the Air]. 2001. No. 59.

13. Kak kovalsya germanskiy mech. Promyshlenny potentsial Tret’yego reykha [How the German Sword Was Forged. Industrial Potential of the Third Reich] / [ed. M.Chernov; translated from German by G.V. Smirnov, V.M. Shastitko]. Moscow: Yauza: EKSMO, 2006. 605 p. (chart [1], pictures, portraits [16]).

14. Lota V. Uvidet’ krasnyy svet [See the red light] // Rossiyskoye voyennoye obozreniye.[Russian military review] 2008. No. 6–7.

15. Olson M. Diktatura, demokratiya i razvitiye [Dictatorship, Democracy, and Development] // Ekonomicheskaya politika. 2010. No. 1.

16. Rozanov G. L. Germaniya pod vlast’yu fashizma (1933−1939 gg.) [Germany under the rule of fascism (1933–1939)] / Moscow: IMO, 1961. 503 p.

17. Shakht Ya. Glavny finansist Tret’yego reykha. Priznaniya starogo lisa. 1923−1948 [Schacht, Hjalmar, Chief Financier of the Third Reich. Confessions of an Old Fox. 1923−1948] / Translated from German by L.A. Igorevskiy. — Moscow: Tsentrpoligraf, 2011. 510 p. (chart [1], pictures, portraits). — (Behind the Front Line. Memoirs).

18. Solonin M. Kak Sovetskiy Soyuz pobedil v voyne — chast’ III [How the Soviet Union won the war — part III] // Voyenno-promyshlennyy kur’yer. 2015. No. 23 (589).

19. Taleb N.N. Antikhrupkost’. Kak izvlech’ vygodu iz khaosa [Antifragility. How to Profit from Chaos] / trans. from English by N. Karayev. Moscow: KoLibri : Azbuka-Attikus, 2015. 762 p.

20. Terent’yev N.V. Sravnitel’nyy analiz sistem obespecheniya goryuchim Krasnoy armii i vermakhta [Comparative analysis of fuel supply systems of the Red Army and the Wehrmacht] // Vestnik Voyennoy Akademii material’no-tekhnicheskogo obespecheniya im. generala armii A. V. Khrulyova. 2018. No. 3 (15). P. 88.

21. Utkin A.I. Vtoraya mirovaya voyna [World War II] / Moscow: Eksmo, Algoritm, 2003. 957 p. (chart [2]). — (History of Russia. Modern view).

22. Yelishev S. O. Obyknovennyy natsizm: gitlerizm kak geopoliticheskiy proyekt anglosaksonskoy elity [Ordinary Nazism: Hitlerism as a Geopolitical Project of the Anglo-Saxon Elite] / Moscow: Predstavitel’naya vlast’ — XXI vek: zakonodatel’stvo, kommentarii, problemy. 2016, No 1–2 (144–145). P. 48–58.

23. Zalesskiy K. A. Voyennaya elita Germanii. 1870−1945 [Military elite of Germany. 1870−1945]. Encyclopedic reference book. Moscow: Veche, 2011. 558 p., chart [1], color pictures portraits [12].

24. Zigfrida liniya [Siegfried line]. Voyennyy entsiklopedicheskiy slovar’ [Military encyclopedic dictionary] / Yu. T. Aver’yanov [et al.]// Moscow: ONIKS 21 vek, 2002.

Specialized references in foreign languages

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2. Brenner L. Zionism in the Age of the Dictators / Publisher Croom Helm Ltd., Britain, 1983.

3. Ellis J. World War II — the Essential Facts and Figures for All the Combatants. Facts on File (1993).

4. Jungbluth R. Die Quandts: ihr leiser Aufstieg zur mächtigsten Wirtschaftsdynastie Deutschlands / R. Jungbluth. — Frankfurt/Main; New York: Campus, 2002.

5. Mills E. Census of Palestine 1931 / E. Mills. — Jerusalem: The Greek Convent & Goldberg Presses, 1932.

6. Nicosia F. R. The Third Reich and the Palestine Question / F. R. Nicosia. — 2nd ed. — New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 2000.

7. Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada.

8. Speer Albert Inside the Third Reich. New York The Macmillan Company, 1970.

9. The Transfer Agreement: The Untold Story of the Secret Between the Third Reich and Jewish Palestine / E. Black. — Washington D.C.: Dialog Press, 2009.

10. Tooze Adam The Wages of Destruction: The Making and Breaking of the Nazi Economy, 2006, Publisher Allen Lane — Viking Penguin.

11. Tucker S. C., Roberts P. Aliya, Fifth // Encyclopedia of the Arab-Israeli Conflict: A Political, Social and Military History, by S.C. Tucker and P. Roberts. — Santa Barbara, California: ABC-CLIO, 2008. — Vol. I.

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3. Amerikanskiy VVP zamedlil rost [US GDP growth has slowed] — Text: electronic // Kommersant”: website. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5785939 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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54. Lebedev S. Amerika protiv Anglii. Chast’ 4. Kak Dallas i Papen Gitlera k vlasti priveli [America versus Britain. Part 4. How Dallas and Papen Brought Hitler to Power] / Lebedev S. — Text: electronic // Voyennoye obozreniye [Military Review]: website. — URL: https://topwar.ru/41153-amerika-protiv-anglii-chast-4-kakdallas-i-papen-gitlera-k-vlasti-priveli.html (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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58. Leonov A. Dorozhe istrebitelya pyatogo pokoleniya. Chem tak khorosh F-16 Block 70/72? [More expensive than a fifth-generation fighter. What’s so good about the F-16 Block 70/72?] / A. Leonov. — Text: electronic // Rossiyskaya gazeta. — URL: https://rg.ru/2019/07/30/dorozhe-istrebitelia-piatogo-pokoleniia-chem-tak-horosh-f-16-block-7072.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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122. Vlasti Shymkenta zayavili, chto provokatory besporyadkov poluchali den’gi za uchastiye v pogromakh [The Shymkent authorities stated that the instigators of the riots received money for participating in the pogroms]. — Text: electronic // TASS: information agency. — URL: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/13371337?ysclid=l7oxlisiux734579218 (Retrieved on September 4, 2022.)

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Notes

1. Magda Goebbels// Academician. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/628855 (Retrieved on June 28, 2022). See also: Berkovich E. M. The First Lady of the Third Reich and her Jewish stepfather // Notes on Jewish History]: network portal. — URL: https://berkovich-zametki.com/AStarina/Nomer9/MagdaGe.htm#x8 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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2. Günther Quandt (born 28 July 1881 in Pritzwalk — died 30 December 1954 in Cairo) was a German industrialist and entrepreneur. He served as the leader of the Wehrwirtschaft (military economy) from 1937. He founded the industrial empire that today includes BMW and Altana. He was married twice, the second time to Magda Friedländer (1921–1929), who later became Magda Goebbels after marrying Joseph Goebbels. Source: Quandt, Günther // Akademik [Academician]. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1805474 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.) Jungbluth, R. Die Quandts: ihr leiser Aufstieg zur mächtigsten Wirtschaftsdynastie Deutschlands. Frankfurt/Main; New York: Campus Publishers, 2002.

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3. Berkovich E. M. The First Lady of the Third Reich and her Jewish stepfather // Notes on Jewish History: network portal. — URL: https://berkovich-zametki.com/AStarina/Nomer9/MagdaGe.htm#x8 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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4. Antonov V. The Darling of the Third Reich. Magda Goebbels // URL: http://vilavi.ru/sud/310106/310106.shtml (Retrieved on July 10, 2023.)

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5. Quandt, Günter // Akademik [Academician]. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1805474 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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6. See: Berkovich, Op. cit.

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7. Op. cit.

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8. Op. cit.

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9. See: Berkovich, Op. cit.

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10. Deviless. Magda Goebbels: The Story of Her Love and Betrayal // Zhemchuzhiny mysli [Pearls of Thought]. — URL: https://www.inpearls.ru/642139 (Retrieved on July 10, 2023).

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11. Magda Goebbels // Academician. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/628855 (Retrieved on June 28, 2022).

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12. Deutsche Bank's business volume during the war grew from 4.184 billion Reichsmarks in 1939 to 11.374 billion in 1944. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada 2017.

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13. Now it is known as VARTA. During World War II, it produced batteries for tanks and submarines. Towards the end of the war, it also produced V-2 rockets. See: Pauwels, Jacques, Op. cit.

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14. Quandt, Günter. Op. cit.

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15. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Op. cit.

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16. Arlosoroff, Haim // Academician. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1667492 (Retrieved on June 25, 2022.)

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17. The Haavara Agreement (Heb. , transcription: heském haavará, translation: The Ha'avara Transfer Agreement) was signed on August 25, 1933, after three months of discussions between the Zionist Federation of Germany, the Anglo-Palestine Bank (acting under the direction of the Jewish Agency, now Bank Leumi, Heb. , literally ‘National Bank’), and the German Ministry of Economics. The purpose of the agreement was to facilitate the emigration of German Jews to Palestine. See: Haavara Agreement // [Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (accessed 26.06.2022). See also: Middle East policy of the great powers and the Arab-Israeli conflict, monograph in 2 vol., Vol. 2 / ed. by Academician Kolobov O.A. Nizhny Novgorod: ISI NNGU, 2008. P. 80–82, 128–132 (In Russian); Basin Y. Z. Jewish Question and Emigration Policy of Germany and the USA in 1933−38 // Notes on Jewish History. Oktyabr magazine, 2009 (Issue 16 (119)). (In Russian).

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18. Arlosoroff, Haim. // Academician. (Retrieved on June 25, 2022.)

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19. See: Brenner L. Zionism in the Age of the Dictators / Publisher Croom Helm Ltd., Britain, 1983.

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20. See: Bauer Y. The Haavarah agreement for emigration from Germany to Palestine // My brother’s keeper; a history of the American Jewish Joint Distribution Committee, 1929−1939. Philadelphia: JPS, 1974. Cited from Haavara Agreement // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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21. Haavara Agreement // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.); See also: Basin Y. Z. Jewish Question and Emigration Policy of Germany and the USA in 1933–38 // Notes on Jewish History. Oktyabr magazine, 2009 (Issue 16 (119)), (In Russian).

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22. Nicosia F. R. The Third Reich and the Palestine Question / 2nd еd. New Brunswick, NJ: Transaction Publishers, 2000. Cited from: Haavarah Agreement Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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23. Black Е. The The Transfer Agreement: The Untold Story of the Secret Between the Third Reich and Jewish Palestine. Washington D. C.: Dialog Press, 2009. Cited from: Soglasheniye Khaavara // Havara Agreement: Vikipediya [Wikipedia]: free encyclopedia. URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022).

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24. Tucker, Spencer C., Roberts, Priscilla. Aliya, Fifth // Encyclopedia of the Arab — Israeli Conflict, The: A Political, Social, and Military History: A Political, Social, and Military History. — Santa Barbara, California: ABC-CLIO, 2008. Vol. I. P. 90. 1553 p. Cited from: Wikipedia: free encyclopedia // Haavara Agreement. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022).

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25. Mills E. Census of Palestine 1931. Jerusalem: The Greek Convent & Goldberg Presses, 1932. P. 12. Cited from: Haavara Agreement // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Соглашение_Хаавара (Retrieved on June 26, 2022).

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26. Ibid.

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27. Poltorak A. I. Nuremberg Epilogue. — URL: http://militera.lib.ru/memo/russian/poltorak_ai/02.html (Retrieved on July 10, 2023.)

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28. Zalesskiy K. A. Military elite of Germany. 1870−1945: encyclopedic reference. Moscow: Veche, 2011. P. 345, (In Russian).

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29. Ibid.

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30. Zalesskiy K. A. Military elite of Germany. 1870−1945: encyclopedic reference. Moscow: Veche, 2011. P. 345, (In Russian).

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31. Management according to the four-year plan // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Управление_по_четырёхлетнему_плану (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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32. Zalesskiy K.A. Op. cit. P. 347.

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33. Anikeyev A. A., Kolga G. I., Pukhovskaya N. Ye. NSDAP: ideology, structure and functions. P. 143. (In Russian).

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34. Management according to the four-year plan …. See also: History of the Second World War. 1939‒1945. Vol. 2. Moscow: Ministry of Defence of the USSR Publishers 1974. (In Russian).

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35. Anikeyev A. A., Kolga G. I., Pukhovskaya N. Ye. Op. cit. P. 143.

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36. Ibid.

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37. Zalesskiy K. A. Op. cit. P. 347.

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38. Reichswerke Hermann Göring. — URL: https://ru.zahn-info-portal.de/wiki/Reichswerke_Hermann_Göring (Retrieved on July 10, 2023.)

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39. Fursov A. I., World Struggle. Anglo-Saxons against the Planet. Moscow: Knizhnyy mir Publishers, P. 296, 2020. (In Russian).

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40. Zalesskiy K. A. Op. cit. P. 347.

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41. The Chief Financier of the Third Reich. Confessions of an Old Fox. 1923−1948, translated from German into Russian by Igorevsky L. A., Moscow: Centerpoligraf Publishers, 2011. P. 359.

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42. Bacso J. Nazism: from triumph to the scaffold / Trans. from Hungarian.into Russian by Ivanov V. S., Moscow: Yauza; Eksmo Publishers, 2004. P. 81.

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43. Ilyina O. Are Hitler and corruption incompatible? // The first anti-corruption media outlet. — URL: https://pasmi.ru/archive/99154/ (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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44. Milch Erhard // Academician. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1036944?ysclid=l4zhaoubxy537363988 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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45. Ibid.

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46. Grotov G. Reichsmarschall Goering. Moscow: Veche, 2005. P. 234−236. Milch Erhard] // Academician. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1036944?ysclid=l4zhaoubxy537363988 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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47. Tooze A. The Wages of Destruction: The Making and Breaking of the Nazi Economy. New York: Viking, 2006.

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48. Tooze A. Op. cit.

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49. Junkers // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Junkers (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.) See also: Aviation: encyclopedia / ed. by Svishchev G. P., Great Russian Encyclopedia, Moscow 1994. P. 677–678.

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50. See: Pauwels Jacques R Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada.

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51. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Op. cit.

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52. Heinkel, Ernst // Akademik [Academician]. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/233985. See also: Aviation: encyclopedia / ed. by Svishchev G. P. Great Russian Encyсlopedia, Moscow. 1994. P. 640.

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53. Aviation: encyclopedia. Op. cit. P. 640.

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54. Results and Consequences of the Air War in World War II: Translation of a chapter from the classic East German book: Olaf Groeler, Geschichte des Luftkriegs, 1910–1980, Berlin, 1981. — URL: https://slon-76.livejournal.com/204298.html (Retrieved on July 10, 2023.)

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55. See: Albert Speer Inside the Third Reich, translated from German by Richard Winston and Clara Winston, New York The Macmillan Company, 1970 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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56. How the German Sword Was Forged. Industrial Potential of the Third Reich (Die Deutsche Industrie Im Kriege 1939−1945) Trans. from German by Smirnova G., Shastitko V. Moscow: Yauza; EKSMO, 2006. P. 258−259.

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57. Verton H. In the Fire of the Eastern Front: The Experiences of a Dutch Waffen-SS Volunteer, 1941–45, (See: Chapter 6.) Stackpole Books, 2010.

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58. Military encyclopedic dictionary / Averyanov Yu. T. et al. Moscow: ONIKS the 21st century, 2002. P. 368. (In Russian).

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59. Shkondini-Duyunovskiy A. V. Indestructible ‘monuments’ to Hitler // Samizdat: zhurnal. — URL: http://samlib.ru/a/aristah_w_s/dosh.shtml (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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60. See: Results of the Second World War. Conclusions of the Vanquished. St.Petersburg: Poligon; Moscow: AST, 1998. Cited from Militera (Voyennaya literatura). — URL: http://militera.lib.ru/h/ergos/18.html?ysclid=l4ya70uhag973727627 (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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61. See: Ibid.

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62. Utkin A. I. The Second World War, Moscow: Algoritm, 2002. P. 168. (In Russian).

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63. See: Wagenfuhr Rolf Die Deutsche Industrie Im Kriege 1939−1945. Publisher. Duncker & Humblot, 2006.

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64. Solonin M. How the Soviet Union Won the War. Part III // Cited from the newspaper Voyenno-promyshlennyy kuriyer. 2015. No 23 (589). — URL: https://www.vpk-news.ru/articles/25776 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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65. Solonin M. Op. cit. // Mark Solonin: personal website of the historian. — URL: https://www.solonin.org/ru/article_kak-sovetskiy-soyuz-pobedil-v/print (Rerieved on June 27, 2022.)

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66. Shkondini-Duyunovskiy A. V. Op. cit.

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67. During the entire war, the Reich lost 21,452 combatants (see Ellis J. World War II — The Essential Facts and Figures for All Combatants. Facts on File. 1993. P. 258) with the price of the Messerschmitt-109 being 85,000 Reichsmarks (See: Ivanov S.V. Messerschmitt Bf 109. Part 2 // Periodical Voyna v vozdukhe. No. 59, 2001. Cited from: Militera [Military literature]. — URL: https://military.wikireading.ru/21550 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022); See also: Aviation: Encyclopedia / ed. Svishchev G.P. Moscow: Great Russian Encyclopedia, 1994. pp. 336–337). Given the costs associated with airfields, ammunition, and pilot training, the Luftwaffe has the potential to produce more than 30,000 fighters, thereby achieving and maintaining complete and guaranteed air superiority.

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68. And that means new contracts!

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69. See: Results of the Second World War. Conclusions of the Vanquished. Op. cit.

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70. See: Speer Albert Inside the Third Reich. Translated from German into English by Richard Winston and Clara Winston, New York The Macmillan Company, 1970.

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71. Rudenko M. S. Bridge across the Kerch Strait // Transport ways construction. 1991. No. 6. Cited from: Russian trace in world history. — URL: http://ru-sled.ru/pochemu-razrushilsya-pervyj-krymskij-most-v-1945-godu/ (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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72. See: Results of the Second World War. Op. cit.

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73. Ibid.

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74. Ibid.

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75. Fjodorov Ye. Albert Speer. The Man Who Did Not Save the Third Reich // Voyennoye obozreniye. [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/165199-albert-shpeer-chelovek-kotoryj-tak-i-ne-spas-tretij-rejh.html?ysclid=l4yb8nnoai955083713 (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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76. Ibid.

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77. See: Fjodorov Ye. Op. cit.

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78. Op. cit.

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79. See: Speer Albert. Op. cit.

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80. Poltorak A. I. Nuremberg Epilogue. — URL: http://militera.lib.ru/memo/russian/poltorak_ai/03.html (Retrieved on July 10, 2023.)

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81. Every concentration or death camp had an IBM office called the Hollerith Abteilung [Hollerith Division]. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada.

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82. Ibid.

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83. Lend-lease for Hitler // Voyennoye obozreniye. [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/35451-lend-liz-dlya-gitlera.html (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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84. Lend-lease for Hitler. Op. сit.

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85. Lend-lease for Hitler. Op. cit.

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86. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler.

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87. Ibid.

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88. Rubtsov Yu. Hitler took a loan for the world war from America. — URL: https://svpressa.ru/war/article/13438/ (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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89. Dubrovskiy A. Lend-Lease versus Lend-Lease // Proza.ru. — URL: https://proza.ru/2018/05/16/2000 (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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90. Ibid.

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91. Lend-lease for Hitler. Op. cit.

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92. Lerner I. Germany Should Not Be Responsible for Unleashing World War II Alone // The World and Us. — URL: https://www. worldandwe.com/ru/page/germaniya_ne_dolzhna_odna_otvechat_za_razvyazyvanie_vtoroy_mirovoy_voyny.html (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.) See also: Yelishev S. O. Ordinary Nazism: Hitlerism as a Geopolitical Project of the Anglo-Saxon Elite // magazine Predstavitel’naya vlast’ — XXI vek: zakonodatel’stvo, kommentarii, problemy. [Representative authorities -21 century: the law, comments, questions] 2016. No. 1–2 (144–145). P. 48−58. (In Russian).

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93. Leguyenko M. The world has lost one of its two ‘secret masters’// Ridus. — URL: https://www.ridus.ru/news/247875 (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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94. See: Rubtsov Yu. Hitler took a loan for the world war from America. See also: Yelishev S. O. Ordinary Nazism: Hitlerism as a Geopolitical Project of the Anglo-Saxon Elite.

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95. Ibid.

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96. Rozanov G. L. Germany under the rule of fascism (1933−1939). Moscow: IMO, 1961. P. 26–27. Cited from: Lebedev S. America against Britain. Part 4. How Dallas and Papen Brought Hitler to Power // Voyennoye obozreniye.[Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/41153-amerika-protiv-anglii-chast-4-kak-dallas-i-papengitlera-k-vlasti-priveli.html (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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97. Rozanov G. L. Germany under the rule of fascism (1933−1939). Op. сit.

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98. See: Lerner I. Germany Should Not Be Responsible for Unleashing World War II Alone. Op. cit.

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99. Dubrovskiy A. Op. сit.

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100. Skupov B. A. Trading with the enemy — business American style // Stroitel’nyy ekspert. [Building expert]. — URL: https://ardexpert.ru/article/18266 (Retrieved on July 12, 2023.)

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101. See: Lend-lease for Hitler. Op. cit.

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102. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada.

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103. See: Lend-lease for Hitler. Op. cit.

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104. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler. Op. cit.

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105. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Op. cit.

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106. Ibid.

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107. Skupov B. A. Op. cit.

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108. See: Yelishev S. O. Ordinary Nazism: Hitlerism as a Geopolitical Project of the Anglo-Saxon Elite. Op. cit.

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109. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Op. cit.

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110. Lebedev S. America against Britain. Part 3. The Great Turning Point. Op. cit.

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111. Volchek G. Synthetics on blood // Neftyanka. — URL: http://neftianka.ru/sintetika-na-krovi/ (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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112. See: Pauwels Jacques R. Big Business and Hitler. Op. cit.

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113. Skupov B. A. Trading with the enemy — business American style. — URL: https://ardexpert.ru/article/18266 (Retrieved on June 26, 2022.)

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114. Ibid.

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115. Ibid.

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116. Stankevichyus A. Economy of the Third Reich: Examples and Figures // Boosty.to — URL: https://boosty.to/stankevichyus/posts/5b1ff6e5-8231-4e53-afdc-5e6a6159a5e2 (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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117. See The Wages of Destruction: The Making and Breaking of the Nazi Economy. New York: Viking, 2006.

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118. Ibid.

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119. Volchek G. Op. cit.

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120. Warburg, Max // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Варбург,_Макс (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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121. Ibid.

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122. Verkhoturov D. How the Allies Helped Us. About the Strange History of the Destruction of German Synthetic Fuel Plants // Centenary: information and analytical publication of the Historical Perspective Foundation. — URL: https://www.stoletie.ru/territoriya_istorii/kak_sojuzniki_nam_pomogali_186.htm (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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123. IG Farben // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/IG_Farben (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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124. Fuel situation in Nazi Germany in the period 1933–1945 // AfterShock. — URL: https://aftershock.news/?q=node/376230&full (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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125. Ibid.

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126. Ibid.

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127. Fuel situation in Nazi Germany in the period 1933–1945. Op. cit.

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128. See: Volchek G. Op. cit.

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129. Ibid.

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130. Ibid.

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131. See: Verkhoturov D. Op. cit.

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132. See: Verkhoturov D. Op. cit.

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133. See: Volchek G. Op. cit.

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134. Terentyev N. V. Comparative analysis of fuel supply systems of the Red Army and the Wehrmacht // Vestnik of the Military Academy of Logistics named in honor of the General of the Army A. V. Khrulev. 2018. No. 3 (15). P. 88.

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135. Stankevichyus A. Op. cit.

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136. See: Pauwels J. R. Op. cit.

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137. Fuel Situation in Nazi Germany, 1933–1945. Op. cit.

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138. See: Volchek G. Op. cit.

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139. See: Results of the Second World War. Conclusions of the defeated. Op. cit.

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140. See: Uymanov A. V. Some economic indicators of the Second World War // ArtOfWar. — URL: http://artofwar.ru/u/ujmanow_a_w/text_0050.shtml (Retrieved on June 28, 2022.)

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141. As of August 10, 2020.

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142. See: Speer Albert Inside the Third Reich. Op. cit.

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143. On hyperinflation in the Weimar Republic and a quick victory over it // AfterShosk. — URL: https://aftershock.news/?q=node/355458&full (Retrieved on June 28, 2022.)

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144. Ibid.

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145. Hjalmar Schacht // Akademik. — URL: https://dic.academic.ru/dic.nsf/ruwiki/1220695?ysclid=l4ymfmxjvs 625246422 (Retrieved on June 28, 2022.)

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146. See: Fursov A. I. Watershed. The Future That Has Already Arrived. Moscow: Knizhnyy mir, 2018. P. 74. (In Russian).

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147. Negative and positive political corruption // Website of Gribov A.Yu. — URL: http://www.gribov.ru/politicheskaya_korruptsiya.html#klichko (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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148. 120 US military operations over the past 70 years // Smart Lab. — URL: https://smart-lab.ru/blog/794123.php (Retrieved on June 29, 2022.)

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149. Negative and positive political corruption // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: http://www.gribov.ru/politicheskaya_korruptsiya.html#narkoseti (Retrieved on June 27, 2022.)

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150. Ibid.

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151. Damaskin I. A. One Hundred Great Intelligence Officers. Moscow: Veche, 2001. // «LITLIFE». — URL: https://litlife.club/books/112504/read (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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152. Stationary bandit Theory // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stationary_bandit_theory (Retrieved on September 05, 2022.). See also: Olson M. Dictatorship, democracy and development // The American Political Science Review, Vol. 87, No. 3 (Sep., 1993), pp. 567–576.

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153. Ibid.

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154. According to expert estimates, at the moment, all the property of Russian investors placed through offshore banks, real estate and securities is close to the amount of $2,000,000,000,000 (2 trillion) dollars.

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155. In the image of the German denazification from 1945 to 1961, when the Nazis were given ‘what they deserved’: imprisonment, ‘professional ban’, etc.

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156. ‘We are coming for your ill-gotten wealth,’ the American president noted. See: [Biden warned ‘Russian oligarchs’ of the intention to take away their yachts] // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/02/03/2022/621eda389a7947477577bea7?from=from_main_7 (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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157. TASS quoted Shyngys Mukan, first deputy head of the Shymkent city administration, as saying on the Khabar-24 television channel that Shymkent authorities stated that the instigators of the riots received money for participating in the pogroms // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/mezhdunarodnaya-panorama/13371337?ysclid=l7oxlisiux734579218 (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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158. The Ministry of Internal Affairs called on citizens not to respond to provocations on the Internet with calls for terrorism // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/obschestvo/13918509?ysclid=l7oyp76r1f392664372 (Retrieved on September 05, 2022.)

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159. Ibid.

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160. Ibid.

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161. Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?// Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: http://www.gribov.ru/ukraina.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2022.) See also this edition.

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162. US Senators Propose Transferring Seized Russian Assets to Ukraine // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/29/03/2022/6242693e9a79472ff0287bce (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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163. The data are provided based on information from the publication: List of countries by natural gas exports // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_экспорту_и_импорту_природного_газа (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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164. The data are provided based on information from the publication: List of oil exporting countries // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_импорту_и_экспорту_нефти (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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165. Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why?/ Op. cit.

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166. Orekhin P. Remember everything // Gazeta.Ru. — URL: https://www.gazeta.ru/business/2016/04/22/8192573.shtml?updated (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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167. Biden blocked Afghan money stored in US banks // newspaper Moskovskiy komsomolets. — URL: https://www.mk.ru/politics/2022/02/11/bayden-zablokiroval-khranyashhiesya-v-bankakh-ssha-dengi-afganistana.html (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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168. Gaddafi’s Money // Kommersant”. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/4053687 (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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169. Billions of euros have disappeared from Gaddafi’s frozen accounts // MOSKVA24 [MOSCOW24]. — URL: https://www.m24.ru/news/za-rubezhom/29102018/51880 (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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170. In addition, the US and NATO want to get rid of old weapons that require expensive disposal. The war in Ukraine allows them not to spend money on disposal, but on the contrary to get more money and test the vulnerability in a real battle with a real enemy. This is a great solution for the USA and NATO! It is not possible to deliver the weapons by sea because it is controlled by Russia. Delivery by rail will take a very long time, at least several years. Teaching the Ukrainians how to use the weapons will also take at least a year. Then the Ukrainians will have to be convinced to go to the front and die with these weapons, which is also not easy. This process will also take about five years.

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171. List of countries by GDP (PPP) // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_ВВП_(ППС) (Retrieved on May 14, 2022.)

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172. Danilov D. Rating of countries by gas reserves and production: Russia’s place in the list // Ratings and news. — URL: https://top-rf.ru/places/109-rejting-stran-gaz.html (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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173. Who will make money from the Ukraine war, how much and when? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/kto_zarabotaet_na_ukrainskoy_voyne.html (Retrieved on June 20, 2023). See also this edition.

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174. List of countries by natural gas production // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_добыче_природного_газа (Retrieved on September 05, 2022.)

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175. How gas exchange prices broke all records in 2021 and caused inflation to rise // Forbes. — URL: https://www.forbes.ru/biznes/451215-kak-v-2021-m-birzevye-ceny-na-gaz-pobili-vse-rekordy-i-vyzvali-rost-inflacii (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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176. See: List of countries by natural gas production. Op. cit.

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177. List of countries by oil production // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Список_стран_по_добыче_нефти (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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178. Markets today. — URL: https://markets-today.ru/rate/brnusd/2021/ (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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179. See: List of countries by oil production. Op. cit.

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180. Funny Stories from Russia. — URL: https://www.anekdot.ru/id/1323781/ (Retrieved on September 04, 2022.)

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181. The Spy Whom No One Writes To: Telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/s/genshab?before=851 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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182. Aims and Objectives of the Current War // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/tseli_zadachi_tekuschey_voiny.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.) See also this edition.

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183. Oil crisis of 1973 // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Нефтяной_кризис_1973_года (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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184. Sharp edges of ‘black gold’. The history of the ‘oil needle’ in the Soviet Union // Rossiyskaya gazeta. — URL: https://rg.ru/2016/04/25/rodina-neft.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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185. Oil production // All about oil. — URL: https://vseonefti.ru/upstream/ (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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186. American aid to Israel: when, how and why? // Voyennoye obozreniye [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/120541-amerikanskaya-pomosch-izrailyu-kogda-kak-i-zachem.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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187. Unmanned underwater vehicle // Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Unmanned_underwater_vehicle (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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188. Aims and Objectives of the Current War. Op. cit. See also this edition.

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189. A mobile radio station constructed on a Ural Chassis is capable of broadcasting a ‘white noise’ signal with a power output of up to 1 kW. This is sufficient to effectively jam a low-power signal transmitted from a satellite within a radius of 50–100 km.

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190. Before perestroika, the USSR was able to jam the powerful signal of the Voice of America radio station in almost all of its territory.

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191. Skomorokhov R. Where is the Russian army anyway? // KM.RU. — URL: https://www.km.ru/v-rossii/2022/10/03/ministerstvo-oborony-rf/900473-gde-voobshche-rossiiskaya-armiya (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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192. Balakliya. Correction of War Aims and Methods of Achieving them, Advantages and Shortcomings // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://gribov.ru/balakleya_new_goal.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.) See also this edition.

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193. Balakliya. Op. cit.

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194. It’s a nice date. It’s like they ‘picked it up’ on purpose!

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195. Since the beginning of Russia’s attacks on critical infrastructure, Ukraine’s power generation has increased by 4.3%, according to calculations by JSC Ravenstvo. While Ukraine produced 260.2 GWh of electricity on October 9, it produced 271.4 GWh on October 17, according to IEA data. Previously, due to rapid deindustrialization, power plants were not working at full capacity (last year the utilization rate was 54%). It follows that additional capacity utilization will allow the restoration of generation. — URL: https://zpnews.ru/society/2022/10/19/49505.html (Retrieved on April 20. 2023.)

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196. ‘The latest available statistics for 2022 indicate that the natural population decline amounted to 543,400 people over the course of 11 months. This figure represents a decrease from the same period in 2021, when, against the backdrop of the consequences of the pandemic, the decline reached 945 thousand people.’ See: Russia’s population has decreased by 555 thousand people in a year // RBK [Ros Business Consulting]. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/01/02/2023/63da428b9a7947e741363c53 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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197. Alcohol-related mortality has increased in Russia // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/society/12/06/2021/60c3b8ec9a794772666d700e (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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198. Almost all promising missiles and bombs produced by JSC — Tactical Missiles Corporation were tested in Ukraine // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/16064645 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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199. Have a nice day, McDonalds: How Foreign Companies Are Leaving Russia // Forbes. — URL: https://www.forbes.ru/biznes/458697-privet-makdonaldsu-kak-inostrannye-kompanii-uhodat-iz-rossii (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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200. Why is Russia Prolonging the War?/ Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_russia_need_longtime_war.html (Retrieved on June 20, 2023.) See also this book.

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201. Balakliya. Correction of the War Aims and Methods of Their Achievement, Advantages and Shortcomings] // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://gribov.ru/balakleya_new_goal.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.) See also this book.

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202. ‘We can only work with data from two to three years ago, according to which about 2.8 thousand vehicles of the T-55 series, 1.6 thousand vehicles of the T-62 series, 7.5 thousand vehicles of the T-72 series, and more than 3 thousand vehicles of the T-80 series have been mothballed. About 2.2–2.3 thousand tanks of the T-64 series are also in storage.’ Fedorov Ye. More than 2 thousand T-64 tanks. Why are they still in Ukraine? // Voyennoye obozreniye [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/203720-boleedvuhtysjach-rossijskih-t-64-pochemu-oni-do-sih-por-ne-na-ukraine.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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203. For example, Geran.

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204. The only thing that did not come true, but with considerable reservations. The motor vehicle with explosives managed to blow up two spans with one explosion, not ‘herringbone down’, but ‘herringbone up’. That is, the spans collapsed not near one support, but near two different supports, and not next to each other, but through one. To any engineer who has studied the theory of strength of materials, this is a very ‘strange’ collapse.

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205. Russian historian and political analyst Andrey Zubov: ‘A victorious war unites the elite around the leader. An unsuccessful war, and an aggressive one at that, always leads to a split in the elite, to a search for the guilty, to mutual accusations, to the defection of all or almost all of them from the leader, and ultimately to the collapse of the political regime’.

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206. For more details, see: Why is Russia Prolonging the War? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_russia_need_longtime_war.html (Retreived on 20.06.2023). See also this book.

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207. See: Funny Stories from Russia. — URL: https://www.anekdot.ru/authors/?a1=Dennis#:~:text=14.04.1999%2C%20SVEZHIYe%20ANEK DOTY,okrug%20Kolumbiya%2C%20SSHA (Retrieved on June 21, 2023.)

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208. Universal Declaration of Human Rights 1948 // Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Universal_Declaration_of_Human_Rights (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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209. Ibid.

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210. Americans think that chocolate milk comes from “brown cows,” while Danish children think that carrots grow on trees // INOSMI. — URL: http://inosmi.ru/social/20170625/239635082.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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211. A saying coined by my wife Maria.

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212. This figure was presented to students of the Faculty of Law at Moscow State University during lectures on sociology. However, there is considerable controversy among scientists regarding the reliability of this figure. Some scientists employ statistical methods, while others use mathematical methods, most often relying on the standard deviation of a normal distribution. The present work will not delve into this debate. Instead, it will be based on this figure.

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213. Dorogina O. I. Neurophysiology: a textbook // Ministry of Science and Higher Education of the Rus. Federation, Ural. Federal University. Yekaterinburg: Izd-vo Ural. un-ta, 2019. — URL: https://elar.urfu.ru/bitstream/10995/77151/1/978-5-7996-2619-8_2019.pdf (Retrieved on June 21, 2023.)

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214. The Smartest Dog Breeds. Top 26 (with photos) // URL: http://topmira.com/priroda/item/19-samye-umnye-sobaki (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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215. Gribov A. Yu. Op. cit. (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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216. The birthplace of L. P. Beria.

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217. Samodelova S. Our Himmler // Moskovskiy komsomolets. Newspaper. —URL: https://www.mk.ru/editions/daily/article/2004/02/04/119887-nash-gimmler.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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218. Polkanov V. D., Titova Ye. A., Nabatova N. N. Causes of the Defeat of the Red Army in the First Period of the Great Patriotic War // Okskiy nauchnyy vestnik. 2011. No. 3 (96). Cited from Kiberleninka. — URL: https://cyberleninka.ru/article/n/prichiny-porazheniya-krasnoy-armii-v-pervyy-period-velikoy-otechestvennoy-voyny (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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219. Lota V. See the Red Light // Rossiyskoye voyennoye obozreniye. 2008. No. 6–7.

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220. Ibid.

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221. Lota V. Op. cit.

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222. It was on them that the famous pilot Pokryshkin fought.

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223. The Great War. Episode 14. Partisans (Produced by: StarMedia. Babich-Design.) — URL: https://rutube.ru/video/98fb1adb7c14d0601bd0abae25fadf3a/ (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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224. Ibid.

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225. See: The central headquarters is partisan. The material was prepared by the Research Institute of Military History of the Military Academy of the General Staff of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation // Website of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation. — URL: https://mil.ru/winner_may/history/more.htm?id=11203644%40cmsArticle (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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226. Shpakovskiy V. Firing Squad Discipline // Voyennoye obozreniye. [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/189945-rasstrelnaja-disciplina.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.).

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227. Shpakovskiy V. Op. cit.

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228. Ibid.

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229. Senator Graham may face criminal charges // Vesti.Ru. — URL: https://www.vesti.ru/article/2684782 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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230. Kill Putin: Washington believed that it had created the ultimate weapon // Politinformatsiya. [Political Information]. — URL: https://politinform.su/153534-ubit-putina-vashington-poveril-chto-sozdal-absoljutnoe-oruzhie.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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231. All figures should be verified in scientific circles, such as the geology departments of various universities, before being filmed.

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232. ‘Preserving Ukraine as a state is not in the US plans.’ Secretary of the Russian Security Council Nikolai Patrushev on the safest places on Earth and the confrontation with the West //newspaper Izvestiya.Ru. — URL: https://iz.ru/1504870/viktor-filippov/sokhranenie-ukrainy-v-kachestve-gosudarstva-v-plany-ssha-ne-vkhodit (Retrieved on June 21, 2023.)

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233. Russia’s population has decreased by 555 thousand people in a year // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/01/02/2023/63da428b9a7947e741363c53 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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234. Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko said his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin had ‘stopped all coronaviruses in the world’. See: Lukashenko told Putin that he had ‘immediately stopped the pandemic’ // Vesti.Ru. — URL: https://www.vesti.ru/article/2703233 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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235. Fertility and mortality in Russia // Zdrav.Expert. — URL: https://zdrav.expert/index.php/Статья:Рождаемость_и_смертность_в_России (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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236. In Ukraine, the mortality rate has increased by 2.5 times: how much population has been lost in a year // NovostiUA.net. — URL: http://novostiua.net/zdorove/128123-v-ukrainev-25-raza-vyrosla-smertnost-skolko-poteryanno-naseleniya-za-god.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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237. This is reported by the Opendatabot service.

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238. For more details, see the article List of Oddities in the War in Ukraine // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/spisok_strannostei.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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239. Telegram channel ZeRada. — URL: https://t.me/ZeRada1/11571 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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240. İddia: MOSSAD’a göre Ukrayna ve Rusya kayıpları // Hürseda Haber. — URL: https://hurseda.net/gundem/246987-iddia-mossad-a-gore-ukrayna-ve-rusyakayiplari.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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241. The Ministry of Defense pays an additional 7,800 rubles per day for participation in military operations in Donbass // newspaper Komsomolkaya pravda. — URL: https://www.kp.ru/daily/27449.5/4652082/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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242. Ravenstvo. Media telegram-kanal. — URL: https://t.me/ravenstvomedia/155 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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243. Johann Wolfgang von Goethe. Faust. Part I, Scene IV. Translated into English by A. S. Kline © 2003 All Rights Reserved.

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244. V. I. Lenin, Once Again On the Trade Unions, the Current Situation And the Mistakes Of Comrades Trotsky And Bukharinе, A Collection of Documents, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1972 (In English).

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245. Superprofits of the Top 50 Western Energy Corporations Reached $1.21 Trillion in 2022 // Ravenstvo.Media. — URL: https://dzen.ru/a/Y6IK_ScpAShgO6Ie (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See the article The Balance of Power of the Opposing Groups // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/Rjssiya_Ukraina_NATO_sootnoshenie_sil.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2024), See also this book.

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246. Why Is Russia Prolonging the War? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_russia_need_longtime_war.html (Retrieved on June 20, 2023.) See also this book.

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247. Russia’s population has decreased by 555 thousand people in a year // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/01/02/2023/63da428b9a7947e741363c53 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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248. Lukashenko told Putin that he instantly stopped the pandemic // Vesti.Ru. — URL: https://www.vesti.ru/article/2703233 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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249. In 2022, the population of Ukraine decreased by 335 thousand // Antifashist. — URL: https://dzen.ru/a/Y90oMVeUuQp195n1 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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250. Alcohol-related mortality has increased in Russia // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/society/12/06/2021/60c3b8ec9a794772666d700e (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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251. Ravenstvo. Media: telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/s/ravenstvomedia/208 (Retrieved n June 16, 2023.)

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252. CNN shared data from the Ukrainian General Staff on the losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces over the year of the conflict // BLOKNOT. — URL: https://bloknot.ru/v-mire/cnn-podelilsyadanny-mi-ukrainskogo-genshtaba-o-poteryah-vsu-za-god-konflikta-1070551.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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253. Almost all promising aerial bombs and missiles produced by the JSC were tested in Ukraine // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/armiya-i-opk/16064645 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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254. Mortgage. Results of 2022 // FRANK MEDIA. — URL: https://frankrg.com/110643 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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255. Expenditures on the rebuilding of Donbass in the Russian budget could be hidden under the wording “special infrastructure project” // RTVI. — URL: https://rtvi.com/stories/rashody-na-vosstanovlenie-donbassa-vrossijskom-byudzhete-mogli-zashifrovat-kak-speczialnyj-infrastrukturnyj-proekt/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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256. RBC: the share of friendly countries in Russian exports by the end of 2022 amounted to 65% // TASS: information agency. — URL: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/17016641 (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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257. More than 5.3 million refugees from Ukraine and Donbass arrived in Russia in a year // Izvestiya. — URL: https://iz.ru/1472836/2023-02-20/bolee-53-mln-bezhentcev-s-ukrainy-i-iz-donbassa-pribyli-v-rossiiu-za-god (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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258. Sick Economy: Telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/s/bolecon?before=3155 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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259. Experts estimate the losses of foreign businesses that decided to leave Russia at $240 billion // Forbes. — URL: https://forbes.ru/biznes/479159-eksperty-ocenili-v-240-mlrd-poteri-resivsego-pokinut-rossiu-inostrannogo-biznesa (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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260. Ten economic crises after which real estate depreciated // RBK. — URL: https://realty.rbc.ru/news/5e6cfa889a79472edab2dc46realty.rbc.ru/news/5e6cfa889a79472edab2dc46 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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261. Ukraine’s Gas Pipelines and the Front Line // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/gazoprovodi_i_lbs.html (data obrashcheniya: 16.06.2023). See also; the former speaker of the Ukrainian parliament Oleg Tsaryov Explained Ukraine’s Gasoline Abundance by the Operation of a Large Plant in Kremenchug // Bryanskiye novosti. — URL: https://www.bragazeta.ru/news/2023/02/10/oleg-carev-obyasnil-benzinovoe-izobilie-na-ukraine-rabotoj-krupnogo-zavoda-v-kremenchuge/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); See also: Argumenty nedeli. — URL: https://argumenti.ru/society/2023/03/818169 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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262. Why did we surrender Kherson? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_we_lost_herson.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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263. Chichvarkin reported the freezing of an account in a Swiss bank // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/30/03/2022/624463a49a79476e9b374896 / (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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264. The Kremlin Laundress: Telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/kremlinprachka/23484 (Retieved on June 16, 2023.); District of Columbia. — URL: https://ecf.dcd.uscourts.gov/cgi-bin/show_public_doc?2000cv2208-148 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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265. Who Benefits from Xi Jinping’s Victory at the 20th CPC Congress? //Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/who_have_profit_from_SI_win.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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266. Russia’s trade with China reaches record high // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/13/01/2023/63c0ffb79a79474aaf45862d (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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267. Citizen on the sofa: telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/citizen_opinion/6260 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); The balance of forces of the opposing groups // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/Rjssiya_Ukraina_NATO_sootnoshenie_sil.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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268. And who, actually, are we fighting with? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/who_is_opponent.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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269. The balance of forces of the opposing groups // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/Rjssiya_Ukraina_NATO_sootnoshenie_sil.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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270. Ravenstvo.Media: telegram-channel. — URL: https://t.me/s/ravenstvomedia?before=165# (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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271. Is the United States Our Enemy in the War in Ukraine? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/mnogopolyarniy_mir.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) Se also this book; Where Does the Financing of Salaries for Military Personnel Fighting in Ukraine Come From? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/otkuda_finansiruyut_zarplaty_voyuyuschih_na_ukraine.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book; Prioritization of War Goals Based on Economic Results of the First Year of Hostilities // Website of Gribov. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/year_of_ukrainian_war_goals.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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272. What were Russia’s gains during the initial year of hostilities? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/what_win_russia_from_ukrainian_war.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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273. RBK: the share of friendly countries in Russian exports by the end of 2022 amounted to 65% // TASS: information agency. — URL: https://tass.ru/ekonomika/17016641 (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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274. The Return of Statistics: How Russia Traded in 2022. — URL: https://mzhsr.ru/news/novosti-smi/vozvrashhenie-statistiki-kak-rossiya-torgovala-v-2022-godu (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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275. Germany’s foreign trade surplus in 2022 fell to a 22-year low // Finmarket. — URL: http://www.finmarket.ru/database/news/5889275# (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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276. Japan expects record export and import volumes in 2022 // Krasnaya Vesna: information agency. — URL: https://www.rossaprimavera.ru/news/3928b526# (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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277. US Foreign Trade Deficit in December Grew to $67.4 Billion] // Interfax. — URL: https://www.interfax.ru/business/885060 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); US International Trade in Goods and Services, December and Annual 2022 // Bureau of Economic Analysis. US Department of Commerce. — URL: https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-december-and-annual-2022 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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278. China’s import and export, 2022 results // SeaNews. — URL: https://www.seanews.ru/2023/01/25/ru-import-i-jeksport-kitaja-itogi-2022-goda/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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279. India’s annual foreign trade volume exceeded $1 trillion for the first time // Rambler/finances. — URL: https://www.finance.rambler.ru/markets/48418554-godovoy-obem-vneshney-torgovli-indii-vpervye-prevysil-1-trln/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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280. The Return of Statistics: How Russia Traded in 2022. URL: https://mzhsr.ru/news/novosti-smi/vozvrashhenie-statistiki-kak-rossiya-torgovala-v-2022-godu (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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281. Germany’s foreign trade surplus in 2022 fell to a 22-year lo // Finmarket. — URL: http://www.finmarket.ru/database/news/5889275# (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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282. Japan expects record export and import volumes in 2022 // Krasnaya Vesna information agency. — URL: https://www.rossaprimavera.ru/news/3928b526# (Retrieved on June 16. 2023.)

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283. US Foreign Trade Deficit in December Grew to $67.4 Billion // Interfax]. — URL: https://www.interfax.ru/business/885060 (data obrashcheniya: 16.06.2023); US International Trade in Goods and Services, December and Annual 2022 // Bureau of Economic Analysis. US Department of Commerce. — URL: https://www.bea.gov/news/2023/us-international-trade-goods-and-services-december-and-annual-2022 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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284. China’s Import and Export, 2022 Results // SeaNews. — URL: https://www.seanews.ru/2023/01/25/ru-import-i-jeksport-kitaja-itogi-2022-goda/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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285. India’s annual foreign trade volume exceeded $1 trillion for the first time // Rambler/finances. — URL: https://www.finance.rambler.ru/markets/48418554-godovoy-obem-vneshney-torgovli-indii-vpervye-prevysil-1-trln/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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286. Spydell_finance: telegram channel. — URL: https://t.me/spydell_finance/2990 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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287. US GDP by year: 1980–2023 // World Finance — economy, markets, investments. — URL: https://www.global-finances.ru/vvp-ssha-po-godam/ (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); US GDP by year. Graph and table // SVSPB.NET. — URL: https://www.svspb.net/danmark/vvp.php?l=ssha# (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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288. Banksta: telegram channel. — URL: https://www.t.me/banksta/35196 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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289. US GDP growth has slowed // Kommersant. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5785939 (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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290. Biden: US economy may overtake China’s in 2022 for the first time since 1976 // Gazeta.Ru. — URL: https://www.gazeta.ru/business/news/2022/12/11/19245919.shtml (Redtrieved on June 16, 2023.)

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291. History of the development of world oil production] // SkyProm. — URL: https://skyprom.ru/news/istoriya-razvitiya-mirovoy-neftedobychi/ (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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292. Zhirnov Ye. Kerosene warriors // Kommersant. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/423238 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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293. Quoted from: Fursov A. I. De Secreto // Kniga-Online.org. — URL: https://kniga-online.org/books/nauchnye-i-nauchno-populjarnye-knigi/istorija/page-56-184156-a-fursov-de-secreto--o-sekrete.html (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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294. Timofeyev A. How the Rothschilds divided Russia… and are dividing it??? // World Crisis. — URL: http://worldcrisis.ru/crisis/1602075 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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295. See: Montefiore Sebag S. Young Stalin, Publisher Weidenfeld & Nicolson, 2007 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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296. Ibid.

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297. Ogorodnikov A. Laborer of the Revolution against the Oil Kings // Zavtra.ru. — URL: https://zavtra.ru/blogs/batum-pesa-i-zhizn-chast-ii (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.); Edelman O. Soso in Batum, 1902 // Novoye literaturnoye obozreniye. [New Literary Review]. — URL: https://www.nlobooks.ru/magazines/ neprikosnovennyy_zapas/90_nz_4_2013/article/10587/ (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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298. History of the development of world oil production // SkyProm. — URL: https://skyprom.ru/news/istoriya-razvitiya-mirovoy-neftedobychi/ (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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299. Baku tour of the shot caller ‘Ryaboy’ (Stalin). How they set the clock tikking for the Nobel brothers // Region.ru. — URL: https://dzen.ru/a/YPO3K7SZ0RypS_KR (Retrieved on august 7, 2023.)

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300. Kubeyev M. N. Fire at the Baku oil field // WikiReading. — URL: https://history.wikireading.ru/102280 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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301. Osbrink of Brit. The Nobel Empire. The Story of Famous Swedes, Baku Oil, and the Revolution in Russia // MyBook. — URL: https://mybook.ru/author/brita-osbrink/imperiya-nobelej-istoriya-o-znamenityh-shvedah-bak/read/ (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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302. Baku oil industrialists in the struggle for influence over the city police (1905–1907) // Our Baku. — URL: https://ourbaku.com/index.php/Бакинские_нефтепромышленники_в_борьбе_за_влияние_на_городскую_полицию_(1905-1907_гг.) (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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303. Sebag-Montefiore, Simon, Young Stalin // London : Phoenix, Lib.ru: Журнал «Самиздат» — URL: https://samlib.ru/i/inzhener_l/sajmonsebagmontefioremolodojstalin.shtml (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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304. Baku strike of 1904 // Wikipedia: The Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Бакинская_стачка_(1904) (Retrieved on July 24, 2025.)

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305. Zhirnov Ye. Without assistance from the organization, oil producers are in no way guaranteed against all sorts of surprises // Kommersant. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3303576 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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306. Shafarevich I. R. Russophobia. Moscow: Rodina, 2019. P. 241. (In Russian).

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307. Shavayev A. G. Intelligence and counterintelligence // LitMir. — URL: https://litmir.club/br/?b=199102&p=100 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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308. Fursenko A. A. The Rockefeller Dynasty // LitMir. — URL: https://litmir.club/br/?b=267747&p=10 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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309. Alekseyev A. Mind, Oil and Conscience // Kommersant. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/3656297 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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310. Zhirnov Ye. Kerosene warriors // Kommersant”. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/423238 (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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311. Atayev T. The year 1905. Fires on Oil Fields in Baku // Electronic minbar. — URL: https://e-minbar.com/issledovaniya/pozhary-na-bakinskih-promyslah (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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312. Ibid.

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313. Ogorodnikov A. Laborer of the Revolution against the Oil Kings // Zavtra.ru. — URL: https://zavtra.ru/blogs/batum-pesa-i-zhizn-chast-ii (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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314. Ibid.

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315. Samokhin M. How Stalin worked for the Rockefellers and what it meant for Russia // Ekspress-gazeta. — URL: https://www.eg.ru/politics/410514/# (Retrieved on August 7, 2023.)

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316. ‘After severe frosts on January 9 and 10, when the temperature in Moscow dropped to –37°C, and a short-term subsequent warming from January 16, another influx of Arctic air occurred. According to the Pravda newspaper of January 17, 1940, ‘the temperature began to drop especially sharply on the morning of January 16: thus, at 3 a.m. in Moscow the temperature was –30 °C, at 9 a.m. –38°C, at 11:30 a.m. –40°C, at 11:30 p.m. –44°C.’” See Abnormal Frosts in January 1940 // Weather Archives. — URL: http://meteoweb.ru/2021/archives/morozi_v_yanvare_1940.php (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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317. Sadulayev G. How the Fascists Tried to Win Soviet Russia with Their Eyes Closed // Russian analytics. — URL: www.discred.ru/2020/05/07/kak-fashisty-sovetskuyu-rossiyu-shapkami-zakidali/ (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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318. Ibid.

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319. This article is based on the previous articles List of Notable Anomalies in the conflict with Ukraine // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/spisok_strannostei.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); Why is Russia prolonging the war? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_russia_need_longtime_war.html (Retrieved on June 20, 2023.); Prioritization of War Aims by Economic Results of the First Year of Combat Operations // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/year_of_ukrainian_war_goals.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.) See also this book.

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320. A number of Telegram channels claim that its possible owner is Biden Jr.

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321. Sitnikov A. Secrets of the Battle of Balakleya: Zelenskiy Made the Biggest Mistake, Rissian Analytics. — URL: https://www.discred.ru/2022/09/09/tajny-bitvy-za-balakleyu-zelenskij-sovershil-samuyu-bolshuyu-oshibku/ (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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322. Volkova D., Zadorozhnaya A., Fakhrutdinov R. Where does Ukraine get fuel for the war with Russia? // Delovaya gazeta ‘Vzglyad’. — URL: https://vz.ru/politics/2022/4/8/1152588.html, Why does Russia still refuel Ukrainian tanks and supply steel, gas and fertilizers to Kiev? // Overclockers.ru. — URL: https://overclockers.ru/blog/TEXHAPb/show/84473/pochemu-rossiya-do-sih-por-zapravlyaet-ukrainskie-tanki-i-postavlyaet-v-kiev-stal-gaz-i-udobreniya (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.); Sergeyev M. Ukrainian tanks are refueled with Russian diesel via India and Bulgaria // Nezavisimaya gazeta. — URL: https://www.ng.ru/economics/2023-02-05/1_8652_hydrocarbons.html (Retrieved on August 8. 2022.)

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323. On the decommissioning of Ukrainian railways // AfterShock Info Center]. — URL: https://aftershock.news/?q=node/1212386&page=4 (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.).

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324. On the influence of the Russian-Ukrainian oligarchy on the course of the SMO // NEZYGAR: telegram-kanal. — URL: https://t.me/russica2/45495 (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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325. Sokolov A., Solopov M. Who and how much earned from the energy crisis in 2022 // Vedomosti. — URL: https://www.vedomosti.ru/business/articles/2022/12/07/954051-kto-i-skolko-zarabotal-na-energokrizise (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.); Superprofits of the top 50 Western energy corporations reached $1.21 trillion in 2022]// Ravenstvo.Media. — URL: https://dzen.ru/a/Y6IK_ScpAShgO6Ie (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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326. Yedovina T. American GDP growth has slowed // Kommersant. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5785939 (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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327. Additionally, the US and NATO will miss the chance to establish a ‘fifth column’ among the owners of ‘frozen funds’ (Russian officials and businessmen) using their own money.

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328. Country 404, or How the Americans Officially Bought Up All of Ukraine // FISHKI.NET. — URL: https://fishki.net/anti/4177562-strana-404-ili-kakamerikancy-oficialyno-skupili-vsju-ukrainu.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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329. Gribov A. Yu. Oddities’ of World War II // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/strannosti_2_mirovoy_voyny_VOV.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.) See also this book.

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330. Rudel G.-U. Pilot of the Stuka // Voyennaya literatura. — URL: http://militera.lib.ru/memo/german/rudel/05.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.)

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331. ‘After severe frosts on January 9 and 10, when the temperature in Moscow dropped to –37°C, and a short-term subsequent warming from January 16, another influx of Arctic air occurred. According to the Pravda newspaper of January 17, 1940, “the temperature began to drop especially sharply on the morning of January 16: thus, at 3 a.m. in Moscow the temperature was –30°C, at 9 a.m. –38°C, at 11:30 a.m. –40°C, at 11:30 p.m. –44°C.’” See: Abnormal Frosts in January 1940 // Weather Archives. — URL: http://meteoweb.ru/2021/archives/morozi_v_yanvare_1940.php (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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332. Petrov E. Panther KF51: a quick overview of the new tank from Rheinmetall // Voyennoye obozreniye. — URL: https://topwar.ru/197810-kf51-panther-beglyjobzor-novogo-tanka-ot-rheinmetall.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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333. Leonov A. More expensive than a fifth-generation fighter. What is so good about the F-16 Block 70/72? // Rossiyskaya gazeta. — URL: https://rg.ru/2019/07/30/dorozheistrebitelia-piatogo-pokoleniia-chem-tak-horosh-f-16-block-7072.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2022.)

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334. Aims and Objectives of the Current War //Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/tseli_zadachi_tekuschey_voiny.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.); Who won the Arab Israeli Conflict? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/kto_vyigral_v_arabo_izrail_skom_konflikte.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.); List of Notable Anomalies in the Conflict with Ukraine // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/spisok_strannostei.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023); Why is Russia prolonging the war? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/why_russia_need_longtime_war.html (Retrieved on June 20, 2023.); Prioritization of War Aims by Economic Results of the First Year of Combat Operations // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www. gribov.ru/year_of_ukrainian_war_goals.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023); What were Russia’s gains during the initial year of hostilities? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/what_win_russia_from_ukrainian_war.html (Retrieved on June 16, 2023.); How Ukraine Can Be Quickly Defeated and What It Will Do for the US and Russia // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/kak_bystro_pobedity_ukrainu.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.);

Which parties stand to gain or lose from the effectiveness of NATO military equipment in Ukraine? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/komu_nevygodna_effektivnost_orujiya_nato_na_ukraine.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.) See also this book.

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335. Kinzhal (hypersonic missile system) // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Kinzhal_(giperzvukovoy_raketnyy_kompleks) (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.)

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336. Tu-22M // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia.  — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ту-22М (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.)

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337. Johnson spoke about an ‘extraordinary’ conversation with Putin in February // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/30/01/2023/63d70e289a794759ea6ac48b (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.)

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338. African activists have created a website through which they unite in the Wagner movement // DNI.RU. — URL: https://dni.ru/polit/2021/12/14/494939.html (Retrieved on August 8, 2023.)

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339. China has connected Hong Kong with the mainland via a high-speed railway // Newspaper Vzglyad. — URL: https://vz.ru/news/2018/9/23/942961.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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340. High-speed trains in Japan. Shinkansen — a fast and convenient mode of transport // Interesting about Japan. — URL: https://galitravel.ru/skorostnye-poezda/ (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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341. Kommersant newspaper, No. 96, June 5, 2019. — URL: https://kommersant.ru/daily/118140 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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342. The World of Air Transport in 2017 // ICAO. — URL: https://www.icao.int/annual-report-2017/Pages/RU/the-world-of-air-transport-in-2017.aspx (Retrieved on April 2023.)

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343. Forecast for the development of the air transportation market 2014–2033 // AVIA.PRO. — URL: https://avia.pro/blog/prognoz-razvitiya-rynka-aviaperevozok-2014-2033-gg (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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344. China pledges more than $100 billion in Belt and Road projects // CNBC. — URL: https://www.cnbc.com/2017/05/14/china-pledges-more-than-100-billion-in-belt-and-road-projects.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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345. China is ready to invest in Russian high-speed railway // Gudok. — URL: https://www.gudok.ru/newspaper/?ID=1261731 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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346. How the Trans-Siberian Railway was created: a brief essay // Trans-Siberian Railway: web-Encyclopedia. — URL: https://transsib.ru/history/history-review.htm#begin3 (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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347. Railway to Tibet // Masterok.livejournal.ru. — URL: https://masterok.livejournal.com/5421430.html (Retrieved on April 20, 2023.)

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348. Now a university.

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349. See Taleb N. N., Antifragile: Things That Gain From Disorder, Penguin UK, 2013.

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350. Lev Termen — from music ‘out of thin air’ to wiretapping without ‘bugs  // Khabr. — URL: https://habr.com/ru/company/pult/blog/398435/ (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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351. Natalya Kasperskaya stated that Bitcoin was developed by American intelligence agencies // Kompyuternyy mir. — URL: https://cwr.osp.ru/news/Natalya-Kasperskaya-zayavila-chto-bitkoin-razrabotan-amerikanskimi-spetssluzhbami (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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352. Press releases // Alfa-Bank. — URL: https://news.alfabank.ru/releases/ (Retrieved on September 5. 2022.)

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353. Heroin // Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia. — URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heroin (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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354. Research: Prohibited content discovered in Bitcoin network // Banki.ru. — URL: https://www.banki.ru/news/lenta/?id=10344373 (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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355. Millionaires without passwords: why the world lost 20% of bitcoins // Gazeta.Ru. — URL: https://www.gazeta.ru/tech/2021/01/13/13434218/bitcoin_lost.shtml (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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356. Bitcoin is the greatest scam in history // Voxmedia. — URL: https://www.vox.com/2018/4/24/17275202/bitcoin-scam-cryptocurrency-mining-pump-dumpfraud-ico-value (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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357. The US explained how 12 ‘Russian spies’ were identified // Vzglyad newspaper. — URL: https://vz.ru/news/2018/7/15/932555.html (Retrieved on September 5, 2022.)

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358. Media: Chandrayaan-3 mission to the Moon cost India $75 million // Khabr. — URL: https://habr.com/ru/news/757060/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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359. Where does the funding for the salaries of military personnel fighting in Ukraine come from? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/otkuda_finansiruyut_zarplaty_voyuyuschih_na_ukraine.html. See also this book.

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360. The law on the federal budget for 2023–2025 has been adopted // State Duma. — URL: http://duma.gov.ru/news/55836/

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361. Doomsday War [Yom Kippur War] // Wikipedia: free encycloped. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Война_Судного_дня (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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362. Why this bloody circus cannot be called a war is described in the article How to quickly defeat Ukraine and what this will bring to the USA and Russia. See: Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/kak_bystro_pobedity_ukrainu.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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363. Prioritization of War Aims by Economic Results of the First Year of Combat Operations// See: Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/year_of_ukrainian_war_goals.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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364. What did the USA get in the first year of the Ukrainian war? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/what_win_usa_from_ukrainian_war.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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365. In 2022, Ukraine received more than $120 billion in aid // Kommersant”. — URL: https://www.kommersant.ru/doc/5755022 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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366. What did Russia get in the first year of military operations? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/what_win_russia_from_ukrainian_war.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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367. Where does the funding for the salaries of military personnel fighting in Ukraine come from? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/otkuda_finansiruyut_zarplaty_voyuyuschih_na_ukraine.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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368. Germany has reduced gas demand by 20%. What does this mean for Gazprom?] || BKS EXPRESS. — URL: https://bcs-express.ru/novosti-i-analitika/gazprom-germaniia-sokratila-spros-na-gaz-na-20 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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369. Manual for the offensive: How many tanks are left in Ukraine and when will they run out // Life. — URL: https://life.ru/p/1541182 (Retrieved onOctober 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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370. Who does not benefit from the effectiveness of NATO military equipment in Ukraine? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https:/ /www.gribov.ru/komu_nevygodna_effektivnost_orujiya_nato_na_ukraine.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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371. An increasingly expensive war // Telegram channell ZeRada. — URL: https://t.me/ZeRada1/16490 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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372. Rheinmetall raised prices for 155 mm shells for Ukraine by one and a half times // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/politics/24/10/2023/6537e8d89a79472039fc5d27 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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373. Where does the funding for the salaries of military personnel fighting in Ukraine come from? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/otkuda_finansiruyut_zarplaty_voyuyuschih_na_ukraine.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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374. In 2022, Europe reduced its gas consumption by 10% // Interfax. — URL: https://www.interfax.ru/business/886488 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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375. URL: https://vk.com/wall-131955043_442591 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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376. URL: https://t.me/s/rusbrief?before=171690 (broken link).

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377. Telegram channel Anatoliy Nesmiyan. — URL: https://t.me/s/anatoly_nesmiyan?before=14109 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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378. See Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/politekonomiya_voyny.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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379. Canada, Australia, Iraq.

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380. Venezuela, Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan.

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381. Saudi Arabia, Iran, Qatar, UAE etc.

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382. Fursenko A. A. Rockefeller Dynasty. — URL: https://www.litmir.club/br/?b=267747&p=10 (Retrieved on October 2024.)

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383. Shavayev A. G. Intelligence and counterintelligence. — URL: hhttps://litlife.club/books/199102/read?page=100#section_57 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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384. World War II in figures and facts // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/spec/wwii#:~:text=•-,Velikobritaniya,voyennyye%20deystviya%20-%20poryadka%20341%20mlrd%20dollarov%20SSHA%20v%20tsenakh%201945%20g., — •%20Gretsiya (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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385. See: Pauwels J. R. Big Business and Hitler, James Lorimer & Company Ltd., Publishers, Toronto, Canada.

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386. Ford Plants in Germany // Questions of History. — URL: https://ru-history.livejournal.com/1856489.html (Retrived on October 23, 2024.)

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387. World War II in figures and facts // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/spec/wwii#:~:text=•-,Velikobritaniya,voyennyye%20deystviya%20-%20poryadka%20341%20mlrd%20dollarov%20SSHA%20v%20tsenakh%201945%20g., — •%20Gretsiya (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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388. Butenko N. V. Lend-Lease: The Deal of the Century. — URL: https://econ.wikireading.ru/hsGjGrWUPE (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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389. List of Royal Navy losses in World War II // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_Royal_Navy_losses_in_World_War_II (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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390. World War II in figures and facts // TASS. Op. cit.

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391. Bank for International Settlements // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Банк_международных_расчётов (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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392. Galin V.V. Political Economy of War. How America Became a World Leader // UniversalInternetLibrary.ru. — URL: https://www.universalinternetlibrary.ru/book/67822/chitat_knigu.shtml (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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393. World War II in figures and facts. Op. cit.

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394. Odities’ of World War II // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://https://www.gribov.ru/strannosti_2_mirovoy_voyny_VOV.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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395. Petrov, Aleksandr Dmitrievich (chemist)] // Wikipedia. Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Петров,_Александр_Дмитриевич_(химик) (Retrieved on November 5, 2022.)

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396. bid. See also Polonskiy I. How a Soviet Chemist Saved Blockaded Leningrad from Bombing // TopWar. — URL https://topwar.ru/156063-kak-sovetskij-himik-spas-ot-bombezhek-blokadnyj-leningrad.html (broken link).

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397. Alekseyev V. V. The Impact of Frosts on the Course of the Winter Campaign of 1941–1942 / Alekseyev V. V. — Text: electronic // ISTINA. — URL: https://istina.msu.ru/download/1312608/1evV84:yLv8JQogktdvvRicMdKYxrWuz_o/ (Retrieved on July 25, 2025.)

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398. Skomorokhov R. Gasoline and diesel fuel of the Third Reich: legends and myths // Voyennoye obozreniye. — URL: https://topwar.ru/158494-benzin-i-diztoplivo-tretego-rejha-legendy-i-mify.html (Retrieved on November 5, 2022.)

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399. Rudel G.-U. Pilot of the Stuka // Voyennoye obozreniye. — URL: http://militera.lib.ru/memo/german/rudel/05.html (Retrieved on November 5, 2022.)

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400. Rockefeller J. D. Comrade Stalin and the Economic Security of Russia // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/stalin_i_economichskaya_bezopasnost_rossii.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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401. World War II in figures and facts. Op. cit.

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402. ‘Love for the Fatherland and the Fuehrer does not consist in blindly lying to work friends.’ A phrase from Yulian Semyonov’s novel Seventeen Moments of Spring. Quoted from: World Art. — URL: http://www.world-art.ru/lyric/lyric.php?id=6406&public_page=3 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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403. How Mathematical Schools Are Hindering German Gref // nespaper Komsomol’skaya pravda. — URL: https://www.kp.ru/daily/26897.7/3941592/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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404. Economic Patriotism // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/patriotism.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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405. Top 10 Countries with the Highest Rape Crime Rates in the World // Wonderslist.com. — URL: https://www.wonderslist.com/10-countries-highest-rape-crime/ (Retrieved on July 25, 2025.)

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406. 20 years, the number of cars in Moscow has quadrupled // Quto. — URL: https://quto.ru/journal/articles/za-20-let-chislo-mashin-v-moskve-uvelichilos-vchetvero.htm (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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407. The total area of summer houses in Russia is ten territories of Moscow // Versiya. — URL: https://versia.ru/obshhaya-ploshhad-dachnyx-uchastkov-v-rossii-sostavlyaet-desyat-territorij-moskvy (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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408. How many Russians visited Turkey in 2022: official results // Association of Tour Operators]. — URL: https://www.atorus.ru/node/51177 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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409. Export of Russian goods set a record in 2022 // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/economics/14/03/2023/640f35739a7947254d6f8154 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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410. How to correctly evaluate the top political leadership of Russia // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/Kak_pravilno_otsenivat_vyssheye_politicheskoye_rukovodstvo_Rossii.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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411. GDP of countries in 2022 // SVSPB.NET. — URL: https://svspb.net/danmark/vvp-stran-wb.php (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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412. Crime in the RSFSR. 1960–1991 // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Преступность_в_РСФСР_1960—1991_годы (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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413. Malinskiy G. The GDP Table That No One Has Seen // Proza.Ru. — URL: https://proza.ru/2010/09/05/46 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.); Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Файл:Soviet_Union_USSR_GDP_per_capita.png (date of request: 23.10.2024).

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414. Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Файл:Soviet_Union_USSR_GDP_per_capita.png: (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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415. Malinskiy G. Op. cit.

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416. Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Файл:Soviet_Union_USSR_GDP_per_capita.png (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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417. Malinskiy G. Op. cit.

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418. World War II in figures and facts. Op. cit.

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419. Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Файл:Soviet_Union_USSR_GDP_per_capita.png (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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420. Malinskiy G. Op. cit.

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421. Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Файл:Soviet_Union_USSR_GDP_per_capita.png (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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422. Development of the country under Nicholas II // Russian Empire. — URL: https://www.rusempire.ru/arkhiv-statej/1891-razvitie-strany-pri-nikolae-ii.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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423. Comrade Stalin and the Economic Security of Russia // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/stalin_i_economichskaya_bezopasnost_rossii.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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424. Ibid.

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425. Industrialization in the Russian Empire // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Индустриализация_в_Российской_империи (Retrieving on October 23, 2024.)

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426. Economy of the Russian Empire // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Экономика_Российской_империи (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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427. Economy of the Russian Empire // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Экономика_Российской_империи (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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428. Napoleon Bonaparte: The route to India goes through Moscow // D-34. — URL: https://d-34.livejournal.com/242072.html (Retrieved on October 10, 2024.)

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429. Georgiy Daneliya, film director of the movie Kin-dza-dza, explained the origin of some words in the language: ‘otsilopp’ from English ‘police’, read backwards, ‘patsak’ from Ukrainian ‘katsap’ and from Russian ‘patsan’ (‘dude’) and ‘pepelats’ from Georgian (pepela) (‘butterfly’), ‘gravitsappa’ from ‘gravity’, ‘chatlanin’ and ‘chatl’ from ‘chatlakh’ — curses in some eastern languages, which, according to G. Daneliya, mean ‘scoundrel’, ‘bastard’. See: Cyclowiki.org: Chatlano-patsak language. — URL: https://cyclowiki.org/wiki/Чатлано-пацакский_язык (Retrieved of October 23, 2024.)

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430. RBC: Putin opened traffic on the M-12 highway to Kazan // RBC. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/society/21/12/2023/6582e3c99a7947c5944de694 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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431. Why Does America Put the Month Before the Day? // Sporcle, Inc. — URL: https://www.sporcle.com/blog/2022/12/why-does-america-put-the-month-before-the-day/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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432. A Hoodlum’s Promise — Blood on the asphalt // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Слово_пацана._Кровь_на_асфальте (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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433. Institute for Internet Development // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Institut_razvitiya_interneta (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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434. A direct call from a Russian MP to bomb Taurus factories in Germany.

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435. 64 hypersonic missiles Zircon with a nuclear warhead may permanently close the Great Britain project // Voyennoye obozreniye [Military Review]. — URL: https://topwar.ru/235883-64-giperzvukovye-rakety-cirkon-s-jadernoj-boevoj-chastju-mogut-navsegda-zakryt-proekt-velikobritanija.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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436. The combined GDP of the G7 is now lower than the combined GDP of BRICS.

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437. Fantastic LNG terminals and their location: is Europe ready for a gas duel with Russia? // Oil and Capital — URL: https://oilcapital.ru/news/2022-03-03/fantasticheskie-spg-terminaly-i-gde-oni-obitayut-gotova-li-evropa-k-gazovoy-dueli-s-rf-1037991 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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438. Czech Republic to buy 24 F-35 fighter jets for 6.5 billion dollars // Rossiyskaya Gazeta — URL: https://rg.ru/2023/09/27/chehiia-zakupit-24-istrebitelia-f-35-na-65-milliarda-dollarov.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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439. Sweden currently holds the second-highest rape rate globally, with cases per thousand inhabitants.

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440. I don’t know any Russian who has lived in Cape Antibes without being robbed, and the police have always been totally ineffective.

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441. Brandenburg. Goebbels’ Villa on Lake Bogensee // from Berlin. — URL: https://directfromberlin.wordpress.com/2017/09/29/goebbels-villa-bogensee/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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442. Koestring Ernst // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Кёстринг,_Эрнст (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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443. Von Bock, Fedor // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Бок,_Федор_фон (Retrieved on Ocober 23, 2024.)

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444. Fölkersam, Adrian// [Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: fon https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Фёлькерзам,_Адриан_фон (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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445. Rosenberg, Alfred // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Розенберг,_Альфред (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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446. Ushakova O. Mikhalkov M. Through the labyrinths of deadly risk. / Ushakova O. Mikhalkov M. (etext) — Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation. — URL: http://www.fsb.ru/fsb/history/author/single.htm%21id%3D10318099%40fsbPublication%26_print%3Dtrue.html (Retrieved on Octoer 23, 2024.)

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447. 2nd SS Panzer Corps https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/2-й_танковый_корпус_СС (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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448. Passions about the money supply — why it is growing and who is printing new rubles // BKS Ekspress. — URL: https://bcs-express.ru/novosti-i-analitika/strasti-po-denezhnoi-masse-pochemu-ona-rastet-i-kto-pechataet-novye-rubli (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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449. Rosstat estimates Russia’s GDP growth for 2023 at 3.6%// FINAM. — URL: https://www.finam.ru/publications/item/rosstat-otsenil-rost-vvp-rossii-za-2023-god-v-36-20240207-1913/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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450. Monetary aggregates — assessment // Central Bank of the Russian Federation. — URL: https://www.cbr.ru/statistics/macro_itm/dkfs/sr_ma_estim/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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451. Monetization of the economy // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Монетизация_экономики (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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452. What is known about Kiwi Bank // TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/info/20046379 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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453. Ibid.

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454. Qiwi’s banking license revoked for servicing ‘shadow businesses’, crypto exchangers and online casinos // CNews. — URL: https://www.cnews.ru/news/top/2024-02-21_u_qiwi_otobrali_bankovskuyu (Retrieved on Octjber 23, 2024.)

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455. [he Central Bank and Drugs // Antifruct.ru. — URL: https://antifruct.ru/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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456. Fighting the shadow: QIWI Bank’s license revoked // Izvestiya. — URL: https://iz.ru/1653637/elizaveta-gritcenko-mariia-kolobova-evgenii-grachev/borba-s-teniu-u-kivi-banka-otozvali-litcenziiu (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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457. The Central Bank has banned QIWI from transferring money to foreign stores. The restrictions imposed have caused the company’s shares to plummet by more than 20% // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/finances/10/12/2020/5fd213d39a7947c037c48c4b?from=copy (Retrieved on Octjber 23, 2024.)

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458. After the searches, QIWI announced that the FSB had no claims against the company // RBK. — URL: https://www.rbc.ru/rbcfreenews/55cde42f9a79470f82a6628b?from=copy (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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459. What is known about QIWI Bank// TASS. — URL: https://tass.ru/info/20046379 (Retrieved on October 23, 204.)

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460. Qiwi’s banking license revoked for servicing ‘shadow businesses’, crypto exchangers and online casinos // CNews. — URL: https://www.cnews.ru/news/top/2024-02-21_u_qiwi_otobrali_bankovskuyu (Retrieved on Octjber 23, 2024.)

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461. Turnover balance report for the accounts of the credit institution as of January 1, 2024 // Central Bank of the Russian Federation. — URL: https://cbr.ru/banking_sector/credit/coinfo/f101/?regnum=2241&dt=2024-01-01 (Retrieved 23, 2024.)

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462. The Central Bank and Drugs // Antifruct.ru. — URL: https://antifruct.ru/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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463. Epstein S.D. How to resist the plans of the Jew comrade Kissinger to destroy the Jewish country of Israel?! // journal Samizdat. — URL: http://samlib.ru/e/epshtejn_s_d/kakprotiv.shtml (Retrieved on November 9, 2022.)

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464. North / South Pars. // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Северное/Южный_Парс (Retrieved on November 2, 2022.)

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465. Epshteyn S.D. Op. cit.

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466. National composition of the regions of Ukraine // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Национальный_состав_регионов_Украины (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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467. YouTube: Ukraine. National composition. (broken link: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-4Z9KNkfrZU)

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468. Anyanov S. Jews in Ukraine // Proza.,keprfRu. — URL: https://proza.ru/2023/03/13/562 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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469. Khodos E. Jewish whirlwind // WikiReading. — URL: https://history.wikireading.ru/112386 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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470. Jews are politicians of Ukraine // Cyclopedia. — URL: https://cyclowiki.org/wiki/Циклопедия:Списки:Евреи-политики_Украины (Retreieved on October 23, 2024)

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471. Jews, Greeks, Bulgarians do not want to go to the ‘front line’. And 70 Hungarians returned home as ‘cargo-200’ // Svobodnaya Pressa. — URL: https://svpressa.ru/war21/article/367372/?rss=1&utm_source=rnews (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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472. Since February 2022, 16 Israeli citizens have died in Ukraine while fighting on the side of the Ukrainian Armed Forces // KEMShyu. — URL: https://rtvi.com/news/s-fevralya-2022-goda-na-ukraine-pogibli-16-grazhdan-izrailya-voevavshih-na-storone-vsu/ (Retrieved on October 23. 2024.)

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473. Kiev has simplified the procedure for obtaining citizenship for foreign mercenaries // Izvestiya. — URL: https://iz.ru/1580174/2023-09-27/kiev-uprostil-protceduru-polucheniia-grazhdanstva-dlia-inostrannykh-naemnikov (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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474. BRIEF@rusbrief (broken link).

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475. Telegram channel ZeRada. — URL: https://t.me/ZeRada1/21852 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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476. Population of Russia // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Население_России (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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477. Rosstat published mortality statistics for 2021 // Gazeta. Ru. — URL: https://www.gazeta.ru/social/news/2022/01/29/17211283.shtml (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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478. Ibid.

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479. Old-age mortality in Russia decreased by 60.2% in 2022// Medvestnik. — URL: https://medvestnik.ru/content/news/Smertnost-ot-starosti-v-Rossii-sokratilas-v-2022-godu-na-60-2.html (Retrieved on October 23. 2024.)

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480. German nuclear program // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Немецкая_ядерная_программа (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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481. German nuclear program // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Немецкая_ядерная_программа (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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482. Yuzovka field // [Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Юзовское_месторождение (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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483. Burisma Holdings // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Burisma_Holdings (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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484. Yuzovka field // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Юзовское_месторождение (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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485. Canaris, Wilhelm. https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Канарис,_Вильгельм (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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486. Ruhr region. https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Рурская_область (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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487. Admiral Canaris: an ambitious man, a careerist or a spy // Independent Military Review. — RL: https://nvo.ng.ru/history/2022-03-17/1_1181_admiral.html (Redtrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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488. Canaris, Wilhelm. https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Канарис,_Вильгельм (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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489. Henschel Hs 129 https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henschel_Hs_129 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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490. Henschel-Werke https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Henschel-Werke (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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491. IG Farben from the Beginning to Hitler // World War II. An Objective View. — URL: https://vk.com/@ww2realview-ig-farben-ot-nachala-do-gitlera (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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492. Ibid.

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493. Ibid.

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494. ‘IG Farben. Part V. Aryan gasoline // Pikabu. — URL: https://pikabu.ru/story/ig_farben_chast_v_ariyskiy_benzin_9499372 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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495. ‘IG Farben from the Beginning to Hitler // World War II. An Objective View. — URL: https://vk.com/@ww2realview-ig-farben-ot-nachala-do-gitlera (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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496. IG Farben. Part IV // Pikabu. — URL: Concern and Nazi authoriities. https://pikabu.ru/story/ig_farben_chast_iv_kontsern_i_natsistskie_vlasti_9467294 (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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497. The End of the US Shale Era // TsDU TEK (FEC CDA). — URL: https://www.cdu.ru/tek_russia/articles/7/1210/

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498. Shale gas: myths and reality // Business magazine Neftegaz.RU. — URL: https://magazine.neftegaz.ru/articles/aktualno/525992-slantsevyy-gaz-mify-i-realnost/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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499. Ibid.

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500. Shale gas // Wikipedia: free encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Сланцевый_газ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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501. Who Unleashed the War in Ukraine and Why? // Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/ukraina.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.) See also this book.

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502. Shale mirage // Gazeta.Ru. — URL: https://www.gazeta.ru/science/2014/12/04_a_6327045.shtml (Retrieved on Octjber 23, 2024.)

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503. Funds for organizing terrorist attacks in the Russian Federation were received through the Ukrainian oil and gas company Burisma Holdings // Neftegaz.RU. — URL: https://neftegaz.ru/news/finance/828680-cherez-ukrainskaya-neftegazovaya-kompaniyu-burisma-holdings-postupali-denezhnye-sredstv-dlya-organiz/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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504. Have you seen the American national debt? What you need to know about the US national debt // [T–J] Journal about your money. — URL: https://journal.tinkoff.ru/news/national-debt-usa/ (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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505. Ibid.

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506. Website of Gribov A. Yu. — URL: https://www.gribov.ru/ukraina.html (Retrieved on October 23, 2o024.) See also this book.

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507. The tasks of storing and disposing of ammunition are being solved systematically // Arsenal of the Fatherland. — URL: https://arsenal-otechestva.ru/article/157-hranenie-i-utilizaciya-boepripasov (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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508. God of war and queen of the fields // AFTERSHOCK. — URL: https://aftershock.news/?q=node/706117&full (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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509. See Pushkin A. S. To the Slanderers of Russia

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510. The attempt on Donald Trump // Wikipedia: Free Encyclopedia. — URL: https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Покушение_на_Дональда_Трампа_в_Пенсильвании (Retrieved on October 23, 2024.)

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